Effects of Climate Change on Grassland Biodiversity and Productivity: The Need for a Diversity of Models
Open accessPublished version of a preprint
Abstract
There is increasing evidence that the impact of climate change on the productivity of grasslands will at least partly depend on their biodiversity. A high level of biodiversity may confer stability to grassland ecosystems against environmental change, but there are also direct effects of biodiversity on the quantity and quality of grassland productivity. To explain the manifold interactions, and to predict future climatic responses, models may be used. However, models designed for studying the interaction between biodiversity and productivity tend to be structurally different from models for studying the effects of climatic impacts. Here we review the literature on the impacts of climate change on biodiversity and productivity of grasslands. We first discuss the availability of data for model development. Then we analyse strengths and weaknesses of three types of model: ecological, process-based and integrated. We discuss the merits of this model diversity and the scope for merging different model types.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Natural temperate grasslands are now reduced to a fraction of their original area and are considered one of the most endangered biomes.
“natural temperate grasslands are now reduced to a fraction of their original area and are considered one of the most endangered biomes in the world (27,28).”
From Restoring Degraded Lands (2021) · cites this paper as [28]
The Introduction describes permanent grasslands as biodiversity hot spots, but does not say natural temperate grasslands have shrunk to a fraction of their original area or rank among the most endangered biomes. Searches for their original extent, loss, and endangered status found no passage addressing those claims in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.70)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Accelerated modern human–induced species losses: Entering the sixth mass extinction
Ceballos, G., Ehrlich, P. R., Barnosky, A. D., García, A., Pringle, R. M., & Palmer, T. M. (2015) · Science Advances · doi:10.1126/sciadv.1400253 · Cited by 4,220 · see citing works
Cardinale, B. J., Wright, J. P., Cadotte, M. W., Carroll, I. T., Hector, A., Srivastava, D. S., Loreau, M., & Weis, J. J. (2007) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0709069104 · Cited by 1,537 · see citing works
Biodiversity and ecosystem multifunctionality
Hector, A., & Bagchi, R. (2007) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature05947 · Cited by 1,412 · see citing works
Jing, X., Sanders, N. J., Shi, Y., Chu, H., Classen, A. T., Zhao, K., Chen, L., Shi, Y., Jiang, Y., & He, J.-S. (2015) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/ncomms9159 · Cited by 895 · cited 1× · see citing works
“[87] demonstrated the importance of belowground biodiversity for ecosystem multifunctionality at 60 sites on the Tibetan Plateau, covering an area of over one million km2.”
BackgroundMultiple functions increase the importance of biodiversity for overall ecosystem functioning
Gamfeldt, L., Hillebrand, H., & Jonsson, P. R. (2008) · Ecology · doi:10.1890/06-2091.1 · Cited by 635 · see citing works
Hector, A., Hautier, Y., Saner, P., Wacker, L., Bagchi, R., Joshi, J., Scherer-Lorenzen, M., Spehn, E. M., Bazeley-White, E., Weilenmann, M., et al. (2010) · Ecology · doi:10.1890/09-1162.1 · Cited by 591 · cited 1× · see citing works
“[64], analysing data from eight sites, found that grassland biodiversity enhanced the stability of productivity over time primarily because of asynchrony in population development.”
Background
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 91
- Marriott, C.; Fothergill, M.; Jeangros, B.; Scotton, M.; Louault, F. Long-term impacts of extensification of grassland management on biodiversity and productivity in upland areas: A review. Agronomie 2004, 24, 447-462. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Myers, N.; Mittermeier, R.A.; Mittermeier, C.G.; da Fonseca, G.A.B.; Kent, J. Biodiversity hotspots for conservation priorities. Nature 2000, 403, 853. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI · Paper page
- Henkin, Z.; Perevolotsky, A.; Sternberg, M. Vulnerability of Mediterranean grasslands to climate change: What can we learn from a long-term experiment. Options Méditerr. Sér. A Sém. Méditerr. 2010, 92, 167-174.
