The DOI matches its Crossref record; 55 of the 55 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Overconfidence: It Depends on How, What, and Whom You Ask
Overview
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Citations
Cites
The case for motivated reasoning.
Kunda, Z. (1990) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/0033-2909.108.3.480 · Cited by 9,022
On the psychology of prediction.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1973) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/h0034747 · Cited by 6,202
Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.
Shafer, G. R., Kahnerman, D., Slovic, P., & Tversky, A. (1984) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.2307/2288362 · Cited by 5,657
Langer, E. J. (1975) · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · doi:10.1037/0022-3514.32.2.311 · Cited by 3,756
Reasoning the fast and frugal way: Models of bounded rationality.
Gigerenzer, G., & Goldstein, D. G. (1996) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.103.4.650 · Cited by 3,504
The Contingent Value of Social Capital
Burt, R. S. (1997) · Administrative Science Quarterly · doi:10.2307/2393923 · Cited by 3,366
Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography
Clemen, R. T. (1989) · International Journal of Forecasting · doi:10.1016/0169-2070(89)90012-5 · Cited by 2,164
Calibration of probabilities: the state of the art to 1980
Lichtenstein, S., Fischhoff, B., & Phillips, L. D. (1982) · Judgment under Uncertainty · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511809477.023 · Cited by 1,967
The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence
Griffin, D., & Tversky, A. (1992) · Cognitive Psychology · doi:10.1016/0010-0285(92)90013-r · Cited by 1,841
Probabilistic mental models: a Brunswikian theory of confidence
Gigerenzer, G., Hoffrage, U., & Kleinbölting, H. (1991) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.98.4.506 · Cited by 1,506
Cited by
Representativeness revisited: Attribute substitution in intuitive judgment.
Kahneman, D., & Frederick, S. (2002) · Heuristics and Biases · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511808098.004 · Cited by 3,476
The trouble with overconfidence.
Moore, D. A., & Healy, P. J. (2008) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.115.2.502 · Cited by 2,358
Slovic, P., Finucane, M., Peters, E., & MacGregor, D. G. (2002) · Heuristics and Biases · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511808098.025 · Cited by 2,349
Are Overconfident CEOs Better Innovators?
HIRSHLEIFER, D., LOW, A., & TEOH, S. H. (2012) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.2012.01753.x · Cited by 1,765
CEO Hubris and Firm Risk Taking in China: The Moderating Role of Managerial Discretion
Li, J., & Tang, Y. (2010) · Academy of Management Journal · doi:10.5465/amj.2010.48036912 · Cited by 1,082
Metadata
- Authors
- Klayman, J., Soll, J. B., González-Vallejo, C., & Barlas, S.
- Venue
- Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 1999-09
- Volume
- 79
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 216-247
- ISSN
- 0749-5978 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2019173266
- Cited by
- 785
- References
- 55
- FWCI
- 19.63
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
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How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Overconfidence: It Depends on How, What, and Whom You Ask. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1006/obhd.1999.2847
- The paper
- Klayman, J., Soll, J. B., González-Vallejo, C., & Barlas, S. (1999). Overconfidence: It Depends on How, What, and Whom You Ask. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes. https://doi.org/10.1006/obhd.1999.2847
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
