Modelling the effects of glucagon during glucose tolerance testing
Open accessAbstract
Abstract Background Glucose tolerance testing is a tool used to estimate glucose effectiveness and insulin sensitivity in diabetic patients. The importance of such tests has prompted the development and utilisation of mathematical models that describe glucose kinetics as a function of insulin activity. The hormone glucagon, also plays a fundamental role in systemic plasma glucose regulation and is secreted reciprocally to insulin, stimulating catabolic glucose utilisation. However, regulation of glucagon secretion by α-cells is impaired in type-1 and type-2 diabetes through pancreatic islet dysfunction. Despite this, inclusion of glucagon activity when modelling the glucose kinetics during glucose tolerance testing is often overlooked. This study presents two mathematical models of a glucose tolerance test that incorporate glucose-insulin-glucagon dynamics. The first model describes a non-linear relationship between glucagon and glucose, whereas the second model assumes a linear relationship. Results Both models are validated against insulin-modified and glucose infusion intravenous glucose tolerance test (IVGTT) data, as well as insulin infusion data, and are capable of estimating patient glucose effectiveness (sG) and insulin sensitivity (sI). Inclusion of glucagon dynamics proves to provide a more detailed representation of the metabolic portrait, enabling estimation of two new diagnostic parameters: glucagon effectiveness (sE) and glucagon sensitivity (δ). Conclusions The models are used to investigate how different degrees of pax‘tient glucagon sensitivity and effectiveness affect the concentration of blood glucose and plasma glucagon during IVGTT and insulin infusion tests, providing a platform from which the role of glucagon dynamics during a glucose tolerance test may be investigated and predicted.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In Kelly et al., estimation of the parameter based on glucagon and insulin data is not reported.
“In addition, and most importantly, study (30) presents simulations where such parameter was varied in a given interval, whereas the estimation of the parameter based on glucagon and insulin data is not reported, and hence it was not proved that the model may allow estimation of such parameter.”
From Mathematical Model of Glucagon Kinetics for the Assessment of Insulin-Mediated Glucagon Inhibition During an Oral Glucose Tolerance Test (2021) · cites this paper as [30]
The paper does vary p11 in simulations, but it also says the ranges for p6–p11 were chosen using their fitted values from an earlier example (Model comparison and predictions > Comparing the LGMM and NLGMM; page not provided). Methods > Model solutions (page not provided) states that unknown parameters were fitted to experimental data. This is contrary to the claim that estimation of the parameter was not reported. (LLM, conf=0.83)
Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe Kelly et al. model versions include five equations with 11 unknown parameters (nonlinear) and four equations with 10 unknown parameters (linear).
“In addition, both the model versions (based on nonlinear or linear relationships between glucose, glucagon and insulin) are relatively complex and including several parameters (five equations with 11 unknown parameters, and four equations with 10 unknown parameters, for nonlinear and linear model versions, respectively).”
From Mathematical Model of Glucagon Kinetics for the Assessment of Insulin-Mediated Glucagon Inhibition During an Oral Glucose Tolerance Test (2021) · cites this paper as [30]
The Methods > Model solutions passage confirms five equations for the nonlinear model and four for the linear model. It gives 11 and 10 as the maximum numbers of unknown parameters, respectively, not fixed counts as the citing sentence implies. The paper also calls both systems of differential equations nonlinear; “linear” describes the relationships used in the LGMM. (LLM, conf=0.85)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredIn Kelly et al., the parameter similar to SGLUCA(t) is assumed constant.
“However, in study (30) the parameter is assumed constant, thus not considering its possible variations during a test.”
From Mathematical Model of Glucagon Kinetics for the Assessment of Insulin-Mediated Glucagon Inhibition During an Oral Glucose Tolerance Test (2021) · cites this paper as [30]
The Kelly et al. model applies to glucose tolerance tests other than the OGTT, such as the IVGTT.
“However, that model, which is to some extent an extension of the traditional Minimal Model (50), applies to glucose tolerance tests other than the OGTT, such as the IVGTT (consistently with the field of application of the Minimal Model).”
