Cited by 631Social Media and PoliticsMisinformation and Its ImpactsComplex Network Analysis Techniques

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 22 of the 22 references it cites were found in a registry or an index; none of the 10 sources its claims cite is checked for support yet.

Political Polarization on Twitter

Open access
Conover, Michael, Ratkiewicz, Jacob, Francisco, Matthew, Goncalves, Bruno, Menczer, Filippo, Flammini, Alessandro·2021·Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media

Abstract

In this study we investigate how social media shape the networked public sphere and facilitate communication between communities with different political orientations. We examine two networks of political communication on Twitter, comprised of more than 250,000 tweets from the six weeks leading up to the 2010 U.S. congressional midterm elections. Using a combination of network clustering algorithms and manually-annotated data we demonstrate that the network of political retweets exhibits a highly segregated partisan structure, with extremely limited connectivity between left- and right-leaning users. Surprisingly this is not the case for the user-to-user mention network, which is dominated by a single politically heterogeneous cluster of users in which ideologically-opposed individuals interact at a much higher rate compared to the network of retweets. To explain the distinct topologies of the retweet and mention networks we conjecture that politically motivated individuals provoke interaction by injecting partisan content into information streams whose primary audience consists of ideologically-opposed users. We conclude with statistical evidence in support of this hypothesis.

Overview

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

Conover et al. analyze political communication on Twitter during the six weeks before the 2010 U.S. midterm elections, using retweet and mention networks built from 252,300 politically relevant tweets. They find that the retweet network is highly segregated along partisan lines, while the mention network is dominated by a single politically heterogeneous cluster, with cross-ideological interaction linked to hashtag content injection.

Key findings

  • The retweet network is highly polarized: its modularity is 0.48 versus 0.17 for the mention network, and its modularity z-score against degree-preserving shuffled graphs is 11.02 versus 2.06 for mentions. In the retweet network, cluster A is 93.4% right-leaning and cluster B is 80.1% left-leaning.
  • The mention network is politically heterogeneous: it is dominated by a single cluster accounting for more than 97% of users, and cross-ideological links are much more common than in retweets. Observed/expected link ratios for cross-ideological interaction are 0.68 (Left→Right) and 0.77 (Right→Left) in mentions, versus 0.05 and 0.03 in retweets.
  • Manual annotation found most politically active users express a political identity: both annotators could not determine identity for only 8% of users, and more than 75% had unambiguous political valences when requiring both annotators to agree. Cohen’s Kappa was 0.80 for left and 0.82 for right, but only 0.42 for undecidable.
  • Hashtag content injection helps explain the difference: users with neutral or mixed-valence hashtags receive and produce more inter-ideological mentions, and nearly 30% of tweets in the #p2 search feed originated from right-leaning users. Example valences include #tcot = 0.384 and #p2 = -0.605.

Methods

  • Data were collected from Twitter’s gardenhose API between September 14 and November 1, 2010, observing approximately 355 million tweets. Political content was identified using seed hashtags #p2 and #tcot, a Jaccard similarity threshold of 0.005, 66 unique hashtags, and exclusion of 11 ambiguous hashtags, yielding 252,300 politically relevant tweets from more than 45,000 users.
  • The authors constructed retweet and mention networks. The retweet network had 23,766 non-isolated nodes out of 45,365 total, with an 18,470-node largest connected component; the mention network had 10,142 non-isolated nodes out of 17,752 total, with a 7,175-node largest component. Analyses focused on the largest connected components.
  • Community detection used label propagation seeded by leading-eigenvector modularity maximization for two communities, run 100 times and compared with Adjusted Rand Index. The authors compared observed modularity to 1,000 degree-preserving shuffled graphs, manually annotated 1,000 random users with a non-author judge on 200, and analyzed observed versus expected cross-ideological links and hashtag valence.

Limitations

  • The paper states that direct modularity comparison is problematic because the retweet and mention networks differ in size and connectivity, so it uses shuffled graphs as a baseline; it also notes that the normality assumption for modularity values is false and uses Chebyshev’s inequality instead. It further states that cross-ideological interactions are “almost certainly not a panacea” and may reinforce polarization, and calls for further sentiment analysis and follower-network studies.
  • Evident from the text: the sample is limited to six weeks before the 2010 U.S. midterm elections and to tweets containing a discovered set of political hashtags, so findings may not generalize to other periods, elections, or political contexts.
  • Evident from the text: manual political alignment was based on 1,000 users, the undecidable category had only fair-to-moderate inter-annotator agreement (κ = 0.42), and the mention network is smaller than the retweet network, which may affect comparisons.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1609/icwsm.v5i1.14126

Cites

22 of 22 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Verification

Claims the paper makes

30 Own result · 13 Own interpretation · 5 No full text of the sources · 4 Own method · 3 Sources not found · 3 No basis given

Show all 34 claims

  • It may state two separate claims as one. 18
  • Probably not a substantial claim. 10
24 of 24
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    When politically active individuals can avoid people and information they would not have chosen in advance, their opinions are likely to become increasingly extreme as a result of being exposed to more homogeneous viewpoints and fewer credible opposing opinions.

    “The concern is that when politically active individuals can avoid people and information they would not have chosen in advance, their opinions are likely to become increasingly extreme as a result of being exposed to more homogeneous viewpoints and fewer credible opposing opinions.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    A deliberative democracy relies on a broadly informed public and a healthy ecosystem of competing ideas.

    “A deliberative democracy relies on a broadly informed public and a healthy ecosystem of competing ideas.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Each hashtag identifies a stream of content, with users' tag choices denoting participation in different information channels.

    “Each hashtag identifies a stream of content, with users' tag choices denoting participation in different information channels.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The modularities of shuffled graph cluster assignments are normally distributed.

    “This discussion assumes that the modularities of the shuffled graph cluster assignments are distributed normally, which is not true in general.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The partisan nature of U.S. political discourse makes two a natural number of clusters.

    “While the partisan nature of U.S. political discourse makes two a natural number of clusters”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Any Twitter user can select arbitrary hashtags to annotate his or her tweets.

    “Any Twitter user can select arbitrary hashtags to annotate his or her tweets.”
6 of 6

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

1 of 1

Citations

Cites

Show all 21 references

Research works printed but not linked: 1

  1. Sunstein, C. R. 2007. Republic.com 2.0. Princeton Univer- sity Press.

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Metadata

Authors
Conover, M., Ratkiewicz, J., Francisco, M., Goncalves, B., Menczer, F., & Flammini, A.
Affiliations
Indiana University (US)
Venue
Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media
Published
2021-08-03
Volume
5
Issue
1
Pages
89-96
ISSN
  • 2162-3449 (ISSN-L)
  • 2334-0770
OpenAlex
W4312820073
Cited by
626
References
21
Citations by year
2026: 34 · 2025: 66 · 2024: 86 · 2023: 82 · 2022: 65 · 2021: 62
FWCI
107.66
Type
conference paper
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media (publishedVersion)
  • AAAI Publications (The Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)) (submittedVersion)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Communication › Social Media and Politics
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Misinformation and Its Impacts
  • Physical Sciences › Physics and Astronomy › Statistical and Nonlinear Physics › Complex Network Analysis Techniques
Keywords
political polarization, Twitter, retweets, mentions, social network topology, 2010 midterm elections, political communication, information dissemination, network clustering

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