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Forest Loss in Protected Areas and Intact Forest Landscapes: A Global Analysis
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In spite of the high importance of forests, global forest loss has remained alarmingly high during the last decades. Forest loss at a global scale has been unveiled with increasingly finer spatial resolution, but the forest extent and loss in protected areas (PAs) and in large intact forest landscapes (IFLs) have not so far been systematically assessed. Moreover, the impact of protection on preserving the IFLs is not well understood. In this study we conducted a consistent assessment of the global forest loss in PAs and IFLs over the period 2000-2012. We used recently published global remote sensing based spatial forest cover change data, being a uniform and consistent dataset over space and time, together with global datasets on PAs' and IFLs' locations. Our analyses revealed that on a global scale 3% of the protected forest, 2.5% of the intact forest, and 1.5% of the protected intact forest were lost during the study period. These forest loss rates are relatively high compared to global total forest loss of 5% for the same time period. The variation in forest losses and in protection effect was large among geographical regions and countries. In some regions the loss in protected forests exceeded 5% (e.g. in Australia and Oceania, and North America) and the relative forest loss was higher inside protected areas than outside those areas (e.g. in Mongolia and parts of Africa, Central Asia, and Europe). At the same time, protection was found to prevent forest loss in several countries (e.g. in South America and Southeast Asia). Globally, high area-weighted forest loss rates of protected and intact forests were associated with high gross domestic product and in the case of protected forests also with high proportions of agricultural land. Our findings reinforce the need for improved understanding of the reasons for the high forest losses in PAs and IFLs and strategies to prevent further losses.
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![Fig 1 Aggregated (A-B) and converted (C-D) datasets used for the forest loss analyses. A) Forest extent in percentage of grid area at 1 km resolution, based on Global Forest Change (GFC) data [5]; B) Forest loss in percentage of grid area at 1 km resolution, based on GCF data [5]; C) Protected areas based on World Database of Protected Areas (WDPA) [30], converted to 1 km resolution; and D) Large Intact Forest Landscapes (IFLs) based on dataset by Potapov et al [20], converted to 1 km resolution.](/paper-figures/738d70d8469e47669741040f74ed5fda/forest-loss-in-protected-areas-and-intact-forest-landscapes-a-global-analysis-figure-1.jpg)




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“Our results provide regional support for agricultural expansion and 'Urban expansion' being unambiguously linked to forest loss inside protected areas globally (Heino et al. 2015).”
From Forest loss during 2000–2019 in pygmy hippopotamus (Choeropsis liberiensis) habitats was driven by shifting agriculture (2024) · cites this paper as Heino et al. 2015
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“Of the approximately 2.2 Mha of IFLs that were lost annually between 2000 and 2012, over 20% took place inside protected areas (Heino et al., 2015).”
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BackgroundAntidiabetic drugs and oxidized low-density lipoprotein: A review of anti-atherosclerotic mechanisms
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“However, the protection effect of FPAs is questioned (Heino et al., 2015), with smaller protected areas often under great threat (Maiorano et al.”
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“In fact, relative forest losses in protected areas partly exceeded those in non-protected areas at national scale [25].”
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“This may appear substantial, but is much lower than the 3 per cent of forest cover lost in protected areas globally during the same time period (Heino et al., 2015; Morales -Hidalgo et al., 2015).”
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“In addition, it is important to note that in some regions, such as tropical regions of Africa, Asia and South America, PAs are not sufficiently effective in halting deforestation (Heino et al., 2015).”
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“Majority of the intact protected forests are tropical and sub-tropical forests or exists in the form of boreal forests [12, 13].”
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Zanotti, L. C., & Knowles, N. L. B. (2020) · Journal of Political Ecology · doi:10.2458/v27i1.23165 · Cited by 29
“Tropical intact forest landscapes alone store 97 Gt of carbon, but between 2000 and 2016 there was a 7.2% loss in intact forestland and 60% of this came from tropical areas, particularly South America (Heino et al. 2015; Potapov et al. 2017: 2).”
BackgroundInfluentialScullion, J. J., Vogt, K. A., Drahota, B., Winkler‐Schor, S., & Lyons, M. (2019) · Frontiers in Forests and Global Change · doi:10.3389/ffgc.2019.00062 · Cited by 32
Aloo, B. N., Mbega, E. R., Makumba, B. A., Hertel, R., & Daniel, R. (2020) · Potato Research · doi:10.1007/s11540-020-09465-x · Cited by 29
Fennell, M., Ford, A. T., Martin, T. G., & Burton, A. C. (2023) · Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.1002/ece3.10733 · Cited by 30
“Most protected areas prevent extensive land-use change within their boundaries, providing vital habitat for wildlife in the face of an expanding human footprint (Geldmann et al., 2013; Heino et al., 2015).”
