Risk Charts Illustrating the 10-year Risk of Stroke among Residents of Japanese Rural Communities: The JMS Cohort Study
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: Risk charts are used to estimate the risk of cardiovascular diseases; however, most have been developed in Western countries. In Japan, currently available risk charts are based on mortality data. Using data on cardiovascular disease incidence from the JMS Cohort Study, we developed charts that illustrated the risk of stroke. METHODS AND RESULTS: The JMS Cohort Study is a community-based cohort study of cardiovascular disease. Baseline data were obtained between 1992 and 1995. In the present analysis, the participants were 12 276 subjects without a history of stroke; the follow-up period was 10.7 years. Color-coded risk charts were created by using Cox's proportional hazards models to calculate 10-year absolute risks associated with sex, age, smoking status, diabetes status, and systolic blood pressure. The risks of stroke and cerebral infarction rose as age and systolic blood pressure increased. Although the risk of cerebral hemorrhage were generally lower than that of cerebral infarction, the patterns of association with risk factors were similar. CONCLUSION: These risk charts should prove useful for clinicians and other health professionals who are required to estimate an individual's risk for stroke.
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There are several assessment tools that predict the absolute risk of ASCVD in the Japanese population.
“There are several assessment tool that predict the absolute risk of ASCVD in the Japanese population.”
From Japan Atherosclerosis Society (JAS) guidelines for prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases 2017 (2018) · cites this paper as [335]
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- Authors
- Ishikawa, S., Matsumoto, M., Kayaba, K., Gotoh, T., Nago, N., Tsutsumi, A., & Kajii, E.
- Affiliations
- Jichi Medical University (JP)
- Saitama Prefectural University (JP)
- Japan Association for Development of Community Medicine (JP)
- University of Occupational and Environmental Health Japan (JP)
- Venue
- Journal of Epidemiology
- Publisher
- Japan Epidemiological Association
- Published
- 2009
- Volume
- 19
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 101-106
- ISSN
- 0917-5040 (ISSN-L)
- 1349-9092
- PMC
- PMC3924121
- OpenAlex
- W2053603778
- Cited by
- 23
- References
- 41
- Citations by year
- 2024: 1 · 2023: 4 · 2021: 2 · 2020: 1 · 2019: 2 · 2018: 3 · 2015: 2 · 2013: 2 · 2012: 1
- FWCI
- 1.35
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- cc-by
- Locations
- Journal of Epidemiology (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Acute Ischemic Stroke Management
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Health Promotion and Cardiovascular Prevention
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiovascular Health and Risk Factors
- Keywords
- stroke risk, risk charts, cerebral infarction, cerebral hemorrhage, cardiovascular disease incidence, systolic blood pressure, smoking, diabetes mellitus, sex differences, age
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Blood Pressure, Diabetes Mellitus, Female, Humans, Japan, Male, Middle Aged, Risk Factors, Rural Health, Sex Factors, Smoking, Cohort Studies, Risk Assessment, Stroke, Young Adult
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