The DOI matches its Crossref record; 89 of the 89 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Climatic Stress, Internal Migration, and Syrian Civil War Onset
Abstract
Syria recently suffered a once in 500-year meteorological drought followed by one of the worst conflicts of the twenty-first century. We exploit subnational variation in drought impact to examine associations between climatic stress and Syria’s political unrest. Climatic stress may produce instability through both immediate hardship and, indirectly, internal migration. Consistent with the internal migration hypothesis, we find less severely drought-stricken Syrian regions more likely to experience protest. We employ nighttime lights as a proxy for population density to examine the association between climatic stress and internal displacement. We find climatic stress decreased nighttime light intensity during the drought period. Increases in nighttime lights from 2005 to 2010 are associated with added risk of protest in Sunni Arab areas, suggesting an influx of migrants bolstered local grievances. Our findings support the internal migration hypothesis and suggest extreme climate events may impact civil unrest via geographically and temporally indirect paths.
Overview
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“Recent evidence suggests, however, that unusually low rainfall was at least one conflict driver (interacting with others, presumably more important) both in Syria (Ash and Obradovich 2020, Dinc and Eklund 2023) and Western Africa (Newman et al 2023).”
From The impacts of climate change on violent conflict risk: a review of causal pathways (2024) · cites this paper as Ash and Obradovich 2020
In the citing paper
“Few empirical studies seek to evaluate empirical evidence for the entire climate-migration-conflict link (although see[88][89][90][91].”
From Vicious Circles: Violence, Vulnerability, and Climate Change (2021) · cites this paper as [91]
Citations
Cites
Exit, Voice and Loyalty: Responses to Decline in Firms, Organizations, and States.
Tullock, G., & Hirschman, A. O. H. (1970) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.2307/2325604 · Cited by 11,199
Vicente-Serrano, S. M., Beguerı́a, S., & López‐Moreno, J. I. (2009) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/2009jcli2909.1 · Cited by 9,766
Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing
Nicol, J., King, B., Quattrochi, D., Dowman, I. J., Ehlers, M., & Xiaoli, D. (2007) · UCL Discovery (University College London) · Cited by 9,325
Microeconometrics: Methods and Applications
Cameron, A. C., & Trivedi, P. K. (2005) · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511811241 · Cited by 8,092
Updated high‐resolution grids of monthly climatic observations – the CRU TS3 .10 Dataset
Harris, I. C., Jones, P. D., Osborn, T. J., & Lister, D. (2013) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.3711 · Cited by 6,326
Adger, W. N. (2006) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.02.006 · Cited by 5,417
Mitchell, T. D., & Jones, P. D. (2005) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.1181 · Cited by 3,820
Hilbe, J. M. (2011) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511973420 · Cited by 3,352
Robust Inference With Multiway Clustering
Cameron, A. C., Gelbach, J. B., & Miller, D. L. (2011) · Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · doi:10.1198/jbes.2010.07136 · Cited by 3,203
Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production
Burke, M., Hsiang, S. M., & Miguel, E. (2015) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature15725 · Cited by 2,913
Research works printed but not linked: 12
- Boschee E., 2015, Harvard Dataverse, 12
- Central Bureau of Statistics, 1994, Results of the Public Census of the Syrian Arab Republic, 1994
- Central Bureau of Statistics, 2004, Syrian Arab Republic—Population and Housing Census 2004
