Estimating mortality using data from civil registration: a cross-sectional study in India
Open accessAbstract
OBJECTIVE: To analyse the design and operational status of India's civil registration and vital statistics system and facilitate the system's development into an accurate and reliable source of mortality data. METHODS: We assessed the national civil registration and vital statistics system's legal framework, administrative structure and design through document review. We did a cross-sectional study for the year 2013 at national level and in Punjab state to assess the quality of the system's mortality data through analyses of life tables and investigation of the completeness of death registration and the proportion of deaths assigned ill-defined causes. We interviewed registrars, medical officers and coders in Punjab state to assess their knowledge and practice. FINDINGS: Although we found the legal framework and system design to be appropriate, data collection was based on complex intersectoral collaborations at state and local level and the collected data were found to be of poor quality. The registration data were inadequate for a robust estimate of mortality at national level. A medically certified cause of death was only recorded for 965,992 (16.8%) of the 5,735,082 deaths registered. CONCLUSION: The data recorded by India's civil registration and vital statistics system in 2011 were incomplete. If improved, the system could be used to reliably estimate mortality. We recommend improving political support and intersectoral coordination, capacity building, computerization and state-level initiatives to ensure that every death is registered and that reliable causes of death are recorded - at least within an adequate sample of registration units within each state.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
There are limited data regarding representative rural, population-based Indian data of causes and risk factors of neonatal mortality.
“Moreover, there are limited data regarding representative rural, population-based Indian data of causes and risk factors of neonatal mortality. Earlier Indian studies had relatively smaller sample sizes [10–12].”
From Neonatal deaths in rural Karnataka, India 2014–2018: a prospective population-based observational study in a low-resource setting (2020) · cites this paper as [10]
The Results (Data quality; page not provided) say that medically certified cause-of-death data may not reflect broader national trends, and Table 4 identifies a source that is not representative of rural populations. The Discussion (page not provided) says too few deaths among children under six were registered to present findings. These passages support a general data limitation, but the paper does not establish a specific shortage of representative rural data on both causes and risk factors of neonatal mortality. (LLM, conf=0.83)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Lozano, R., Naghavi, M., Foreman, K., Lim, S., Shibuya, K., Aboyans, V., Abraham, J., Adair, T., Aggarwal, R., Ahn, S. Y., et al. (2012) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(12)61728-0 · Cited by 14,070 · see citing works
Prospective Study of One Million Deaths in India: Rationale, Design, and Validation Results
Jha, P., Gajalakshmi, V., Gupta, P. C., Kumar, R., Mony, P., Dhingra, N., Peto, R., & Collaborators, R.-C. P. S. (2005) · PLoS Medicine · doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.0030018 · Cited by 323 · see citing works
Self-citation(1990) · PubMed · Cited by 92 · see citing works
Jha, P., Kumar, R., Khera, A. K., Bhattacharya, M., Arora, P., Gajalakshmi, V., Bhatia, P., Kam, D., Bassani, D. G., Sullivan, A., et al. (2010) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.c621 · Cited by 60 · see citing works
Self-citationCause of death reporting systems in India: a performance analysis.
Mahapatra, P., & Rao, C. (2001) · PubMed · Cited by 49 · see citing works
Self-citationDesign options for sample-based mortality surveillance
Begg, S. J., Rao, C., & López, A. D. (2005) · International Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/ije/dyi101 · Cited by 37 · see citing works
Self-citationEducational intervention to improve death certification at a teaching hospital.
Pandya, H. V., Bose, N., Shah, R. J., Chaudhury, N., & Phatak, A. G. (2009) · PubMed · Cited by 28 · see citing works
The quality of police data on RTC fatalities in India
Raban, M. Z., Dandona, L., & Dandona, R. (2014) · Injury Prevention · doi:10.1136/injuryprev-2013-041011 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Impact of policy initiatives on civil registration system in Haryana
Kumar, R., Singh, P. P., Kaur, M., & Jaswal, N. (2012) · Indian Journal of Community Medicine · doi:10.4103/0970-0218.96100 · Cited by 15 · see citing works
Self-citationMalaria deaths in India have been underestimated, new study indicates
Mudur, G. (2010) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.c5981 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 5
- [1]World development report 1993: investing in health. New York: Oxford University Press; 1993.
- [2]Pandey A, Roy N, Bhawsar R, Mishra RM. Health information system in India: issues of data availability and quality. Demogr India. 2010; 39(1): 111– 8.
