The DOI matches its Crossref record; 7 of the 7 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The role of negative CO2 emissions for reaching 2 °C—insights from integrated assessment modelling
Open accessAbstract
Limiting climate change to 2 °C with a high probability requires reducing cumulative emissions to about 1600 GtCO 2 over the 2000–2100 period. This requires unprecedented rates of decarbonization even in the short-run. The availability of the option of net negative emissions, such as bio-energy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) or reforestation/afforestation, allows to delay some of these emission reductions. In the paper, we assess the demand and potential for negative emissions in particular from BECCS. Both stylized calculations and model runs show that without the possibility of negative emissions, pathways meeting the 2 °C target with high probability need almost immediate emission reductions or simply become infeasible. The potential for negative emissions is uncertain. We show that negative emissions from BECCS are probably limited to around 0 to 10 GtCO 2 /year in 2050 and 0 to 20 GtCO 2 /year in 2100. Estimates on the potential of afforestation options are in the order of 0–4 GtCO 2 /year. Given the importance and the uncertainty concerning BECCS, we stress the importance of near-term assessments of its availability as today’s decisions has important consequences for climate change mitigation in the long run.
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Cites
Use of U.S. Croplands for Biofuels Increases Greenhouse Gases Through Emissions from Land-Use Change
Searchinger, T., Heimlich, R., Houghton, R. A., Dong, F., Elobeid, A., Fabiosa, J., Tokgoz, S., Hayes, D., & Yu, T.-H. (2008) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1151861 · Cited by 4,888 · cited 7×
“…for some transport modes like aviation and freight transport reduction potential seems to be currently limited to energy efficiency and the use of bio-energy (Riahi et al. 2012), while bio-energy use is likely to generate at least someGHG emissions (Searchinger et al. 2008; Smeets et al. 2009).”
InfluentialIrreversible climate change due to carbon dioxide emissions
Solomon, S., Plattner, G.-K., Knutti, R., & Friedlingstein, P. (2009) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0812721106 · Cited by 3,217
Climate–Carbon Cycle Feedback Analysis: Results from the C4MIP Model Intercomparison
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Carbon-Negative Biofuels from Low-Input High-Diversity Grassland Biomass
Tilman, D., Hill, J., & Lehman, C. (2006) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1133306 · Cited by 1,813
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Bioenergy revisited: key factors in global potentials of bioenergy
Dornburg, V., van Vuuren, D., van de Ven, G., Langeveld, H., Meeusen, M., Banse, M., van Oorschot, M., Ros, J., Jan van den Born, G., Aiking, H., et al. (2010) · Energy & Environmental Science · doi:10.1039/b922422j · Cited by 287
An evaluation of the global potential of bioenergy production on degraded lands
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Cited by
Carbon capture and storage (CCS): the way forward
Bui, M., Adjiman, C. S., Bardow, A., Anthony, E. J., Boston, A., Brown, S., Fennell, P. S., Fuss, S., Galindo, A., Hackett, L. A., et al. (2018) · Energy & Environmental Science · doi:10.1039/c7ee02342a · Cited by 4,374
Net-zero emissions energy systems
Davis, S. J., Lewis, N. S., Shaner, M., Aggarwal, S., Arent, D., Azevedo, I. L., Benson, S. M., Bradley, T., Brouwer, J., Chiang, Y.-M., et al. (2018) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aas9793 · Cited by 2,391
Negative emissions—Part 2: Costs, potentials and side effects
Fuss, S., Lamb, W. F., Callaghan, M. W., Hilaire, J., Creutzig, F., Amann, T., Beringer, T., de Oliveira Garcia, W., Hartmann, J., Khanna, T., et al. (2018) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aabf9f · Cited by 1,525
Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions
Smith, P., Davis, S. J., Creutzig, F., Fuss, S., Minx, J., Gabrielle, B., Kato, E., Jackson, R. B., Cowie, A., Kriegler, E., et al. (2016) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2870 · Cited by 1,440
Negative emissions physically needed to keep global warming below 2 °C
Gasser, T., Guivarch, C., Tachiiri, K., Jones, C. D., & Ciais, P. (2015) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/ncomms8958 · Cited by 374
Metadata
- Authors
- van Vuuren, D. P., Deetman, S., van Vliet, J., van den Berg, M., van Ruijven, B. J., & Koelbl, B.
- Venue
- Climatic Change
- Published
- 2013-02-06
- Volume
- 118
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 15-27
- ISSN
- 0165-0009 (ISSN-L)
- 1573-1480
- OpenAlex
- W2148869438
- Cited by
- 180
- References
- 7
- FWCI
- 34.91
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
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- van Vuuren, D. P., Deetman, S., van Vliet, J., van den Berg, M., van Ruijven, B. J., & Koelbl, B. (2013). The role of negative CO2 emissions for reaching 2 °C—insights from integrated assessment modelling. Climatic Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0680-5
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