The DOI matches its Crossref record; 79 of the 79 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
A Theory of Medical Decision Making and Health: Fuzzy Trace Theory
Open accessAbstract
The tenets of fuzzy trace theory are summarized with respect to their relevance to health and medical decision making. Illustrations are given for HIV prevention, cardiovascular disease, surgical risk, genetic risk, and cancer prevention and control. A core idea of fuzzy trace theory is that people rely on the gist of information, its bottom-line meaning, as opposed to verbatim details in judgment and decision making. This idea explains why precise information (e.g., about risk) is not necessarily effective in encouraging prevention behaviors or in supporting medical decision making. People can get the facts right, and still not derive the proper meaning, which is key to informed decision making. Getting the gist is not sufficient, however. Retrieval (e.g., of health-related values) and processing interference brought on by thinking about nested or overlapping classes (e.g., in ratio concepts, such as probability) are also important. Theory-based interventions that work (and why they work) are presented, ranging from specific techniques aimed at enhancing representation, retrieval, and processing to a comprehensive intervention that integrates these components.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The source backs part of the claim, not all of it — or backs it for a different population, condition or comparison.
In the citing paper
“Social and contextual cues can bias the way adolescents perceive the risk involved in certain behaviors (Reyna 2008, Reyna & Adam 2003, Reyna & Farley 2006).”
From Is Adolescence a Sensitive Period for Sociocultural Processing? (2014) · cites this paper as Reyna 2008
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredIn the citing paper
“Note that until now, all of these training-procedures, which yielded promising results in addiction, did so in adult samples (either students or adults with addiction problems; however, see Reyna, 2008, for training aimed at healthrelated decision-making in adolescents).”
From Addiction, adolescence, and the integration of control and motivation (2011) · cites this paper as Reyna, 2008
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1981) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.7455683 · Cited by 18,497
Cognitive Reflection and Decision Making
Frederick, S. (2005) · Journal of Economic Perspectives · doi:10.1257/089533005775196732 · Cited by 5,256
Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1983) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.90.4.293 · Cited by 3,991
RATIONAL CHOICE AND THE FRAMING OF DECISIONS
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. J. (1988) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511598951.011 · Cited by 3,733
Rational Choice and the Framing of Decisions
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. J. (1986) · The Journal of Business · doi:10.1086/296365 · Cited by 3,638
Gail, M. H., Brinton, L. A., Byar, D. P., Corle, D. K., Green, S. B., Schairer, C., & Mulvihill, J. J. (1989) · JNCI Journal of the National Cancer Institute · doi:10.1093/jnci/81.24.1879 · Cited by 3,334
Frames, Biases, and Rational Decision-Making in the Human Brain
Martino, B. D., Kumaran, D., Seymour, B., & Dolan, R. J. (2006) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1128356 · Cited by 1,687
On the Elicitation of Preferences for Alternative Therapies
McNeil, B. J., Pauker, S. G., Sox, H. C., & Tversky, A. (1982) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejm198205273062103 · Cited by 1,683
Fuzzy-trace theory: An interim synthesis
Reyna, V. F., & Brainerd, C. J. (1995) · Learning and Individual Differences · doi:10.1016/1041-6080(95)90031-4 · Cited by 1,287
Self-citationReyna, V. F., & Farley, F. (2006) · Psychological Science in the Public Interest · doi:10.1111/j.1529-1006.2006.00026.x · Cited by 1,244
Self-citationPeters, E., Västfjäll, D., Slovic, P., Mertz, C. K., Mazzocco, K., & Dickert, S. (2006) · Psychological Science · doi:10.1111/j.1467-9280.2006.01720.x · Cited by 1,180
Psychology and language: An introduction to psycholinguistics
Howlin, P. (1978) · Behaviour Research and Therapy · doi:10.1016/0005-7967(78)90015-3 · Cited by 911
Psychology and language : an introduction to psycholinguistics
Clark, H. H., & Clark, E. V. (1977) · Cited by 828
A Reasoned Action Approach to Health Promotion
Fishbein, M. (2008) · Medical Decision Making · doi:10.1177/0272989x08326092 · Cited by 669
How People Make Decisions That Involve Risk
Reyna, V. F. (2004) · Current Directions in Psychological Science · doi:10.1111/j.0963-7214.2004.00275.x · Cited by 668
Self-citationThe visual communication of risk.
