Global Increasing Incidence of Young-Onset Colorectal Cancer Across 5 Continents: A Joinpoint Regression Analysis of 1,922,167 Cases
Abstract
Background: Colorectal cancer incidence among young adults in the United States is on the rise, but whether this phenomenon is present in other parts of the world is not well documented. This study aims to explore the temporal change of incidence rates for colorectal cancer in various countries across the globe. Methods: We extracted colorectal cancer incidence and population data from 1988 to 2007 based on data from the International Agency for Research on Cancer and compared incidence between age groups. Twelve representative jurisdictions from five continents were selected. Young-onset colorectal cancer cases were defined as those ages <50 years. Joinpoint regression was used to measure the trends of colorectal cancer incidence and to estimate the annual percent change (APC). Results: The APC for those ages <50 years was noted to be increasing at a faster rate as compared with those ages ≥50 years in many regions, including Australia (+1.10% vs. −0.35%), Brazil (+9.20% vs. +5.72%), Canada (+2.60% vs. −0.91%), China–Hong Kong (+1.82% vs. −0.10%), China–Shanghai (+1.13% vs. −2.68%), Japan (+2.63% vs. +0.90%), the United Kingdom (+3.33% vs. +0.77%), and the United States (+1.98% vs. −2.88%). These trends were largely driven by rectal cancer, except in Brazil and the United Kingdom. Conclusions: Increasing incidence of young-onset colorectal cancer was noted in many regions across the globe. Impact: Further studies focusing on young-onset colorectal cancer, particularly with regard to risk factors and establishing the optimal age of screening, are warranted.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Incidence rates of CRC in patients younger than 50 years old are on the rise.
“incidence rates of CRC in patients <50 years old, referred to as early onset CRC, are on the rise82.”
From Gut OncoMicrobiome Signatures (GOMS) as next-generation biomarkers for cancer immunotherapy (2023) · cites this paper as [82]
Cites
Bray, F., Ferlay, J., Soerjomataram, I., Siegel, R. L., Torre, L. A., & Jemal, A. (2018) · CA: A Cancer Journal for Clinicians · doi:10.3322/caac.21492 · Cited by 84,109 · see citing works
Global patterns and trends in colorectal cancer incidence and mortality
Arnold, M., Sierra, M. S., Laversanne, M., Soerjomataram, I., Jemal, A., & Bray, F. (2016) · Gut · doi:10.1136/gutjnl-2015-310912 · Cited by 5,250 · see citing works
The global obesity pandemic: shaped by global drivers and local environments
Swinburn, B. A., Sacks, G., Hall, K. D., McPherson, K., Finegood, D. T., Moodie, M. L., & Gortmaker, S. L. (2011) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(11)60813-1 · Cited by 4,888 · see citing works
Body Fatness and Cancer — Viewpoint of the IARC Working Group
Lauby-Secretan, B., Scoccianti, C., Loomis, D., Grosse, Y., Bianchini, F., & Straif, K. (2016) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmsr1606602 · Cited by 3,596 · see citing works
Wolf, A. M. D., Fontham, E. T. H., Church, T. R., Flowers, C. R., Guerra, C. E., LaMonte, S. J., Etzioni, R., McKenna, M. T., Oeffinger, K. C., Shih, Y. T., et al. (2018) · CA: A Cancer Journal for Clinicians · doi:10.3322/caac.21457 · Cited by 1,944 · see citing works
Colorectal cancer screening: a global overview of existing programmes
