Meta-analytic evaluation of the association between head injury and risk of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis
Abstract
Head injury is considered as a potential risk factor for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). However, several recent studies have suggested that head injury is not a cause, but a consequence of latent ALS. We aimed to evaluate such a possibility of reverse causation with meta-analyses considering time lags between the incidence of head injuries and the occurrence of ALS. We searched Medline and Web of Science for case-control, cross-sectional, or cohort studies that quantitatively investigated the head-injury-related risk of ALS and were published until 1 December 2016. After selecting appropriate publications based on PRISMA statement, we performed random-effects meta-analyses to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Sixteen of 825 studies fulfilled the eligibility criteria. The association between head injuries and ALS was statistically significant when the meta-analysis included all the 16 studies (OR 1.45, 95% CI 1.21-1.74). However, in the meta-analyses considering the time lags between the experience of head injuries and diagnosis of ALS, the association was weaker (OR 1.21, 95% CI 1.01-1.46, time lag ≥ 1 year) or not significant (e.g. OR 1.16, 95% CI 0.84-1.59, time lag ≥ 3 years). Although it did not deny associations between head injuries and ALS, the current study suggests a possibility that such a head-injury-oriented risk of ALS has been somewhat overestimated. For more accurate evaluation, it would be necessary to conduct more epidemiological studies that consider the time lags between the occurrence of head injuries and the diagnosis of ALS.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Cites
Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses: the PRISMA statement
Moher, D., Liberati, A., Tetzlaff, J., Altman, D. G., & for the PRISMA Group (2009) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.b2535 · Cited by 83,823 · see citing works
Preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses: the PRISMA Statement.
(2009) · PubMed Central · Cited by 44,859 · see citing works
El Escorial revisited: revised criteria for the diagnosis of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis
Brooks, B. R., Miller, R. G., Swash, M., & Munsat, T. L. (2000) · Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis and Other Motor Neuron Disorders · doi:10.1080/146608200300079536 · Cited by 5,433 · see citing works
Rowland, L. P., & Shneider, N. A. (2001) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejm200105313442207 · Cited by 1,851 · see citing works
Chiò, A., Logroscino, G., Traynor, B. J., Collins, J., Simeone, J. C., Goldstein, L. A., & White, L. A. (2013) · Neuroepidemiology · doi:10.1159/000351153 · Cited by 862 · see citing works
Meta‐analysis of early nonmotor features and risk factors for Parkinson disease
Noyce, A. J., Bestwick, J. P., Silveira‐Moriyama, L., Hawkes, C. H., Giovannoni, G., Lees, A. J., & Schrag, A. E. (2012) · Annals of Neurology · doi:10.1002/ana.23687 · Cited by 772 · see citing works
Perl, D. P., Gajdusek, D. C., Garruto, R. M., Yanagihara, R. T., & Gibbs, C. J. (1982) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.7112111 · Cited by 682 · see citing works
Belbasis, L., Bellou, V., Εvangelou, Ε., Ioannidis, J. P. A., & Tzoulaki, I. (2015) · The Lancet Neurology · doi:10.1016/s1474-4422(14)70267-4 · Cited by 669 · see citing works
Cognitive impairment in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis
Phukan, J., Pender, N. P., & Hardiman, O. M. (2007) · The Lancet Neurology · doi:10.1016/s1474-4422(07)70265-x · Cited by 610 · see citing works
The phenotypic variability of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis
Swinnen, B., & Robberecht, W. (2014) · Nature Reviews Neurology · doi:10.1038/nrneurol.2014.184 · Cited by 607 · see citing works
