The DOI matches its Crossref record; 58 of the 60 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Narrative Economics
Abstract
This address considers the epidemiology of narratives relevant to economic fluctuations. The human brain has always been highly tuned toward narratives, whether factual or not, to justify ongoing actions, even such basic actions as spending and investing. Stories motivate and connect activities to deeply felt values and needs. Narratives “go viral” and spread far, even worldwide, with economic impact. The 1920–1921 Depression, the Great Depression of the 1930s, the so-called Great Recession of 2007–2009, and the contentious political-economic situation of today are considered as the results of the popular narratives of their respective times. Though these narratives are deeply human phenomena that are difficult to study in a scientific manner, quantitative analysis may help us gain a better understanding of these epidemics in the future. (JEL D72, E32, G01, N10)
Overview
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“Social scientists and psychologists have long emphasized the role that stories play in collective action—driving the formation and dynamics of nations (Tilly, 2002), religions (Dunbar, 2022), hunter-gatherer communities (D. Smith et al., 2017; Sugiyama, 2001), organizations (Boje, 2008), cultural groups (Michalopoulos & Xue, 2021), and even financial markets (Shiller, 2017).”
From Stories in Action. (2022) · cites this paper as Shiller, 2017
Citations
Cites
Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1993) · Journal of Financial Economics · doi:10.1016/0304-405x(93)90023-5 · Cited by 25,754
Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty*
Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., & Davis, S. J. (2016) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.1093/qje/qjw024 · Cited by 12,458
A Simple Model of Herd Behavior
Banerjee, A. V. (1992) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.2307/2118364 · Cited by 6,556
Loewenstein, G. F., Weber, E. U., Hsee, C. K., & Welch, N. (2001) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037//0033-2909.127.2.267 · Cited by 6,500
On the psychology of prediction.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1973) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/h0034747 · Cited by 6,202
Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets
Long, J. B. D., Shleifer, A., Summers, L. H., & WALDMANN, R. J. (1990) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/261703 · Cited by 6,202
Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations
Kydland, F., & Prescott, E. (1982) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1913386 · Cited by 6,093
Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. W. (1997) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1997.tb03807.x · Cited by 5,291
Oil and the Macroeconomy since World War II
Hamilton, J. D. (1983) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/261140 · Cited by 3,824
An Exact Consumption-Loan Model of Interest with or without the Social Contrivance of Money
Samuelson, P. A. (1958) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/258100 · Cited by 3,587
Flagged first, then by citations
2 of the 60 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.
Research works printed but not linked: 17
- 10.1086/261849 · DOI
- Eichengreen Barry, 1996, The Gold Standard and the Great Depression, 1919
- Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, 1984, A History of the FDIC, 1933
- 10.1162/qjec.2005.120.1.45 · DOI
- Higgs Robert, 1997, Independent Review, 1, 561
- Jackson Matthew O, 2005, Economie Publique, 16, 69
- Kennedy David M, 2001, The American People, Depression and War, 1929
- Kermack W. O., 1927, Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series A, Containing Papers of a Mathematical and Physical Character, 115, 701
- Laffer Arthur, 2004, Backgrounder, 1765, 1
- 10.1037/0033-2909.127.2.267 · DOI · Paper page
- Myrdal Gunnar, 1974, Center Magazine., 26