BackgroundMipando, A. L. N., Kinshella, M. W., Salimu, S. N., Chiwaya, B., Chikoti, F., Chirambo, L., Mwaungulu, E., Banda, M., Newberry, L., Njirammadzi, J., et al. (2020) · BMC Pediatrics · doi:10.1186/s12887-020-02443-9 · Cited by 29
Malignant Snare Traps Threaten an Irreplaceable Megafauna Community
Figel, J. J., Hambal, M., Krisna, I. G. P. A. P., Putra, R. H., & Yansyah, D. (2021) · Tropical Conservation Science · doi:10.1177/1940082921989187 · Cited by 28
“Among tropical forest regions worldwide, Southeast Asia has the greatest rates of deforestation and, consequently, the lowest proportion of forest cover remaining (Heino et al., 2015; Miettinen et al., 2011; Wilcove et al., 2013).”
BackgroundEarly warning sign of forest loss in protected areas
Buřivalová, Z., Hart, S. J., Radeloff, V. C., & Srinivasan, U. (2021) · Current Biology · doi:10.1016/j.cub.2021.07.072 · Cited by 29
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“We did, however, only consider areas with >20% tree cover (following [34,35]) and higher than 5 m (part of Hansen’s et al.”
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“Highly efficient single-use systems have caused extensive landscape change over vast areas in many regions worldwide; for example, in industrial rotation forestry systems in northern Sweden and elsewhere in forest-rich regions where previously natural and semi-natural intact forest landscapes have been transformed int…”
BackgroundSingh, M., Evans, D. H., Chevance, J., Tan, B. S., Wiggins, N., Kong, L., & Sakhoeun, S. (2018) · Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.1002/ece3.4492 · Cited by 28
Has global deforestation accelerated due to the COVID-19 pandemic?
Céspedes, J., Sylvester, J. M., Pérez, L., Paz-Garcia, P., Reymondin, L., Khodadadi, M., Tello, J., & Castro-Nunez, A. C. (2022) · Journal of Forestry Research · doi:10.1007/s11676-022-01561-7 · Cited by 25
“These countries were chosen because their territories contain a large area of tropical forests with high biodiversity value and historically have been affected by many direct and indirect drivers of deforestation, such as illegal timber extraction, lack of governance and illicit crops (Hansen et al. 2013; Coca Castro…”
BackgroundGross, D., Achard, F., Dubois, G., Brink, A. B., & Prins, H. H. T. (2017) · Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation · doi:10.1002/rse2.52 · Cited by 25
“…product’s forest loss information has been used to assess the effectiveness of international conservation aid (Bare et al. 2015), protected areas (Heino et al. 2015; Spracklen et al. 2015; Bowker et al. 2017) and sustainable forest management (Brandt et al. 2016) on reducing deforestation rates.”
BackgroundWeaver, D., Moyle, B., McLennan, C.-L., & Casali, G. L. (2023) · Journal of Environmental Management · doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.119136 · Cited by 39
Effectiveness of protected areas in preventing forest loss in a tropical mountain region
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Modification of forests by people means only 40% of remaining forests have high ecosystem integrityPreprint
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Calcium carbonate production in the southernmost subtropical Atlantic coral reef
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“It is claimed that that SE Asian protected areas were performing comparatively well relative to other parts of the world in terms of protecting forests (Hughes 2017; Heino et al. 2015).”
BackgroundEstimating the effectiveness of forest protection using regression discontinuity
Neal, T. L. (2024) · Journal of Environmental Economics and Management · doi:10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103021 · Cited by 24
Loss of forest intactness elevates global extinction risk in birds
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“The area of IFL is declining as forests become increasingly fragmented, disturbed and opened up by roads (Heino et al., 2015; Kleinschroth et al., 2017; Potapov et al., 2017); between 2000 and 2013, 7.”
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“For areas that are listed as WNHS by bioecological value standards (ix, x), the recorded information can then be used to demonstrate a WNHS’s OUV with regard to its species biodiversity, species composition, flora and vegetation type [24,25,28,33].”
