Modelling considerations for research on ocean alkalinity enhancement (OAE)
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Abstract
Abstract. The deliberate increase in ocean alkalinity (referred to as ocean alkalinity enhancement, or OAE) has been proposed as a method for removing CO2 from the atmosphere. Before OAE can be implemented safely, efficiently, and at scale several research questions have to be addressed, including (1) which alkaline feedstocks are best suited and the doses in which they can be added safely, (2) how net carbon uptake can be measured and verified, and (3) what the potential ecosystem impacts are. These research questions cannot be addressed by direct observation alone but will require skilful and fit-for-purpose models. This article provides an overview of the most relevant modelling tools, including turbulence-, regional-, and global-scale biogeochemical models and techniques including approaches for model validation, data assimilation, and uncertainty estimation. Typical biogeochemical model assumptions and their limitations are discussed in the context of OAE research, which leads to an identification of further development needs to make models more applicable to OAE research questions. A description of typical steps in model validation is followed by proposed minimum criteria for what constitutes a model that is fit for its intended purpose. After providing an overview of approaches for sound integration of models and observations via data assimilation, the application of observing system simulation experiments (OSSEs) for observing system design is described within the context of OAE research. Criteria for model validation and intercomparison studies are presented. The article concludes with a summary of recommendations and potential pitfalls to be avoided.
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Incomplete air-sea flux is currently the focus of most modeling efforts, which remain under active development.
“Incomplete air-sea flux is currently the focus of most modeling efforts, which remain under active development. 89”
From A framework for understanding efficiency losses of Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement (2026) · cites this paper as [89]
Section 2.2.5 says air–sea gas exchange is necessary to quantify OAE carbon uptake and that commonly used model parameterizations neglect potentially important processes. Section 2.3 identifies continuing model-development needs. Neither section says incomplete air–sea flux is the focus of most modeling efforts. (LLM, conf=0.83)
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Cited by
Sorted by citations
A framework for understanding efficiency losses of Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement
Lunstrum, A., Keller, D., Hartmann, J., & Moras, C. (2026) · CDRxiv · doi:10.70212/cdrxiv.2026517.v1 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Self-citation
- Authors
- Fennel, K., Long, M. C., Algar, C., Carter, B., Keller, D., Laurent, A., Mattern, J. P., Musgrave, R., Oschlies, A., Ostiguy, J., Palter, J. B., & Whitt, D. B.
- Affiliations
- Dalhousie University (CA)
- NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (US)
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (US)
- GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel (DE)
- University of California, Santa Cruz (US)
- University of Rhode Island (US)
- Ames Research Center (US)
- Corresponding author
- Fennel, Katja
- ORCID
- Venue
- State of the Planet
- Publisher
- Copernicus GmbH
- Published
- 2023-11-27
- Volume
- 2-oae2023
- Pages
- 1-29
- ISSN
- 2752-0706 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W4389056079
- Cited by
- 64
- References
- 5
- Citations by year
- 2026: 17 · 2025: 23 · 2024: 16 · 2023: 8
- FWCI
- 8.60
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- State of the Planet (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel (GEOMAR) (acceptedVersion)
- Informationszentrum Lebenswissenschaften (ZB MED) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- ClimateWorks Foundation (22-0296)
- Prince Albert II of Monaco Foundation (n/a)
- Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (Discovery and Alliance Programs)
- Canada Excellence Research Chairs, Government of Canada (n/a)
- Ocean Acidification Program (NA19OAR0170357)
- Earth Sciences Division (New Investigator Program)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Marine and coastal ecosystems
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Geoengineering
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
- Keywords
- ocean alkalinity enhancement, ocean alkalinity, carbon dioxide removal, ocean carbon uptake, biogeochemical modeling, model validation, data assimilation, observing system simulation experiments, observing system design, model intercomparison, uncertainty estimation, ecosystem impacts
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