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Prevalence and characteristics of autism spectrum disorder among children aged 8 years—Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring Network, 11 sites, United States, 2018.
Open accessAbstract
PROBLEM/CONDITION: Autism spectrum disorder (ASD). PERIOD COVERED: 2018. DESCRIPTION OF SYSTEM: The Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring (ADDM) Network conducts active surveillance of ASD. This report focuses on the prevalence and characteristics of ASD among children aged 8 years in 2018 whose parents or guardians lived in 11 ADDM Network sites in the United States (Arizona, Arkansas, California, Georgia, Maryland, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, Tennessee, Utah, and Wisconsin). To ascertain ASD among children aged 8 years, ADDM Network staff review and abstract developmental evaluations and records from community medical and educational service providers. In 2018, children met the case definition if their records documented 1) an ASD diagnostic statement in an evaluation (diagnosis), 2) a special education classification of ASD (eligibility), or 3) an ASD International Classification of Diseases (ICD) code. RESULTS: For 2018, across all 11 ADDM sites, ASD prevalence per 1,000 children aged 8 years ranged from 16.5 in Missouri to 38.9 in California. The overall ASD prevalence was 23.0 per 1,000 (one in 44) children aged 8 years, and ASD was 4.2 times as prevalent among boys as among girls. Overall ASD prevalence was similar across racial and ethnic groups, except American Indian/Alaska Native children had higher ASD prevalence than non-Hispanic White (White) children (29.0 versus 21.2 per 1,000 children aged 8 years). At multiple sites, Hispanic children had lower ASD prevalence than White children (Arizona, Arkansas, Georgia, and Utah), and non-Hispanic Black (Black) children (Georgia and Minnesota). The associations between ASD prevalence and neighborhood-level median household income varied by site. Among the 5,058 children who met the ASD case definition, 75.8% had a diagnostic statement of ASD in an evaluation, 18.8% had an ASD special education classification or eligibility and no ASD diagnostic statement, and 5.4% had an ASD ICD code only. ASD prevalence per 1,000 children aged 8 years that was based exclusively on documented ASD diagnostic statements was 17.4 overall (range: 11.2 in Maryland to 29.9 in California). The median age of earliest known ASD diagnosis ranged from 36 months in California to 63 months in Minnesota. Among the 3,007 children with ASD and data on cognitive ability, 35.2% were classified as having an intelligence quotient (IQ) score ≤70. The percentages of children with ASD with IQ scores ≤70 were 49.8%, 33.1%, and 29.7% among Black, Hispanic, and White children, respectively. Overall, children with ASD and IQ scores ≤70 had earlier median ages of ASD diagnosis than children with ASD and IQ scores >70 (44 versus 53 months). INTERPRETATION: In 2018, one in 44 children aged 8 years was estimated to have ASD, and prevalence and median age of identification varied widely across sites. Whereas overall ASD prevalence was similar by race and ethnicity, at certain sites Hispanic children were less likely to be identified as having ASD than White or Black children. The higher proportion of Black children compared with White and Hispanic children classified as having intellectual disability was consistent with previous findings. PUBLIC HEALTH ACTION: The variability in ASD prevalence and community ASD identification practices among children with different racial, ethnic, and geographical characteristics highlights the importance of research into the causes of that variability and strategies to provide equitable access to developmental evaluations and services. These findings also underscore the need for enhanced infrastructure for diagnostic, treatment, and support services to meet the needs of all children.
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In the citing paper
“California has had the highest prevalence among children aged 4 years and 8 years since joining the ADDM Network in 2018 (6,10,11,13)”
In the citing paper
“Surveillance was conducted using the same surveillance methods and case definitions used in 2018 and 2020 (6,13).”
In the citing paper
“No evidence of heterogeneity of the male-to-female ratio among children aged 4 years across sites was observed; however, the overall male-to-female ratio for children aged 4 years was lower than the 4.2 male-to-female ratio for children aged 8 years (11).”
In the citing paper
“The site in California had the highest cumulative incidence of ASD by age 48 months and the fewest cases of suspected ASD and was the only site where prevalence among children aged 4 years was higher than among children aged 8 years (11).”
In the citing paper
“The combined prevalence of ASD and suspected ASD (19.7 per 1,000 children aged 4 years) was still lower than ASD prevalence observed among children aged 8 years (23.0 per 1,000 children aged 8 years) (11).”
In the citing paper
“Children with co-occurring intellectual disability are more likely to be identified earlier than children without intellectual disability, as indicated by an earlier median age at identification among this group (11) as well as the consistently higher proportion of children with intellectual disability at age 4 years (8,13) than at age 8 years (9,11,17).”
In the citing paper
“Consistent with findings among children aged 8 years (11), a higher proportion of Black children aged 4 years with ASD have co-occurring intellectual disability.”
In the citing paper
“The 2018 estimate for children aged 4 years was lower than the 23.0 per 1,000 ASD prevalence among children aged 8 years (11), a finding consistent with previous reports (8,13).”
In the citing paper
“Adding the children identified with ASD to those suspected of having ASD at age 4 years is still less than the prevalence of ASD by age 8 years at all sites except California (11).”
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Citations
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Self-citationMaenner, M. J., Shaw, K. A., Baio, J., EdS1, Washington, A., Patrick, M., DiRienzo, M., Christensen, D. L., Wiggins, L. D., Pettygrove, S., et al. (2020) · MMWR. Surveillance Summaries · doi:10.15585/mmwr.ss6904a1 · Cited by 3,780 · cited 5×
“Recommended ICD codes were described previously (10).”
