Risk Assessment Chart for Death From Cardiovascular Disease Based on a 19-Year Follow-up Study of a Japanese Representative Population: NIPPON DATA80

NIPPON DATA80 Research Group

doi:10.1253/circj.70.1249

Cited by 218Health Promotion and Cardiovascular PreventionCardiovascular Health and Risk FactorsDiabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins

Risk Assessment Chart for Death From Cardiovascular Disease Based on a 19-Year Follow-up Study of a Japanese Representative Population: NIPPON DATA80

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NIPPON DATA80 Research Group·2006·Circulation Journal

DOI 10.1253/circj.70.1249

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Based on the NIPPON DATA80, risk charts for the probability of death from coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, and all cardiovascular disease (CVD) were constructed by sex and 10-year age groups. METHODS AND RESULTS: The 9,638 participants were followed-up for 19 years from 1980, excluding 28 individuals without the necessary baseline data and 257 participants with past history of stroke or CHD. Final analysis was performed on 9,353 participants (4,098 men, mean age 50.3 years; 5,255 women, mean age 50.8) using a Cox proportional hazards model. Death probabilities over a 10-year period from CHD, stroke, and all CVD were calculated and displayed as color coding on each chart by combining 10-year age, systolic blood pressure, smoking, and serum total cholesterol and glucose levels. Six different colors corresponding to probabilities of death were displayed on each chart. CONCLUSIONS: The original charts based on the findings from NIPPON DATA80 are suitable for assessing CHD, stroke, and all CVD death risk in the general Japanese population. These charts should be used as a health-education tool for lifestyle modification targeting individuals with CVD risk factors.

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In terms of absolute risk, aging enhances the risk for ASCVD and death from it much more than any other risk factors.
“In terms of absolute risk, aging enhances the risk for ASCVD and death from it much more than any other risk factors160–162).”
From Japan Atherosclerosis Society (JAS) guidelines for prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases 2017 (2018) · cites this paper as [160]

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Authors: NIPPON DATA80 Research Group
Corresponding author: NIPPON DATA80 Research Group
Venue: Circulation Journal
Publisher: Japanese Circulation Society
Published: 2006
Volume: 70
Issue: 10
Pages: 1249-1255
ISSN: 1346-9843 (ISSN-L)
1347-4820
DOI: 10.1253/circj.70.1249
OpenAlex: W4230123249
Cited by: 218
References: 26
Citations by year: 2026: 2 · 2025: 3 · 2024: 6 · 2023: 5 · 2022: 8 · 2021: 5 · 2020: 13 · 2019: 18 · 2018: 12 · 2017: 13 · 2016: 13 · 2015: 16 · 2014: 10 · 2013: 24 · 2012: 17
FWCI: 8.67
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: bronze
doi.org
Locations: Circulation Journal (publishedVersion)
PubMed (publishedVersion)
Funders: Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare (H14‐Chouju‐003, H17-Chouju-012, H11‐Chouju‐046)
Topics: Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Health Promotion and Cardiovascular Prevention
Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiovascular Health and Risk Factors
Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins
Keywords: cardiovascular mortality, coronary artery disease, stroke, NIPPON DATA80, systolic blood pressure, smoking, total cholesterol, serum glucose, sex differences, health education, lifestyle modification, Japanese population
MeSH terms: Adult, Blood Glucose, Blood Pressure, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cholesterol, Coronary Disease, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Japan, Male, Middle Aged, Mortality, Probability, Smoking, Proportional Hazards Models, Age Distribution, Sex Distribution, Risk Assessment, Risk Reduction Behavior

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Risk Assessment Chart for Death From Cardiovascular Disease Based on a 19-Year Follow-up Study of a Japanese Representative Population: NIPPON DATA80

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