Lipkus, I., & Hollands, J. G. (1999) · Journal of the National Cancer Institute. Monographs · doi:10.1093/oxfordjournals.jncimonographs.a024191 · Cited by 622
Interference and inhibition in cognition
Dempster, F. N. (1995) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-012208930-5/50002-7 · Cited by 577
Design Features of Graphs in Health Risk Communication: A Systematic Review
Ancker, J. S., Senathirajah, Y., Kukafka, R., & Starren, J. B. (2006) · Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association · doi:10.1197/jamia.m2115 · Cited by 550
Numeracy, Ratio Bias, and Denominator Neglect in Judgments of Risk and Probability
Reyna, V. F., & Brainerd, C. J. (2008) · Learning and Individual Differences · doi:10.1016/j.lindif.2007.03.011 · Cited by 481
Self-citationMemory Illusions: Recalling, Recognizing, and Recollecting Events that Never Occurred
Payne, D. G., Elie, C. J., Blackwell, J. M., & Neuschatz, J. S. (1996) · Journal of Memory and Language · doi:10.1006/jmla.1996.0015 · Cited by 456
Krumhansl, C. L. (1978) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.85.5.445 · Cited by 437
Medical Decision Making in Situations That Offer Multiple Alternatives
Redelmeier, D. A. (1995) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.1995.03520280048038 · Cited by 417
Risk-perception: Differences between adolescents and adults.
Cohn, L. D., Macfarlane, S., Yañez, C., Imai, W. K., & al, E. (1995) · Health Psychology · doi:10.1037//0278-6133.14.3.217 · Cited by 377
Decision making in the transtheoretical model of behavior change
Prochaska, J. O. (2008) · Medical Decision Making · doi:10.1177/0272989x08327068 · Cited by 373
Fuzzy‐trace theory and framing effects in choice: Gist extraction, truncation, and conversion
Reyna, V. F., & Brainerd, C. J. (1991) · Journal of Behavioral Decision Making · doi:10.1002/bdm.3960040403 · Cited by 368
Self-citationEmerging Perspectives on Judgment and Decision Research
Schneider, S. L., & Shanteau, J. (2003) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511609978 · Cited by 346
How Diagrams Can Improve Reasoning
Bauer, M. I., & Johnson-Laird, P. N. (1993) · Psychological Science · doi:10.1111/j.1467-9280.1993.tb00584.x · Cited by 337
Clinical Implications of Numeracy: Theory and Practice
Nelson, W., Reyna, V. F., Fagerlin, A., Lipkus, I. M., & Peters, E. M. (2008) · Annals of Behavioral Medicine · doi:10.1007/s12160-008-9037-8 · Cited by 330
Self-citationReyna, V. F., & Brainerd, C. J. (2007) · Learning and Individual Differences · doi:10.1016/j.lindif.2007.03.010 · Cited by 314
Self-citationRisk-perception: Differences between adolescents and adults.
Cohn, L. D., Macfarlane, S., Yañez, C., et al. (1995) · Health Psychology · doi:10.1037/0278-6133.14.3.217 · Cited by 295
Recall Accuracy and Illusory Memories: When More is Less
Toglia, M. P. (1999) · Memory · doi:10.1080/741944069 · Cited by 290
Reyna, V. F., & Lloyd, F. J. (2006) · Journal of Experimental Psychology Applied · doi:10.1037/1076-898x.12.3.179 · Cited by 280
Self-citationKokis, J. V., Macpherson, R., Toplak, M. E., West, R. F., & Stanovich, K. E. (2002) · Journal of Experimental Child Psychology · doi:10.1016/s0022-0965(02)00121-2 · Cited by 274
Fuzzy-Trace Theory and Framing Effects in Children's Risky Decision Making
Reyna, V. F., & Ellis, S. C. (1994) · Psychological Science · doi:10.1111/j.1467-9280.1994.tb00625.x · Cited by 271
Self-citationRisk taking under the influence: A fuzzy-trace theory of emotion in adolescence
Rivers, S. E., Reyna, V. F., & Mills, B. A. (2008) · Developmental Review · doi:10.1016/j.dr.2007.11.002 · Cited by 266
Self-citationStrategy compatibility, scale compatibility, and the prominence effect.
