Cigarette smoking and lung cancer—relative risk estimates for the major histological types from a pooled analysis of case–control studies
Open accessAbstract
Lung cancer is mainly caused by smoking, but the quantitative relations between smoking and histologic subtypes of lung cancer remain inconclusive. By using one of the largest lung cancer datasets ever assembled, we explored the impact of smoking on risks of the major cell types of lung cancer. This pooled analysis included 13,169 cases and 16,010 controls from Europe and Canada. Studies with population controls comprised 66.5% of the subjects. Adenocarcinoma (AdCa) was the most prevalent subtype in never smokers and in women. Squamous cell carcinoma (SqCC) predominated in male smokers. Age‐adjusted odds ratios (ORs) were estimated with logistic regression. ORs were elevated for all metrics of exposure to cigarette smoke and were higher for SqCC and small cell lung cancer (SCLC) than for AdCa. Current male smokers with an average daily dose of >30 cigarettes had ORs of 103.5 (95% confidence interval (CI): 74.8–143.2) for SqCC, 111.3 (95% CI: 69.8–177.5) for SCLC and 21.9 (95% CI: 16.6–29.0) for AdCa. In women, the corresponding ORs were 62.7 (95% CI: 31.5–124.6), 108.6 (95% CI: 50.7–232.8) and 16.8 (95% CI: 9.2–30.6), respectively. Although ORs started to decline soon after quitting, they did not fully return to the baseline risk of never smokers even 35 years after cessation. The major result that smoking exerted a steeper risk gradient on SqCC and SCLC than on AdCa is in line with previous population data and biological understanding of lung cancer development.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The increased proportion of SCLC in the upper lobes may support the view that these lobes are most exposed to inhaled smoke.
“The increased proportion of SCLC, the tumour with the strongest correlation to tobacco smoke [31], in the upper lobes may support the view that these lobes are most exposed to the inhaled smoke.”
From Distribution and characteristics of malignant tumours by lung lobe (2024) · cites this paper as [31]
The Discussion identifies SCLC and squamous cell carcinoma as the subtypes with the highest smoking-related risks. The Results do not establish SCLC as uniquely the most strongly associated: among women smoking at least 60 pack-years, the reported risk estimate is higher for squamous cell carcinoma than for SCLC. The citation is attached to the smoking-association description, not the statement about upper-lobe exposure. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Estimating the population attributable risk for multiple risk factors using case-control data.
BRUZZI, P., GREEN, S. B., BYAR, D. P., BRINTON, L. A., & SCHAIRER, C. (1985) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a114174 · Cited by 1,214 · see citing works
Intragenic ERBB2 kinase mutations in tumours
Stephens, P., Hunter, C., Bignell, G., Edkins, S., Davies, H., Teague, J., Stevens, C., O'Meara, S., Smith, R., Parker, A., et al. (2004) · Nature · doi:10.1038/431525b · Cited by 802 · cited 13× · see citing works
“The greater the amount smoked, the greater the proportion of SqCC and SCLC relative to AdCa.”
