Projection of Construction and Demolition Waste in Norway
Open accessAbstract
Current waste generation from the construction and demolition industry (C&D industry) in Norway is about 1.25 million tonnes per year. This article presents a procedure for projection of future waste amounts by estimating the activity level in the C&D industry, determining specific waste generation factors related to this activity, and finally calculating projections on flows of waste materials leaving the stocks in use and moving into the waste management system. This is done through a simple model of stocks and flows of buildings and materials. Monte Carlo simulation is used in the calculations to account for uncertainties related to the input parameters in order to make the results more robust. The results show a significant increase in C&D waste for the years to come, especially for the large fractions of concrete/bricks and wood. These projections can be a valuable source of information to predict the future need for waste treatment capacity, the dominant waste fractions, and the challenges in future waste handling systems. The proposed method is used in a forthcoming companion article for eco‐efficiency modeling within an evaluation of a C&D waste system.
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From Material efficiency strategies to reducing greenhouse gas emissions associated with buildings, vehicles, and electronics—a review (2019) · cites this paper as [52]
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- Authors
- Bergsdal, H., Bohne, R. A., & Brattebø, H.
- Affiliations
- Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NO)
- Corresponding author
- Bergsdal, Håvard
- Venue
- Journal of Industrial Ecology
- Published
- 2007-07
- Volume
- 11
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 27-39
- ISSN
- 1088-1980 (ISSN-L)
- 1530-9290
- OpenAlex
- W1992955491
- Cited by
- 197
- References
- 12
- Citations by year
- 2026: 11 · 2025: 12 · 2024: 18 · 2023: 10 · 2022: 13 · 2021: 10 · 2020: 12 · 2019: 18 · 2018: 13 · 2017: 10 · 2016: 15 · 2015: 14 · 2014: 10 · 2013: 7 · 2012: 6
- FWCI
- 15.34
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- papers.ssrn.com
- Locations
- Journal of Industrial Ecology (publishedVersion)
- SSRN Electronic Journal (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Yale University
- Norges Teknisk-Naturvitenskapelige Universitet
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Building and Construction › Recycled Aggregate Concrete Performance
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Engineering › Sustainability and Ecological Systems Analysis
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Waste Management and Disposal › Municipal Solid Waste Management
- Keywords
- construction and demolition waste, waste generation forecasting, waste management systems, wood waste, waste treatment capacity, Monte Carlo simulation, uncertainty analysis, eco-efficiency, Norway
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