Cited by 182Transportation and Mobility InnovationsTransportation Planning and OptimizationHuman-Automation Interaction and Safety

Unintended effects of autonomous driving: a study on mobility preferences in the future

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Pakusch, Christina, Stevens, Gunnar, Boden, Alexander, Bossauer, Paul·2018·Sustainability

Abstract

Innovations in the mobility industry such as automated and connected cars could significantly reduce congestion and emissions by allowing the traffic to flow more freely and reducing the number of vehicles according to some researchers. However, the effectiveness of these sustainable product and service innovations is often limited by unexpected changes in consumption: some researchers thus hypothesize that the higher comfort and improved quality of time in driverless cars could lead to an increase in demand for driving with autonomous vehicles. So far, there is a lack of empirical evidence supporting either one or other of these hypotheses. To analyze the influence of autonomous driving on mobility behavior and to uncover user preferences, which serve as indicators for future travel mode choices, we conducted an online survey with a paired comparison of current and future travel modes with 302 participants in Germany. The results do not confirm the hypothesis that ownership will become an outdated model in the future. Instead they suggest that private cars, whether conventional or fully automated, will remain the preferred travel mode. At the same time, carsharing will benefit from full automation more than private cars. However, the findings indicate that the growth of carsharing will mainly be at the expense of public transport, showing that more emphasis should be placed in making public transport more attractive if sustainable mobility is to be developed.

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Research works printed but not linked: 5

  1. Pakusch, C.; Bossauer, P.; Shakoor, M.; Stevens, G. Using, Sharing, and Owning Smart Cars. In Proceedings of the 13th International Joint Conference on e-Business and Telecommunications (ICETE 2016), Lisbon, Portugal, 26-28 July 2016; Volume 2, pp. 19-30.
  2. Train, K.E. Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation; Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK, 2009; ISBN 1-139-48037-5.
  3. Wödl, S.; Pakusch, C.; Bossauer, P.; Stevens, G. Auswirkungen vollautomatisierter PKWs auf die Verkehrsmittelwahl. Int. Verkehrswesen 2017, 69, 68-72.
  4. Bortz, J.; Döring, N. Forschungsmethoden und Evaluation; Springer: Berlin, Germany, 2013.
  5. Agresti, A. An Introduction to Categorical Data Analysis; Wiley: New York, NY, USA, 1996; Volume 135.

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Authors
Pakusch, C., Stevens, G., Boden, A., & Bossauer, P.
Affiliations
  • Hochschule Bonn-Rhein-Sieg (DE)
  • Fraunhofer Institute for Applied Information Technology (DE)
Corresponding author
Pakusch, Christina
Venue
Sustainability
Publisher
MDPI AG
Published
2018-07-10
Volume
10
Issue
7
Pages
2404
ISSN
2071-1050 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2864510016
Cited by
182
References
62
Citations by year
2026: 7 · 2025: 8 · 2024: 26 · 2023: 40 · 2022: 25 · 2021: 33 · 2020: 25 · 2019: 15 · 2018: 3
FWCI
10.09
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Sustainability (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
  • Publikationsdatenbank der Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft (Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
  • Publication Server of Bonn-Rhein-Sieg University of Applied Sciences (Bonn-Rhein-Sieg University of Applied Sciences) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • Fraunhofer-Publica (Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft) (submittedVersion)
Funders
Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (MTI/KGr-710-CaB)
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Engineering › Automotive Engineering › Transportation and Mobility Innovations
  • Social Sciences › Transportation › Transportation Planning and Optimization
  • Social Sciences › Psychology › Social Psychology › Human-Automation Interaction and Safety
Keywords
autonomous driving, mobility preferences, mode choice, car sharing, public transport, private car ownership, sustainable transport, connected vehicles, user preferences

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