- Oliver, T.H.; Heard, M.S.; Isaac, N.J.B.; Roy, D.B.; Procter, D.; Eigenbrod, F.; Freckleton, R.; Hector, A.; Orme, C.D.L.; Petchey, O.L.; et al. Biodiversity and Resilience of Ecosystem Functions. Trends Ecol. Evol. 2015, 30, 673-684. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
- Mace, G.M.; Norris, K.; Fitter, A.H. Biodiversity and ecosystem services: A multilayered relationship. Trends Ecol. Evol. 2012, 27, 19-26. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI · Paper page
- Fetzer, I.; Johst, K.; Schäwe, R.; Banitz, T.; Harms, H.; Chatzinotas, A. The extent of functional redundancy changes as species' roles shift in different environments. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 2015, 112, 14888-14893. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
- Isbell, F.; Calcagno, V.; Hector, A.; Connolly, J.; Harpole, W.S.; Reich, P.B.; Scherer-Lorenzen, M.; Schmid, B.; Tilman, D.; van Ruijven, J.; et al. High plant diversity is needed to maintain ecosystem services. Nature 2011, 477, 199. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI · Paper page
- Duffy, J.E.; Cardinale, B.J.; France, K.E.; McIntyre, P.B.; Thébault, E.; Loreau, M. The functional role of biodiversity in ecosystems: Incorporating trophic complexity. Ecol. Lett. 2007, 10, 522-538. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI · Paper page
- Ings, T.C.; Montoya, J.M.; Bascompte, J.; Blüthgen, N.; Brown, L.; Dormann, C.F.; Edwards, F.; Figueroa, D.; Jacob, U.; Jones, J.I.; et al. Review: Ecological networks beyond food webs. J. Anim. Ecol. 2009, 78, 253-269. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI · Paper page
- Novak, M.; Wootton, J.T.; Doak, D.F.; Emmerson, M.; Estes, J.A.; Tinker, M.T. Predicting community responses to perturbations in the face of imperfect knowledge and network complexity. Ecology 2011, 92, 836-846. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
- Delaby, L.; Baumont, R.; Peccatte, J.R.; Aufrère, J.; Peyraud, J.L. Description and prediction of multi-species pasture nutritive value across the grazing season. Grassland in a changing world. In Proceedings of the 23rd General Meeting of the European Grassland Federation, Kiel, Germany, 29 August-2 September 2010; pp. 485-487.
- Lüscher, A.; Mueller-Harvey, I.; Soussana, J.F.; Rees, R.M.; Peyraud, J.L. Potential of legume-based grasslandlivestock systems in Europe: A review. Grass Forage Sci. 2014, 69, 206-228. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
- Stergiadis, S.; Leifert, C.; Seal, C.J.; Eyre, M.D.; Larsen, M.K.; Slots, T.; Nielsen, J.H.; Butler, G. A 2-year study on milk quality from three pasture-based dairy systems of contrasting production intensities in Wales. J. Agric. Sci. 2015, 153, 708-731. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Rutledge, S.; Wall, A.M.; Mudge, P.L.; Troughton, B.; Campbell, D.I.; Pronger, J.; Joshi, C.; Schipper, L.A. The carbon balance of temperate grasslands part I: The impact of increased species diversity. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 2017, 239, 310-323. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Alkemade, R.; Reid, R.S.; van den Berg, M.; de Leeuw, J.; Jeuken, M. Assessing the impacts of livestock production on biodiversity in rangeland ecosystems. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 2013, 110, 20900-20905. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
- Bullock, J.M.; Jefferson, R.G.; Blackstock, T.H.; Pakeman, R.J.; Emmett, B.A.; Pywell, R.J.; Grime, J.P.; Silvertown, J. Semi-Natural Grasslands; Technical Report; UN Environment World Conservation Monitoring Centre (UNEP-WCMC): Cambridge, UK, 2011.
