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Cited by 273

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 58 of the 58 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Detection of Human Influence on a New, Validated 1500-Year Temperature Reconstruction

Open access
Hegerl, Gabriele C., Crowley, Thomas J., Allen, Myles, Hyde, William T., Pollack, Henry N., Smerdon, Jason, Zorita, Eduardo·2007·Journal of Climate
DOI 10.1175/jcli4011.1
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Abstract

Climate records over the last millennium place the twentieth-century warming in a longer historical context. Reconstructions of millennial temperatures show a wide range of variability, raising questions about the reliability of currently available reconstruction techniques and the uniqueness of late-twentieth-century warming. A calibration method is suggested that avoids the loss of low-frequency variance. A new reconstruction using this method shows substantial variability over the last 1500 yr. This record is consistent with independent temperature change estimates from borehole geothermal records, compared over the same spatial and temporal domain. The record is also broadly consistent with other recent reconstructions that attempt to fully recover low-frequency climate variability in their central estimate. High variability in reconstructions does not hamper the detection of greenhouse gas–induced climate change, since a substantial fraction of the variance in these reconstructions from the beginning of the analysis in the late thirteenth century to the end of the records can be attributed to external forcing. Results from a detection and attribution analysis show that greenhouse warming is detectable in all analyzed high-variance reconstructions (with the possible exception of one ending in 1925), and that about a third of the warming in the first half of the twentieth century can be attributed to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. The estimated magnitude of the anthropogenic signal is consistent with most of the warming in the second half of the twentieth century being anthropogenic.

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Metadata

Authors
Hegerl, G. C., Crowley, T. J., Allen, M., Hyde, W. T., Pollack, H. N., Smerdon, J., & Zorita, E.
Venue
Journal of Climate
Publisher
American Meteorological Society
Published
2007-02-15
Volume
20
Issue
4
Pages
650-666
ISSN
  • 0894-8755 (ISSN-L)
  • 1520-0442
DOI
10.1175/jcli4011.1
OpenAlex
W1974992986
Cited by
273
References
58
FWCI
16.53
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
bronze

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