From Mathematical Model of Glucagon Kinetics for the Assessment of Insulin-Mediated Glucagon Inhibition During an Oral Glucose Tolerance Test (2021) · cites this paper as [30]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Wild, S., Roglic, G., Green, A., Sicree, R., & King, H. (2004) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/diacare.27.5.1047 · Cited by 15,297 · see citing works
Zhang, Q., Wang, C., Zheng, M., Li, Y., Li, J., Zhang, L., Shang, X., & Yan, C. (2014) · Cerebrovascular Diseases · doi:10.1159/000369778 · Cited by 11,609 · see citing works
Projections of Global Mortality and Burden of Disease from 2002 to 2030
Mathers, C. D., & Loncar, D. (2006) · PLoS Medicine · doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.0030442 · Cited by 11,386 · see citing works
Insulin signalling and the regulation of glucose and lipid metabolism
Saltiel, A. R., & Kahn, C. R. (2001) · Nature · doi:10.1038/414799a · Cited by 5,326 · see citing works
Quantitative estimation of insulin sensitivity.
Bergman, R. N., Ider, Y. Z., Bowden, C. R., & Cobelli, C. (1979) · American Journal of Physiology-Endocrinology and Metabolism · doi:10.1152/ajpendo.1979.236.6.e667 · Cited by 1,874 · see citing works
Pancreatic regulation of glucose homeostasis.
Röder, P. V., Wu, B., Liu, Y., & Han, W. (2016) · Experimental & Molecular Medicine · doi:10.1038/emm.2016.6 · Cited by 985 · see citing works
Brissova, M., Fowler, M. J., Nicholson, W. E., Chu, A., Hirshberg, B., Harlan, D. M., & Powers, A. C. (2005) · Journal of Histochemistry & Cytochemistry · doi:10.1369/jhc.5c6684.2005 · Cited by 797 · see citing works
Glucagonocentric restructuring of diabetes: A pathophysiologic and therapeutic makeover
Unger, R. H., & Cherrington, A. D. (2012) · Journal of Clinical Investigation · doi:10.1172/jci60016 · Cited by 670 · see citing works
Hypoglycemia and cardiovascular risks
Frier, B. M., Schernthaner, G., & Heller, S. R. (2011) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/dc11-s220 · Cited by 381 · see citing works
Mathematical modelling of the intravenous glucose tolerance test
Gaetano, A. D., & Arino, O. (2000) · Journal of Mathematical Biology · doi:10.1007/s002850050007 · Cited by 379 · see citing works
Makroglou, A., Li, J., & Kuang, Y. (2006) · Applied Numerical Mathematics · doi:10.1016/j.apnum.2005.04.023 · Cited by 367 · see citing works
Coefficients of normal blood glucose regulation
Bolie, V. W. (1961) · Journal of Applied Physiology · doi:10.1152/jappl.1961.16.5.783 · Cited by 349 · see citing works
Minimal Model: Perspective from 2005
Bergman, R. N. (2005) · Hormone Research in Paediatrics · doi:10.1159/000089312 · Cited by 216 · see citing works
Model studies of blood-glucose regulation
Ackerman, E., Gatewood, L. C., Rosevear, J. W., et al. (1965) · Bulletin of Mathematical Biology · doi:10.1007/bf02477259 · Cited by 211 · see citing works
König, M., Bulik, S., & Holzhütter, H.-G. (2012) · PLoS Computational Biology · doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002577 · Cited by 202 · see citing works
Regulation of glucagon secretion by glucose: paracrine, intrinsic or both?