Fischer, G. W., & Hawkins, S. A. (1993) · Journal of Experimental Psychology Human Perception & Performance · doi:10.1037/0096-1523.19.3.580 · Cited by 191
Memory, Development, and Rationality: An Integrative Theory of Judgment and Decision Making
Reyna, V. F., Lloyd, F. J., & Brainerd, C. J. (2003) · Emerging Perspectives on Judgment and Decision Research · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511609978.009 · Cited by 186
Self-citationCurrent theories of risk and rational decision making
Reyna, V. F., & Rivers, S. E. (2008) · Developmental Review · doi:10.1016/j.dr.2008.01.002 · Cited by 185
Self-citationTheories of false memory in children and adults
Reyna, V. F., & Lloyd, F. J. (1997) · Learning and Individual Differences · doi:10.1016/s1041-6080(97)90002-9 · Cited by 181
Self-citationExplaining Contradictory Relations Between Risk Perception and Risk Taking
Mills, B. A., Reyna, V. F., & Estrada, S. M. (2008) · Psychological Science · doi:10.1111/j.1467-9280.2008.02104.x · Cited by 179
Self-citationForeground:background salience: Explaining the effects of graphical displays on risk avoidance
Stone, E. R., Sieck, W. R., Bull, B. E., Yates, J. F., Parks, S. C., & Rush, C. J. (2003) · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · doi:10.1016/s0749-5978(03)00003-7 · Cited by 175
(2007) · American Psychological Association eBooks · doi:10.1037/11587-000 · Cited by 172
Development of Long-Term Retention
(1992) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-1-4612-2868-4 · Cited by 163
The Development of Judgment and Decision Making in Children and Adolescents
(2006) · Psychology Press eBooks · doi:10.4324/9781410613660 · Cited by 163
Understanding what works and what doesn't in reducing adolescent sexual risk-taking.
Bd, K. (2001) · Family Planning Perspectives · doi:10.2307/3030195 · Cited by 158
Fuzzy-Trace Theory and False Memory: New Frontiers
Reyna, V. F., & Brainerd, C. J. (1998) · Journal of Experimental Child Psychology · doi:10.1006/jecp.1998.2472 · Cited by 151
Self-citationThe Role of Risk and Benefit Perception in Informed Consent for Surgery
Lloyd, A. W., Hayes, P. D., Bell, P. R. F., & Naylor, A. R. (2001) · Medical Decision Making · doi:10.1177/0272989x0102100207 · Cited by 150
Risk Communication: Absolute versus Relative Expressions of Low-Probability Risks
Stone, E. R., Yates, J. F., & Parker, A. M. (1994) · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · doi:10.1006/obhd.1994.1091 · Cited by 149
Metaphor: Implications and Applications
(2018) · Psychology Press eBooks · doi:10.4324/9781315789316 · Cited by 143
Fuzzy‐Trace Theory, Risk Communication, and Product Labeling in Sexually Transmitted Diseases
Reyna, V. F., & Adam, M. B. (2003) · Risk Analysis · doi:10.1111/1539-6924.00332 · Cited by 122
Self-citationFuzzy-trace theory: Some foundational issues
Reyna, V. F., & Brainerd, C. J. (1995) · Learning and Individual Differences · doi:10.1016/1041-6080(95)90028-4 · Cited by 118
Self-citationClass inclusion, the conjunction fallacy, and other cognitive illusions
Reyna, V. F. (1991) · Developmental Review · doi:10.1016/0273-2297(91)90017-i · Cited by 118
Self-citationFeldman‐Stewart, D., Brundage, M., & Zotov, V. (2007) · Medical Decision Making · doi:10.1177/0272989x06297101 · Cited by 107
Fuzzy processing in transitivity development
Reyna, V. F., & Brainerd, C. J. (1990) · Annals of Operations Research · doi:10.1007/bf02204838 · Cited by 101
Self-citationDAVIES, G. M., & Logie, R. H. (1993) · Cited by 99
Autosuggestibility in Memory Development
Brainerd, C. J., & Reyna, V. F. (1995) · Cognitive Psychology · doi:10.1006/cogp.1995.1003 · Cited by 93
Self-citationInclusion illusions: Fuzzy-trace theory and perceptual salience effects in cognitive development
Brainerd, C. J., & Reyna, V. F. (1990) · Developmental Review · doi:10.1016/0273-2297(90)90020-5 · Cited by 88
Self-citationInterference effects in memory and reasoning
Reyna, V. F. (1995) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-012208930-5/50003-9 · Cited by 86
Self-citationFagerlin, A., Zikmund‐Fisher, B. J., & Ubel, P. A. (2004) · Patient Education and Counseling · doi:10.1016/j.pec.2004.08.007 · Cited by 78
Facilitating Normative Judgments of Conditional Probability: Frequency or Nested Sets?