Schreuders, E. H., Ruco, A., Rabeneck, L., Schoen, R. E., Sung, J. J. Y., Young, G. P., & Kuipers, E. J. (2015) · Gut · doi:10.1136/gutjnl-2014-309086 · Cited by 1,328 · see citing works
Self-citationWillett, W. C., Stampfer, M. J., Colditz, G. A., ROSNER, B. A., & Speizer, F. E. (1990) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejm199012133232404 · Cited by 1,239 · see citing works
Colorectal Cancer Incidence Patterns in the United States, 1974–2013
Siegel, R. L., Fedewa, S. A., Anderson, W. F., Miller, K. D., Ma, J., Rosenberg, P. S., & Jemal, A. (2016) · JNCI Journal of the National Cancer Institute · doi:10.1093/jnci/djw322 · Cited by 1,229 · see citing works
Huxley, R., Ansari‐Moghaddam, A., Clifton, P. M., Czernichow, S., Parr, C. L., & Woodward, M. (2009) · International Journal of Cancer · doi:10.1002/ijc.24343 · Cited by 650 · see citing works
Meat consumption and risk of colorectal cancer: A meta‐analysis of prospective studies
Larsson, S. C., & Wolk, A. (2006) · International Journal of Cancer · doi:10.1002/ijc.22170 · Cited by 642 · see citing works
Colorectal cancer population screening programs worldwide in 2016: An update
Navarro, M., Nicolas, A., Ferrandez, A., & Lanas, A. (2017) · World Journal of Gastroenterology · doi:10.3748/wjg.v23.i20.3632 · Cited by 611 · see citing works
Gut microbiota-mediated inflammation in obesity: a link with gastrointestinal cancer
Cani, P. D., & Jordan, B. F. (2018) · Nature Reviews Gastroenterology & Hepatology · doi:10.1038/s41575-018-0025-6 · Cited by 383 · see citing works
Chang, D. T., Pai, R. K., Rybicki, L. A., DiMaio, M. A., Limaye, M. R., Jayachandran, P., Koong, A. C., Kunz, P. L., Fisher, G. A., Ford, J. M., et al. (2012) · Modern Pathology · doi:10.1038/modpathol.2012.61 · Cited by 353 · see citing works
Influence of obesity on the risk of developing colon cancer
Frezza, E. E., Wachtel, M. S., & Chiriva‐Internati, M. (2005) · Gut · doi:10.1136/gut.2005.073163 · Cited by 346 · see citing works
Ning, Y., Wang, L., & Giovannucci, E. L. (2009) · Obesity Reviews · doi:10.1111/j.1467-789x.2009.00613.x · Cited by 285 · see citing works
Liang, J., Huang, K., Cheng, A., Jeng, Y., Wu, M., & Wang, S. M. (2003) · British journal of surgery · doi:10.1002/bjs.4015 · Cited by 195 · see citing works
Clinical and molecular features of young-onset colorectal cancer
Ballester, V. (2016) · World Journal of Gastroenterology · doi:10.3748/wjg.v22.i5.1736 · Cited by 182 · see citing works
Early-onset Colorectal Cancer is Distinct From Traditional Colorectal Cancer
Yeo, H., Betel, D., Abelson, J. S., Zheng, X., Yantiss, R. K., & Shah, M. A. (2017) · Clinical Colorectal Cancer · doi:10.1016/j.clcc.2017.06.002 · Cited by 173 · see citing works
Rising incidence of early‐onset colorectal cancer in A ustralia over two decades: Report and review
Young, J. P., Win, A. K., Rosty, C., Flight, I. H. K., Roder, D. M., Young, G. P., Frank, O. R., Suthers, G., Hewett, P. J., Ruszkiewicz, A. R., et al. (2014) · Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology · doi:10.1111/jgh.12792 · Cited by 171 · see citing works
Mediterranean diet and colorectal cancer: A systematic review
Farinetti, A., Zurlo, V., Manenti, A., Coppi, F., & Mattioli, A. V. (2017) · Nutrition · doi:10.1016/j.nut.2017.06.008 · Cited by 171 · see citing works
Patel, P., & De, P. (2016) · Cancer Epidemiology · doi:10.1016/j.canep.2016.03.009 · Cited by 145 · see citing works
Early-onset colorectal cancer: A sporadic or inherited disease?