- Roll Richard, 1988, American Economic Review, 74, 861
- Shapiro Matthew D, 2016, National Bureau of Economic Research Reporter, 2, 11
- Shiller Robert J, 1981, American Economic Review, 71, 421
- Shiller Robert J, 1995, American Economic Review, 85, 181
- Wanniski Jude, 1978, Public Interest, 50, 3
- 10.2307/3685505 · DOI
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Items 301–400 of 1,000
Justman, M. (2018) · European Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2018.04.005 · Cited by 5
Investor bias, risk and price volatility
Polat, A. Y. (2022) · Journal of Economic Studies · doi:10.1108/jes-04-2022-0211 · Cited by 5
Holmberg, U. (2023) · Journal of Economic Studies · doi:10.1108/jes-11-2023-0663 · Cited by 5
Bodaghi, A., & Zhu, J. J. H. (2024) · Multimedia Tools and Applications · doi:10.1007/s11042-024-20274-z · Cited by 5
Narratives as macroeconomic signals: Shaping expectations, confidence, and collective action
Christodoulou-Volos, C. N. (2025) · Edelweiss Applied Science and Technology · doi:10.55214/2576-8484.v9i9.10237 · Cited by 5
Five Steps Towards Avoiding Narrative Traps in Decision-Making
Dolan, P., & Henwood, A. (2021) · Frontiers in Psychology · doi:10.3389/fpsyg.2021.694032 · Cited by 6
Stander, Y. S. (2023) · Journal of Economic and Financial Sciences · doi:10.4102/jef.v16i1.794 · Cited by 5
Paba, S., & Solinas, G. (2018) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-77329-2_4 · Cited by 5
Asokan, V. A., Yarime, M., & Onuki, M. (2019) · Ecological Economics · doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.02.022 · Cited by 6
Methodology of the narrative analysis in economics: The case of the entrepreneurial networks
Tambovtsev, V., Валерьевна, Б. Е., Valitova, L. A., Junzhi, D., Ситкевич, Д. А., & TURABAEVA, A. M. (2023) · Voprosy Ekonomiki · doi:10.32609/0042-8736-2023-7-81-99 · Cited by 5
Effects of the central bank’s communications in Colombia : a content analysis
Arango-Thomas, L. E., Pantoja, J. O., & Velásquez, C. A. (2017) · doi:10.32468/be.1024 · Cited by 5
Livestreaming Pollution: A New Form of Public Disclosure and a Catalyst for Citizen Engagement?
Huet-Vaughn, E., Muller, N. Z., & Hsu, Y.-C. (2018) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w24664 · Cited by 5
The Power Behind the Pen: Institutional Investors’ Influence on Media during Corporate LitigationPreprint
He, J., Xia, H., Zhao, Y., & Zuo, L. (2020) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3584740 · Cited by 5
This Time Is Different: On Similarity and Risk Taking After Experienced Gains and LossesPreprint
Heinke, S., Leuenberger, A., & Rieskamp, J. (2020) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3691829 · Cited by 5
Frydman, R., Johansen, S., Rahbek, A., & Tabor, M. N. (2017) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.2995130 · Cited by 5
The Knowledge Graph for Macroeconomic Analysis with Alternative Big DataPreprint
Yang, Y., Pang, Y., Huang, G., & Weinan, E. (2020) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3707964 · Cited by 5
Predicting Market Inflation Expectations with News Topics and SentimentPreprint
Tilly, S., & Livan, G. (2022) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4094332 · Cited by 5
Stock Price Crash Risk and the Managerial Rhetoric Channel: Evidence from Narrative R&D DisclosurePreprint
Andreou, P. C., Lambertides, N., & Magidou, M. (2021) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3891736 · Cited by 5
Social Learning and Sentiment Contagion in the Bitcoin MarketPreprint
Han, B., Liu, H., & Sui, P. (2023) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4543326 · Cited by 5
Choosing between Causal Interpretations: An Experimental StudyPreprint
Ambuehl, S., & Thysen, H. C. (2024) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4827094 · Cited by 5
Winemaking in Southern Russia: Barriers to development and positioning strategies
Klimenko, L. V., & Krivosheeva-Medyantseva, D. D. (2024) · Upravlenets · doi:10.29141/2218-5003-2024-15-1-7 · Cited by 4
Does Fed communication affect uncertainty and risk aversion?
