The DOI matches its Crossref record; 56 of the 56 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Regime Cycles: Democracy, Autocracy, and Revolution in Post-Soviet Eurasia
Abstract
Research on regime change has often wound up chasing events in the post-Soviet world because it has frequently assumed that regime change, if not simple instability, implies a trajectory toward a regime-type endpoint like democracy or autocracy. A supplemental approach recognizes that regime change can be cyclic, not just progressive, regressive, or random. In fact, regime cycles are much of what we see in the postcommunist world, where some states have oscillated from autocracy toward greater democracy, then back toward more autocracy, and, with recent “colored revolutions,” toward greater democracy again. An institutional logic of elite collective action, focusing on the effects of patronalpresidentialism,is shown to be useful in understanding such cyclic dynamics, explaining why “revolutions” occurred between 2003 and 2005 in Ukraine, Georgia, and Kyrgyzstan but not in countries like Russia, Azerbaijan, and Uzbekistan.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Schelling, T. C. (1960) · Cited by 7,672
Problems of Democratic Transition and Consolidation
Linz, J. (1996) · Johns Hopkins University Press eBooks · doi:10.56021/9780801851575 · Cited by 3,583
Democracy and the Market: Political and Economic Reforms in Eastern Europe and Latin America
Przeworski, A. (1991) · doi:10.1017/cbo9781139172493 · Cited by 3,494
Coller, X., Linz, J. J., & Stepan, A. (1996) · Reis · doi:10.2307/40184001 · Cited by 3,028
Transitions from Authoritarian Rule: Tentative Conclusions about Uncertain Democracies
O'Donnell, G. A., & Schmitter, P. C. (2013) · Cited by 2,956
Elections Without Democracy: The Rise of Competitive Authoritarianism
Levitsky, S., & Way, L. A. (2002) · Journal of Democracy · doi:10.1353/jod.2002.0026 · Cited by 2,711
The end of the transition paradigm
Carothers, T. (2002) · Journal of Democracy · doi:10.1353/jod.2002.0003 · Cited by 2,700
Elections Without Democracy: Thinking About Hybrid Regimes
Diamond, L. (2002) · Journal of Democracy · doi:10.1353/jod.2002.0025 · Cited by 2,425
What Do We Know About Democratization After Twenty Years?
Geddes, B. (1999) · Annual Review of Political Science · doi:10.1146/annurev.polisci.2.1.115 · Cited by 2,025
Transitions to Democracy: Toward a Dynamic Model
Rustow, D. A. (1970) · Comparative Politics · doi:10.2307/421307 · Cited by 1,896
Cited by
Defeating Dictators: Electoral Change and Stability in Competitive Authoritarian Regimes
Bunce, V. J., & Wolchik, S. L. (2010) · World Politics · doi:10.1017/s0043887109990207 · Cited by 377
Religious Politics in Turkey: From the Birth of the Republic to the AKP
Lord, C. (2018) · doi:10.1017/9781108638906 · Cited by 174
Dynamics of regime personalization and patron–client networks in Russia, 1999–2014
Baturo, A., & Elkink, J. A. (2016) · Post-Soviet Affairs · doi:10.1080/1060586x.2015.1032532 · Cited by 73
Focal Moments and Protests in Autocracies: How Pro-democracy Anniversaries Shape Dissent in China
Carter, E. B., & Carter, B. L. (2020) · Journal of Conflict Resolution · doi:10.1177/0022002720932995 · Cited by 35
Berman, C. (2019) · Middle East Law and Governance · doi:10.1163/18763375-01102003 · Cited by 15
Metadata
- Authors
- Hale, H. E.
- Venue
- World Politics
- Publisher
- Project MUSE
- Published
- 2005-10
- Volume
- 58
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 133-165
- ISSN
- 0043-8871 (ISSN-L)
- 1086-3338
- OpenAlex
- W2051395383
- Cited by
- 383
- References
- 56
- FWCI
- 26.63
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Regime Cycles: Democracy, Autocracy, and Revolution in Post-Soviet Eurasia. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1353/wp.2006.0019
- The paper
- Hale, H. E. (2005). Regime Cycles: Democracy, Autocracy, and Revolution in Post-Soviet Eurasia. World Politics. https://doi.org/10.1353/wp.2006.0019
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