- [28]WHO nomenclature regulations. In: International statistical classification of diseases and health related problems, 10th revision. Volume 1 Geneva: World Health Organization; 1993 pp. 1241– 3.
- [33]Statistical presentation. International statistical classification of diseases and health related problems, 10th revision. Volume 2 Geneva: World Health Organization; 1993 pp. 124– 38.
- [38]Maternal death review guidebook. New Delhi: Ministry of Health and Family Welfare; 2010.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Naghavi, M., Abajobir, A. A., Abbafati, C., Abbas, K. M., Abd-Allah, F., Abera, S. F., Aboyans, V., Adetokunboh, O., Afshin, A., Agrawal, A., et al. (2017) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(17)32152-9 · Cited by 4,821 · see citing works
The global burden of tuberculosis mortality in children: a mathematical modelling study
Dodd, P. J., Yuen, C. M., Sismanidis, C., Seddon, J. A., & Jenkins, H. E. (2017) · The Lancet Global Health · doi:10.1016/s2214-109x(17)30289-9 · Cited by 446 · see citing works
Etiology and mode of presentation of chronic liver diseases in India: A multi centric study
Mukherjee, P. S., Sreenivas, V., Amarapurkar, D. N., Das, K., Sood, A., Chawla, Y. K., Eapen, C. E., Boddu, P., Thomas, V., Varshney, S., et al. (2017) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0187033 · Cited by 133 · see citing works
Global burden of childhood tuberculosis
Jenkins, H. E. (2016) · Pneumonia · doi:10.1186/s41479-016-0018-6 · Cited by 71 · see citing works
Rao, C., & Gupta, M. (2020) · BMJ Global Health · doi:10.1136/bmjgh-2020-002586 · Cited by 52 · see citing works
Self-citationHorwood, G., Opondo, C., Choudhury, S. S., Rani, A., & Nair, M. (2020) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2020-038910 · Cited by 52 · see citing works
Kaur, G., Chauhan, A. S., Prinja, S., Teerawattananon, Y., Muniyandi, M., Rastogi, A., Jyani, G., Nagarajan, K., Lakshmi, P. V. M., Gupta, A., et al. (2021) · The Lancet Public Health · doi:10.1016/s2468-2667(21)00199-7 · Cited by 48 · see citing works
Self-citationCompleteness of death registration in the Civil Registration System, India (2005 to 2015)
Kumar, G. A., Dandona, L., & Dandona, R. (2019) · The Indian Journal of Medical Research · doi:10.4103/ijmr.ijmr_1620_17 · Cited by 36 · see citing works
Downey, L. E., Rao, N. V., Guinness, L., Asaria, M., Prinja, S., Sinha, A., Kant, R., Pandey, A., Cluzeau, F., & Chalkidou, K. (2018) · F1000Research · doi:10.12688/f1000research.14041.1 · Cited by 34 · see citing works
Self-citationDevaguru, A., Gada, S., Potpalle, D., Eshwar, M. D., & Purwar, D. (2023) · Cureus · doi:10.7759/cureus.38587 · Cited by 42 · see citing works
Basu, J. K., & Adair, T. (2021) · International Journal for Equity in Health · doi:10.1186/s12939-021-01534-y · Cited by 27 · see citing works
Determinants of birth registration in India: Evidence from NFHS 2015–16
Kumar, K., & Saikia, N. (2021) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0257014 · Cited by 23 · see citing works
Death registration coverage 2019–2021, India
Saikia, N., Kumar, K., & Das, B. (2023) · Bulletin of the World Health Organization · doi:10.2471/blt.22.288889 · Cited by 26 · see citing works
Dahiya, N., Singh, T., & Mahajan, S. (2020) · Journal of Family Medicine and Primary Care · doi:10.4103/jfmpc.jfmpc_158_20 · Cited by 21 · see citing works
Elements of a strategic approach for strengthening national mortality statistics programmes
Rao, C. (2019) · BMJ Global Health · doi:10.1136/bmjgh-2019-001810 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Self-citationKrishnan, A., Gupta, V., Nongkynrih, B., Kumar, R., Kaur, R., Malhotra, S., Salve, H. R., Narayan, V. V., & Gupta, A. (2020) · Journal of Global Health · doi:10.7189/jogh.10.020431 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Self-citationNeonatal, Infant, and Child Mortality in India: Progress and Future Directions
Wahl, B., Nama, N., Pandey, R. R., Garg, T., Mishra, A. M., Srivastava, S., Ali, S., Verma, S. K., Erchick, D. J., Sauer, M. A., et al. (2023) · The Indian Journal of Pediatrics · doi:10.1007/s12098-023-04834-z · Cited by 16 · see citing works
Tripathy, J. P., & Mishra, S. (2017) · Journal of Tropical Pediatrics · doi:10.1093/tropej/fmx009 · Cited by 15 · see citing works
Dhaded, S. M., Somannavar, M. S., Moore, J. L., McClure, E. M., Vernekar, S. S., Yogeshkumar, S., Kavi, A., Ramadurg, U. Y., Nolen, T. L., Goldenberg, R. L., et al. (2020) · Reproductive Health · doi:10.1186/s12978-020-01014-6 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Premature adult mortality in India: what is the size of the matter?