Chau, F., Deesomsak, R., & Shaikh, R. (2024) · Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting · doi:10.1007/s11156-024-01318-9 · Cited by 4
Green bubbles: A four-stage paradigm for detection and propagation
Vriz, G. L., & Grossi, L. (2025) · Energy Economics · doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2025.109095 · Cited by 4
Rösch, J., & Rauch, M.-J. (2025) · Journal of Cultural Economics · doi:10.1007/s10824-025-09532-6 · Cited by 4
Reappraising consumption nudging—on liberty in the age of climate catastrophe
Braganza, O., & Kapeller, J. (2025) · Humanities and Social Sciences Communications · doi:10.1057/s41599-024-04246-0 · Cited by 5
The Surprisingly Robust Effects of Narratives in Supplier Negotiations
Ried, L., Kaufmann, L., & Schreiner, M. (2025) · Journal of Supply Chain Management · doi:10.1111/jscm.12343 · Cited by 4
Zhang, Y.-T., Sun, Y.-X., & Wang, C.-J. (2025) · Journal of Broadcasting & Electronic Media · doi:10.1080/08838151.2025.2484347 · Cited by 3
Ghazouani, I., Ghazouani, I., & Omri, A. (2025) · Blockchain Research and Applications · doi:10.1016/j.bcra.2025.100375 · Cited by 5
Biodiversity Scores and Corporate Profitability
Chen, Z., Gao, X., Koedijk, K. C. G., & Qian, W. (2025) · International Journal of Finance & Economics · doi:10.1002/ijfe.70086 · Cited by 4
Forward-Looking Management Discussions and Analysis Disclosure and Merger and Acquisition Outcomes
Chen, X., Shi, H., Zhou, Y. X., & Zhu, X. K. (2025) · Journal of Accounting Auditing & Finance · doi:10.1177/0148558x251390620 · Cited by 4
Prospects of development of the Russian innovative system through the prism of qualitative methods
Volchik, V., Владимировна, Ф. Е., & Maskaev, A. I. (2021) · Актуальные проблемы экономики и права · doi:10.21202/2782-2923.2021.4.641-660 · Cited by 4
Frey, B. S. (2022) · Homo Oeconomicus · doi:10.1007/s41412-022-00123-w · Cited by 4
Vélekedések az inflációról : Megalapozatlan feltételezések és megdönthetetlen elméletek
Ábel, I., & Nagy, G. (2022) · Külgazdaság · doi:10.47630/kulg.2022.66.9-10.44 · Cited by 5
Social Media and Real Estate: Do Twitter Users Predict REIT Performance?
Paulus, N. M., Lautenschlaeger, L., & Schaefers, W. (2024) · Journal of Real Estate Research · doi:10.1080/08965803.2024.2340915 · Cited by 4
Das, P. K., & Das, P. K. (2024) · International Journal of Economics and Finance · doi:10.5539/ijef.v16n6p92 · Cited by 4
Stock return predictability using economic narrative: Evidence from energy sectors
Ma, T., Li, G., & Zhang, H. (2024) · Journal of commodity markets · doi:10.1016/j.jcomm.2024.100418 · Cited by 5
The Times Have Changed: Tracking the Evolution of Gender Norms Over Time
Kühn, A. (2022) · Research in labor economics · doi:10.1108/s0147-91212024000052b027 · Cited by 4
The German Inflation Trauma: Weimar’s Policy Lessons Between Persistence and Reconstruction
Barkhausen, D., & Teupe, S. (2024) · Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik · doi:10.1515/jbnst-2023-0045 · Cited by 4
Listening to the Market: Music sentiment and cryptocurrency returns
Hadhri, S., Younus, M., Naeem, M. A., & Yarovaya, L. (2025) · Journal of International Money and Finance · doi:10.1016/j.jimonfin.2025.103394 · Cited by 4
The architecture of partisan debates: The online controversy on the no-deal Brexit
Santagiustina, C. R. M. A., & Warglien, M. (2022) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0270236 · Cited by 4
Folk-economic beliefs as “evidential fiction”: Putting the economic public discourse back on track
Acerbi, A., & Sacco, P. L. (2018) · Behavioral and Brain Sciences · doi:10.1017/s0140525x18000250 · Cited by 4