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Self-citationPrevalence of Autism in a US Metropolitan Area
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Poverty and Child Health in the United States
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Maenner, M. J., Warren, Z., Williams, A. R., Amoakohene, E., Bakian, A. V., Bilder, D. A., Durkin, M. S., Fitzgerald, R. T., Furnier, S. M., Hughes, M. M., et al. (2023) · MMWR. Surveillance Summaries · doi:10.15585/mmwr.ss7202a1 · Cited by 2,706
“These gaps narrowed over time until ASD prevalence among Black and Hispanic matched prevalence among White children for the first time in 2016 and 2018, respectively (11,12).”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialSelf-citationAutism Spectrum Disorder: A Review
Hirota, T., & King, B. H. (2023) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.2022.23661 · Cited by 957
Shaw, K. A., Williams, S., Patrick, M. E., Valencia-Prado, M., Durkin, M. S., Howerton, E. M., Ladd-Acosta, C. M., Pas, E. T., Bakian, A. V., Bartholomew, P., et al. (2025) · MMWR. Surveillance Summaries · doi:10.15585/mmwr.ss7402a1 · Cited by 867
“For example, California has had the highest prevalence among children aged 4 years and 8 years since joining the ADDM Network in 2018 ( 6 , 10,11,13 ) and has a local initiative (the Get SET Early model).”
InfluentialSelf-citationFu, J. M., Satterstrom, F. K., Peng, M., Brand, H., Collins, R. L., Dong, S., Wamsley, B., Klei, L., Wang, L., Hao, S. P., et al. (2022) · Nature Genetics · doi:10.1038/s41588-022-01104-0 · Cited by 640
“05 genes and the GD loci: (1) the excess is due to a female protective effect; or (2) it arises from an ascertainment bias by which females diagnosed with ASD tend to be affected more severely than males50.”
BackgroundMethodCandidate biomarkers in psychiatric disorders: state of the field
Abi‐Dargham, A., Moeller, S. J., Ali, F., DeLorenzo, C., Domschke, K., Horga, G., Jutla, A., Kotov, R., Paulus, M. P., Rubio, J. M., et al. (2023) · World Psychiatry · doi:10.1002/wps.21078 · Cited by 421
Metadata
- Authors
- Maenner, M. J., Shaw, K. A., Bakian, A. V., Bilder, D. A., Durkin, M. S., Esler, A., Furnier, S. M., Hallas, L., Hall-Lande, J., Hudson, A., Hughes, M. M., Patrick, M., Pierce, K., Poynter, J. N., Salinas, A., Shenouda, J., Vehorn, A., Warren, Z., Constantino, J. N., DiRienzo, M., Fitzgerald, R. T., Grzybowski, A., Spivey, M. H., Pettygrove, S., Zahorodny, W., Ali, A., Andrews, J. G., Baroud, T., Gutierrez, J., Hewitt, A., Lee, L.-C., Lopez, M., Mancilla, K. C., McArthur, D., Schwenk, Y. D., Washington, A., Williams, S., & Cogswell, M. E.
- Affiliations
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (US)
- University of Utah (US)
- University of Wisconsin–Madison (US)
- University of Minnesota (US)
- University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences (US)
- University of California San Diego (US)
- Rutgers New Jersey Medical School (US)
- Vanderbilt University Medical Center (US)
- Washington University in St. Louis (US)
- Johns Hopkins University (US)
- University of Arizona (US)
- United States Department of Health and Human Services (US)
- Corresponding author
- Maenner, Matthew J.
- ORCID
- Maenner, Matthew J.
- Bakian, Amanda V.
- Bilder, Deborah A.
- Durkin, Maureen S.
- Esler, Amy
- Furnier, Sarah M.
- Hughes, Michelle M.
- Patrick, Mary
- Pierce, Karen
- Poynter, Jenny N.
- Shenouda, Josephine
- Warren, Zachary
- Constantino, John N.
- DiRienzo, Monica
- Fitzgerald, Robert T.
- Pettygrove, Sydney
- Zahorodny, Walter
- Ali, Akilah
- Andrews, Jennifer G.
- Lee, Li-Ching
- Lopez, Maya
- McArthur, Dedria
- Washington, Anita
- Cogswell, Mary E.
- Venue
- MMWR. Surveillance Summaries
- Published
- 2021-12-03
- Volume
- 70
- Issue
- 11
- Pages
- 1-16
- ISSN
- 1545-8636 (ISSN-L)
- 1546-0738
- PMC
- PMC8639024
- OpenAlex
- W3216151710
- Cited by
- 1,818
- References
- 37
- Citations by year
- 2026: 101 · 2025: 270 · 2024: 438 · 2023: 553 · 2022: 438 · 2021: 8
- FWCI
- 193.23
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- diamond
- doi.org
- Licence
- public-domain
- Locations
- MMWR Surveillance Summaries (publishedVersion, public-domain)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, public-domain)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (P50HD103537)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Autism Spectrum Disorder Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Psychiatry and Mental health › Child Nutrition and Feeding Issues
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Family and Disability Support Research
- Keywords
- autism spectrum disorder, autism prevalence, special education eligibility, ICD-10 codes, sex differences, racial and ethnic disparities, American Indian and Alaska Native children, median household income, neighborhood socioeconomic status, United States states and territories
- MeSH terms
- Autism Spectrum Disorder, Race Factors, Child, Ethnicity, Female, Geography, Humans, Male, Population Surveillance, United States, Prevalence, Racial Groups, Health Status Disparities, Epidemiological Monitoring
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