- Dukhan H., 2014, Syria Studies, 6, 1
- Friedman T. L, 2013, The New York Times
- Hegghammer T., 2013, Foreign Affairs, 7
- Hendrix C., 2009, Presentation at the International Studies Association Convention
- International Refugee Information Network, 2009, IRIN: International Refugee Information Network
- McEvers K, 2012, National Public Radio
- Mhanna W, 2013, Al-Monitor (Online newspaper)
- Wimmen H., 2016, Syria’s Path from Civic Uprising to Civil War
- Zhou L., 2005, Acta Geographica Sinica, 71, 266
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Security implications of climate change: A decade of scientific progress
von Uexkull, N., & Buhaug, H. (2021) · Journal of Peace Research · doi:10.1177/0022343320984210 · Cited by 247
Vicious Circles: Violence, Vulnerability, and Climate Change
Buhaug, H., & von Uexkull, N. (2021) · Annual Review of Environment and Resources · doi:10.1146/annurev-environ-012220-014708 · Cited by 187
(IPCC), I. P. O. C. C. (2023) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781009325844.021 · Cited by 218
Linking climate change, environmental degradation, and migration: An update after 10 years
Piguet, É. (2021) · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.746 · Cited by 153
Civil war hinders crop production and threatens food security in Syria
Li, X.-Y., Li, X., Fan, Z., Mi, L., Kandakji, T., Song, Z., Li, D., & Song, X. (2022) · Nature Food · doi:10.1038/s43016-021-00432-4 · Cited by 100
Directions for Research on Climate and Conflict
Mach, K. J., Adger, W. N., Buhaug, H., Burke, M., Fearon, J. D., Field, C. B., Hendrix, C. S., Kraan, C. M., Maystadt, J.-F., Ο’Loughlin, J., et al. (2020) · Earth s Future · doi:10.1029/2020ef001532 · Cited by 85
Thinking Health-related Behaviors in a Climate Change Context: A Narrative Review
Chevance, G., Fresán, U., Hekler, E. B., Edmondson, D. E., Lloyd, S. J., Ballester, J., Litt, J., Cvijanović, I., Araújo‐Soares, V., & Bernard, P. (2022) · Annals of Behavioral Medicine · doi:10.1093/abm/kaac039 · Cited by 86
Conflict on the urban fringe: Urbanization, environmental stress, and urban unrest in Africa
Gizelis, T.-I., Pickering, S., & Urdal, H. (2021) · Political Geography · doi:10.1016/j.polgeo.2021.102357 · Cited by 66
Natural hazards, internal migration and protests in Bangladesh
Petrova, K. (2021) · Journal of Peace Research · doi:10.1177/0022343320973741 · Cited by 69
Drought-Induced Civil Conflict Among the Ancient Maya
Kennett, D. J., Masson, M. A., Lope, C. P., Serafin, S., George, R. J., Spencer, T. C., Hoggarth, J. A., Culleton, B. J., Harper, T. K., Prufer, K. M., et al. (2022) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-022-31522-x · Cited by 63
Weather, wheat, and war: Security implications of climate variability for conflict in Syria
Linke, A. M., & Ruether, B. (2021) · Journal of Peace Research · doi:10.1177/0022343320973070 · Cited by 62
Environmental migrants and social-movement participation
Koubi, V., Nguyen, Q., Spilker, G., & Böhmelt, T. (2021) · Journal of Peace Research · doi:10.1177/0022343320972153 · Cited by 59
Mukherjee, M., & Fransen, S. (2024) · World Development · doi:10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106600 · Cited by 58
Daoudy, M., Sowers, J., & Weinthal, E. S. (2022) · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Water · doi:10.1002/wat2.1582 · Cited by 54
Thalheimer, L., Schwarz, M. P., & Pretis, F. (2023) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102641 · Cited by 50
Local warming and violent armed conflict in Africa
van Weezel, S. (2020) · World Development · doi:10.1016/j.worlddev.2019.104708 · Cited by 48
Natural Disasters, Forced Migration, and Conflict: The Importance of Government Policy Responses
Mitchell, S., & Pizzi, E. (2020) · International Studies Review · doi:10.1093/isr/viaa058 · Cited by 45