Severely increased risk of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis among Italian professional football players
Chio, A. (2005) · Brain · doi:10.1093/brain/awh373 · Cited by 484 · see citing works
Descriptive epidemiology of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: new evidence and unsolved issues
Logroscino, G., Traynor, B. J., Hardiman, O. M., Chiò, A., Couratier, P., Mitchell, J. D., Swingler, R. J., Beghi, E., & EURALS, F. (2007) · Journal of Neurology Neurosurgery & Psychiatry · doi:10.1136/jnnp.2006.104828 · Cited by 448 · see citing works
Perry, D. C., Sturm, V. E., Peterson, M. J., Pieper, C. F., Bullock, T., Boeve, B. F., Miller, B. L., Guskiewicz, K. M., Berger, M. S., Kramer, J. H., et al. (2016) · Journal of Neurosurgery · doi:10.3171/2015.2.jns14503 · Cited by 440 · see citing works
Crane, P. K., Gibbons, L. E., Dams-O’Connor, K., Trittschuh, E. H., Leverenz, J. B., Keene, C. D., Sonnen, J. A., Montine, T. J., Bennett, D. A., Leurgans, S. E., et al. (2016) · JAMA Neurology · doi:10.1001/jamaneurol.2016.1948 · Cited by 438 · see citing works
Variation in worldwide incidence of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: a meta-analysis
Marin, B., Boumédiène, F., Logroscino, G., Couratier, P., Babron, M., Leutenegger, A., Copetti, M., Preux, P., & Beghi, E. (2016) · International Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/ije/dyw061 · Cited by 328 · see citing works
Head injury and risk of Parkinson disease: A systematic review and meta‐analysis
Jafari, S., Etminan, M., Aminzadeh, F., & Samii, A. (2013) · Movement Disorders · doi:10.1002/mds.25458 · Cited by 282 · see citing works
Head Injury and Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis
Chen, H., Richard, M., Sandler, D. P., Umbach, D. M., & Kamel, F. (2007) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwm153 · Cited by 279 · see citing works
Occurrence of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis among Gulf War veterans
Horner, R. D., Kamins, K. G., Feussner, J. R., Grambow, S. C., Lindquist, J. H., Harati, Y., Mitsumoto, H., Pascuzzi, R. M., Spencer, P. S., Tim, R., et al. (2003) · Neurology · doi:10.1212/01.wnl.0000069922.32557.ca · Cited by 276 · see citing works
Ethnic variation in the incidence of ALS: A systematic review
Cronin, S., Hardiman, O., & Traynor, B. J. (2007) · Neurology · doi:10.1212/01.wnl.0000258551.96893.6f · Cited by 255 · see citing works
Li, Y., Li, Y., Li, X., Zhang, S., Zhao, J., Zhu, X., & Tian, G. (2017) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0169650 · Cited by 243 · see citing works
Premorbid weight, body mass, and varsity athletics in ALS
Scarmeas, N., Shih, T., Stern, Y., Ottman, R., & Rowland, L. P. (2002) · Neurology · doi:10.1212/wnl.59.5.773 · Cited by 235 · see citing works
Occurrence of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis among Gulf War veterans
Armon, C. (2007) · Neurology · doi:10.1212/01.wnl.0000260429.80237.c0 · Cited by 224 · see citing works
Excess incidence of ALS in young Gulf War veterans
Haley, R. W. (2003) · Neurology · doi:10.1212/wnl.61.6.750 · Cited by 223 · see citing works
Wang, N., Gray, M., Lu, X., Cantle, J. P., Holley, S. M., Greiner, E. R., Gu, X., Shirasaki, D., Cepeda, C., Li, Y., et al. (2014) · Nature Medicine · doi:10.1038/nm.3514 · Cited by 201 · see citing works
Prospective study of military service and mortality from ALS
Weisskopf, M. G., O’Reilly, É. J., McCullough, M. L., Calle, E. E., Thun, M. J., Cudkowicz, M., & Ascherio, A. (2005) · Neurology · doi:10.1212/01.wnl.0000148649.17706.d9 · Cited by 194 · see citing works
A CASE-CONTROL STUDY OF AMYOTROPHIC LATERAL SCLEROSIS1
Deapen, D., & Henderson, B. E. (1986) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a114308 · Cited by 184 · see citing works
Adult onset motor neuron disease: worldwide mortality, incidence and distribution since 1950.
