Cited by 224School Choice and PerformanceHigher Education Research StudiesEarly Childhood Education and Development

Experimental Evidence on the Effect of Childhood Investments on Postsecondary Attainment and Degree Completion

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Dynarski, Susan, Hyman, Joshua, Schanzenbach, Diane Whitmore·2013·Journal of Policy Analysis and Management

Abstract

Abstract This paper examines the effect of early childhood investments on college enrollment and degree completion. We used the random assignment in Project STAR (the Tennessee Student/Teacher Achievement Ratio experiment) to estimate the effect of smaller classes in primary school on college entry, college choice, and degree completion. We improve on existing work in this area with unusually detailed data on college enrollment spells and the previously unexplored outcome of college degree completion. We found that assignment to a small class increases students’ probability of attending college by 2.7 percentage points, with effects more than twice as large among black students. Among students enrolled in the poorest third of schools, the effect is 7.3 percentage points. Smaller classes increased the likelihood of earning a college degree by 1.6 percentage points and shifted students toward high‐earning fields such as STEM (science, technology, engineering, and mathematics), business, and economics. We found that test‐score effects at the time of the experiment were an excellent predictor of long‐term improvements in postsecondary outcomes.

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Authors
Dynarski, S., Hyman, J., & Schanzenbach, D. W.
Affiliations
  • National Bureau of Economic Research (US)
  • University of Michigan (US)
Venue
Journal of Policy Analysis and Management
Publisher
Wiley
Published
2013-07-26
Volume
32
Issue
4
Pages
692-717
ISSN
  • 0276-8739 (ISSN-L)
  • 1520-6688
OpenAlex
W2114256915
Cited by
223
References
54
Citations by year
2026: 5 · 2025: 14 · 2024: 8 · 2023: 17 · 2022: 16 · 2021: 14 · 2020: 15 · 2019: 39 · 2018: 29 · 2017: 8 · 2016: 16 · 2015: 10 · 2014: 14 · 2013: 10 · 2012: 3
FWCI
80.64
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
Journal of Policy Analysis and Management (publishedVersion)
Funders
  • Yale University
  • Vanderbilt University
  • Princeton University
  • Tennessee Department of Education
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Education › School Choice and Performance
  • Social Sciences › Education › Higher Education Research Studies
  • Social Sciences › Education › Early Childhood Education and Development
Keywords
early childhood investment, class size, small class size, college enrollment, graduation, college choice, Project STAR, Black students, low-income students, STEM fields, test scores, elementary school, postsecondary attainment

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