BackgroundInfluential
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 44
- [1]IARC IARC Tobacco Smoke and Involuntary Smoking IARC Monogr Eval Carcinog Risks Hum 2004 IARC Lyon 83 ed PMC4781536 15285078
- [2]Sun S Schiller JH Gazdar AF Lung cancer in never smokers--a different disease Nat Rev Cancer 10 2007 7 10 778 90 17882278
- [3]Travis WD Colby TV Corrin B Shimosato Y Brambilla E Histological typing of lung and pleural tumors 1999 World Health Organisation, Springer Berlin 3 ed collaborators from 14 countries
- [4]Khuder SA Dayal HH Mutgi AB Willey JC Dayal G Effect of cigarette smoking on major histological types of lung cancer in men Lung Cancer 10 1998 22 1 15 21 9869103
- [5]Devesa SS Bray F Vizcaino AP Parkin DM International lung cancer trends by histologic type: male:female differences diminishing and adenocarcinoma rates rising Int J Cancer 1 11 2005 117 2 294 9 15900604
- [6]Govindan R Page N Morgensztern D Read W Tierney R Vlahiotis A Spitznagel EL Piccirillo J Changing epidemiology of small-cell lung cancer in the United States over the last 30 years: analysis of the surveillance, epidemiologic, and end results database J Clin Oncol 1 10 2006 24 28 4539 44 17008692
- [7]Read WL Page NC Tierney RM Piccirillo JF Govindan R The epidemiology of bronchioloalveolar carcinoma over the past two decades: analysis of the SEER database Lung Cancer 8 2004 45 2 137 42 15246183
- [8]Olsson AC Gustavsson P Kromhout H Peters S Vermeulen R Bruske I Pesch B Siemiatycki J Pintos J Bruning T Cassidy A Wichmann HE Exposure to diesel motor exhaust and lung cancer risk in a pooled analysis from case-control studies in Europe and Canada Am J Respir Crit Care Med 1 4 2011 183 7 941 8 21037020 PMC7259806
- [9]Stang A Pohlabeln H Muller KM Jahn I Giersiepen K Jockel KH Diagnostic agreement in the histopathological evaluation of lung cancer tissue in a population-based case-control study Lung Cancer 4 2006 52 1 29 36 16476504
- [11]Giangreco A Groot KR Janes SM Lung Cancer and Lung Stem Cells: Strange Bedfellows? Am J Respir Crit Care Med 2007 175 6 547 53 17158280
- [12]Simonato L Agudo A Ahrens W Benhamou E Benhamou S Boffetta P Brennan P Darby SC Forastiere F Fortes C Gaborieau V Gerken M Lung cancer and cigarette smoking in Europe: an update of risk estimates and an assessment of inter-country heterogeneity Int J Cancer 15 3 2001 91 6 876 87 11275995
- [13]Taeger D Fritsch A Wiethege T Johnen G Eisenmenger A Wesch H Ko Y Stier S Muller KM Bruning T Pesch B Role of exposure to radon and silicosis on the cell type of lung carcinoma in German uranium miners Cancer 15 2 2006 106 4 881 9 16411224
- [14]Villanueva CM Silverman DT Malats N Tardon A Garcia-Closas R Serra C Carrato A Fortuny J Rothman N Dosemeci M Kogevinas M Determinants of quality of interview and impact on risk estimates in a case-control study of bladder cancer Am J Epidemiol 15 7 2009 170 2 237 43 19478234 PMC3159381
- [15]West R Zatonski W Przewozniak K Jarvis MJ Can we trust national smoking prevalence figures? Discrepancies between biochemically assessed and self-reported smoking rates in three countries Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 4 2007 16 4 820 2 17416777
- [16]Freedman ND Leitzmann MF Hollenbeck AR Schatzkin A Abnet CC Cigarette smoking and subsequent risk of lung cancer in men and women: analysis of a prospective cohort study Lancet Oncol 7 2008 9 7 649 56 18556244 PMC2601691
- [17]Charloux A Quoix E Wolkove N Small D Pauli G Kreisman H The increasing incidence of lung adenocarcinoma: reality or artefact? A review of the epidemiology of lung adenocarcinoma Int J Epidemiol 2 1997 26 1 14 23 9126499
- [18]Mirtcheva RM Vazquez M Yankelevitz DF Henschke CI Bronchioloalveolar carcinoma and adenocarcinoma with bronchioloalveolar features presenting as ground-glass opacities on CT Clin Imaging 3 2002 26 2 95 100 11852215