Rao, C., Gupta, A., Gupta, M., & Yadav, A. K. (2021) · BMJ Global Health · doi:10.1136/bmjgh-2020-004451 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Self-citationMortality Statistics in India: Current Status and Future Prospects
Kumar, R. (2022) · Indian Journal of Community Medicine · doi:10.4103/ijcm.ijcm_614_22 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Self-citationThe universal health coverage ambition faces a critical test
Kruk, M. E., Ataguba, J. E., & Akweongo, P. (2020) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(20)31795-5 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
Performance barriers of Civil Registration System in Bihar: An exploratory study
Kumar, K., Saikia, N., & Diamond‐Smith, N. (2022) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0268832 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Delhi's health system exceptionalism: inadequate progress for a global capital city
Gusmano, M. K., Rodwin, V. G., & Weisz, D. (2017) · Public Health · doi:10.1016/j.puhe.2016.12.023 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Evaluation of data sources and approaches for estimation of influenza‐associated mortality in India
Narayan, V. V., Iuliano, A. D., Roguski, K. M., Haldar, P., Saha, S., Sreenivas, V., Kant, S., ZODPEY, S. P., Pandav, C. S., Jain, S., et al. (2017) · Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses · doi:10.1111/irv.12493 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Rao, C., John, A. J., Yadav, A. K., & Siraj, M. (2021) · BMJ Global Health · doi:10.1136/bmjgh-2021-007399 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Self-citationSubnational estimates of life expectancy at birth in India: evidence from NFHS and SRS data
Yadav, P. K., & Yadav, S. (2024) · BMC Public Health · doi:10.1186/s12889-024-18278-3 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Assessing mortality registration in Kerala: the MARANAM study
Gupta, A., & Mani, S. S. (2022) · Genus · doi:10.1186/s41118-021-00149-z · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Addressing critical knowledge and capacity gaps to sustain CRVS system development
Adair, T., Richards, N. C., Streatfield, A., Rajasekhar, M., McLaughlin, D., & López, A. D. (2020) · BMC Medicine · doi:10.1186/s12916-020-01523-y · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Dahuja, A., Bansal, K., Gupta, N., Arora, S., Garg, R. S., & Gupta, M. (2021) · Journal of Family Medicine and Primary Care · doi:10.4103/jfmpc.jfmpc_1595_20 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Self-citationPandey, A. K., Gautam, D., Benson, T. M., & Kharkwal, Y. (2022) · SN Social Sciences · doi:10.1007/s43545-022-00520-7 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Shah, M. K., Shah, M. A., Shah, S. D., Shah, P. K., Patel, K., & Gupta, M. (2022) · Journal of Family Medicine and Primary Care · doi:10.4103/jfmpc.jfmpc_1319_21 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Self-citationMittal, P., Raina, N., Gaikwad, H. S., Suneja, A., Nagpal, K., Mandal, A. K., & Gupta, M. (2025) · BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth · doi:10.1186/s12884-025-08019-8 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Self-citationJain, M., Jangale, G., Gawande, A. V., & Narlawar, U. (2025) · International Journal of Community Medicine and Public Health · doi:10.18203/2394-6040.ijcmph20252865 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Pandey, S. P., Chowdhury, H. R., & Adair, T. (2024) · Journal of Population Research · doi:10.1007/s12546-024-09338-x · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Gupta, M., Lakshmi, P. V. M., Prinja, S., Singh, T., Sirari, T., Rao, C., & Kumar, R. (2021) · International Journal of Microbiology Research · doi:10.4103/ijmr.ijmr_14_19 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Self-citationNational guidelines for data quality in surveys
Rao, M. V. V., Sahu, D., Nair, S., SHARMA, R. K., Gulati, B. K., Acharya, R., Mahapatra, B., Ramesh, S., Khan, N., Chaudhuri, T., et al. (2022) · The Indian Journal of Medical Research · doi:10.4103/ijmr.ijmr_1261_22 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
The COVID-19 pandemic death toll in India: can we know better?