BackgroundGodínez‐Gómez, O., Schank, C., Mas, J., & Mendoza, E. (2020) · Global Ecology and Conservation · doi:10.1016/j.gecco.2020.e01297 · Cited by 22
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Operationalizing a land systems classification for Laos
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“Protected areas (PA) are not necessarily made up of undisturbed forests, 326 neither in Laos nor in many other protected areas worldwide (Heino et al., 2015).”
BackgroundSelf-citationA look at Intact Forest Landscapes (IFLs) and their relevance in Central African forest policy
Haurez, B., Daïnou, K., Vermeulen, C., Kleinschroth, F., Mortier, F., Gourlet‐Fleury, S., & Doucet, J. (2017) · Forest Policy and Economics · doi:10.1016/j.forpol.2017.03.021 · Cited by 18
Exemplifying Stratified Deforestation in Four Protected Areas in Madagascar
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“[33]) in the 1990s, justifying its inclusion in the system of protected areas in 2015, but the forest loss in this area accelerated since 2005, especially during the last two years of analysis when all the four cases were under formal protection.”
BackgroundForest change within and outside protected areas in the Dominican Republic, 2000-2016Preprint
Lloyd, J. D., & León, Y. M. (2019) · bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · doi:10.1101/558346 · Cited by 16
Systematic reassessment of Laos' protected area network
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Spatiotemporal changes in forest loss and its linkage to burned areas in China
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“As forests and forest landscapes in Europe have been largely transformed during the twentieth century era of industrial forest management, old-growth and naturally dynamic forests are rare or missing and, consequently, recognized as priority conservation entities (Sabatini et al.”
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Janeczko, E., Dąbrowski, R., Budnicka-Kosior, J., & Woźnicka, M. (2019) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su11113007 · Cited by 14
Deforestation in Africa: Implications on Food and Nutritional Security
Chirwa, P. W., & Adeyemi, O. (2020) · Encyclopedia of the UN sustainable development goals · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-95675-6_62 · Cited by 14
Forest-Cover Changes in European Natura 2000 Sites in the Period 2012–2018
Santoro, A., Piras, F., Fiore, B., Bazzurro, A., & Agnoletti, M. (2024) · Forests · doi:10.3390/f15020232 · Cited by 13
“However, human pressure on PAs increased in the last two decades, especially in some areas of the world, suggesting that the effectiveness of PAs is not globally homogeneous [3,4].”
BackgroundChanges in Regional Practices and Their Effects on the Water Quality of Portuguese Reservoirs
Pinto, I., Azevedo, L., & Antunes, S. C. (2025) · Earth · doi:10.3390/earth6020029 · Cited by 13
“This highlights the critical role of extensive forest cover in maintaining environmental quality, which is able to mitigate pollution and enhance the processes of natural filtration [34].”
Metadata
- Authors
- Heino, M., Kummu, M., Makkonen, M., Mulligan, M., Verburg, P. H., Jalava, M., & Räsänen, T. A.
- Affiliations
- Aalto University (FI)
- Natural Resources Institute Finland (FI)
- King's College London (GB)
- Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam (NL)
- Corresponding author
- Kummu, Matti
- ORCID
- Venue
- PLOS ONE
- Publisher
- Public Library of Science (PLoS)
- Published
- 2015-10-14
- Volume
- 10
- Issue
- 10
- Pages
- e0138918
- ISSN
- 1932-6203 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC4605629
- OpenAlex
- W2211614845
- Cited by
- 192
- References
- 48
- Citations by year
- 2026: 13 · 2025: 13 · 2024: 18 · 2023: 18 · 2022: 14 · 2021: 25 · 2020: 30 · 2019: 26 · 2018: 14 · 2017: 9 · 2016: 9 · 2015: 3
- FWCI
- 9.57
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- PLoS ONE (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- VU Research Portal (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- Jukuri (Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke)) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Aaltodoc (Aalto University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Figshare (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Jukuri (Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke)) (submittedVersion)
- Research Portal (King's College London) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Funders
- Academy of Finland (267463, 257919)
- Aalto-Yliopisto
- China Scholarship Council
- FP7 Ideas: European Research Council (311819)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Conservation, Biodiversity, and Resource Management
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Land Use and Ecosystem Services
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Forestry › Forest Management and Policy
- Keywords
- forest loss, protected areas, intact forest landscapes, forest cover change, protected area effectiveness, gross domestic product, agricultural land, deforestation
- MeSH terms
- Africa, Agriculture, Americas, Asia, Australia, Conservation of Natural Resources, Europe, Humans, Trees, Forestry, Geographic Information Systems, Remote Sensing Technology, Forests
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