Under Risk, Over Time, Regarding Other People: Language and Rationality within Three Dimensions
Jullien, D., & Vallois, N. (2018) · Emerald Group Publishing Limited eBooks · doi:10.1108/s0743-41542018000036c007 · Cited by 5
Kölling, A. (2019) · Labour · doi:10.1111/labr.12163 · Cited by 4
The Power of Narratives in Economic Forecasts
Sharpe, S. A., Sinha, N. R., & Hollrah, C. A. (2020) · Finance and Economics Discussion Series · doi:10.17016/feds.2020.001 · Cited by 4
Digital humanities and the digital economy
Chen, S. (2020) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-820543-3.00018-3 · Cited by 4
Choosing the Narrative: the Shadow Banking Crisis in Light of Covid
Miller, M. H. (2021) · Open Economies Review · doi:10.1007/s11079-020-09614-2 · Cited by 4
Smart Alpha: active management with unstable and latent factors
Boucher, C., Jasinski, A., Kouontchou, P., & Tokpavi, S. (2021) · Quantitative Finance · doi:10.1080/14697688.2020.1868558 · Cited by 4
Donald Duck: a narrative that embeds behavioral finance?
Kleine, J., Peschke, T., & Wuschick, A. (2022) · Studies in Economics and Finance · doi:10.1108/sef-12-2021-0521 · Cited by 4
In praise of the persona economica: listening to plants for a new economic paradigm
Rotondi, V., Bruni, L., Crivelli, L., Mancuso, S., & Santori, P. (2022) · Humanities and Social Sciences Communications · doi:10.1057/s41599-022-01307-0
Tea for Two: Language and Bilateral Trade with China
Tubadji, A., & Webber, D. J. (2023) · Journal of Economic Issues · doi:10.1080/00213624.2023.2154541 · Cited by 4
A Case for Economemetics? Why Evolutionary Economists Should Re-evaluate the (F)utility of Memetics
Schlaile, M. P. (2020) · Economic complexity and evolution · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-59955-3_3 · Cited by 4
Wpływ pandemii COVID-19 na główne indeksy giełdowe na świecie
Jaworski, P. (2021) · Zarządzanie Mediami · doi:10.4467/23540214zm.21.010.13057 · Cited by 4
Küsters, A. (2019) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3377993 · Cited by 4
Toward a Cognitive Science of Markets: Economic Agents As Sense-MakersPreprint
Johnson, S. G. B. (2018) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3250031 · Cited by 4
Causal NarrativesPreprint
Charles, C., & Kendall, C. (2023) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4669371 · Cited by 4
Choosing Between Causal Interpretations: An Experimental StudyPreprint
Ambuehl, S., & Thysen, H. C. (2024) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4839111 · Cited by 4
The Extractive Sector as a Lever for Productive Transformation
Andrián, L. G., Balza, L. H., Chávez, A., Díaz, L. M., M., O. E. M., & Valdivia, D. (2023) · Inter-American Development Bank eBooks · doi:10.18235/0005125 · Cited by 3
‘Whose Story is it?’: Co-production and Psychological Ownership of Narrative Reports
DeMott, K., & Messner, M. (2023) · European Accounting Review · doi:10.1080/09638180.2023.2273968 · Cited by 4
Novotný, J., & Hájek, P. (2025) · Finance research letters · doi:10.1016/j.frl.2025.108486 · Cited by 3
From the Narratives We Create to the Lies We Tell: Disabling Some Myths of Inequality
Iazdi, O. S. C., de Azevedo, L. F., & Castelli, J. R. (2025) · Journal of Economic Issues · doi:10.1080/00213624.2025.2575147 · Cited by 3
Connecting the dots: how social networks shape macroeconomic expectations
Kothe, R. (2026) · Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination · doi:10.1007/s11403-025-00472-0 · Cited by 3
Seeking Rationality: $500 Bills and Perceptual Obviousness
Felin, T., & Felin, M. (2019) · Routledge eBooks · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3367769 · Cited by 3
Increasing Return and Russian Innovation System