Eklund, L., Theisen, O. M., Baumann, M., Tollefsen, A. F., Kuemmerle, T., & Nielsen, J. Ø. (2022) · Communications Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43247-022-00405-w · Cited by 45
Vogler, A. (2023) · Political Geography · doi:10.1016/j.polgeo.2023.102893 · Cited by 45
Catastrophes, Confrontations, and Constraints
Ide, T. (2023) · The MIT Press eBooks · doi:10.7551/mitpress/14970.001.0001 · Cited by 45
Abdo, H. G., Vishwakarma, D. K., Alsafadi, K., Bindajam, A. A., Mallick, J., Mallick, S. K., Kumar, K. C. A., Albanai, J. A., Kuriqi, A., & Hysa, A. (2024) · Applied Water Science · doi:10.1007/s13201-024-02217-z · Cited by 43
How well can we predict climate migration? A review of forecasting models
Schewel, K., Dickerson, S., Madson, B., & Nagle Alverio, G. (2024) · Frontiers in Climate · doi:10.3389/fclim.2023.1189125 · Cited by 40
“There have been some innovative advancements in collecting novel forms of data for climate-related migration forecasting (Isaacman et al., 2017; Ash and Obradovich, 2020; Luca et al., 2022; e.g., cell-phone data or experiments with remote sensing data), however these efforts are incipient and not…”
Climate Change and Violent Conflict in the Middle East and North Africa
Kim, K., & Garcia, T. F. (2023) · International Studies Review · doi:10.1093/isr/viad053 · Cited by 47
Dinc, P., & Eklund, L. (2024) · Climate and Development · doi:10.1080/17565529.2023.2223600 · Cited by 36
Temperature impacts on hate speech online: evidence from 4 billion geolocated tweets from the USA
Stechemesser, A., Levermann, A., & Wenz, L. (2022) · The Lancet Planetary Health · doi:10.1016/s2542-5196(22)00173-5 · Cited by 38
It's all about politics: migration and resource conflicts in the global south
Wiederkehr, C., Ide, T., Seppelt, R., & Hermans, K. (2022) · World Development · doi:10.1016/j.worlddev.2022.105938 · Cited by 33
The impacts of climate change on violent conflict risk: a review of causal pathways
Xie, X., Hao, M., Ding, F., Scheffran, J., Ide, T., Maystadt, J.-F., Qian, Y., Wang, Q., Chen, S., Wu, J., et al. (2024) · Environmental Research Communications · doi:10.1088/2515-7620/ad8a21 · Cited by 25
The consequences of internal displacement on civil war violence: Evidence from Syria
Lichtenheld, A., & Schon, J. (2021) · Political Geography · doi:10.1016/j.polgeo.2021.102346 · Cited by 28
Global Economic Integration and Nativist Politics in Emerging Economies
Helms, B. (2023) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/ajps.12748 · Cited by 24
Climate change vulnerability and conflicts in Africa: evidence from the migrations channel
Tsomb, E. I. B. T., Nsoga, M. H. I. N., & Bitting, C. D. (2023) · Environment, Development and Sustainability · doi:10.1007/s10668-023-03417-4 · Cited by 20
Introducing AfroGrid, a unified framework for environmental conflict research in Africa
Schon, J., & Koren, O. (2022) · Scientific Data · doi:10.1038/s41597-022-01198-5 · Cited by 21
Science–policy dimensions of research on climate change and conflict
Mach, K. J., & Kraan, C. M. (2020) · Journal of Peace Research · doi:10.1177/0022343320966774 · Cited by 23
Nexus dynamics: the impact of environmental vulnerabilities and climate change on refugee camps
Bose, P. S. (2024) · Oxford Open Climate Change · doi:10.1093/oxfclm/kgae001 · Cited by 20
Sarkar, B., Dutta, S., & Singh, P. K. (2022) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0275449 · Cited by 18
Willette, D. A., Ababouch, L. H., Barber, P. H., Bunje, P. M. E., Cauzac, J.-P., Conchon, A., & Trenkel, V. M. (2023) · Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems · doi:10.3389/fsufs.2023.1166131 · Cited by 17
Climate hazards and human migration: literature review
Ivanova, A., Singh, D., Rai, P., Richards, C. A., Vasconcelos, H., & Goldsby, M. (2024) · Environmental Research Climate · doi:10.1088/2752-5295/ad6fc4 · Cited by 18
