Memory, Development, and Rationality: An Integrative Theory of Judgment and Decision Making
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The rational-thinking tendencies measured by the heuristics-and-biases tasks are probably multifarious.
“The rational-thinking tendencies measured by these heuristics-and-biases tasks are probably multifarious (Reyna, Lloyd, & Brainerd, 2003;Stanovich, 2009bStanovich, , 2011;;Stanovich, West, & Toplak, 2011).”
From The Cognitive Reflection Test as a predictor of performance on heuristics-and-biases tasks (2011) · cites this paper as Reyna, Lloyd, & Brainerd, 2003
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Reyna, V. F., & Farley, F. (2006) · Psychological Science in the Public Interest · doi:10.1111/j.1529-1006.2006.00026.x · Cited by 1,244 · see citing works
Self-citationHow numeracy influences risk comprehension and medical decision making.
Reyna, V. F., Nelson, W. L., Han, P. K. J., & Dieckmann, N. F. (2009) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/a0017327 · Cited by 1,172 · see citing works
Self-citationThe Cognitive Reflection Test as a predictor of performance on heuristics-and-biases tasks
Toplak, M. E., West, R. F., & Stanovich, K. E. (2011) · Memory & Cognition · doi:10.3758/s13421-011-0104-1 · Cited by 1,047 · see citing works
On the relative independence of thinking biases and cognitive ability
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Mindful Judgment and Decision Making
Weber, E. U., & Johnson, E. J. (2008) · Annual Review of Psychology · doi:10.1146/annurev.psych.60.110707.163633 · Cited by 746 · see citing works
A dual-process approach to health risk decision making: The prototype willingness model
Gerrard, M., Gibbons, F. X., Houlihan, A. E., Stock, M. L., & Pomery, E. A. (2008) · Developmental Review · doi:10.1016/j.dr.2007.10.001 · Cited by 707 · see citing works
How People Make Decisions That Involve Risk
Reyna, V. F. (2004) · Current Directions in Psychological Science · doi:10.1111/j.0963-7214.2004.00275.x · Cited by 639 · see citing works
Self-citationA theory of medical decision making and health: fuzzy trace theory
Reyna, V. F. (2008) · Medical Decision Making · doi:10.1177/0272989x08327066 · Cited by 602 · see citing works
Self-citationNeys, W. D. (2006) · Psychological Science · doi:10.1111/j.1467-9280.2006.01723.x · Cited by 532 · see citing works
Aspects of endowment: A query theory of value construction.
Johnson, E. J., Häubl, G., & Keinan, A. (2007) · Journal of Experimental Psychology Learning Memory and Cognition · doi:10.1037/0278-7393.33.3.461 · Cited by 472 · see citing works
Numeracy, Ratio Bias, and Denominator Neglect in Judgments of Risk and Probability
Reyna, V. F., & Brainerd, C. J. (2008) · Learning and Individual Differences · doi:10.1016/j.lindif.2007.03.011 · Cited by 481 · see citing works
Self-citationWest, R. F., Toplak, M. E., & Stanovich, K. E. (2008) · Journal of Educational Psychology · doi:10.1037/a0012842 · Cited by 416 · see citing works
“The rational thinking tendencies measured by these heuristics and biases tasks are probably multifarious (Parker & Fischhoff, 2005; Reyna et al., 2003; Stanovich 2008a, 2008b; Toplak, Liu, Macpherson, Toneatto, & Stanovich, 2007).”
Base-rate respect: From ecological rationality to dual processes
Barbey, A. K., & Sloman, S. A. (2007) · Behavioral and Brain Sciences · doi:10.1017/s0140525x07001653 · Cited by 409 · see citing works
Neys, W. D. (2012) · Perspectives on Psychological Science · doi:10.1177/1745691611429354 · Cited by 386 · see citing works
Liberali, J. M., Reyna, V. F., Furlan, S., Stein, L. M., & Pardo, S. T. (2011) · Journal of Behavioral Decision Making · doi:10.1002/bdm.752 · Cited by 341 · see citing works
“…intuition, the kind of common wrong answers that people give when answering CRT questions would not be called “intuitive” but rather would be called verbatim, the kind of answer that people give when they lack comprehension or do not think hard enough to answer correctly (e.g., Reyna et al., 2003).”
BackgroundMethodResultInfluentialSelf-citationDual processes in decision making and developmental neuroscience: A fuzzy-trace model
Reyna, V. F., & Brainerd, C. J. (2011) · Developmental Review · doi:10.1016/j.dr.2011.07.004 · Cited by 350 · see citing works
Self-citationA new intuitionism: Meaning, memory, and development in Fuzzy-Trace Theory
Reyna, V. F. (2012) · Judgment and Decision Making · doi:10.1017/s1930297500002291 · Cited by 325 · see citing works
“The three elicited probability judgments were incoherent; the logic of their probabilities just did not make sense (see Reyna et al., 2003, for an overview).”
