Seven Year Prognosis in Depression: Mortality and Readmission Risk in the Nottingham ECT Cohort
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The longer term prognosis of depressed patients treated with ECT is relatively unknown. We describe seven-year mortality and readmission risks for the Nottingham ECT series. METHOD: Cases were defined and subtyped using the Present State Examination (PSE). Follow-up was naturalistic. Death and readmission were ascertained using the Nottingham case register. RESULTS: The risk of death was doubled (SMR = 1.99, 95% CI = 1.34-2.84, P < 0.001). The seven-year cumulative probability of remaining without readmission was 0.27 (95% CI 0.19-0.35), being 0.79 (0.71-0.87) at 16 weeks (relapse) and 0.34 (0.24-0.44) thereafter (recurrence readmissions). Multiple regression analysis showed that delusions predicted relapse, while endogenous subtype, absence of psychomotor retardation, and previous history predicted recurrence readmissions. CONCLUSION: Index ECT treatment predicted high longer-term mortality and readmission risks. PSE/CATEGO-based subtyping identified patients most vulnerable to relapse and recurrence.
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Some articles establish a difference between the terms 'relapse' and 'recurrence'.
“Some of them establish a difference between the terms “relapse” and “recurrence” (4, 28).”
From Administrative criteria in the relapse of depressive disorder: a critical appraisal (2026) · cites this paper as [28]
Some authors equate relapse with rehospitalization, treating readmission rates as equivalent to relapse rates, while others report these outcomes separately.
“Although some authors equate relapse with rehospitalization—treating readmission rates as equivalent to relapse rates (20, 28)—others report these outcomes separately.”
From Administrative criteria in the relapse of depressive disorder: a critical appraisal (2026) · cites this paper as [28]
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McQueen, D. (2009) · Psychoanalytic Psychotherapy · doi:10.1080/02668730903226463 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
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Subgenual Cingulate Deep Brain Stimulation for Treatment-Resistant Depression
Bezchlibnyk, Y. B., Cheng, J. J., Bijanki, K. R., Mayberg, H. S., & Gross, R. E. (2018) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-805353-9.00091-7 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Kim, J., Stewart, R. J., Kang, H., Kim, J., Lee, J., Ms, J., Lee, J.-Y., Kim, S., & Shin, I. (2021) · Journal of Affective Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.jad.2021.06.015 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Risk factors and prevention of recurrent dynamics of depression
Veltishchev, D. Y., Kovalevskaya, O. B., & Seravina, O. (2017) · S S Korsakov Journal of Neurology and Psychiatry · doi:10.17116/jnevro201711761120-125 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Swedish society and Stockholm: the cohort and its context
Hodgins, S., & Janson, C.-G. (2001) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511489280.005 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Original Article Excess Mortality in Bipolar and Unipolar Disorder in Sweden
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Explanations of the criminality of the mentally ill
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“Although some authors equate relapse with rehospitalization — treating readmission rates as equivalent to relapse rates (20, 28) — others report these outcomes separately.”
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Indikationsabhängige Durchführung und Bewertung der Elektrokonvulsionstherapie
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'Elektrokonvulsiv behandling ved alvorlig depresjon: I konflikt med den hippokratiske eden?'
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(2019) · American Psychiatric Association Publishing eBooks · doi:10.1176/appi.books.9781615379422.bm01
Chapter 9. Cognitive Effects of ECT
(2019) · American Psychiatric Association Publishing eBooks · doi:10.1176/appi.books.9781615379422.lg09
Chapter 4. The Pre-ECT Medical Workup
(2019) · American Psychiatric Association Publishing eBooks · doi:10.1176/appi.books.9781615379422.lg04
Chapter 2. Patient Selection for ECT
(2019) · American Psychiatric Association Publishing eBooks · doi:10.1176/appi.books.9781615379422.lg02
Chapter 3. Patient Education and Informed Consent for ECT
(2019) · American Psychiatric Association Publishing eBooks · doi:10.1176/appi.books.9781615379422.lg03
Chapter 1. Introduction to ECT
(2019) · American Psychiatric Association Publishing eBooks · doi:10.1176/appi.books.9781615379422.lg01
Chapter 10. ECT Versus Other Neuropsychiatric Treatments
(2019) · American Psychiatric Association Publishing eBooks · doi:10.1176/appi.books.9781615379422.lg10
Chapter 6. ECT Technique, Part I: Managing the Individual Treatment
(2019) · American Psychiatric Association Publishing eBooks · doi:10.1176/appi.books.9781615379422.lg06
(2019) · American Psychiatric Association Publishing eBooks · doi:10.1176/appi.books.9781615379422.index
(2019) · American Psychiatric Association Publishing eBooks · doi:10.1176/appi.books.9781615379422.lg05
Chapter 8. Preventing Relapse After ECT: Maintenance ECT and Pharmacotherapy
(2019) · American Psychiatric Association Publishing eBooks · doi:10.1176/appi.books.9781615379422.lg08
Chapter 7. ECT Technique, Part II: Managing the Course of Treatments
(2019) · American Psychiatric Association Publishing eBooks · doi:10.1176/appi.books.9781615379422.lg07
(2019) · American Psychiatric Association Publishing eBooks · doi:10.1176/appi.books.9781615379422.fm01
- Authors
- O'Leary, D. A., & Lee, A. S.
- Affiliations
- Queen's Medical Centre (GB)
- Venue
- British Journal of Psychiatry
- Publisher
- Royal College of Psychiatrists
- Published
- 1996-10
- Volume
- 169
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 423-429
- ISSN
- 0007-1250 (ISSN-L)
- 1472-1465
- OpenAlex
- W2007531634
- Cited by
- 92
- References
- 59
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2021: 1 · 2019: 17 · 2018: 2 · 2017: 1 · 2016: 2 · 2015: 2 · 2014: 1 · 2013: 3 · 2012: 6
- FWCI
- 1.94
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- The British Journal of Psychiatry (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Psychiatry and Mental health › Electroconvulsive Therapy Studies
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pharmacology › Treatment of Major Depression
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Neurology › Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation Studies
- Keywords
- electroconvulsive therapy, depression, long-term prognosis, mortality, hospital readmission, relapse, recurrence, delusions, endogenous depression, psychomotor retardation, Present State Examination
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Depressive Disorder, Electroconvulsive Therapy, England, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Patient Readmission, Prognosis, Recurrence, Risk, Cohort Studies, Survival Analysis, Treatment Outcome
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