- Gottfried, M.; Pauli, H.; Futschik, A.; Akhalkatsi, M.; Barančok, P.; Benito Alonso, J.L.; Coldea, G.; Dick, J.; Erschbamer, B.; Fernández Calzado, M.R.; et al. Continent-wide response of mountain vegetation to climate change. Nat. Clim. Chang. 2012, 2, 111-115. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Gavazov, K.; Peringer, A.; Buttler, A.; Gillet, F.; Spiegelberger, T. Dynamics of Forage Production in Pasture-woodlands of the Swiss Jura Mountains under Projected Climate Change Scenarios. Ecol. Soc. 2013, 18. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Ergon, Å.; Seddaiu, G.; Korhonen, P.; Virkajärvi, P.; Bellocchi, G.; Jørgensen, M.; Østrem, L.; Reheul, D.; Volaire, F. How can forage production in Nordic and Mediterranean Europe adapt to the challenges and opportunities arising from climate change? Eur. J. Agron. 2018, 92, 97-106. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Soussana, J.F.; Graux, A.I.; Tubiello, F.N. Improving the use of modelling for projections of climate change impacts on crops and pastures. J. Exp. Bot. 2010, 61, 2217-2228. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
- Cammarano, D.; Rivington, M.; Matthews, K.; Miller, D.; Bellocchi, G. Implications of climate model biases and downscaling on crop model simulated climate change impacts. Eur. J. Agron. 2017, 88, 63-75. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Pulina, A.; Lai, R.; Salis, L.; Seddaiu, G.; Roggero, P.P.; Bellocchi, G. Modelling pasture production and soil temperature, water and carbon fluxes in Mediterranean grassland systems with the Pasture Simulation model. Grass Forage Sci. 2017, 1-12. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Sándor, R.; Picon-Cochard, C.; Martin, R.; Louault, F.; Klumpp, K.; Borras, D.; Bellocchi, G. Plant acclimation to temperature: Developments in the Pasture Simulation model. Field Crops Res. 2017. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Bai, Y.; Wu, J.; Pan, Q.; Huang, J.; Wang, Q.; Li, F.; Buyantuyev, A.; Han, X. Positive linear relationship between productivity and diversity: Evidence from the Eurasian Steppe. J. Appl. Ecol. 2007, 44, 1023-1034. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Lavorel, S.; Grigulis, K.; Lamarque, P.; Colace, M.-P.; Garden, D.; Girel, J.; Pellet, G.; Douzet, R. Using plant functional traits to understand the landscape distribution of multiple ecosystem services. J. Ecol. 2011, 99, 135-147. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Connolly, J.; Bell, T.; Bolger, T.; Brophy, C.; Carnus, T.; Finn, J.A.; Kirwan, L.; Isbell, F.; Levine, J.; Lüscher, A.; et al. An improved model to predict the effects of changing biodiversity levels on ecosystem function. J. Ecol. 2013, 101, 344-355. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Grace, J.B.; Michael Anderson, T.; Smith, M.D.; Seabloom, E.; Andelman, S.J.; Meche, G.; Weiher, E.; Allain, L.K.; Jutila, H.; Sankaran, M.; et al. Does species diversity limit productivity in natural grassland communities? Ecol. Lett. 2007, 10, 680-689. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI · Paper page
- Lee, M.; Manning, P.; Rist, J.; Power, S.A.; Marsh, C. A global comparison of grassland biomass responses to CO 2 and nitrogen enrichment. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. B Biol. Sci. 2010, 365, 2047-2056. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
- Mauchamp, L.; Mouly, A.; Badot, P.-M.; Gillet, F. Impact of management type and intensity on multiple facets of grassland biodiversity in the French Jura Mountains. Appl. Veg. Sci. 2014, 17, 645-657. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Amiri, F.; bin Mohamed Shariff, A.R.; Tabatabaie, T.; Pradhan, B. A geospatial model for the optimization grazing management in semi-arid rangeland of Iran. Arabian J. Geosci. 2013, 7, 1101-1114. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Milchunas, D.; Sala, O.E.; Lauenroth, W. A generalized model of the effects of grazing by large herbivores on grassland community structure. Am. Nat. 1988, 132, 87-106. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Bai, Y.; Abouguendia, Z.; Redmann, R.E. Relationship between plant species diversity and grassland condition. J. Range Manag. 2001, 54, 177-183. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Hunt, L. Heterogeneous grazing causes local extinction of edible perennial shrubs: A matrix analysis. J. Appl. Ecol. 2001, 38, 238-252. [CrossRef] · DOI