BackgroundMethodResultInfluentialSelf-citationReyna, V. F., & Lloyd, F. J. (2006) · Journal of Experimental Psychology Applied · doi:10.1037/1076-898x.12.3.179 · Cited by 266 · see citing works
Self-citationExplaining adult age differences in decision‐making competence
de Bruin, W. B., Parker, A. M., & Fischhoff, B. (2010) · Journal of Behavioral Decision Making · doi:10.1002/bdm.712 · Cited by 265 · see citing works
Reyna, V. F., Nelson, W. L., Han, P. K. J., & Pignone, M. P. (2015) · American Psychologist · doi:10.1037/a0036834 · Cited by 254 · see citing works
Self-citationRisk taking under the influence: A fuzzy-trace theory of emotion in adolescence
Rivers, S. E., Reyna, V. F., & Mills, B. A. (2008) · Developmental Review · doi:10.1016/j.dr.2007.11.002 · Cited by 245 · see citing works
“…children, adolescents, and adults have confirmed this prediction (e.g., Reyna, 1996; Reyna & Brainerd, 1991b, 1993; Reyna & Brainerd, 1994, 1995a; Reyna & Ellis, 1994; Reyna et al., 2003) as have studies of real-life decision making (e.g., Mills, Reyna, & Estrada, in press; Reyna & Farley, 2006).”
BackgroundInfluentialSelf-citationDeveloping a tool for measuring the decision-making competence of older adults.
Finucane, M. L., & Gullion, C. M. (2010) · Psychology and Aging · doi:10.1037/a0019106 · Cited by 202 · see citing works
The complexity of developmental predictions from dual process models
Stanovich, K. E., West, R. F., & Toplak, M. E. (2011) · Developmental Review · doi:10.1016/j.dr.2011.07.003 · Cited by 185 · see citing works
Neurobiological and memory models of risky decision making in adolescents versus young adults.
Reyna, V. F., Estrada, S. M., DeMarinis, J. A., Myers, R. M., Stanisz, J. M., & Mills, B. A. (2011) · Journal of Experimental Psychology Learning Memory and Cognition · doi:10.1037/a0023943 · Cited by 183 · see citing works
Self-citationToplak, M. E., West, R. F., & Stanovich, K. E. (2014) · Developmental Psychology · doi:10.1037/a0034910 · Cited by 170 · see citing works
Risky choice framing: Task versions and a comparison of prospect theory and fuzzy‐trace theory
Kühberger, A., & Tanner, C. (2009) · Journal of Behavioral Decision Making · doi:10.1002/bdm.656 · Cited by 164 · see citing works
Risk perception and communication in vaccination decisions: A fuzzy-trace theory approach
Reyna, V. F. (2011) · Vaccine · doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2011.11.070 · Cited by 155 · see citing works
Self-citationOn the failure of cognitive ability to predict myside and one-sided thinking biases
Stanovich, K. E., & West, R. F. (2008) · Thinking & Reasoning · doi:10.1080/13546780701679764 · Cited by 154 · see citing works
Moody experts — How mood and expertise influence judgmental anchoring
Englich, B., & Soder, K. (2009) · Judgment and Decision Making · doi:10.1017/s1930297500000693 · Cited by 144 · see citing works
The Development of Rational Thought: A Taxonomy of Heuristics and Biases
Stanovich, K. E., Toplak, M. E., & West, R. F. (2008) · Advances in child development and behavior · doi:10.1016/s0065-2407(08)00006-2 · Cited by 140 · see citing works
Constructing Preferences From Memory
Weber, E. U., & Johnson, E. J. (2006) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511618031.022 · Cited by 145 · see citing works
“Reyna et al. (2003) suggested for example, that interference can occur between verbatim, gist, and procedural representations.”
