Heterogeneity of type I diabetes: analysis of monozygotic twins in Great Britain and the United States
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Aims To determine the risk, hazard rate and factors affecting progression to diabetes in monozygotic twins of patients with Type I (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus.Methods Prospective analysis was done of two cohorts of non-diabetic monozygotic twins of patients with Type I diabetes from Great Britain (n = 134) and the United States (n = 53).Results The diabetes-free survival analysis was similar between both cohorts (p = 0.6). The combined survival analysis (n = 187, median follow-up = 17.7 years, range = 0.01-57) at 40 years of discordance estimated a 39% probability of diabetes for the initially discordant twin. Survival analysis with left truncation of data estimated that probability to be 50%. For twins who became concordant (n = 47), the median discordance time was 4.2 years (range 0.4 to 39), exceeding 15 years in 23.4%. Twins of probands diagnosed at 24 years of age or younger had a 38% probability of diabetes by 30 years of discordance, compared with 6% for twins of probands diagnosed after 24 years of age (p = 0.004). The twins of probands diagnosed before 15 years of age had the highest diabetes hazard rate in the first discordance year, decreasing thereafter. By survival analysis, diabetes risk was higher in twins who were heterozygous for DR3-DQ2 and DR4-DQ8 than in twins with neither DR3-DQ2 nor DR4-DQ8 (p < 0.05).Conclusion/interpretation Monozygotic twins of patients with Type I diabetes from two different countries had similar rates of progression to diabetes. Whereas most twins did not develop diabetes, 25% of the twins who progressed did so after more than 14 years of discordance. An age-related heterogeneity was observed, with higher progression to diabetes for twins of patients diagnosed at a younger age.
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Compared with childhood-onset type 1 diabetes mellitus, adult-onset disease has a lower frequency of high-risk HLA types, lower concordance rates in twins, more protective genotypes, lower genetic risk scores and lower overall genetic load.
“Evidence suggests that, compared with childhood-onset T1DM, adult-onset (ages ≥18 years) disease has a lower frequency of high-risk HLA types54, lower concordance rates in twins55, more protective genotypes56, lower genetic risk scores57 and lower overall genetic load (with minor differences in HLA class II gene associations)56.”
From The epidemiology of type 1 diabetes mellitus in older adults (2025) · cites this paper as [55]
The Discussion reports substantially lower twin concordance when the index twin was diagnosed at age 25 or older than when diagnosed younger (5% versus 27.3%). This supports the cited concordance comparison, but the paper uses a 25-year cutoff, not the citing sentence’s adult-onset definition of age 18 or older. Page numbers were not available in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.85)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredMonozygotic twins have a type 1 diabetes concordance rate above 60% if followed long enough, whereas dizygotic twins have a concordance rate of 6% to 10%.
“Monozygotic twins have a concordance rate of > 60% if followed long enough47 whereas dizygotic twins have a concordance rate of 6% to 10%.”
From Epidemiology of type 1 diabetes (2010) · cites this paper as [47]
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Enteroviruses, type 1 diabetes and hygiene: a complex relationship
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Intestinal permeability in type 1 diabetes: An updated comprehensive overview
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The Genetic Architecture of Type 1 Diabetes
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Self-citationPathogenesis of type 1 diabetes: lessons from natural history studies of high‐risk individuals
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The Genetic Contribution to Type 1 Diabetes
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Excess BMI Accelerates Islet Autoimmunity in Older Children and Adolescents
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A role for innate immunity in type 1 diabetes?
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The natural history of type 1A diabetes
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Self-citationGroup B Coxsackievirus Diabetogenic Phenotype Correlates with Replication Efficiency
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The Challenge of Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus
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Immune recognition and response to the intestinal microbiome in type 1 diabetes
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Autoimmune Diabetes and the Circle of Tolerance
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Glycotoxin and Autoantibodies Are Additive Environmentally Determined Predictors of Type 1 Diabetes
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Self-citationLongitudinal DNA methylation differences precede type 1 diabetes
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The epidemiology of type 1 diabetes mellitus in older adults
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“…with childhood-onset T1DM, adult-onset (ages ≥18 years) disease has a lower frequency of high-risk HLA types 54 , lower concordance rates in twins 55 , more protective genotypes 56 , lower genetic risk scores 57 and lower overall genetic load (with minor differences in HLA class II gene…”
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Innate immunity and its role in type 1 diabetes
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Interplay between PTPN22 C1858T polymorphism and cow's milk formula exposure in type 1 diabetes
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Type 1 diabetes and gut microbiota: Friend or foe?
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Further Evidence of a Primary, Causal Association of the PTPN22 620W Variant With Type 1 Diabetes
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Characterization of the T-Cell Response to Coxsackievirus B4
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Low zinc in drinking water is associated with the risk of type 1 diabetes in children
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Self-citation
- Authors
- Redondo, M. J., Yu, L., Hawa, M., Mackenzie, T., Pyke, D. A., Eisenbarth, G. S., & Leslie, R. D. G.
- Affiliations
- University of Colorado Health (US)
- St Bartholomew's Hospital (GB)
- University of Colorado Denver (US)
- Venue
- Diabetologia
- Published
- 2001-03-09
- Volume
- 44
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 354-362
- ISSN
- 0012-186X (ISSN-L)
- 1432-0428
- OpenAlex
- W1985484102
- Cited by
- 322
- References
- 27
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 7 · 2024: 8 · 2023: 16 · 2022: 8 · 2021: 15 · 2020: 15 · 2019: 14 · 2018: 15 · 2017: 14 · 2016: 13 · 2015: 13 · 2014: 8 · 2013: 15 · 2012: 9
- FWCI
- 8.39
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Diabetologia (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (DK 32083-16)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Diabetes and associated disorders
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic Associations and Epidemiology
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes Management and Research
- Keywords
- type 1 diabetes, monozygotic twins, discordant twins, disease progression, diabetes risk, age at diagnosis, HLA-DR3-DQ2, HLA-DR4-DQ8, HLA heterozygosity, twin concordance
- MeSH terms
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Child, Child, Preschool, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1, Diseases in Twins, Female, United Kingdom, Histocompatibility Testing, Humans, Infant, Male, Middle Aged, Polymorphism, Genetic, Time Factors, Twins, Monozygotic, United States, Proportional Hazards Models, Age of Onset, Disease-Free Survival, Microsatellite Repeats
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