Historical (1750–2014) anthropogenic emissions of reactive gases and aerosols from the Community Emissions Data System (CEDS)
Open accessPublished version of a preprint
Abstract
Abstract. We present a new data set of annual historical (1750–2014) anthropogenic chemically reactive gases (CO, CH4, NH3, NOX, SO2, NMVOC), carbonaceous aerosols (BC and OC), and CO2 developed with the Community Emissions Database System (CEDS). We improve upon existing inventories with a more consistent and reproducible methodology applied to all emissions species, updated emission factors, and recent estimates through 2014. The data system relies on existing energy consumption data sets and regional and country-specific inventories to produce trends over recent decades. All emissions species are consistently estimated using the same activity data over all time periods. Emissions are provided on an annual basis at the level of country and sector and gridded with monthly seasonality. These estimates are comparable to, but generally slightly higher than, existing global inventories. Emissions over the most recent years are more uncertain, particularly in low- and middle-income regions where country-specific emission inventories are less available. Future work will involve refining and updating these emission estimates, estimating emissions uncertainty, and publication of the system as open source software.
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Open burning of MSW contributes 11% to total global PM2.5 emissions and 6-7% to total global black carbon emissions.
“specifically, it contributes 11% to total global particulate matter <2.5 µm (PM2.5) emissions and 6–7% to total global black carbon (BC) emissions31,32.”
From Potential for future reductions of global GHG and air pollutants from circular waste management systems (2022) · cites this paper as [31]
Ref. 20 calculates CO2 emissions from open burning of MSW of 1413 Tg/yr in 2010, around 10-15 times higher than ref. 31,46 and this study.
“Reference 20 calculates CO2 emissions from open burning of MSW of 1413 Tg/yr in 2010, estimate that is around 10–15 times higher than that from ref. 31,46 and the one from this study.”
From Potential for future reductions of global GHG and air pollutants from circular waste management systems (2022) · cites this paper as [31]
Our estimate of CH4 emissions from MSW is 17% lower than the estimate by ref. 31.
“Our estimate is 17% lower than the one estimated by ref. 31”
From Potential for future reductions of global GHG and air pollutants from circular waste management systems (2022) · cites this paper as [31]
Recent global CO2 emissions are assessed at 39153 Tg/yr in 2015, of which 130 Tg/yr (0.33%) are generated from waste combustion.
“Recent global CO2 emissions are assessed at of 39153 Tg/yr in 2015, whereof 130 Tg/yr or 0.33% are generated from waste combustion (including industrial and municipal sources)31,46.”
From Potential for future reductions of global GHG and air pollutants from circular waste management systems (2022) · cites this paper as [31]
Other studies have estimated BC and OC emissions from waste of 0.7 Tg and 4.2 Tg, respectively.
“Other studies31,46 have estimated BC and OC emissions from waste of 0.7 Tg and 4.2 Tg31, respectively”
From Potential for future reductions of global GHG and air pollutants from circular waste management systems (2022) · cites this paper as [31]
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- Authors
- Hoesly, R. M., Smith, S. J., Feng, L., Klimont, Z., Janssens-Maenhout, G., Pitkanen, T., Seibert, J. J., Vu, L., Andres, R. J., Bolt, R. M., Bond, T. C., Dawidowski, L., Kholod, N., Kurokawa, J.-I., Li, M., Liu, L., Lu, Z., Moura, M. C. P., O'Rourke, P. R., & Zhang, Q.
- Affiliations
- Joint Global Change Research Institute (US)
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (AT)
- Oak Ridge National Laboratory (US)
- University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (US)
- Comisión Nacional de Energía Atómica (AR)
- Asia Center for Air Pollution Research (JP)
- Tsinghua University (CN)
- Corresponding author
- Hoesly, Rachel M.
- Smith, Steven J.
- Feng, Leyang
- Klimont, Zbigniew
- Pitkanen, Tyler
- Seibert, Jonathan J.
- Vu, Linh
- Andres, Robert J.
- Bolt, Ryan M.
- Bond, Tami C.
- Dawidowski, Laura
- Kholod, Nazar
- Kurokawa, June-ichi
- Li, Meng
- Liu, Liang
- Moura, Maria Cecilia P.
- Zhang, Qiang
- ORCID
- Venue
- Geoscientific Model Development
- Publisher
- Copernicus GmbH
- Published
- 2018-01-29
- Volume
- 11
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 369-408
- ISSN
- 1991-959X (ISSN-L)
- 1991-9603
- OpenAlex
- W2600399632
- Cited by
- 2,203
- References
- 4
- Citations by year
- 2026: 151 · 2025: 258 · 2024: 276 · 2023: 336 · 2022: 428 · 2021: 403 · 2020: 183 · 2019: 103 · 2018: 53 · 2017: 10 · 2016: 2
- FWCI
- 90.39
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Geoscientific model development (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- IIASA PURE (International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis) (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- IIASA PURE (International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis) (acceptedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- OSTI OAI (U.S. Department of Energy Office of Scientific and Technical Information) (submittedVersion)
- Joint Research Centre (European Commission) (submittedVersion)
- Greater South Information System
- Funders
- Russian Science Foundation (17-77-30001)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Pollution › Environmental Policies and Emissions
- Keywords
- anthropogenic emissions, historical emissions, carbon monoxide, methane, ammonia, nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide, non-methane volatile organic compounds, black carbon, organic carbon, CO2 emissions, emission inventory, emission factors, energy consumption, gridded emissions, seasonal variation
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