Risk as Value: Combining Affect and Analysis in Risk Judgments
Finucane, M. L., & Holup, J. L. (2005) · Journal of Risk Research · doi:10.1080/13669870500166930 · Cited by 128 · see citing works
“For instance, in a study of medical expertise, Reyna et al. (2003) reported that compared with non-expert physicians, expert cardiologists processed fewer dimensions of information and also processed those dimensions in a cruder all-or-none fashion (patients were either at risk or not at risk of an…”
MethodResultFuzzy‐Trace Theory, Risk Communication, and Product Labeling in Sexually Transmitted Diseases
Reyna, V. F., & Adam, M. B. (2003) · Risk Analysis · doi:10.1111/1539-6924.00332 · Cited by 122 · see citing works
Self-citationAssociative Judgment and Vector Space Semantics
Bhatia, S. (2017) · Psychology Review · doi:10.1037/rev0000047 · Cited by 101 · see citing works
“…et al., 2011; Dougherty et al., 1999; Gigerenzer & Gaissmaier, 2011; Gilovich et al., 2002; Hammond & Stewart, 2001; Kahneman & Tversky, 1973; Reyna et al., 2003; Shah & Oppenheimer, 2008; Tversky & Koehler, 1994; see also Weber & 2009 and Hastie, 2001), and has also recently made important…”
BackgroundThe multifold relationship between memory and decision making: An individual-differences study.
Missier, F. D., Mäntylä, T., Hansson, P., de Bruin, W. B., Parker, A. M., & Nilsson, L. (2013) · Journal of Experimental Psychology Learning Memory and Cognition · doi:10.1037/a0032379 · Cited by 115 · see citing works
Klaczynski, P. A. (2001) · Journal of Applied Developmental Psychology · doi:10.1016/s0193-3973(01)00085-5 · Cited by 109 · see citing works
Reyna, V. F., & Mills, B. A. (2014) · Journal of Experimental Psychology General · doi:10.1037/a0036717 · Cited by 107 · see citing works
Self-citationKlaczynski, P. A., & Lavallee, K. L. (2005) · Journal of Experimental Child Psychology · doi:10.1016/j.jecp.2005.05.001 · Cited by 100 · see citing works
Predicting Soccer Matches After Unconscious and Conscious Thought as a Function of Expertise
Dijksterhuis, A., Bos, M. W., van der Leij, A., et al. (2009) · Psychological Science · doi:10.1111/j.1467-9280.2009.02451.x · Cited by 100 · see citing works
“Experts naturally make more gist-based decisions than novices, and, indeed, gistbased choices are generally better than verbatim-based choices (Reyna et al., 2003).”
BackgroundIndividual differences in conflict detection during reasoning
Frey, D., Johnson, E. D. M., & Neys, W. D. (2017) · Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology · doi:10.1080/17470218.2017.1313283 · Cited by 92 · see citing works
Reducing aversion to side effects in preventive medical treatment decisions.
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Klaczynski, P. A. (2004) · Advances in child development and behavior · doi:10.1016/s0065-2407(04)80005-3 · Cited by 84 · see citing works
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Reyna, V., Holliday, R., & Marche, T. (2002) · Developmental Review · doi:10.1016/s0273-2297(02)00003-5 · Cited by 72 · see citing works
Self-citationIntuitive expertise: Theories and empirical evidence
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Neys, W. D., & Gelder, E. V. (2008) · Developmental Science · doi:10.1111/j.1467-7687.2008.00746.x · Cited by 80 · see citing works
Theories of Medical Decision Making and Health: An Evidence-Based Approach
Reyna, V. F. (2008) · Medical Decision Making · doi:10.1177/0272989x08327069 · Cited by 80 · see citing works
Self-citationCorbin, J. C., Reyna, V. F., Weldon, R. B., & Brainerd, C. J. (2015) · Journal of Applied Research in Memory and Cognition · doi:10.1016/j.jarmac.2015.09.001 · Cited by 81 · see citing works
“A uthor M anuscript A uthor M anuscript A uthor M anuscript A uthor M anuscript care--or to discharge them for outpatient follow-up--the lowest level of care (see also Adam & Reyna, 2005; Reyna & Adam, 2003; Reyna et al., 2003).”
BackgroundSelf-citationPsychological foundations of explainability and interpretability in artificial intelligence
Broniatowski, D. A. (2021) · doi:10.6028/nist.ir.8367 · Cited by 76 · see citing works
Brust-Renck, P. G., Royer, C. E., & Reyna, V. F. (2013) · Reviews of Human Factors and Ergonomics · doi:10.1177/1557234x13492980 · Cited by 68 · see citing works
Self-citationAmsel, E. A., Klaczynski, P. A., Johnston, A. T., Bench, S. W., Close, J., Sadler, E., & Walker, R. (2008) · Cognitive Development · doi:10.1016/j.cogdev.2008.09.002 · Cited by 67 · see citing works
Adam, M. B., & Reyna, V. F. (2005) · Journal of Behavioral Decision Making · doi:10.1002/bdm.493 · Cited by 63 · see citing works
Self-citationSemantic coherence and fallacies in estimating joint probabilities
Wolfe, C. R., & Reyna, V. F. (2009) · Journal of Behavioral Decision Making · doi:10.1002/bdm.650 · Cited by 59 · see citing works
Self-citationAsymmetric Discounting in Intertemporal Choice
Weber, E. U., Johnson, E. J., Milch, K. F., Chang, H. H., Brodscholl, J., & Goldstein, D. G. (2007) · Psychological Science · doi:10.1111/j.1467-9280.2007.01932.x · Cited by 381 · see citing works
I'm feeling lucky: The relationship between affect and risk-seeking in the framing effect.
