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Mortality in Adults With and Without Diabetes in a National Cohort of the U.S. Population, 1971–1993
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To examine 22-year mortality (1971-1993), causes of death, life expectancy, and survival in a national sample of diabetic and nondiabetic adults according to age, sex, and race. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A representative national cohort of 14,374 adults aged 25-74 years was identified in 1971-1975 in the First National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES I). Diabetes was ascertained by medical history interview. The cohort was followed for mortality through 1992-1993, with verification of vital status for 96.2% (n = 13,830). Causes of death were determined from death certificates. RESULTS: Diabetic subjects comprised 5.1% of the cohort and accounted for 10.6% of the deaths. Mortality for diabetic subjects increased from 12.4 per 1,000 person-years for those aged 25-44 years at baseline to 89.7 per 1,000 person-years for those aged 65-74 years. The age-adjusted mortality rate was 57% higher for diabetic men than for diabetic women; the rate was 27% higher for diabetic non-Hispanic blacks than for diabetic non-Hispanic whites. Mortality rates were highest for insulin-treated subjects and for those with > or = 15 years' duration of diabetes. Diabetes was listed on the death certificate as the underlying cause of death for only 7.7% of diabetic men and 13.4% of diabetic women. Considering multiple causes of death, heart disease was listed the most frequently and was present on 69.5% of death certificates of people with diabetes. Death rates were higher for diabetic than for nondiabetic subjects in all age, sex, and race groups. The relative risk of death (diabetic versus nondiabetic subjects) declined with age from a value of 3.6 for those aged 25-44 years at baseline to 1.5 for those aged 65-74 years. The relative risk was elevated in diabetic subjects for all major causes of death except malignant neoplasms. Survival of diabetic subjects was lower than that of nondiabetic subjects in all age, sex, and race groups. Median life expectancy was 8 years lower for diabetic adults aged 55-64 years and 4 years lower for those aged 65-74 years. CONCLUSIONS: In this representative national sample of adults, mortality rates were higher for diabetic men than for diabetic women and for diabetic blacks than for diabetic whites. The study confirms the substantially higher risk of death, lower survival, and lower life expectancy of diabetic adults compared with nondiabetic adults.
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“and a two-to four-fold higher CAD-and stroke-related mortality.139 -141”
From Type 2 diabetes mellitus and heart failure: A position statement from the Heart Failure Association of the European Society of Cardiology (2018) · cites this paper as [139]
In the citing paper
“T2DM is associated with a two-fold higher risk of CAD and ischaemic stroke”
From Type 2 diabetes mellitus and heart failure: A position statement from the Heart Failure Association of the European Society of Cardiology (2018) · cites this paper as [139]
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On the importance of global cardiovascular risk assessment in people with type 2 diabetes
Echouffo-Tcheugui, J. B., & Kengne, A. P. (2013) · Primary care diabetes · doi:10.1016/j.pcd.2013.03.002 · Cited by 21
“However, CVD has remained the leading cause of death in people with diabetes [1,2], raising more interest for new strategies to achieve further reduction in CVD risk in this population.”
BackgroundIntegrating palliative care with usual care of diabetic foot wounds
Dunning, T. L. (2016) · Diabetes/Metabolism Research and Reviews · doi:10.1002/dmrr.2758 · Cited by 22
“significant underlying cause of death in many older people [2,29].”
BackgroundRelationship between diet, exercise habits, and health status among patients with diabetes
Campbell, H. M., Khan, N., Cone, C. J., & Raisch, D. W. (2010) · Research in Social and Administrative Pharmacy · doi:10.1016/j.sapharm.2010.03.002 · Cited by 23
Manuel, D. G., & Schultz, S. E. (2004) · Population Health Metrics · doi:10.1186/1478-7954-2-4 · Cited by 23
“Similar to other studies these all-cause deaths were used to estimate life and health expectancy for all Ontarians with and without DM [ 20-23 ].”
BackgroundResultType 2 Diabetes Mellitus–Related Mortality in the United States, 1999 to 2023
Ahmed, M., Zulfiqar, E., Shafiq, A., Shahzad, M., Hashmi, T. M., Ahmed, R., Rana, J. S., Sidney, S., Greene, S. J., Mentz, R. J., et al. (2025) · JACC Advances · doi:10.1016/j.jacadv.2025.101882 · Cited by 25
Lei, M., Wu, Y., Chung, S., Chen, C.-C., Chen, W.-C., & Hsu, Y.-C. (2020) · Journal of Atherosclerosis and Thrombosis · doi:10.5551/jat.59386 · Cited by 22
CaMKII Inhibition is a Novel Therapeutic Strategy to Prevent Diabetic Cardiomyopathy
Veitch, C. R., Power, A., & Erickson, J. R. (2021) · Frontiers in Pharmacology · doi:10.3389/fphar.2021.695401 · Cited by 23
Khan, N., Gomathi, K. G., Shehnaz, S. I., & Muttappallymyalil, J. (2012) · Sultan Qaboos University medical journal · doi:10.12816/0003144 · Cited by 29
Hayes, A., Leal, J., Kelman, C., & Clarke, P. (2010) · Diabetic Medicine · doi:10.1111/j.1464-5491.2010.03189.x · Cited by 23
Longo‐Mbenza, B., On'kin, J. B. K. L., Okwe, A. N., & Kabangu, N. K. (2010) · Diabetes & Metabolic Syndrome Clinical Research & Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.dsx.2010.05.009 · Cited by 22
Thomas, M. C., Hardoon, S. L., Papacosta, O., Morris, R. W., Wannamethee, S. G., Sloggett, A., & Whincup, P. H. (2009) · Diabetic Medicine · doi:10.1111/j.1464-5491.2009.02768.x · Cited by 22
the FinnDiane Study Group, Ahola, A. J., Harjutsalo, V., Saraheimo, M., Forsblom, C. M., & Groop, P. (2011) · Diabetologia · doi:10.1007/s00125-011-2347-6 · Cited by 22
Metadata
- Authors
- Gu, K., Cowie, C. C., & Harris, M. I.
- Affiliations
- National Institutes of Health (US)
- Venue
- Diabetes Care
- Publisher
- American Diabetes Association
- Published
- 1998-07-01
- Volume
- 21
- Issue
- 7
- Pages
- 1138-1145
- ISSN
- 0149-5992 (ISSN-L)
- 1935-5548
- OpenAlex
- W2050695519
- Cited by
- 881
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2025: 12 · 2024: 15 · 2023: 11 · 2022: 21 · 2021: 25 · 2020: 25 · 2019: 27 · 2018: 33 · 2017: 39 · 2016: 36 · 2015: 26 · 2014: 32 · 2013: 44 · 2012: 48
- FWCI
- 10.98
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Diabetes Care (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes Management and Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes Management and Education
- Keywords
- diabetes mortality, causes of death, life expectancy, survival, sex differences, racial differences, non-Hispanic blacks, insulin-treated diabetes, diabetes duration, heart disease, death certificates, adults with diabetes, age differences in mortality risk, cancer
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Aged, Cause of Death, Diabetes Mellitus, Female, Humans, Life Expectancy, Male, Middle Aged, Mortality, Population, United States, Cohort Studies, Survival Rate, Survival Analysis
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