Chancellor, A. M., & Warlow, C. P. (1992) · Journal of Neurology Neurosurgery & Psychiatry · doi:10.1136/jnnp.55.12.1106 · Cited by 159 · see citing works
High School Football and Risk of Neurodegeneration: A Community-Based Study
Savica, R., Parisi, J. E., Wold, L. E., Josephs, K. A., & Ahlskog, J. E. (2012) · Mayo Clinic Proceedings · doi:10.1016/j.mayocp.2011.12.016 · Cited by 156 · see citing works
Brain injury and neurologic sequelae
Williams, D. B., Annegers, J. F., Kokmen, E., O’Brien, P. C., & Kurland, L. T. (1991) · Neurology · doi:10.1212/wnl.41.10.1554 · Cited by 149 · see citing works
Smoking and risk for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: Analysis of the EPIC cohort
Gallo, V., Bueno-de-Mesquita, H. B., Vermeulen, R. C. H., Andersen, P. M., Kyrozis, A., Linseisen, J., Kaaks, R., Allen, N. E., Roddam, A., Boshuizen, H. C., et al. (2009) · Annals of Neurology · doi:10.1002/ana.21653 · Cited by 137 · see citing works
Epidemiology of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis
Kurtzke, J. F., & Beebe, G. W. (1980) · Neurology · doi:10.1212/wnl.30.5.453 · Cited by 136 · see citing works
Physical activity and the association with sporadic ALS
Veldink, J. H., Kalmijn, S., Groeneveld, G. J., Titulaer, M. J., Wokke, J. H. J., & van den Berg, L. H. (2005) · Neurology · doi:10.1212/01.wnl.0000149513.82332.5c · Cited by 135 · see citing works
Antecedent events in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis
Felmus, M. T., Patten, B. M., & Swanke, L. (1976) · Neurology · doi:10.1212/wnl.26.2.167 · Cited by 134 · see citing works
Neuroepidemiology of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: clues to aetiology and pathogenesis.
Román, G. C. (1996) · Journal of Neurology Neurosurgery & Psychiatry · doi:10.1136/jnnp.61.2.131 · Cited by 123 · see citing works
Lead Exposure as a Risk Factor for Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis
Kamel, F., Umbach, D. M., Hu, H., Munsat, T. L., Shefner, J. M., Taylor, J. A., & Sandler, D. P. (2005) · Neurodegenerative Diseases · doi:10.1159/000089625 · Cited by 122 · see citing works
Motor neuron disease in the province of Ferrara, Italy, in 1964–1982
Granieri, E., Carreras, M., Tola, R., Paolino, E., Tralli, G., Eleopra, R., & Serra, G. (1988) · Neurology · doi:10.1212/wnl.38.10.1604 · Cited by 119 · see citing works
Association of ALS with head injury, cigarette smoking and APOE genotypes
Schmidt, S., Kwee, L. C., Allen, K. D., & Oddone, E. Z. (2010) · Journal of the Neurological Sciences · doi:10.1016/j.jns.2010.01.011 · Cited by 117 · see citing works
Case-Control Studies of Motor Neuron Disease
Kondo, K. (1981) · Archives of Neurology · doi:10.1001/archneur.1981.00510040046007 · Cited by 112 · see citing works
Risk of Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis and History of Physical Activity
Longstreth, W. T., Jr., McGuire, V. M., Koepsell, T. D., Wang, Y., & van Belle, G. (1998) · Archives of Neurology · doi:10.1001/archneur.55.2.201 · Cited by 110 · see citing works
Risk Factors in Motor Neuron Disease: A Case-Control Study
Chiò, A., Meineri, P., Tribolo, A., & Schiffer, D. (1991) · Neuroepidemiology · doi:10.1159/000110267 · Cited by 107 · see citing works
Epidemiologic correlates of sporadic amyotrophic lateral sclerosis
Armon, C., Kurland, L. T., Daube, J. R., & O’Brien, P. C. (1991) · Neurology · doi:10.1212/wnl.41.7.1077 · Cited by 102 · see citing works
Prior medical conditions and the risk of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis
Seelen, M., van Doormaal, P. T. C., Visser, A. E., Huisman, M. H. B., Roozekrans, M., de Jong, S. W., van der Kooi, A. J., de Visser, M., Voermans, N. C., Veldink, J. H., et al. (2014) · Journal of Neurology · doi:10.1007/s00415-014-7445-1 · Cited by 100 · see citing works
Trauma and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: a case–control study from a population‐based registry
Pupillo, E., Messina, P., Logroscino, G., Zoccolella, S., Chiò, A., Calvo, A., Corbo, M., Lunetta, C., Micheli, A., Millul, A., et al. (2012) · European Journal of Neurology · doi:10.1111/j.1468-1331.2012.03723.x · Cited by 78 · see citing works
Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis and Occupational Heavy Metal Exposure: A Case-Control Study
Gresham, L. S., Molgaard, C. A., Golbeck, A. L., & Smith, R. A. (1986) · Neuroepidemiology · doi:10.1159/000110810 · Cited by 76 · see citing works
Traumatic brain injury may not increase the risk of Alzheimer disease
Weiner, M. W., Crane, P. K., Montine, T. J., Bennett, D. A., & Veitch, D. P. (2017) · Neurology · doi:10.1212/wnl.0000000000004608 · Cited by 71 · see citing works
Physical activity and risk of Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis in a prospective cohort study
Gallo, V., Vanacore, N., Bueno-de-Mesquita, H. B., Vermeulen, R. C. H., Brayne, C., Pearce, N. E., Wark, P. A., Ward, H. A., Ferrari, P., Jenab, M., et al. (2016) · European Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1007/s10654-016-0119-9 · Cited by 66 · see citing works
Heavy Metals and Trace Elements in Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis
Mitchell, J. D. (1987) · Neurologic Clinics · doi:10.1016/s0733-8619(18)30934-4 · Cited by 65 · see citing works
Does surgery accelerate progression of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis?
Pinto, S., Swash, M., & de Carvalho, M. A. (2013) · Journal of Neurology Neurosurgery & Psychiatry · doi:10.1136/jnnp-2013-305770 · Cited by 63 · see citing works
Trauma and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: A report of 78 patients
Gallagher, J. P., & Sanders, M. (1987) · Acta Neurologica Scandinavica · doi:10.1111/j.1600-0404.1987.tb07909.x · Cited by 62 · see citing works
Electrical injury and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: a systematic review of the literature
Abhinav, K., Al‐Chalabi, A., Hortobágyi, T., & Leigh, P. N. (2006) · Journal of Neurology Neurosurgery & Psychiatry · doi:10.1136/jnnp.2006.104414 · Cited by 59 · see citing works
Turner, M. R., Abisgold, J., Yeates, D., Talbot, K., & Goldacre, M. J. (2009) · Journal of the Neurological Sciences · doi:10.1016/j.jns.2009.10.010 · Cited by 55 · see citing works
Epidemiological evidence that physical activity is not a risk factor for ALS
Hamidou, B., Couratier, P., Besançon, C., Nicol, M., Preux, P. M., & Marin, B. (2014) · European Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1007/s10654-014-9923-2 · Cited by 55 · see citing works
Wolfson, C. M., Kilborn, S., Oskoui, M., & Genge, A. L. (2009) · Neuroepidemiology · doi:10.1159/000222089 · Cited by 53 · see citing works
Is head trauma a risk factor for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis? An evidence based review
Armon, C., & Nelson, L. M. (2012) · Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis · doi:10.3109/17482968.2012.660954 · Cited by 52 · see citing works
Head injury and risk for Parkinson disease
Kenborg, L., Rugbjerg, K., Lee, P., Ravnskjær, L., Christensen, J., Ritz, B. R., & Lassen, C. F. (2015) · Neurology · doi:10.1212/wnl.0000000000001362 · Cited by 49 · see citing works
Binazzi, A., Belli, S., Uccelli, R., Desiato, M. T., Talamanca, I. F., Antonini, G., Corsi, F. M., Scoppetta, C., Inghilleri, M., Pontieri, F. E., et al. (2009) · Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis · doi:10.3109/17482960802382313 · Cited by 46 · see citing works
Severe head injury and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis
Peters, T. L., Fang, F., Weibull, C. E., Sandler, D. P., Kamel, F., & Ye, W. (2013) · Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis and Frontotemporal Degeneration · doi:10.3109/21678421.2012.754043 · Cited by 45 · see citing works
Head injury does not alter disease progression or neuropathologic outcomes in ALS
Fournier, C. N., Gearing, M., Upadhyayula, S. R., Klein, M., & Glass, J. D. (2015) · Neurology · doi:10.1212/wnl.0000000000001522 · Cited by 44 · cited 2× · see citing works
“When the time lag was set at C 3 years, the pooled OR based on eight ORs listed in four studies [21, 22, 28, 33, 42] was 1.”