- May, F.; Grimm, V.; Jeltsch, F. Reversed effects of grazing on plant diversity: The role of below-ground competition and size symmetry. Oikos 2009, 118, 1830-1843. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Weiss, L.; Pfestorf, H.; May, F.; Körner, K.; Boch, S.; Fischer, M.; Müller, J.; Prati, D.; Socher, S.A.; Jeltsch, F. Grazing response patterns indicate isolation of semi-natural European grasslands. Oikos 2014, 123, 599-612. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Maire, V.; Gross, N.; Hill, D.; Martin, R.; Wirth, C.; Wright, I.J.; Soussana, J.-F. Disentangling Coordination among Functional Traits Using an Individual-Centred Model: Impact on Plant Performance at Intra-and Inter-Specific Levels. PLoS ONE 2013, 8, e77372. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
- Maire, V.; Soussana, J.-F.; Gross, N.; Bachelet, B.; Pagès, L.; Martin, R.; Reinhold, T.; Wirth, C.; Hill, D. Plasticity of plant form and function sustains productivity and dominance along environment and competition gradients. A modeling experiment with Gemini. Ecol. Model. 2013, 254, 80-91. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Tilman, D.; Lehman, C.L.; Thomson, K.T. Plant diversity and ecosystem productivity: Theoretical considerations. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 1997, 94, 1857-1861. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
- Loreau, M.; Mouquet, N.; Gonzalez, A. Biodiversity as spatial insurance in heterogeneous landscapes. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 2003, 100, 12765-12770. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI · Paper page
- De Mazancourt, C.; Isbell, F.; Larocque, A.; Berendse, F.; De Luca, E.; Grace, J.B.; Haegeman, B.; Wayne Polley, H.; Roscher, C.; Schmid, B.; et al. Predicting ecosystem stability from community composition and biodiversity. Ecol. Lett. 2013, 16, 617-625. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI · Paper page
- Cannell, M.G.R.; Thornley, J.H.M. N-poor ecosystems may respond more to elevated [CO 2 ] than N-rich ones in the long term. A model analysis of grassland. Glob. Chang. Biol. 1998, 4, 431-442. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Vuichard, N.; Ciais, P.; Viovy, N.; Calanca, P.; Soussana, J.-F. Estimating the greenhouse gas fluxes of European grasslands with a process-based model: 2. Simulations at the continental level. Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles 2007, 21. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Ma, S.; Lardy, R.; Graux, A.-I.; Ben Touhami, H.; Klumpp, K.; Martin, R.; Bellocchi, G. Regional-scale analysis of carbon and water cycles on managed grassland systems. Environ. Model. Softw. 2015, 72, 356-371. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Sándor, R.; Barcza, Z.; Acutis, M.; Doro, L.; Hidy, D.; Köchy, M.; Minet, J.; Lellei-Kovács, E.; Ma, S.; Perego, A.; et al. Multi-model simulation of soil temperature, soil water content and biomass in Euro-Mediterranean grasslands: Uncertainties and ensemble performance. Eur. J. Agron. 2017, 88, 22-40. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Ehrhardt, F.; Soussana, J.-F.; Bellocchi, G.; Grace, P.; McAuliffe, R.; Recous, S.; Sándor, R.; Smith, P.; Snow, V.; de Antoni Migliorati, M.; et al. Assessing uncertainties in crop and pasture ensemble model simulations of productivity and N 2 O emissions. Glob. Chang. Biol. 2017, 24, e603-e616. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