- [19]Harris JE Thun MJ Mondul AM Calle EE Cigarette tar yields in relation to mortality from lung cancer in the cancer prevention study II prospective cohort, 1982-8 BMJ 10 1 2004 328 7431 72 14715602 PMC314045
- [20]Hoffmann D Hoffmann I The changing cigarette, 1950-1995 J Toxicol Environ Health 3 1997 50 4 307 64 9120872
- [21]Bray FI Weiderpass E Lung cancer mortality trends in 36 European countries: secular trends and birth cohort patterns by sex and region 1970-2007 Int J Cancer 15 3 2010 126 6 1454 66 19728330
- [22]Ito H Matsuo K Tanaka H Koestler DC Ombao H Fulton J Shibata A Fujita M Sugiyama H Soda M Sobue T Mor V Nonfilter and filter cigarette consumption and the incidence of lung cancer by histological type in Japan and the United States: analysis of 30-year data from population-based cancer registries Int J Cancer 15 4 2011 128 8 1918 28 20589676
- [23]Peacock CD Watkins DN Cancer stem cells and the ontogeny of lung cancer J Clin Oncol 10 6 2008 26 17 2883 9 18539968 PMC3707499
- [24]Thorley AJ Tetley TD Pulmonary epithelium, cigarette smoke, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis 2007 2 4 409 28 18268916 PMC2699967
- [25]Stripp BR Hierarchical organization of lung progenitor cells: is there an adult lung tissue stem cell? Proc Am Thorac Soc 15 8 2008 5 6 695 8 18684719 PMC2645261
- [26]Li L Clevers H Coexistence of quiescent and active adult stem cells in mammals Science 29 1 2010 327 5965 542 5 20110496 PMC4105182
- [27]Liu X Engelhardt JF The glandular stem/progenitor cell niche in airway development and repair Proc Am Thorac Soc 15 8 2008 5 6 682 8 18684717 PMC2645260
- [28]Borczuk AC Gorenstein L Walter KL Assaad AA Wang LQ Powell CA Non-small-cell lung cancer molecular signatures recapitulate lung developmental pathways American Journal of Pathology 11 2003 163 5 1949 60 14578194 PMC1892411
- [29]Liu H Kho AT Kohane IS Sun Y Predicting survival within the lung cancer histopathological hierarchy using a multi-scale genomic model of development PLoS Med 7 2006 3 7 e232 16800721 PMC1483910
- [30]Maeda Y Dave V Whitsett JA Transcriptional control of lung morphogenesis Physiol Rev 1 2007 87 1 219 44 17237346
- [31]Weir BA Woo MS Getz G Perner S Ding L Beroukhim R Lin WM Province MA Kraja A Johnson LA Shah K Sato M Characterizing the cancer genome in lung adenocarcinoma Nature 6 12 2007 450 7171 893 8 17982442 PMC2538683
- [32]Kim HJ Henke CA Savik SK Ingbar DH Integrin mediation of alveolar epithelial cell migration on fibronectin and type I collagen Am J Physiol 7 1997 273 1 Pt 1 L134 L141 9252550
- [33]Daniel VC Peacock CD Watkins DN Developmental signalling pathways in lung cancer Respirology 5 2006 11 3 234 40 16635080
- [34]Rawlins EL Lung epithelial progenitor cells: lessons from development Proc Am Thorac Soc 15 8 2008 5 6 675 81 18684716 PMC2645259
- [35]Boffetta P Clark S Shen M Gislefoss R Peto R Andersen A Serum cotinine level as predictor of lung cancer risk Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 6 2006 15 6 1184 8 16775179
- [36]Vineis P Kogevinas M Simonato L Brennan P Boffetta P Levelling-off of the risk of lung and bladder cancer in heavy smokers: an analysis based on multicentric case-control studies and a metabolic interpretation Mutat Res 7 2000 463 1 103 10 10928863
- [37]Wacholder S Silverman DT McLaughlin JK Mandel JS Selection of controls in case-control studies. II. Types of controls Am J Epidemiol 1 5 1992 135 9 1029 41 1595689
- [38]Dresler CM Leon ME Straif K Baan R Secretan B Reversal of risk upon quitting smoking Lancet 29 7 2006 368 9533 348 9 16876647
- [39]Crispo A Brennan P Jockel KH Schaffrath-Rosario A Wichmann HE Nyberg F Simonato L Merletti F Forastiere F Boffetta P Darby S The cumulative risk of lung cancer among current, ex- and never-smokers in European men Br J Cancer 4 10 2004 91 7 1280 6 15292933 PMC2409903
- [40]Khuder SA Mutgi AB Effect of smoking cessation on major histologic types of lung cancer Chest 11 2001 120 5 1577 83 11713137