Walker, J. N., Ramracheya, R. D., Zhang, Q., Johnson, P., Braun, M., & Rorsman, P. (2011) · Diabetes Obesity and Metabolism · doi:10.1111/j.1463-1326.2011.01450.x · Cited by 174 · see citing works
Paradoxical Stimulation of Glucagon Secretion by High Glucose Concentrations
Salehi, A., Vieira, E., & Gylfe, E. (2006) · Diabetes · doi:10.2337/db06-0080 · Cited by 159 · see citing works
The impact of mathematical modeling on the understanding of diabetes and related complications
Ajmera, I., Swat, M., Laibe, C., Le Novère, N., & Chelliah, V (2013) · CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology · doi:10.1038/psp.2013.30 · Cited by 153 · see citing works
A critical review of mathematical models and data used in diabetology
Boutayeb, A., & Chetouani, A. (2006) · BioMedical Engineering OnLine · doi:10.1186/1475-925x-5-43 · Cited by 126 · see citing works
Moon, H., Chamberland, J. P., Diakopoulos, K. N., Fiorenza, C. G., Ziemke, F., Schneider, B. E., & Mantzoros, C. S. (2010) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/dc10-0518 · Cited by 85 · see citing works
Bolli, G., De Feo, P., Perriello, G., De Cosmo, S., Compagnucci, P., Santeusanio, F., Brunetti, P., & Unger, R. H. (1984) · Journal of Clinical Investigation · doi:10.1172/jci111315 · Cited by 64 · see citing works
Insulin inhibits glucagon secretion by the activation of PI3-kinase in In-R1-G9 cells
Kaneko, K. B., Shirotani, T., Araki, E., Matsumoto, K., Taguchi, T., Motoshima, H., Yoshizato, K., Kishikawa, H., & Shichiri, M. (1999) · Diabetes Research and Clinical Practice · doi:10.1016/s0168-8227(99)00021-2 · Cited by 57 · see citing works
Herrero, P., Georgiou, P., Oliver, N., Reddy, M., Johnston, D., & Toumazou, C. (2013) · Journal of Diabetes Science and Technology · doi:10.1177/193229681300700416 · Cited by 55 · see citing works
IVGTT glucose minimal model covariate selection by nonlinear mixed-effects approach.
Denti, P., Bertoldo, A., Vicini, P., & Cobelli, C. (2010) · American Journal of Physiology. Endocrinology and Metabolism · doi:10.1152/ajpendo.00656.2009 · Cited by 23 · see citing works
Nittala, A., Ghosh, S., Stefanovski, D., Bergman, R. N., & Wang, X. (2006) · BioMedical Engineering OnLine · doi:10.1186/1475-925x-5-44 · Cited by 21 · see citing works
A Bayesian Approach to Bergman’s Minimal Model
Andersen, K. E., & Højbjerre, M. (2003) · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Kelly, R. A., Leedale, J., Harrell, A., Beard, D. A., Randle, L. E., Chadwick, A. E., & Webb, S. D. (2018) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0207803 · Cited by 14 · see citing works
Self-citationThomaseth, K., Brehm, A., Pavan, A., Pacini, G., & Roden, M. (2014) · American Journal of Physiology-Regulatory, Integrative and Comparative Physiology · doi:10.1152/ajpregu.00314.2013 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Großmann, S., Rietschel, H., Blanchard, P., et al. (1995) · Physikalische Blätter · doi:10.1002/phbl.19950510739 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Morettini, M., Burattini, L., Göbl, C., Pacini, G., Ahrén, B., & Tura, A. (2021) · Frontiers in Endocrinology · doi:10.3389/fendo.2021.611147 · Cited by 27 · see citing works
“org 2 study (30) had purposes more similar to those of our study, but the developed model analyzed glucagon kinetics during an intravenous glucose tolerance test (IVGTT), or an insulininfusion test.”
BackgroundMethodResultInfluential
- Authors
- Kelly, R. A., Fitches, M. J., Webb, S. D., Pop, S. R., & Chidlow, S. J.
- Affiliations
- Liverpool John Moores University (GB)
- University of Dundee (GB)
- University of Chester (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Kelly, Ross A.
- Venue
- Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling
- Published
- 2019-12
- Volume
- 16
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 21-21
- ISSN
- 1742-4682 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC6907263
- OpenAlex
- W2995160435
- Cited by
- 11
- References
- 29
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2024: 3 · 2023: 3 · 2022: 1 · 2021: 3
- FWCI
- 0.96
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Discovery Research Portal (University of Dundee) (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- Liverpool John Moores University (acceptedVersion)
- ChesterRep (University of Chester) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- ChesterRep (University of Chester) (submittedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BB/L502273/2)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Pancreatic function and diabetes
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes Management and Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins
- Keywords
- glucagon, glucose tolerance test, glucose kinetics, insulin sensitivity, glucose effectiveness, glucagon sensitivity, mathematical modeling, intravenous glucose tolerance test, insulin infusion, type 1 diabetes, type 2 diabetes, pancreatic islet dysfunction
- MeSH terms
- Blood Glucose, Computer Simulation, Glucagon, Glucose Tolerance Test, Humans, Hypoglycemia, Insulin Resistance, Models, Biological, Reproducibility of Results, Linear Models
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review