Stigliano, V. (2014) · World Journal of Gastroenterology · doi:10.3748/wjg.v20.i35.12420 · Cited by 129 · see citing works
Colorectal cancer in young adults: A difficult challenge
Campos, F. G. (2017) · World Journal of Gastroenterology · doi:10.3748/wjg.v23.i28.5041 · Cited by 118 · see citing works
Decrease in Incidence of Young-Onset Colorectal Cancer Before Recent Increase
Murphy, C. C., Singal, A. G., Baron, J. A., & Sandler, R. S. (2018) · Gastroenterology · doi:10.1053/j.gastro.2018.07.045 · Cited by 104 · see citing works
Colon and Rectal Cancer Survival by Tumor Location and Microsatellite Instability
Phipps, A. I., Lindor, N. M., Jenkins, M. A., et al. (2013) · Diseases of the Colon & Rectum · doi:10.1097/dcr.0b013e31828f9a57 · Cited by 100 · see citing works
Burden of colorectal cancer in Central and South America
Sierra, M. S., & Forman, D. (2016) · Cancer Epidemiology · doi:10.1016/j.canep.2016.03.010 · Cited by 90 · see citing works
Sung, J. J. �., Wong, M. C. S., Lam, T. Y. T., Tsoi, K. K. F., Chan, V. C. W., Cheung, W. W. L., & Ching, J. Y. L. (2017) · Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology · doi:10.1111/jgh.13835 · Cited by 86 · see citing works
Self-citationFazeli, M. S., Adel, M. G., & Lebaschi, A. H. (2007) · Diseases of the Colon & Rectum · doi:10.1007/s10350-007-0248-z · Cited by 85 · see citing works
Segev, L., Kalady, M. F., & Church, J. M. (2018) · Diseases of the Colon & Rectum · doi:10.1097/dcr.0000000000001062 · Cited by 74 · see citing works
Stone, R. A. T., Waring, M. E., Cutrona, S. L., Kiefe, C. I., Allison, J. J., & Doubeni, C. A. (2017) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2016-015619 · Cited by 64 · see citing works
Current status of and future outlook for cancer screening in Japan
Tsuji, I. (2009) · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Patel, S. G., Karlitz, J. J., Yen, T., Lieu, C. H., & Boland, C. R. (2022) · The Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology · doi:10.1016/s2468-1253(21)00426-x · Cited by 812 · see citing works
Risk Factors for Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis
O’Sullivan, D. E., Sutherland, R. L., Town, S., Chow, K., Fan, J., Forbes, N., Heitman, S. J., Hilsden, R. J., & Brenner, D. R. (2022) · Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology · doi:10.1016/j.cgh.2021.01.037 · Cited by 413 · see citing works
Dysbiosis of human gut microbiome in young-onset colorectal cancer
Yang, Y., Du, L., Shi, D., Kong, C., Liu, J., Liu, G., Li, X., & Ma, Y. (2021) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-021-27112-y · Cited by 303 · see citing works
Gut OncoMicrobiome Signatures (GOMS) as next-generation biomarkers for cancer immunotherapy
Thomas, A. M., Fidelle, M., Routy, B., Kroemer, G., Wargo, J. A., Segata, N., & Zitvogel, L. (2023) · Nature Reviews Clinical Oncology · doi:10.1038/s41571-023-00785-8 · Cited by 141 · see citing works
Mäklin, T., Taira, A., Arredondo-Alonso, S., Shao, Y., Stratton, M. R., Lawley, T. D., Aaltonen, L. A., & Corander, J. (2025) · The Lancet Microbe · doi:10.1016/j.lanmic.2024.101015 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
- Authors
- Lui, R. N., Tsoi, K. K. F., Ho, J. M. W., Lo, C. M., Chan, F. C. H., Kyaw, M. H., & Sung, J. J. Y.
- Affiliations
- Chinese University of Hong Kong (HK)
- 3Stanley Ho Big Data Decision Analytics Research Centre, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, N.T., Hong Kong.
- Venue
- Cancer Epidemiology, Biomarkers & Prevention
- Published
- 2019-08-01
- Volume
- 28
- Issue
- 8
- Pages
- 1275-1282
- ISSN
- 1055-9965 (ISSN-L)
- 1538-7755
- OpenAlex
- W2946387699
- Cited by
- 153
- References
- 31
- Citations by year
- 2026: 19 · 2025: 23 · 2024: 26 · 2023: 27 · 2022: 21 · 2021: 16 · 2020: 17 · 2019: 4
- FWCI
- 6.01
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Cancer Epidemiology Biomarkers & Prevention (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Rare & Special e-Zone (The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- n/a (na)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Colorectal Cancer Screening and Detection
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Global Cancer Incidence and Screening
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pathology and Forensic Medicine › Genetic factors in colorectal cancer
- Keywords
- early-onset colorectal cancer, colorectal cancer incidence, incidence trends, rectal cancer, age-specific incidence, cross-national comparison, annual percent change
- MeSH terms
- Global Burden of Disease, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Regression Analysis, Risk Factors, Global Health, Colorectal Neoplasms, Incidence, Databases, Factual, Age of Onset
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review