Volchik, V. (2022) · Science management theory and practice · doi:10.19181/smtp.2022.4.4.6 · Cited by 3
Investor beliefs about transformative innovations under uncertainty
Binswanger, J., Garbely, A., & Oechslin, M. (2023) · Economica · doi:10.1111/ecca.12488 · Cited by 3
Digital Methods in Economic History: The Case of Computational Text Analysis
Wehrheim, L. (2024) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-35583-7_118 · Cited by 3
Eads, A. (2024) · Sociological Quarterly · doi:10.1080/00380253.2024.2409726 · Cited by 3
Gao, X. (2025) · Journal of Transition Economics and Finance · doi:10.1142/s3082844925300017 · Cited by 3
Anwar, M., Sinnewe, E., & Quayle, A. (2025) · Accounting and Finance · doi:10.1111/acfi.70059 · Cited by 3
A simple higher-order rational email-game bubble model
Liu, F. (2026) · Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control · doi:10.1016/j.jedc.2026.105284 · Cited by 3
Optimal policy under uncertainty and rational inattention
Herzog, B. (2019) · Research in International Business and Finance · doi:10.1016/j.ribaf.2019.07.002 · Cited by 3
Rauscher, N., & Schäfer, M. (2021) · Zeitschrift für Politikwissenschaft · doi:10.1007/s41358-021-00275-2 · Cited by 3
Hirsch, P., Feld, L. P., Köhler, E. A., & Thomas, T. (2024) · European Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2024.102511 · Cited by 3
Driving Social Sustainability Through Storytelling
Rašković, M. M., & Nagar, S. (2024) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-50168-5_12 · Cited by 3
Bokhari, A., & Cliff, D. (2024) · Lecture notes in computer science · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-55326-4_19 · Cited by 3
What Do Labour Economics and Industrial Relations Have to Say to Each Other?
Gunderson, M. (2023) · Relations industrielles · doi:10.7202/1111500ar · Cited by 3
Cultural assimilation and segregation in heterogeneous societies
Russo, F. F. (2024) · Journal of Population Economics · doi:10.1007/s00148-024-01038-3 · Cited by 3
News sentiment and housing market dynamics: Evidence from wavelet analysis
Shao, J., Hong, J., & Wang, X. (2025) · Habitat International · doi:10.1016/j.habitatint.2025.103441 · Cited by 3
“Sound Finances”: Strategy or Soundbite
McMahon, M. F. (2017) · National Institute Economic Review · doi:10.1177/002795011724100111 · Cited by 3
Rational populists: the social consequences of shared narratives
Antoci, A., Ferilli, G., Russu, P., & Sacco, P. L. (2020) · Journal of Evolutionary Economics · doi:10.1007/s00191-019-00659-2 · Cited by 3
How Market Sentiment Drives Forecasts of Stock Returns
Frydman, R., & Mangee, N. (2020) · doi:10.36687/inetwp115 · Cited by 3
Keynesian Metageography and Its Afterlives
Biltoft, C. N. (2021) · Critical Historical Studies · doi:10.1086/713521 · Cited by 3
The role of narrative style in a peer-to-peer lending market: an empirical investigation
Zhang, X., Li, Y., Zhang, W., & Xing, J. (2021) · Asia-Pacific Journal of Accounting & Economics · doi:10.1080/16081625.2021.1934707 · Cited by 3
Costa-Font, J., Turati, G., & Batinti, A. (2020) · The Political Economy of Health and Healthcare · doi:10.1017/9781108653015.008 · Cited by 1
Адельфинский, А. С. (2021) · Terra Economicus · doi:10.18522/2073-6606-2021-19-3-105-120 · Cited by 3
Narrative Economics and Qualitative Studies of the Russian Innovation System
Volchik, V., & Maskaev, A. I. (2021) · Zhurnal Economicheskoj Teorii · doi:10.31063/2073-6517/2021.18-4.7 · Cited by 3
La sociología económica y fiscal de los impuestos: perspectivas y hallazgos para Chile
Atria, J. (2022) · Estudios Públicos · doi:10.38178/07183089/0003210505 · Cited by 4