Gupta, M., Rao, C., Yadav, A. K., Jat, M., Dhamija, R. K., & Saikia, N. (2023) · BMJ Global Health · doi:10.1136/bmjgh-2023-012818 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Self-citationSpatial disparities in death registration across states and districts of India, 2019-21
Singh, A., Kundu, A., Ram, S., Chandra, R. K., Tanti, A., Singh, S., & Kumar, V. (2025) · BMC Public Health · doi:10.1186/s12889-025-22707-2 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Who gets counted? Understanding low female death registration in India
Verma, S., Kamal, R., Dwivedi, L. K., & Bhatia, M. R. (2025) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0337224 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Controlled impact evaluation of a birth registration intervention, Burkina Faso
Martelli, E., Castiglioni, M., Dalla‐Zuanna, G., Gialloreti, L. E., Guiebre, C., Dabiret, H. M., Gulotta, A., Silvestrini, A., Domenicantonio, F. D., Gianturco, P., et al. (2019) · Bulletin of the World Health Organization · doi:10.2471/blt.18.221705 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Akhtar, S. N., & Anson, J. (2022) · doi:10.31219/osf.io/gnydz · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Assessing mortality registration in Kerala: The MARANAM StudyPreprint
Gupta, A., & Mani, S. S. (2020) · doi:10.31235/osf.io/jachq · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Mortality Surveillance at District Level is an Orphan: Can Indian Medical Colleges Adopt it?
Krishnan, A. (2023) · Indian Journal of Community Medicine · doi:10.4103/ijcm.ijcm_634_23 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Augustine, B. I., Babatunde, D., Sogbeh, S. A., Gevao, P., Elduma, A. H., & Gebru, G. N. (2023) · International Archives of Public Health and Community Medicine · doi:10.23937/2643-4512/1710092
Chaudhary, A., Singh, G. K., Hooda, A., Garg, J., Saharan, D., Kumar, S., Agrawal, K., & Pandit, N. A. (2024) · Cureus · doi:10.7759/cureus.54721
Mohapatra, N., Mishra, K., Debata, I., Ray, A., & Mishra, S. (2025) · Cureus · doi:10.7759/cureus.96525
Adair, T., Richards, N. C., Streatfield, A., Rajasekhar, M., McLaughlin, D., & López, A. D. (2020) · Figshare · doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.11992542
Strengthening India’s health systems through civil registration reforms
Khanna, V., & Kotwal, A. (2026) · Discover Public Health · doi:10.1186/s12982-026-01530-z
Maemun, S., Widiantari, A. D., Putri, N. S., Mariana, N., Rivaldiansyah, R., Tampubolon, M. L., Pratiwi, T. Z., Wijiarti, K., & Wahidin, M. (2026) · Biomedical & Pharmacology Journal · doi:10.13005/bpj/3448
- Authors
- Gupta, M., Rao, C., Lakshmi, P., Prinja, S., & Kumar, R.
- Affiliations
- Post Graduate Institute of Medical Education and Research (IN)
- Australian National University (AU)
- Corresponding author
- Gupta, Mamta
- Venue
- Bulletin of the World Health Organization
- Publisher
- WHO Press
- Published
- 2015-11-02
- Volume
- 94
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 10-21
- ISSN
- 0042-9686 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC4709797
- OpenAlex
- W2413356385
- Cited by
- 51
- References
- 11
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 3 · 2023: 6 · 2022: 7 · 2021: 8 · 2020: 9 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 1 · 2017: 6 · 2016: 1
- FWCI
- 6.77
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- diamond
- doi.org
- Licence
- cc-by
- Locations
- Bulletin of the World Health Organization (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- ANU Open Research (Australian National University) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Demography › Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › Health Information Management › Medical Coding and Health Information
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pediatrics, Perinatology and Child Health › Global Maternal and Child Health
- Keywords
- civil registration and vital statistics, mortality estimation, death registration completeness, cause of death classification, ill-defined causes of death, life tables, data quality, intersectoral coordination, capacity building, India, Punjab
- MeSH terms
- Data Accuracy, Cause of Death, Cross-Sectional Studies, Data Collection, Death Certificates, Humans, India, Life Expectancy, Vital Statistics, Life Tables
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review