The DOI matches its Crossref record; 9 of the 9 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Egocentrism as a Source of Unrealistic Optimism
Abstract
People tend to expect misfortunes to happen to others, not to themselves. College students (n = 76) who compared their own chances of experiencing 6 negative events with the chances of their classmates were optimistically biased (p < .001). Treatments were designed to manipulate 2 cognitive. factors-lack of information about others' risk-reducing factors and failure to think carefully about others-that might cause these biases. The Information treatment. forced subjects to think about others by providing detailed information about 5 other students. The Perspective treatment used a role-playing procedure to, force subjects to think about another student, but did not provide actual information. When repeating their comparative risk judgments for the same events, both Information and Perspective groups were significantly less optimistic than a control condition, but they did not differ from one another. The results support the hypothesis that egocentrism contributes to unrealistic optimism. They, suggest that optimistic biases do not result so much from a lack of information about other people as from a failure to think carefully about others' circumstances.
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Cites
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Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
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Unrealistic optimism about future life events
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Self-citationShackle, G. L. S., & Simon, H. A. (1959) · The Economic Journal · doi:10.2307/2228083 · Cited by 3,558
Egocentric biases in availability and attribution.
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Egocentric Biases in Availability and Attribution
Ross, M., & Sicoly, F. (2004) · Social Cognition · doi:10.4324/9780203496398-12 · Cited by 647
A National Study of Health Beliefs
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Cited by
Kruger, J., & Dunning, D. (1999) · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · doi:10.1037/0022-3514.77.6.1121 · Cited by 7,731
Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1983) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.90.4.293 · Cited by 3,991
Representativeness revisited: Attribute substitution in intuitive judgment.
Kahneman, D., & Frederick, S. (2002) · Heuristics and Biases · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511808098.004 · Cited by 3,476
Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives.
Kahneman, D., & Miller, D. T. (1986) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.93.2.136 · Cited by 3,024
Slovic, P., Finucane, M., Peters, E., & MacGregor, D. G. (2002) · Heuristics and Biases · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511808098.025 · Cited by 2,349
Metadata
- Authors
- Weinstein, N. D., & Lachendro, E.
- Venue
- Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 1982-06
- Volume
- 8
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 195-200
- ISSN
- 0146-1672 (ISSN-L)
- 1552-7433
- OpenAlex
- W2117163273
- Cited by
- 309
- References
- 9
- FWCI
- 2.87
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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