Yamagishi, K. (2003) · Experimental Psychology (formerly Zeitschrift für Experimentelle Psychologie) · doi:10.1026//1618-3169.50.2.97 · Cited by 75
Explaining Developmental Reversals in False Memory
Brainerd, C. J., & Reyna, V. F. (2007) · Psychological Science · doi:10.1111/j.1467-9280.2007.01919.x · Cited by 73
Self-citationFalse recognition of associates: How robust is the effect?
Tussing, A. A., & Greene, R. L. (1997) · Psychonomic Bulletin & Review · doi:10.3758/bf03214351 · Cited by 73
Adam, M. B., & Reyna, V. F. (2005) · Journal of Behavioral Decision Making · doi:10.1002/bdm.493 · Cited by 67
Self-citationReasoning, Remembering, and Their Relationship: Social, Cognitive, and Developmental Issues
Reyna, V. F. (1992) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-1-4612-2868-4_3 · Cited by 64
Self-citationWindschitl, P. D., Martin, R., & Flugstad, A. R. (2002) · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · doi:10.1037/0022-3514.82.5.742 · Cited by 63
Genetic Testing and Medical Decision Making
Reyna, V. F. (2001) · Archives of Internal Medicine · doi:10.1001/archinte.161.20.2406 · Cited by 62
Self-citationA web exercise in evidence-based medicine using cognitive theory
Lloyd, F. J., & Reyna, V. F. (2001) · Journal of General Internal Medicine · doi:10.1111/j.1525-1497.2001.00214.x · Cited by 57
Self-citationAid to diagnosis of melanoma in primary medical care
Mar, C. D., & Green, A. C. (1995) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.310.6978.492 · Cited by 55
Interference processes in fuzzy-trace theory: Aging, Alzheimer's disease, and development.
Reyna, V., & Mills, B. (2007) · American Psychological Association eBooks · doi:10.1037/11587-010 · Cited by 47
Self-citationRisky decision making in childhood and adolescence: A fuzzy-trace theory approach
Reyna, V. F., Adam, M. B., Poirier, K. M., LeCray, C. W., & Brainerd, C. J. (2005) · Cited by 45
Self-citationChapter 3 Fuzzy Memory and Mathematics in The Classroom
Reyna, V. F., & Brainerd, C. J. (1993) · Advances in psychology · doi:10.1016/s0166-4115(08)61096-1 · Cited by 44
Self-citationContemplating Single versus Multiple Encounters of a Risky Prospect
Wedell, D. H., & Böckenholt, U. (1994) · The American Journal of Psychology · doi:10.2307/1422997 · Cited by 41
The Importance of Memory in Informed Consent for Surgical Risk
Reyna, V., & Hamilton, A. (2001) · Medical decision making · doi:10.1177/0272989x0102100209 · Cited by 37
Self-citationAccuracy and Ambiguity in Counseling Patients About Genetic Risk
Lloyd, F. J. (2001) · Archives of Internal Medicine · doi:10.1001/archinte.161.20.2411 · Cited by 34
Reyna, V. F., & Mills, B. A. (2007) · Behavioral and Brain Sciences · doi:10.1017/s0140525x07001872 · Cited by 34
Self-citationIzawa, C., & Ohta, N. (2014) · Psychology Press eBooks · doi:10.4324/9781410612717 · Cited by 24
Ford, N. J. (2011) · IGI Global eBooks · doi:10.4018/978-1-59904-741-6.ch002 · Cited by 19
Fuzzy-Trace Theory, Judgment, and Decision-Making: A Dual-Processes Approach
Izawa, C., & Ohta, N. (2014) · Psychology Press eBooks · doi:10.4324/9781410612717-16 · Cited by 14
Meaning, Memory, and the Interpretation of Metaphors
Reyna, V. F. (2018) · Psychology Press eBooks · doi:10.4324/9781315789316-3 · Cited by 6
Self-citation
Research works printed but not linked: 5
- Reyna VF, Brainerd CJ The origins of probability judgment: a review of data and theories . In: Wright G, Ayton P, eds. Subjective Probability. New York : John Wiley; 1994. p 239-72.