- Baudena, M.; Dekker, S.C.; van Bodegom, P.M.; Cuesta, B.; Higgins, S.I.; Lehsten, V.; Reick, C.H.; Rietkerk, M.; Scheiter, S.; Yin, Z.; et al. Forests, savannas, and grasslands: Bridging the knowledge gap between ecology and Dynamic Global Vegetation Models. Biogeosciences 2015, 12, 1833-1848. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Soussana, J.-F.; Maire, V.; Gross, N.; Bachelet, B.; Pagès, L.; Martin, R.; Hill, D.; Wirth, C. Gemini: A grassland model simulating the role of plant traits for community dynamics and ecosystem functioning. Parameterization and evaluation. Ecol. Model. 2012, 231, 134-145. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Höglind, M.; Van Oijen, M.; Cameron, D.; Persson, T. Process-based simulation of growth and overwintering of grassland using the BASGRA model. Ecol. Model. 2016, 335, 1-15. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Donatelli, M.; Magarey, R.D.; Bregaglio, S.; Willocquet, L.; Whish, J.P.M.; Savary, S. Modelling the impacts of pests and diseases on agricultural systems. Agric. Syst. 2017, 155, 213-224. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
- Munier-Jolain, N.M.; Guyot, S.H.M.; Colbach, N. A 3D model for light interception in heterogeneous crop:Weed canopies: Model structure and evaluation. Ecol. Model. 2013, 250, 101-110. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Clark, B.; Bullock, S. Shedding light on plant competition: Modelling the influence of plant morphology on light capture (and vice versa). J. Theor. Biol. 2007, 244, 208-217. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
- Landuyt, D.; Broekx, S.; D'hondt, R.; Engelen, G.; Aertsens, J.; Goethals, P.L.M. A review of Bayesian belief networks in ecosystem service modelling. Environ. Model. Softw. 2013, 46, 1-11. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Davis, T.H. Biography of David Tilman. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 2004, 101, 10851-10853. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
- Tilman, D.; Wedin, D.; Knops, J. Productivity and sustainability influenced by biodiversity in grassland ecosystems. Nature 1996, 379, 718-720. [CrossRef] · DOI · Paper page
- Niu, D.; Yuan, X.; Cease, A.J.; Wen, H.; Zhang, C.; Fu, H.; Elser, J.J. The impact of nitrogen enrichment on grassland ecosystem stability depends on nitrogen addition level. Sci. Total Environ. 2017. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
- Yang, H.; Jiang, L.; Li, L.; Li, A.; Wu, M.; Wan, S. Diversity-dependent stability under mowing and nutrient addition: Evidence from a 7-year grassland experiment. Ecol. Lett. 2012, 15, 619-626. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
- Zhang, Y.; Loreau, M.; He, N.; Zhang, G.; Han, X. Mowing exacerbates the loss of ecosystem stability under nitrogen enrichment in a temperate grassland. Funct. Ecol. 2017, 31, 1637-1646. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
- Ji, S.; Geng, Y.; Li, D.; Wang, G. Plant coverage is more important than species richness in enhancing aboveground biomass in a premature grassland, northern China. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 2009, 129, 491-496. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Assaf, T.A.; Beyschlag, W.; Isselstein, J. The Relationship between Plant Diversity and Productivity in Natural and in Managed Grasslands. Appl. Ecol. Environ. Res. 2011, 9, 157-166. [CrossRef] · DOI
- De Boeck, H.; Lemmens, C.; Gielen, B.; Bossuyt, H.; Malchair, S.; Carnol, M.; Merckx, R.; Ceulemans, R.; Nijs, I. Combined effects of climate warming and plant diversity loss on above-and below-ground grassland productivity. Environ. Exp. Bot. 2007, 60, 95-104. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Soussana, J.-F.; Lüscher, A. Temperate grasslands and global atmospheric change: A review. Grass Forage Sci. 2007, 62, 127-134. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Cantarel, A.A.M.; Bloor, J.M.G.; Soussana, J.-F. Four years of simulated climate change reduces above-ground productivity and alters functional diversity in a grassland ecosystem. J. Veg. Sci. 2013, 24, 113-126. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Rapacz, M.; Ergon, Å.; Höglind, M.; Jørgensen, M.; Jurczyk, B.; Østrem, L.; Rognli, O.A.; Tronsmo, A.M. Overwintering of herbaceous plants in a changing climate. Still more questions than answers. Plant Sci. 2014, 225, 34-44. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
