Cited by 159Meta-analysis and systematic reviewsStatistical Methods in EpidemiologyProbability and Statistical Research

Publication Bias in Meta-Analysis: Confidence Intervals for Rosenthal’s Fail-Safe Number

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Fragkos, Konstantinos C., Tsagris, Michail, Frangos, Christos C.·2014·International Scholarly Research Notices

Abstract

The purpose of the present paper is to assess the efficacy of confidence intervals for Rosenthal’s fail-safe number. Although Rosenthal’s estimator is highly used by researchers, its statistical properties are largely unexplored. First of all, we developed statistical theory which allowed us to produce confidence intervals for Rosenthal’s fail-safe number. This was produced by discerning whether the number of studies analysed in a meta-analysis is fixed or random. Each case produces different variance estimators. For a given number of studies and a given distribution, we provided five variance estimators. Confidence intervals are examined with a normal approximation and a nonparametric bootstrap. The accuracy of the different confidence interval estimates was then tested by methods of simulation under different distributional assumptions. The half normal distribution variance estimator has the best probability coverage. Finally, we provide a table of lower confidence intervals for Rosenthal’s estimator.

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  1. [4]Rothman K. J. Greenland S. Lash T. L. Modern Epidemiology 2008 Philadelphia, Pa, USA Lippincott Williams & Wilkins
  2. [8]Hedges L. V. Olkin I. Statistical Methods for Meta-Analysis 1985 New York, NY, USA Academic Press MR798597
  3. [23]Becker B. J. Rothstein H. R. Sutton A. J. Borenstein M. The failsafe N or file-drawer number Publication Bias in Meta-Analysis: Prevention, Assessment and Adjustments 2005 Chichester, UK John Wiley & Sons 111 126

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Authors
Fragkos, K. C., Tsagris, M., & Frangos, C. C.
Affiliations
  • University College London (GB)
  • American University of the Middle East (KW)
  • Technological Educational Institute of Athens (GR)
Corresponding author
Fragkos, Konstantinos C.
Venue
International Scholarly Research Notices
Published
2014-12-03
Volume
2014
Pages
1-17
ISSN
2356-7872 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2135241513
Cited by
159
References
63
Citations by year
2026: 20 · 2025: 31 · 2024: 19 · 2023: 14 · 2022: 18 · 2021: 19 · 2020: 10 · 2019: 10 · 2018: 5 · 2017: 5 · 2016: 6 · 2015: 2
FWCI
4.23
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • International Scholarly Research Notices (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › Meta-analysis and systematic reviews
  • Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Epidemiology
  • Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Probability and Statistical Research
Keywords
publication bias, meta-analysis, confidence intervals, variance estimators, half-normal distribution, nonparametric bootstrap, coverage probability, simulation study

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