- Reyna VF, 1996, Ann Child Dev, 12, 87
- Reyna VF, 2006, J Exp Psychol, 12, 179
- Fischer GW, 1993, J Exp Psychol, 19, 580
- Wolfe CR, 2008, Manuscript under review
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Is Adolescence a Sensitive Period for Sociocultural Processing?
Blakemore, S.-J., & Mills, K. L. (2014) · Annual Review of Psychology · doi:10.1146/annurev-psych-010213-115202 · Cited by 2,264
Increasing Vaccination: Putting Psychological Science Into Action
Brewer, N. T., Chapman, G. B., Rothman, A. J., Leask, J., & Kempe, A. (2017) · Psychological Science in the Public Interest · doi:10.1177/1529100618760521 · Cited by 1,233
How numeracy influences risk comprehension and medical decision making.
Reyna, V. F., Nelson, W. L., Han, P. K. J., & Dieckmann, N. F. (2009) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/a0017327 · Cited by 1,172
Self-citationVarieties of Uncertainty in Health Care
Han, P. K. J., Klein, W. M. P., & Arora, N. K. (2011) · Medical Decision Making · doi:10.1177/0272989x11393976 · Cited by 1,004
Shared Decision Making in ICUs
Kon, A. A., Davidson, J. E., Morrison, W. E., Danis, M., & White, D. B. (2015) · Critical Care Medicine · doi:10.1097/ccm.0000000000001396 · Cited by 574
Metadata
- Authors
- Reyna, V. F.
- Affiliations
- Cornell University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Reyna, Valerie F.
- ORCID
- Reyna, Valerie F.
- Venue
- Medical Decision Making
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2008-11
- Volume
- 28
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 850-865
- ISSN
- 0272-989X (ISSN-L)
- 1552-681X
- PMC
- PMC2617718
- OpenAlex
- W2136995860
- Cited by
- 602
- References
- 79
- Citations by year
- 2026: 19 · 2025: 26 · 2024: 17 · 2023: 26 · 2022: 40 · 2021: 38 · 2020: 43 · 2019: 30 · 2018: 49 · 2017: 46 · 2016: 40 · 2015: 42 · 2014: 38 · 2013: 48 · 2012: 37
- FWCI
- 12.57
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Medical Decision Making (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institute of Mental Health (R01MH061211, MH-061211)
- National Cancer Institute (R13CA126359)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › General Decision Sciences › Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › General Health Professions › Patient-Provider Communication in Healthcare
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Family Practice › Clinical Reasoning and Diagnostic Skills
- Keywords
- fuzzy-trace theory, health behavior, risk perception, HIV prevention, cardiovascular disease, surgical risk, genetic risk, cancer prevention, retrieval, ratio concept, probability judgment, theory-based intervention
- MeSH terms
- Cardiovascular Diseases, Decision Making, Humans, Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice, Models, Psychological, Neoplasms, Risk Factors, Surgical Procedures, Operative, Health Behavior, HIV Infections, Fuzzy Logic, Risk Assessment, Genetic Predisposition to Disease
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review