- Davidson, I.A.; Robson, M.J.; Drennan, D.S.H. Effect of Temperature and Nitrogen Supply on the Growth of Perennial Ryegrass and White Clover. 1. Carbon and Nitrogen Economies of Mixed Swards at Low Temperature. Ann. Bot. 1986, 57, 697-708. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Woledge, J. Competition between grass and clover in spring as affected by nitrogen fertiliser. Ann. Appl. Biol. 1988, 112, 175-186. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Nesheim, L.; Boller, B.C. Nitrogen fixation by white clover when competing with grasses at moderately low temperatures. Plant Soil 1991, 133, 47-56. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Zanetti, S.; Hartwig, U.A.; van Kessel, C.; Lüscher, A.; Hebeisen, T.; Frehner, M.; Fischer, B.U.; Hendrey, G.R.; Blum, H.; Nösberger, J. Does nitrogen nutrition restrict the CO 2 response of fertile grassland lacking legumes? Oecologia 1997, 112, 17-25. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
- Steinshamn, H.; Höglind, M.; Havrevoll, Ø.; Saarem, K.; Lombnæs, I.H.; Steinheim, G.; Svendsen, A. Performance and meat quality of suckling calves grazing cultivated pasture or free range in mountain. Livest. Sci. 2010, 132, 87-97. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Willems, H.; Kreuzer, M.; Leiber, F. Vegetation-type effects on performance and meat quality of growing Engadine and Valaisian Black Nose sheep grazing alpine pastures. Livest. Sci. 2013, 151, 80-91. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Roca-Fernández, A.I.; Peyraud, J.L.; Delaby, L.; Delagarde, R. Pasture intake and milk production of dairy cows rotationally grazing on multi-species swards. Animal 2016, 10, 1448-1456. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
- Brophy, C.; Finn, J.A.; Lüscher, A.; Suter, M.; Kirwan, L.; Sebastià, M.-T.; Helgadóttir, Á.; Baadshaug, O.H.; Bélanger, G.; Black, A.; et al. Major shifts in species' relative abundance in grassland mixtures alongside positive effects of species diversity in yield: A continental-scale experiment. J. Ecol. 2017, 105, 1210-1222. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Ives, A.R.; Carpenter, S.R. Stability and Diversity of Ecosystems. Science 2007, 317, 58-62. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
- Lange, M.; Eisenhauer, N.; Sierra, C.A.; Bessler, H.; Engels, C.; Griffiths, R.I.; Mellado-Vázquez, P.G.; Malik, A.A.; Roy, J.; Scheu, S.; et al. Plant diversity increases soil microbial activity and soil carbon storage. Nat. Commun. 2015, 6. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI · Paper page
- Homburger, H.; Hofer, G. Diversity change of mountain hay meadows in the Swiss Alps. Basic Appl. Ecol. 2012, 13, 132-138. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Wesche, K.; Krause, B.; Culmsee, H.; Leuschner, C. Fifty years of change in Central European grassland vegetation: Large losses in species richness and animal-pollinated plants. Biol. Conserv. 2012, 150, 76-85. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Gillet, F.; Mauchamp, L.; Badot, P.-M.; Mouly, A. Recent changes in mountain grasslands: A vegetation resampling study. Ecol. Evol. 2016, 6, 2333-2345. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
- Ciais, P.; Soussana, J.F.; Vuichard, N.; Luyssaert, S.; Don, A.; Janssens, I.A.; Piao, S.L.; Dechow, R.; Lathière, J.; Maignan, F.; et al. The greenhouse gas balance of European grasslands. Biogeosci. Discuss. 2010, 7, 5997-6050. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Bénié, G.B.; Kaboré, S.S.; Goïta, K.; Courel, M.F. Remote sensing-based spatio-temporal modeling to predict biomass in Sahelian grazing ecosystem. Ecol. Model. 2005, 184, 341-354. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Feenstra, J.F., Burton, I., Smith, J.B., Tol, R.S.J., Eds.; UNEP: Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 1998; pp. 1-34.
