The DOI matches its Crossref record; 46 of the 47 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The European Trust Crisis and the Rise of Populism
Open accessAbstract
We study the implications of the Great Recession for voting for antiestablishment parties, as well as for general trust and political attitudes, using regional data across Europe. We find a strong relationship between increases in unemployment and voting for nonmainstream parties, especially populist ones. Moreover, unemployment increases in tandem with declining trust toward national and European political institutions, though we find only weak or no effects of unemployment on interpersonal trust. The correlation between unemployment and attitudes toward immigrants is muted, especially for their cultural impact. To explore causality, we extract the component of increases in unemployment explained by the precrisis structure of the economy, in particular the share of construction in regional value added, which is strongly related both to the buildup preceding and the bursting of the crisis. Our results imply that crisis-driven economic insecurity is a substantial determinant of populism and political distrust.
Overview
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“Today, French and German regions more exposed to trade with low-wage countries have seen larger increases in vote shares for the far right (Dippel et al. 2017; Malgouyres 2017), British regions more exposed to trade with China voted more strongly in favor of Brexit (Colantone and Stanig 2018a), and EU regions more exposed to the Great Recession have seen a greater rise in voting for anti-establish”
From Importing Political Polarization? The Electoral Consequences of Rising Trade Exposure (2020) · cites this paper as Algan et al. 2017
In the citing paper
“Because right-wing populist movements tend to arise during times of economic hardship (Hutchings and Valentino 2004; Inglehart and Norris 2016; Algan et al. 2017), a related explanation for the co-occurrence of heightened animus toward both foreign trading partners and foreign-born individuals stems from political opportunism.”
From Importing Political Polarization? The Electoral Consequences of Rising Trade Exposure (2020) · cites this paper as Algan et al. 2017
Citations
Cites
1 retracted
Retracted: Growing up in a Recession
Giuliano, P., & Spilimbergo, A. (2013) · The Review of Economic Studies · doi:10.1093/restud/rdt040 · Cited by 480
RetractedInstrumental Variables Regression with Weak Instruments
Staiger, D., & Stock, J. (1994) · doi:10.3386/t0151 · Cited by 5,302 · cited 1×
“The critical values of the Stock and Yogo (2005) weak instrument test statistic are 16.38 and 8.96, respectively, for the 10 and 15 percent levels (see also Staiger and Stock 1997).”
BackgroundInfluentialHappiness: Lessons from a New Science
Cooper, R. N., & Layard, R. (2005) · Foreign Affairs · doi:10.2307/20031793 · Cited by 4,081
Populism: A Very Short Introduction
Mudde, C., & Rovira Kaltwasser, C. (2017) · doi:10.1093/actrade/9780190234874.001.0001 · Cited by 3,659
The interaction of TIGIT with PVR and PVRL2 inhibits human NK cell cytotoxicity
Stanietsky, N., Simic, H., Arapovic, J., Toporik, A., Levy, O., Novik, A., Levine, Z., Beiman, M., Dassa, L., Achdout, H., et al. (2009) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0903474106 · Cited by 3,524
The Economic Consequences of Legal Origins
Porta, R. L., Lopez-de-Silanes, F., & Shleifer, A. (2008) · Journal of Economic Literature · doi:10.1257/jel.46.2.285 · Cited by 3,220
Relative Income, Happiness, and Utility: An Explanation for the Easterlin Paradox and Other Puzzles
Clark, A. E., Frijters, P., & Shields, M. A. (2008) · Journal of Economic Literature · doi:10.1257/jel.46.1.95 · Cited by 3,159
The Constitution of LibertyPreprint
von Hayek, F. A. (1960) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · Cited by 2,635
Culture and Institutions: Economic Development in the Regions of Europe
Tabellini, G. (2010) · Journal of the European Economic Association · doi:10.1111/j.1542-4774.2010.tb00537.x · Cited by 2,285
The Moral Foundations of TrustPreprint
Uslaner, E. M. (2005) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.824504 · Cited by 2,069
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Quasi-Experimental Shift-Share Research Designs
Borusyak, K., Hull, P., & Jaravel, X. (2022) · The Review of Economic Studies · doi:10.1093/restud/rdab030 · Cited by 1,427
Importing Political Polarization? The Electoral Consequences of Rising Trade Exposure
Autor, D., Dorn, D., Hanson, G., & Majlesi, K. (2020) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.20170011 · Cited by 1,063
The geography of EU discontent
Dijkstra, L., Poelman, H., & Rodríguez‐Pose, A. (2019) · Regional Studies · doi:10.1080/00343404.2019.1654603 · Cited by 684
Brezzi, M., González, S., Nguyen, D., & Prats, M. (2021) · OECD working papers on public governance · doi:10.1787/b6c5478c-en · Cited by 667
The Political Economy of Populism
Guriev, S. M., & Papaioannou, E. (2020) · Journal of Economic Literature · doi:10.1257/jel.20201595 · Cited by 639
Self-citation
Metadata
- Authors
- Algan, Y., Guriev, S., Papaioannou, E., & Passari, E.
- Venue
- Brookings Papers on Economic Activity
- Publisher
- Project MUSE
- Published
- 2017
- Volume
- 2017
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 309-400
- ISSN
- 0007-2303 (ISSN-L)
- 1533-4465
- OpenAlex
- W2782483882
- Cited by
- 693
- References
- 47
- Citations by year
- 2026: 79 · 2025: 76 · 2024: 81 · 2023: 87 · 2022: 84 · 2021: 108 · 2020: 106 · 2019: 43 · 2018: 24 · 2017: 2
- FWCI
- 235.36
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- Licence
- other-oa
- Locations
- Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (publishedVersion)
- HAL (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- SPIRE (Sciences Po) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Populism, Right-Wing Movements
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Electoral Systems and Political Participation
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Social Policy and Reform Studies
- Keywords
- Great Recession, populism, anti-establishment parties, unemployment, trust in political institutions, interpersonal trust, attitudes toward immigrants, economic insecurity, regional value added, political attitudes
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