- [41]Zatonski WA Manczuk M Powles J Negri E Convergence of male and female lung cancer mortality at younger ages in the European Union and Russia Eur J Public Health 10 2007 17 5 450 4 17347249
- [42]Blot WJ McLaughlin JK Are women more susceptible to lung cancer? J Natl Cancer Inst 2 6 2004 96 11 812 3 15173256
- [44]Stabile LP Siegfried JM Sex and gender differences in lung cancer J Gend Specif Med 2003 6 1 37 48 12661176
- [45]Massaro GD Mortola JP Massaro D Sexual dimorphism in the architecture of the lung’s gas-exchange region Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 14 2 1995 92 4 1105 7 7862643 PMC42646
- [46]Carey MA Card JW Voltz JW Germolec DR Korach KS Zeldin DC The impact of sex and sex hormones on lung physiology and disease: lessons from animal studies Am J Physiol Lung Cell Mol Physiol 8 2007 293 2 L272 L278 17575008
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Mutational signatures associated with tobacco smoking in human cancer
Alexandrov, L. B., Ju, Y. S., Haase, K., Van Loo, P., Martincorena, I., Nik-Zainal, S., Totoki, Y., Fujimoto, A., Nakagawa, H., Shibata, T., et al. (2016) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aag0299 · Cited by 1,100 · see citing works
RNA sequence analysis reveals macroscopic somatic clonal expansion across normal tissues
Yizhak, K., Aguet, F., Kim, J., Hess, J. M., Kübler, K., Grimsby, J., Frazer, R., Zhang, H., Haradhvala, N. J., Rosebrock, D., et al. (2019) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aaw0726 · Cited by 500 · see citing works
Interaction between the microbiome and TP53 in human lung cancer
Greathouse, K. L., White, J. R., Vargas, A. J., Bliskovsky, V. V., Beck, J. A., von Muhlinen, N., Polley, E. C., Bowman, E. D., Khan, M. A., Robles, A. I., et al. (2018) · Genome Biology · doi:10.1186/s13059-018-1501-6 · Cited by 446 · see citing works
Lung cancer incidence in young women <i>vs</i> . young men: A systematic analysis in 40 countries
Fidler‐Benaoudia, M. M., Torre, L. A., Bray, F., Ferlay, J., & Jemal, A. (2020) · International Journal of Cancer · doi:10.1002/ijc.32809 · Cited by 248 · see citing works
Tendinopathy: Is Imaging Telling Us the Entire Story?
Docking, S. I., Ooi, C. C., & Connell, D. (2015) · Journal of Orthopaedic & Sports Physical Therapy · doi:10.2519/jospt.2015.5880 · Cited by 214 · see citing works
Promises, promises, and precision medicine
Joyner, M. J., & Paneth, N. (2019) · Journal of Clinical Investigation · doi:10.1172/jci126119 · Cited by 171 · see citing works
Fan, Y., Zhao, J., Wang, Q., Huang, D., Li, X., Chen, J., Fang, Y., Duan, J., Zhou, C., Hu, Y., et al. (2021) · Journal of Thoracic Oncology · doi:10.1016/j.jtho.2020.10.002 · Cited by 135 · see citing works
Guo, L., Li, L., Wang, W., Pan, Z., Zhou, Q., & Wu, Z. (2012) · Biochimica et Biophysica Acta (BBA) - Molecular Basis of Disease · doi:10.1016/j.bbadis.2012.02.004 · Cited by 56 · see citing works
Lung cancer incidence trends in Uruguay 1990–2014: An age-period-cohort analysis
Alonso, R., Piñeros, M., Laversanne, M., Musetti, C., Garau, M., Barrios, E., & Bray, F. (2018) · Cancer Epidemiology · doi:10.1016/j.canep.2018.04.012 · Cited by 40 · see citing works
Distribution and characteristics of malignant tumours by lung lobe
Nilssen, Y., Brustugun, O. T., Fjellbirkeland, L., Helland, Å., Møller, B., Wahl, S. G. F., & Solberg, S. (2024) · BMC Pulmonary Medicine · doi:10.1186/s12890-024-02918-w · Cited by 11 · see citing works
- Authors
- Pesch, B., Kendzia, B., Gustavsson, P., Jöckel, K., Johnen, G., Pohlabeln, H., Olsson, A., Ahrens, W., Gross, I. M., Brüske, I., Wichmann, H., Merletti, F., Richiardi, L., Simonato, L., Fortes, C., Siemiatycki, J., Parent, M., Consonni, D., Landi, M. T., Caporaso, N., Zaridze, D., Cassidy, A., Szeszenia‐Dabrowska, N., Rudnai, P., Lissowska, J., Stücker, I., Fabianova, E., Dumitru, R. S., Bencko, V., Foretova, L., Janout, V., Rudin, C. M., Brennan, P., Boffetta, P., Straif, K., & Brüning, T.