- Hautier, Y.; Tilman, D.; Isbell, F.; Seabloom, E.W.; Borer, E.T.; Reich, P.B. Anthropogenic environmental changes affect ecosystem stability via biodiversity. Science 2015, 348, 336-340. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
- Rillig, M.C.; Kiessling, W.; Borsch, T.; Gessler, A.; Greenwood, A.D.; Hofer, H.; Joshi, J.; Schröder, B.; Thonicke, K.; Tockner, K.; et al. Biodiversity research: Data without theory-Theory without data. Conservation 2015, 3, 20. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Loreau, M.; Naeem, S.; Inchausti, P.; Bengtsson, J.; Grime, J.P.; Hector, A.; Hooper, D.U.; Huston, M.A.; Raffaelli, D.; Schmid, B.; et al. Biodiversity and Ecosystem Functioning: Current Knowledge and Future Challenges. Science 2001, 294, 804-808. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI · Paper page
- Brilli, L.; Bechini, L.; Bindi, M.; Carozzi, M.; Cavalli, D.; Conant, R.; Dorich, C.D.; Doro, L.; Ehrhardt, F.; Farina, R.; et al. Review and analysis of strengths and weaknesses of agro-ecosystem models for simulating C and N fluxes. Sci. Total Environ. 2017, 598, 445-470. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI · Paper page
- Violle, C.; Choler, P.; Borgy, B.; Garnier, E.; Amiaud, B.; Debarros, G.; Diquelou, S.; Gachet, S.; Jolivet, C.; Kattge, J.; et al. Vegetation ecology meets ecosystem science: Permanent grasslands as a functional biogeography case study. Sci. Total Environ. 2015, 534, 43-51. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
- Confalonieri, R. CoSMo: A simple approach for reproducing plant community dynamics using a single instance of generic crop simulators. Ecol. Model. 2014, 286, 1-10. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Peringer, A.; Siehoff, S.; Chételat, J.; Spiegelberger, T.; Buttler, A.; Gillet, F. Past and future landscape dynamics in pasture-woodlands of the Swiss Jura Mountains under climate change. Ecol. Soc. 2013, 18, 11. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Bullock, J.; Franklin, J.; Stevenson, M.; Silvertown, J.; Coulson, S.; Gregory, S.; Tofts, R. A plant trait analysis of responses to grazing in a long-term experiment. J. Appl. Ecol. 2001, 38, 253-267. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Van Oijen, M.; Höglind, M. Toward a Bayesian procedure for using process-based models in plant breeding, with application to ideotype design. Euphytica 2016, 207, 627-643. [CrossRef] · DOI
- Van Oijen, M.; Cameron, D.; Butterbach-Bahl, K.; Farahbakhshazad, N.; Jansson, P.-E.; Kiese, R.; Rahn, K.-H.; Werner, C.; Yeluripati, J. A Bayesian framework for model calibration, comparison and analysis: Application to four models for the biogeochemistry of a Norway spruce forest. Agric. For. Meteorol. 2011, 151, 1609-1621. [CrossRef] 100. Van Oijen, M.; Reyer, C.; Bohn, F.; Cameron, D.; Deckmyn, G.; Flechsig, M.; Härkönen, S.; Hartig, F.; Huth, A.; Kiviste, A.; et al. Bayesian calibration, comparison and averaging of six forest models, using data from Scots pine stands across Europe. For. Ecol. Manag. 2013, 289, 255-268. [CrossRef] 101. Korhonen, P.; Palosuo, T.; Persson, T.; Höglind, M.; Jego, G.; Van Oijen, M.; Gustavsson, A.-M.; Belanger, G.; Virkajärvi, P. Modelling grass yields in northern climates-A comparison of three growth models for timothy. Field Crops Res. 2017, submitted. 102. Van Oijen, M. Bayesian Methods for Quantifying and Reducing Uncertainty and Error in Forest Models. Curr. For. Rep. 2017, 3, 269-280. [CrossRef] 103. Tilman, D.; Downing, J.A. Biodiversity and stability in grasslands. Nature 1994, 367, 363-365. [CrossRef] 104. Lemaire, G.; Wilkins, R.; Hodgson, J. Challenges for grassland science: Managing research priorities. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 2005, 108, 99-108. [CrossRef] 105. Muscardi, D.C.; Schoereder, J.H.; Sperber, C.F. Biodiversity and Ecosystem Functioning: A Conceptual Model of Leaf Litter Decomposition. In Biodiversity-The Dynamic Balance of the Planet; Grillo, O., Ed.; InTech: London, UK, 2014; ISBN 978-953-51-1315-7. 106. Van Oijen, M.; Balkovic, J.; Beer, C.; Cameron, D.R.; Ciais, P.; Cramer, W.; Kato, T.; Kuhnert, M.; Martin, R.; Myneni, R.; et al. Impact of droughts on the carbon cycle in European vegetation: A probabilistic risk analysis using six vegetation models. Biogeosciences 2014, 11, 6357-6375. [CrossRef] 107. Colwell, R.K. Biodiversity: Concepts, patterns, and measurement. In The Princeton Guide to Ecology; Princeton University Press: Princeton, NJ, USA, 2009; pp. 257-263. 108. · DOI