Elite Quality Report 2020. 32 Country Scores and Global Rank
Klett, T. C. I., & Cozzi, G. (2020) · doi:10.33058/seismo.30750 · Cited by 3
Social cognitive processes explain bias in juror decisions
Castrellon, J. J., Hakimi, S., Parelman, J. M., Yin, L., Law, J. R., Skene, J. H. P., Ball, D. A., Malekpour, A., Beskind, D. H., Vidmar, N. J., et al. (2022) · Social Cognitive and Affective Neuroscience · doi:10.1093/scan/nsac057 · Cited by 4
Gagnon, C., & Boulanger, P.-P. (2023) · Perspectives · doi:10.1080/0907676x.2023.2179930 · Cited by 3
The American spirit: The performativity of folk economics in global financial markets
Tarım, E., Gozluklu, A. E., & Muradoğlu, Y. G. (2023) · Environment and Planning A Economy and Space · doi:10.1177/0308518x231169738 · Cited by 3
Information spillover and cross-predictability of currency returns: An analysis via Machine Learning
Jia, Y., Liu, Y., Wu, Y., & Yan, S. (2024) · Journal of Banking & Finance · doi:10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107313 · Cited by 3
Comportements (non) éthiques et stratégies morales
Villeval, M. C. (2019) · Revue économique · doi:10.3917/reco.706.1021 · Cited by 3
Spectral analysis and the death of value investing
Bezuidenhout, J.-M., & Vuuren, G. W. V. (2021) · Cogent Economics & Finance · doi:10.1080/23322039.2021.1988380 · Cited by 3
Testing Investment Forecast Efficiency with Forecasting Narratives
Foltas, A. (2022) · Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik · doi:10.1515/jbnst-2020-0027 · Cited by 3
Kussin, M., & Berstermann, J. (2022) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-658-36341-3_5 · Cited by 3
Forbes, W. P. (2023) · Qualitative Research in Financial Markets · doi:10.1108/qrfm-02-2023-234 · Cited by 3
State Innovation Policy and Narrative Economics
Volchik, V., & Shiriaev, I. M. (2023) · Science management theory and practice · doi:10.19181/smtp.2023.5.4.6 · Cited by 3
Hiring leaders: Inference and disagreement about the best person for the job
Giannakas, K., Fulton, M., & Awada, T. N. (2017) · Humanities and Social Sciences Communications · doi:10.1057/s41599-017-0019-y · Cited by 3
How Slogans Curate Public Opinion: Hard Lessons from Lakoff and the Linguists
Irvin, R. A. (2019) · Public Integrity · doi:10.1080/10999922.2018.1544022 · Cited by 3
Informationspopulismus in der liberalen Demokratie
Herzog, B. (2020) · Staat - Souveränität - Nation · doi:10.1007/978-3-658-30076-0_3 · Cited by 3
Metadata
- Authors
- Shiller, R. J.
- Affiliations
- Yale University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Shiller, Robert J.
- ORCID
- Shiller, Robert J.
- Venue
- American Economic Review
- Publisher
- American Economic Association
- Published
- 2017-04-01
- Volume
- 107
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 967-1004
- ISSN
- 0002-8282 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W4233731957
- Cited by
- 1,004
- References
- 60
- Citations by year
- 2026: 185 · 2025: 148 · 2024: 112 · 2023: 118 · 2022: 110 · 2021: 140 · 2020: 84 · 2019: 51 · 2018: 35 · 2017: 18
- FWCI
- 120.79
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- American Economic Review (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › General Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Economic theories and models
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › General Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economic Theory and Policy
- Keywords
- narrative economics, economic narratives, business cycles, Great Depression, Great Recession, behavioral economics, economic psychology, political economy
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review