Eklund, L., Mohr, B., & Dinç, P. (2024) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ad1723 · Cited by 16
Makki, M., Butt, F. A., Akash, S. A., Petrova, K., & Naeem, S. A. (2024) · Alternatives Global Local Political · doi:10.1177/03043754241291728 · Cited by 16
Urbee, A. J., Hasan, M. A., Ridwan, M., & Dewan, M. F. (2025) · Environment Innovation and Management · doi:10.1142/s306090112550005x · Cited by 14
A review of climate security risk assessment tools
Šedová, B., Binder, L. C. W., Michelini, S., Schellens, M. K., & Rüttinger, L. (2024) · Environment and Security · doi:10.1177/27538796241226996 · Cited by 12
Mapping the Future of Migration and Climate Change Science
Nawyn, S. J., He, L., Chen, J., Axelrod, M., Irfan, F. B., Ahmed, F. S., & Walker, M. A. (2024) · International Migration Review · doi:10.1177/01979183241272470 · Cited by 12
Ethnicity and Response to Internal Environmental Migrants in the United States
Ash, K., & Winchester, P. (2023) · Political Research Quarterly · doi:10.1177/10659129231225669 · Cited by 12
Self-citationÜnver, H. A. (2022) · Social Sciences · doi:10.3390/socsci11090395 · Cited by 11
Ten insights on climate impacts and peace
Detges, A., Klingenfeld, D., König, C., Pohl, B., Rüttinger, L., Schewe, J., Šedová, B., & Vivekananda, J. (2020) · doi:10.55317/casc003 · Cited by 10
Rösch, T., Treffinger, P., & Koch, B. (2021) · Energies · doi:10.3390/en14092403 · Cited by 11
Strong increase of racist tweets outside of climate comfort zone in Europe
Stechemesser, A., Wenz, L., Kotz, M., & Levermann, A. (2021) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac28b3 · Cited by 11
He, L., Kreske, E., Nawyn, S. J., Pearson, A. L., Axelrod, M., POKHREL, Y. N., Gasteyer, S. P., Lawrie, S., & Kendall, A. D. (2023) · Environment and Security · doi:10.1177/27538796231207919 · Cited by 11
Climate and migration in the United States
Baylis, P., Bharadwaj, P., Mullins, J. T., & Obradovich, N. (2025) · Journal of Public Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105446 · Cited by 7
Self-citationPrioritizing Global Responsibilities
Glanville, L., & Pattison, J. W. (2024) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198892335.001.0001 · Cited by 7
Cross-border troubles? interstate river conflicts and intrastate violence
McLaughlin Mitchell, S. (2024) · Political Geography · doi:10.1016/j.polgeo.2024.103109 · Cited by 6
Identifying and Correcting Signal Shift in DMSP-OLS Data
Ash, K., & Mazur, K. (2020) · Remote Sensing · doi:10.3390/rs12142219 · Cited by 6
Self-citationDynamics of internal displacement and conflict in Somalia
Blair, C. (2026) · Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies · doi:10.1080/1369183x.2025.2595818 · Cited by 5
The Challenges of Mobilizing after Emergency Events
Grimm, J. J., Ahmed, M., & Şakar, İ. D. (2024) · Contention · doi:10.3167/cont.2024.120207 · Cited by 5
Pathways from Climate Change to Conflict in U.S. Central Command
Chandler, N., Martini, J., Sudkamp, K. M., Habib, M., Sacks, B. J., & Tariq, Z. H. (2023) · RAND Corporation eBooks · doi:10.7249/rra2338-2 · Cited by 5
Svensson, I., Finnbogason, D., Krause, D., Lorenzo, L. M., & Hawach, N. (2022) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780197605608.001.0001 · Cited by 5
Climate Change, Ecocide, and the Rise of Environmental Refugees: The Case of Syria
Bremme, M. L., & Regilme, S. S. F. (2025) · Political Studies · doi:10.1177/00323217251382404 · Cited by 4
The Magnitude of Triggering Events and the Nonlinear Dynamics of Ethnic and Religious Upheavals
Schulte, F., & Trinn, C. (2025) · Conflict Resolution Quarterly · doi:10.1002/crq.21478 · Cited by 4
Security implications of climate change: The climate-conflict nexus
Rosvold, E. L. (2021) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-822373-4.00015-x · Cited by 4
Sudden weather disasters as triggers for ethnic protest in autocracies?