Cheung, E. O., & Mikels, J. A. (2011) · Emotion · doi:10.1037/a0022854 · Cited by 57 · see citing works
A web exercise in evidence-based medicine using cognitive theory
Lloyd, F. J., & Reyna, V. F. (2001) · Journal of General Internal Medicine · doi:10.1111/j.1525-1497.2001.00214.x · Cited by 57 · see citing works
Self-citationInhibitory control and decimal number comparison in school-aged children
Roëll, M., Viarouge, A., Houdé, O., & Borst, G. (2017) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0188276 · Cited by 56 · see citing works
Problem Solving and Decision Making
Hickson, L., & Khemka, I. (2013) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oxfordhb/9780195398786.013.013.0015 · Cited by 70 · see citing works
Reflections of the self: how self‐esteem determines decision framing and increases risk taking
McElroy, T., Seta, J. J., & Waring, D. A. (2006) · Journal of Behavioral Decision Making · doi:10.1002/bdm.551 · Cited by 49 · see citing works
Introduction to the special issue
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Development of heuristic bias detection in elementary school.
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Comprehension and computation in Bayesian problem solving
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“…any of which can serve as the basis for upstream reasoning (e.g., Nesher and Teubal, 1975; van Dijk and Kintsch, 1983; Kintsch and Greeno, 1985; Murray et al., 1993; Graesser et al., 1994; LeBlanc and Weber-Russell, 1996; Vinner, 1997; Reyna et al., 2003; Reyna and Brainerd, 2008; Thompson, 2013).”
BackgroundInterference processes in fuzzy-trace theory: Aging, Alzheimer's disease, and development.
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Self-citationHow representations of number and numeracy predict decision paradoxes: A fuzzy‐trace theory approach
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Self-citationKlaczynski, P. A. (2014) · Frontiers in Psychology · doi:10.3389/fpsyg.2014.00665 · Cited by 33 · see citing works
The extent of patients' understanding of the risk of treatments.
Lloyd, A. J. (2001) · PubMed Central · doi:10.1136/qhc.0100014 · Cited by 152 · see citing works
The Drive for Creativity and the Escape from Creativity: Neurocognitive Mechanisms
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Risk perception, fuzzy representations and comparative optimism
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Constructing Preferences from MemoryPreprint
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A fuzzy trace theory of adolescent risk taking: Beyond self-control and sensation seeking.
Chick, C. F., & Reyna, V. F. (2011) · American Psychological Association eBooks · doi:10.1037/13493-013 · Cited by 31 · see citing works
Self-citationCognitive and social cognitive development: Dual-process research and theory
Klaczynski, P. A. (2009) · doi:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199230167.003.0012 · Cited by 28 · see citing works
How intuition contributes to high performance: An educational perspective
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Chapter 7 Development and Dual Processes in Moral Reasoning: A Fuzzy‐trace Theory Approach
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Effective Ways to Communicate Risk and Benefit
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Development of quantitative reasoning and gender biases.
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An Overview of Judgment and Decision Making Research Through the Lens of Fuzzy Trace Theory
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- Authors
- Reyna, V. F., Lloyd, F. J., & Brainerd, C. J.
- Affiliations
- University of Arizona (US)
- Mayo Clinic (US)
- Venue
- Emerging Perspectives on Judgment and Decision Research
- Publisher
- Cambridge University Press
- Published
- 2003-06-16
- Pages
- 201-245
- OpenAlex
- W1719870044
- Cited by
- 186
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2025: 1 · 2024: 3 · 2023: 4 · 2022: 5 · 2021: 8 · 2020: 3 · 2019: 6 · 2018: 10 · 2017: 8 · 2016: 7 · 2015: 7 · 2014: 12 · 2013: 11 · 2012: 12
- FWCI
- 9.48
- Type
- book chapter
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Cambridge University Press eBooks (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › General Decision Sciences › Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Memory Processes and Influences
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Neural and Behavioral Psychology Studies
- Keywords
- judgment and decision making, memory, cognitive development, rationality, integrative theory, cognitive psychology
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
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