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Prognostic Accuracy of the Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment for Mortality in Patients With Suspected Infection: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis
Abstract
Background: The quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) has been proposed for prediction of mortality in patients with suspected infection. Purpose: To summarize and compare the prognostic accuracy of qSOFA and the systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria for prediction of mortality in adult patients with suspected infection. Data Sources: Four databases from inception through November 2017. Study Selection: English-language studies using qSOFA for prediction of mortality (in-hospital, 28-day, or 30-day) in adult patients with suspected infection in the intensive care unit (ICU), emergency department (ED), or hospital wards. Data Extraction: Two investigators independently extracted data and assessed study quality using standard criteria. Data Synthesis: Thirty-eight studies were included (n = 385 333). qSOFA was associated with a pooled sensitivity of 60.8% (95% CI, 51.4% to 69.4%) and a pooled specificity of 72.0% (CI, 63.4% to 79.2%) for mortality. The SIRS criteria were associated with a pooled sensitivity of 88.1% (CI, 82.3% to 92.1%) and a pooled specificity of 25.8% (CI, 17.1% to 36.9%). The pooled sensitivity of qSOFA was higher in the ICU population (87.2% [CI, 75.8% to 93.7%]) than the non-ICU population (51.2% [CI, 43.6% to 58.7%]). The pooled specificity of qSOFA was higher in the non-ICU population (79.6% [CI, 73.3% to 84.7%]) than the ICU population (33.3% [CI, 23.8% to 44.4%]). Limitation: Potential risk of bias in included studies due to qSOFA interpretation and patient selection. Conclusion: qSOFA had poor sensitivity and moderate specificity for short-term mortality. The SIRS criteria had sensitivity superior to that of qSOFA, supporting their use for screening of patients and as a prompt for treatment initiation. Primary Funding Source: Canadian Association of Emergency Physicians. (PROSPERO: CRD42017075964).
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“Since that time numerous studies have investigated the potential use of the qSOFA as a screening tool for sepsis [40–42]. The results have been contradictory as to its usefulness.”
From Surviving sepsis campaign: international guidelines for management of sepsis and septic shock 2021 (2021) · cites this paper as [40]
In the citing paper
“Studies have shown that qSOFA is more specific but less sensitive than having two of four SIRS criteria for early identification of infection induced organ dysfunction [40–43].”
From Surviving sepsis campaign: international guidelines for management of sepsis and septic shock 2021 (2021) · cites this paper as [40]
In the citing paper
“Neither SIRS nor qSOFA are ideal screening tools for sepsis and the bedside clinician needs to understand the limitations of each.”
From Surviving sepsis campaign: international guidelines for management of sepsis and septic shock 2021 (2021) · cites this paper as [40]
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Metadata
- Authors
- Fernando, S. M., Tran, A., Taljaard, M., Cheng, W., Rochwerg, B., Seely, A. J. E., & Perry, J. J.
- Affiliations
- University of Ottawa (CA)
- Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (CA)
- McMaster University (CA)
- ORCID
- Venue
- Annals of Internal Medicine
- Publisher
- American College of Physicians
- Published
- 2018-02-20
- Volume
- 168
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 266-275
- ISSN
- 0003-4819 (ISSN-L)
- 1539-3704
- OpenAlex
- W2788736459
- Cited by
- 281
- References
- 69
- Citations by year
- 2026: 24 · 2025: 18 · 2024: 23 · 2023: 36 · 2022: 34 · 2021: 33 · 2020: 38 · 2019: 49 · 2018: 25
- FWCI
- 5.18
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Annals of Internal Medicine (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Critical Care and Intensive Care Medicine › Sepsis Diagnosis and Treatment
- Life Sciences › Immunology and Microbiology › Immunology › Inflammation biomarkers and pathways
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Abdominal Surgery and Complications
- Keywords
- qSOFA, systemic inflammatory response syndrome, mortality prediction, suspected infection, prognostic accuracy, sensitivity and specificity, intensive care unit, emergency department, sepsis screening
- MeSH terms
- Decision Support Techniques, Emergency Service, Hospital, Humans, Intensive Care Units, Predictive Value of Tests, Prognosis, Hospital Mortality, Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome, Sepsis, Organ Dysfunction Scores
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