Jansesberger, V. (2024) · Political Geography · doi:10.1016/j.polgeo.2024.103163 · Cited by 4
Lubem, A. A. (2022) · International Journal of Social Science and Human Research · doi:10.47191/ijsshr/v5-i12-38 · Cited by 3
Climate Harshness, Opportunity, and Environmental Violence
Koehnlein, B., Schon, J., & Koren, O. (2024) · International Interactions · doi:10.1080/03050629.2024.2394432 · Cited by 3
Be a man: A theory of climate change, masculinities and violence
Francis, B. (2024) · Environment and Security · doi:10.1177/27538796241230584 · Cited by 3
The Global Impacts of Climate Change on Risk PreferencesPreprint
Howden, W., & Levin, R. (2022) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4132517 · Cited by 3
Ethnicity and Strategic Repression of Protest during the 2011 Syrian Uprising
Ash, K., & Mazur, K. (2025) · Perspectives on Politics · doi:10.1017/s153759272510279x · Cited by 2
Self-citationJansesberger, V. (2026) · Conflict Management and Peace Science · doi:10.1177/07388942251409933 · Cited by 2
Hoveidaei, A. H., Ghafouri, M., Selk-Ghaffari, M., Khadem-Bashiri, M. A., Rostamian, A., Ansari, N. N., Akhondzadeh, S., Moghimi, E., Attar, S., & Ficke, J. R. (2026) · Injury Prevention · doi:10.1136/ip-2024-045508 · Cited by 2
Rapid Land Surface Uplift and Groundwater Recovery Observed During the Syrian War
Mhanna, S., Halloran, L., Tillé, Y., Asaad, A., Zwahlen, F., & Brunner, P. (2026) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2025gl120021 · Cited by 2
Material Scarcity, Mortality, and Violent Conflict
Schwarz, C. H. (2022) · International Studies Quarterly · doi:10.1093/isq/sqac049 · Cited by 1
Climate, conflict and internal migration in Colombia
Fenz, K., Mitterling, T., Cuaresma, J. C., & Roitner-Fransecky, I. (2024) · Vienna Yearbook of Population Research · doi:10.1553/p-8kaj-g8kb · Cited by 2
Challenges for the contemporary international legal framework and the rule of law
Carević, M., & Novokmet, R. R. (2021) · Zbornik Pravnog fakulteta Sveučilišta u Rijeci · doi:10.30925/zpfsr.42.3.1 · Cited by 2
Foreign Policy Implications of Climate Change in Focus Regions of European External Action
Detges, A., & Foong, A. (2022) · doi:10.55317/casc020 · Cited by 2
Ash, K. (2023) · Regional Environmental Change · doi:10.1007/s10113-023-02115-1 · Cited by 1
Self-citationHow climate volatility influences human rights
Timbs, N., & Mitchell, S. M. (2024) · Journal of Human Rights · doi:10.1080/14754835.2024.2416110 · Cited by 1
Guerra del agua in Bolivia: environmental discourse, power and the politics of ‘green’
Bobo, T. (2025) · Journal of Environmental Policy & Planning · doi:10.1080/1523908x.2025.2468830 · Cited by 1
Reimagining the environment-migration-conflict nexus
Bruch, C. E., & Matthew, R. A. (2025) · Environment and Security · doi:10.1177/27538796251342130 · Cited by 1
Glanville, L., & Pattison, J. W. (2024) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198892335.003.0008 · Cited by 1
Applying causality to environmental security in Iraq
Malekovic, N., Vonk, M., Birkman, L., Sweijs, T., Kononova, A. V., & Bäck, T. (2025) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-025-90767-w · Cited by 2
Commentary: Recent progress and future directions for research related to migration and conflict
Muttarak, R., Abel, G., Cuaresma, J. C., & Brottrager, M. (2021) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102401 · Cited by 1
Varieties of Onset: Heterogeneity and Relative Risks of Civil WarPreprint
Siberdt, B. (2023) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4515970 · Cited by 2
Farajalla, N., Ammar, R. A., Nassar, L., Dagher, M. A., Kharma, E., Machmouchi, F., Majdalani, C. H., Yazbek, C., Zaarour, N., Maadat, A., et al. (2022) · doi:10.5337/2023.213 · Cited by 1
Lubem, A. A. (2021) · International Journal of Social Science and Human Research · doi:10.47191/ijsshr/v4-i7-39
Svensson, I., Finnbogason, D., Krause, D., Lorenzo, L. M., & Hawach, N. (2022) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780197605608.002.0008
Research on Jihadist Terrorism, Rebel Governance, and Civil Resistance
Svensson, I., Finnbogason, D., Krause, D., Lorenzo, L. M., & Hawach, N. (2022) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780197605608.003.0002
Abbreviations of Organizations Referenced in the Book
Svensson, I., Finnbogason, D., Krause, D., Lorenzo, L. M., & Hawach, N. (2022) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780197605608.002.0007
Civil Resistance Against Jihadists: How?
