Cited by 262Gender, Labor, and Family DynamicsWork-Family Balance ChallengesFamily Dynamics and Relationships

Fertility, Employment, and Child-Care Costs

Open access
Blau, David M., Robins, Philip K.·1989·Demography

Abstract

A sample of labor-market and birth histories is used to estimate the effects of child-care costs on employment and fertility decisions. A reduced-form empirical analysis is performed, which is based on hazard functions for transitions among various fertility–employment states. Higher child-care costs result in a lower birth rate for nonemployed women but not for employed women. Higher child-care costs also lead to an increase in the rate of leaving employment and a reduction in the rate of entering employment. The results suggest that potential behavioral effects of child-care subsidies could be significant and should be taken into account when alternative child-care policies are being debated.

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.2307/2061526

Cites

25 of 25 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • A greater role played by governments in childcare may lead to higher fertility rates by lowering the care burden on parents.

    “A greater role played by governments may lead to higher fertility rates by lowering the care burden on parents (Blau and Robins 1989).”

    From Division of domestic labour and lowest-low fertility in South Korea (2017) · cites this paper as Blau and Robins 1989

    The Conclusions report that higher child-care costs lower birth rates for nonemployed women, but not employed women, and suggest that child-care subsidies could have significant behavioral effects. This supports the possibility that government subsidies could raise fertility by reducing costs, but not an unqualified increase in fertility rates or a reduction in the broader care burden on parents. (LLM, conf=0.85)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Childcare tax credits have no impact, but household expenditure has some negative influence on fertility.

    “Blau and Robins (1989) find no impact of childcare tax credits, but some negative influence of household expenditure.”

    From Division of domestic labour and lowest-low fertility in South Korea (2017) · cites this paper as Blau and Robins 1989

    The Economic and Demographic Determinants of Hazard Rates section (page unavailable) reports no statistically significant association between potential child-care tax credits and births, but that does not establish that the credits have no impact. It also finds that higher average child-care costs—not household expenditure generally—are associated with fewer births among nonemployed women. The Conclusions (page unavailable) say this negative birth-rate finding does not extend to employed women. (LLM, conf=0.86)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

3 of the 28 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.

Research works printed but not linked: 2

  1. Bowen, W. G., and 1'. A. Finegan. 1969. The Economics of LaborForce Participation. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.
  2. Flinn, C., and J. J. Heckman. 1982. Models for the analysis oflabor market dynamics. Pp. 35-95 in R. Basmann and G. Rhodes (eds.), Advances in Econometrics. Greenwich, Conn.: JAI Press.

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Blau, D. M., & Robins, P. K.
Affiliations
  • University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (US)
  • University of Miami (US)
Venue
Demography
Published
1989-05-01
Volume
26
Issue
2
Pages
287-299
ISSN
  • 0070-3370 (ISSN-L)
  • 1533-7790
OpenAlex
W2065831549
Cited by
261
References
28
Citations by year
2026: 4 · 2025: 6 · 2024: 8 · 2023: 7 · 2022: 7 · 2021: 7 · 2020: 2 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 4 · 2017: 6 · 2016: 11 · 2015: 7 · 2014: 7 · 2013: 9 · 2012: 7
FWCI
20.42
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Demography (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
Funders
  • University of Wisconsin-Madison
  • University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
  • National Institute of Child Health and Human Development
  • Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (IR01 HD20254-01)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Gender Studies › Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Work-Family Balance Challenges
  • Social Sciences › Demography › Family Dynamics and Relationships
Keywords
childcare costs, reproductive decision-making, employment decisions, child care subsidies, labor force participation, birth rate, hazard function, childcare policy
MeSH terms
Adult, Child Care, Child, Preschool, Employment, Female, Fertility, Humans, United States, Women, Working

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review