- Affiliations
- Institute for Prevention and Occupational Medicine (DE)
- Karolinska Institutet (SE)
- Essen University Hospital (DE)
- University of Bremen (DE)
- Helmholtz Munich (DE)
- Piedmont Reference Center for Epidemiology and Cancer Prevention (IT)
- University of Padua (IT)
- Istituti di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IT)
- Université de Montréal (CA)
- Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico (IT)
- National Cancer Institute (US)
- University of Liverpool (GB)
- The Maria Sklodowska-Curie National Research Institute of Oncology (PL)
- Inserm (FR)
- Institutul National de Sanatate Publica (RO)
- Johns Hopkins University (US)
- Centre international de recherche sur le cancer (FR)
- International Prevention Research Institute (FR)
- Corresponding author
- Pesch, Beate
- ORCID
- Kendzia, Benjamin
- Gustavsson, Per
- Johnen, Georg
- Pohlabeln, Hermann
- Olsson, Ann
- Ahrens, Wolfgang
- Wichmann, Heinz‐Erich
- Merletti, Franco
- Richiardi, Lorenzo
- Simonato, Lorenzo
- Fortes, Cristina
- Siemiatycki, Jack
- Consonni, Dario
- Landi, Maria Teresa
- Caporaso, Neil
- Lissowska, Jolanta
- Rudin, Charles M.
- Brennan, Paul
- Boffetta, Paolo
- Brüning, Thomas
- Venue
- International Journal of Cancer
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2011-12-14
- Volume
- 131
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 1210-1219
- ISSN
- 0020-7136 (ISSN-L)
- 1097-0215
- PMC
- PMC3296911
- OpenAlex
- W1979840121
- Cited by
- 509
- References
- 2
- Citations by year
- 2026: 26 · 2025: 22 · 2024: 51 · 2023: 30 · 2022: 49 · 2021: 38 · 2020: 39 · 2019: 44 · 2018: 49 · 2017: 56 · 2016: 30 · 2015: 26 · 2014: 19 · 2013: 23 · 2012: 6
- FWCI
- 10.47
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- International Journal of Cancer (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Institutional Research Information System University of Turin (University of Turin) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- HAL (submittedVersion)
- Universitätsbibliographie, Universität Duisburg-Essen (submittedVersion)
- Archivio istituzionale della ricerca (Alma Mater Studiorum Università di Bologna) (submittedVersion)
- EspaceINRS (National Institute for Scientific Research (Canada)) (submittedVersion)
- Site cant be reached (submittedVersion)
- Padua Research Archive (University of Padova) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health (Z99 CA999999)
- Canadian Institutes of Health Research
- National Cancer Institute (Y99 CA999999)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology › Smoking Behavior and Cessation
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine › Lung Cancer Diagnosis and Treatment
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine › Occupational and environmental lung diseases
- Keywords
- cigarette smoking, lung cancer, histological subtypes, squamous cell carcinoma, small cell lung cancer, adenocarcinoma, smoking cessation, relative risk, sex differences, dose-response relationship, pooled case-control analysis
- MeSH terms
- Adenocarcinoma, Adolescent, Adult, Canada, Carcinoma, Squamous Cell, Child, Europe, Female, Humans, Lung Neoplasms, Male, Middle Aged, Neoplasm Staging, Prognosis, Risk, Smoking, Prevalence, Case-Control Studies, Small Cell Lung Carcinoma, Young Adult
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review