Svensson, I., Finnbogason, D., Krause, D., Lorenzo, L. M., & Hawach, N. (2022) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780197605608.003.0004
Svensson, I., Finnbogason, D., Krause, D., Lorenzo, L. M., & Hawach, N. (2022) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780197605608.002.0005
Civil Resistance Against Jihadists
Svensson, I., Finnbogason, D., Krause, D., Lorenzo, L. M., & Hawach, N. (2022) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780197605608.003.0006
Civil Resistance Against Jihadists: Who?
Svensson, I., Finnbogason, D., Krause, D., Lorenzo, L. M., & Hawach, N. (2022) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780197605608.003.0005
Civil Resistance in Jihadist Proto-States
Svensson, I., Finnbogason, D., Krause, D., Lorenzo, L. M., & Hawach, N. (2022) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780197605608.003.0001
Svensson, I., Finnbogason, D., Krause, D., Lorenzo, L. M., & Hawach, N. (2022) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780197605608.002.0006
When Does Civil Resistance Against Jihadists Occur?
Svensson, I., Finnbogason, D., Krause, D., Lorenzo, L. M., & Hawach, N. (2022) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780197605608.003.0003
Svensson, I., Finnbogason, D., Krause, D., Lorenzo, L. M., & Hawach, N. (2022) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780197605608.003.0007
Svensson, I., Finnbogason, D., Krause, D., Lorenzo, L. M., & Hawach, N. (2022) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780197605608.002.0003
Burnt area trends in the Middle-East: evidence for the importance of recent conflicts
Majdalani, G., Koutsias, N., Adjizian-Gérard, J., Faour, G., & Mouillot, F. (2022) · Imprensa da Universidade de Coimbra eBooks · doi:10.14195/978-989-26-2298-9_154
Global Poverty: On Culpability
Glanville, L., & Pattison, J. W. (2024) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198892335.003.0005
Glanville, L., & Pattison, J. W. (2024) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198892335.002.0003
Global Health: On Disadvantage
Glanville, L., & Pattison, J. W. (2024) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198892335.003.0003
Glanville, L., & Pattison, J. W. (2024) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198892335.003.0001
Climate Change: On Diversification
Glanville, L., & Pattison, J. W. (2024) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198892335.003.0007
Which Atrocities? On Effectiveness
Glanville, L., & Pattison, J. W. (2024) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198892335.003.0002
Metadata
- Authors
- Ash, K., & Obradovich, N.
- Affiliations
- University of Central Florida (US)
- MIT Media Lab (US)
- Corresponding author
- Ash, Konstantin
- Venue
- Journal of Conflict Resolution
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2019-07-25
- Volume
- 64
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 3-31
- ISSN
- 0022-0027 (ISSN-L)
- 1552-8766
- OpenAlex
- W4243351514
- Cited by
- 116
- References
- 89
- Citations by year
- 2026: 9 · 2025: 13 · 2024: 30 · 2023: 14 · 2022: 29 · 2021: 14 · 2020: 6 · 2019: 1
- FWCI
- 25.17
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of Conflict Resolution (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Transboundary Water Resource Management
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Middle East Politics and Society
- Keywords
- climate stress, meteorological drought, internal migration, Syrian civil war, civil unrest, protest, internal displacement, nighttime lights, population density, climate extremes, political instability
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