BackgroundLunny, C., Fraser, S. N., & Knopp‐Sihota, J. (2013) · Journal of the Neurological Sciences · doi:10.1016/j.jns.2013.08.011 · Cited by 43 · see citing works
Seals, R. M., Hansen, J., Gredal, O., & Weisskopf, M. G. (2016) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwv169 · Cited by 42 · see citing works
Head trauma in sport and neurodegenerative disease: an issue whose time has come?
Pearce, N. E., Gallo, V., & McElvenny, D. M. (2014) · Neurobiology of Aging · doi:10.1016/j.neurobiolaging.2014.12.024 · Cited by 36 · see citing works
Traumatic Injury and Multiple Sclerosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Warren, S., Olivo, S. A., Fuentes, J., Turpin, K. V. L., Gross, D. P., Carroll, L., & Warren, K. G. (2013) · Canadian Journal of Neurological Sciences / Journal Canadien des Sciences Neurologiques · doi:10.1017/s0317167100013688 · Cited by 28 · see citing works
Wicks, P. J. (2011) · Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis · doi:10.3109/17482968.2011.634009 · Cited by 14 · see citing works
Early-Onset Alopecia and Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis: A Cohort Study
Fondell, E., Fitzgerald, K. C., Falcone, G. J., O’Reilly, É. J., & Ascherio, A. (2013) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwt096 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Malaspina, A., Zaman, R., Mazzini, L., et al. (1999) · Journal of the Neurological Sciences · doi:10.1016/s0022-510x(98)00237-8 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Stop Football … Save Brains: A Point Counterpoint Discussion
Robbins, L. D., & Conidi, F. (2013) · Headache The Journal of Head and Face Pain · doi:10.1111/head.12104 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 1
- Jafari S, Etminan M, Aminzadeh F, Samii A. Head injury and risk of Parkinson disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Mov Disord. 2013;28:1222–9. · DOI · Paper page
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Head Injury and Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis: A Meta-Analysis
Liu, G., Ou, S., Cui, H., Li, X., Yin, Z., Gu, D., & Wang, Z. (2021) · Neuroepidemiology · doi:10.1159/000510987 · Cited by 41 · see citing works
- Authors
- Watanabe, Y., & Watanabe, T.
- Affiliations
- Queen Mary University of London (GB)
- University College London (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Watanabe, Yukari
- Venue
- European Journal of Epidemiology
- Published
- 2017-10
- Volume
- 32
- Issue
- 10
- Pages
- 867-879
- ISSN
- 0393-2990 (ISSN-L)
- 1573-7284
- OpenAlex
- W2766736878
- Semantic Scholar
- 55dece9087bc152e4ac9965c1aef23f88f4ee43f
- Cited by
- 27
- References
- 66
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 2 · 2023: 1 · 2022: 5 · 2021: 4 · 2020: 1 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 5
- FWCI
- 1.47
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- European Journal of Epidemiology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- UCL Discovery (University College London) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Horizon 2020 (656161)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Neurology › Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Traumatic Brain Injury Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pathology and Forensic Medicine › Spinal Cord Injury Research
- Keywords
- traumatic brain injury, amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, reverse causality, time delay, risk factors
- MeSH terms
- Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis, Female, Craniocerebral Trauma, Humans, Risk Factors, Risk Assessment
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review