Detection and attribution of anthropogenic climate change impacts

Rosenzweig, Cynthia; Neofotis, Peter

doi:10.1002/wcc.209

Cited by 99Climate variability and modelsClimate Change and Environmental ImpactGeology and Paleoclimatology Research

Detection and attribution of anthropogenic climate change impacts

Rosenzweig, Cynthia, Neofotis, Peter·2013·WIREs Climate Change

DOI 10.1002/wcc.209

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Abstract

Human‐influenced climate change is an observed phenomenon affecting physical and biological systems across the globe. The majority of observed impacts are related to temperature changes and are located in the northern high‐ and mid‐latitudes. However, new evidence is emerging that demonstrates that impacts are related to precipitation changes as well as temperature, and that climate change is impacting systems and sectors beyond the Northern Hemisphere. In this paper, we highlight some of this new evidence—focusing on regions and sectors that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report (IPCC AR4) noted as under‐represented—in the context of observed climate change impacts, direct and indirect drivers of change (including carbon dioxide itself), and methods of detection. We also present methods and studies attributing observed impacts to anthropogenic forcing. We argue that the expansion of methods of detection (in terms of a broader array of climate variables and data sources, inclusion of the major modes of climate variability, and incorporation of other drivers of change) is key to discerning the climate sensitivities of sectors and systems in regions where the impacts of climate change currently remain elusive. Attributing such changes to human forcing of the climate system, where possible, is important for development of effective mitigation and adaptation. Current challenges in documenting adaptation and the role of indigenous knowledge in detection and attribution are described. WIREs Clim Change 2013, 4:121–150. doi: 10.1002/wcc.209 This article is categorized under: Assessing Impacts of Climate Change > Observed Impacts of Climate Change

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Identifying a robust climate change driver in systems subject to other anthropogenic interference requires careful assessment of other socio-economic factors.
“In the case of systems subject to other anthropogenic interference such as the global biosphere, managed systems such as agriculture, or human systems themselves, identifying a robust climate change driver requires careful assessment of other socio-economic factors 41,42 , adding additional levels of complexity 43 .”
From Machine-learning-based evidence and attribution mapping of 100,000 climate impact studies (2021) · cites this paper as [42]

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A 10‐year decrease in plant species richness on a neotropical inselberg: detrimental effects of global warming?
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Machine-learning-based evidence and attribution mapping of 100,000 climate impact studies
Callaghan, M., Schleussner, C.-F., Nath, S., Lejeune, Q., Knutson, T. R., Reichstein, M., Hansen, G., Theokritoff, E., Andrijevic, M., Brecha, R. J., et al. (2021) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-021-01168-6 · Cited by 251 · see citing works
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“…required to produce robust evidence linking climate impacts to human migration (and health), how these data are accounted for in evidence synthesis and the basis on which to link data demonstrating environmental changes to anthropogenic climate change (Rosenzweig and Neofotis 2013, Ebi et al 2017).”
Background
Framing and context
(2022) · Climate Change and Land · doi:10.1017/9781009157988.003 · Cited by 23 · see citing works
The evolution of the evidence base for observed impacts of climate change
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Authors: Rosenzweig, C., & Neofotis, P.
Affiliations: Goddard Institute for Space Studies (US)
The Graduate Center, CUNY (US)
Corresponding author: Rosenzweig, Cynthia
ORCID: Rosenzweig, Cynthia
Neofotis, Peter
Venue: WIREs Climate Change
Publisher: Wiley
Published: 2013-02-26
Volume: 4
Issue: 2
Pages: 121-150
ISSN: 1757-7780 (ISSN-L)
1757-7799
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.209
OpenAlex: W1964126871
Cited by: 99
References: 208
Citations by year: 2026: 5 · 2025: 13 · 2024: 9 · 2023: 9 · 2022: 7 · 2021: 7 · 2020: 8 · 2019: 2 · 2018: 11 · 2017: 3 · 2016: 7 · 2015: 11 · 2014: 5 · 2013: 2
FWCI: 6.34
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: closed
Licence: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor (vor)
Locations: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change (publishedVersion)
NASA STI Repository (National Aeronautics and Space Administration) (submittedVersion)
Topics: Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Environmental Impact
Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
Keywords: anthropogenic climate change, climate change impacts, climate change attribution, precipitation change, temperature change, climate variability, carbon dioxide, climate sensitivity, adaptation, indigenous knowledge, IPCC AR4

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Detection and attribution of anthropogenic climate change impacts

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