- Beynon, S.A.; Mann, D.J.; Slade, E.M.; Lewis, O.T. Species-rich dung beetle communities buffer ecosystem services in perturbed agro-ecosystems. J. Appl. Ecol. 2012, 49, 1365-1372. [CrossRef] 109. De Vries, F.T.; Bloem, J.; Quirk, H.; Stevens, C.J.; Bol, R.; Bardgett, R.D. Extensive Management Promotes Plant and Microbial Nitrogen Retention in Temperate Grassland. PLoS ONE 2012, 7, e51201. [CrossRef] [PubMed] 110. Littlewood, N.A.; Stewart, A.J.A.; Woodcock, B.A. Science into practice how can fundamental science contribute to better management of grasslands for invertebrates? Insect Conserv. Divers. 2012, 5, 1-8. [CrossRef] 111. Philippot, L.; Spor, A.; Hénault, C.; Bru, D.; Bizouard, F.; Jones, C.M.; Sarr, A.; Maron, P.-A. Loss in microbial diversity affects nitrogen cycling in soil. ISME J. 2013, 7, 1609-1619. [CrossRef] [PubMed] 112. Wachendorf, M.; Fricke, T.; Möckel, T. Remote sensing as a tool to assess botanical composition, structure, quantity and quality of temperate grasslands. Grass Forage Sci. 2017, 1-15. [CrossRef] 113. Diodato, N.; Bellocchi, G. Modelling vegetation greenness responses to climate variability in a Mediterranean terrestrial ecosystem. Environ. Monitor. Assess. 2008, 143, 147-159. [CrossRef] [PubMed] 114. · DOI
- Gaitán, J.J.; Bran, D.; Oliva, G.; Maestre, F.T.; Aguiar, M.R.; Jobbágy, E.; Buono, G.; Ferrante, D.; Nakamatsu, V.; Ciari, G.; et al. Plant species richness and shrub cover attenuate drought effects on ecosystem functioning across Patagonian rangelands. Biol. Lett. 2014, 10, 20140673. [CrossRef] [PubMed] 115. Balvanera, P.; Siddique, I.; Dee, L.; Paquette, A.; Isbell, F.; Gonzalez, A.; Byrnes, J.; O'Connor, M.I.; Hungate, B.A.; Griffin, J.N. Linking Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services: Current Uncertainties and the Necessary Next Steps. BioScience 2013. [CrossRef] · DOI · Paper page
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Arneth, A., Olsson, L., Cowie, A., Erb, K.-H., Hurlbert, M., Kurz, W. A., Mirzabaev, A., & Rounsevell, M. D. A. (2021) · Annual Review of Environment and Resources · doi:10.1146/annurev-environ-012320-054809 · Cited by 106 · see citing works
“Sustainable land management (SLM): the stewardship and use of land resources to meet changing human needs, while simultaneously ensuring the longterm productive potential of these resources and the maintenance of their environmental functions 8% of the land surface, natural temperate grasslands are now reduced to a fr…”
Background
- Authors
- Van Oijen, M., Bellocchi, G., & Höglind, M.
- Affiliations
- Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Bush Estate, Penicuik EH26 0QB, UK
- Institut National de Recherche pour l'Agriculture, l'Alimentation et l'Environnement (FR)
- Norwegian Institute of Bioeconomy Research, 4353 Klepp Stasjon, Norway
- Venue
- Agronomy
- Publisher
- MDPI AG
- Published
- 2018-02-02
- Volume
- 8
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 14
- ISSN
- 2073-4395 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2773759334
- Cited by
- 74
- References
- 6
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2025: 6 · 2024: 8 · 2023: 14 · 2022: 11 · 2021: 8 · 2020: 10 · 2019: 10 · 2018: 4
- FWCI
- 6.28
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Agronomy (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Preprints.org (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- NERC Open Research Archive (Natural Environment Research Council) (acceptedVersion)
- HAL (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- NORA - Norwegian Open Research Archives (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- Norges Forskningsråd
- Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique
- Natural Environment Research Council (ceh020011)
- Norsk institutt for Bioøkonomi
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Forestry › Pasture and Agricultural Systems
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics › Climate change impacts on agriculture
- Keywords
- climate change, grassland biodiversity, grassland productivity, biodiversity-productivity relationship, ecosystem stability, ecological model, mechanistic model, integrated model, model diversity, model merging
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review