Effects of the expert, devil's advocate, and dialectical inquiry methods on prediction performance
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The devil's advocacy is a method to program conflict in group decision making especially for ill-defined problems, in which one or some team members take the role of the devil's advocate.
“The devil's advocacy is a method to program conflict in a group decision making especially for ill-defined problems [28, 43, 44] in which one or some team members take the role of the devil's advocate.”
From Closed-mindedness and insulation in groupthink: their effects and the devil’s advocacy as a preventive measure (2021) · cites this paper as [44]
Cites
Representative design and probabilistic theory in a functional psychology.
Brunswik, E. (1955) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/h0047470 · Cited by 1,550 · see citing works
The Design of Inquiring Systems: Basic Concepts of Systems and Organization
Stevens, E., & Churchman, C. W. (1975) · American Educational Research Journal · doi:10.2307/1162585 · Cited by 863 · see citing works
A Dialectical Approach to Strategic Planning
Mason, R. O. (1969) · Management Science · doi:10.1287/mnsc.15.8.b403 · Cited by 412 · see citing works
On Strategic Assumption-Making: A Dialectical Approach to Policy and Planning
Mitroff, I. I., & Emshoff, J. R. (1979) · Academy of Management Review · doi:10.5465/amr.1979.4289165 · Cited by 318 · see citing works
Social judgment theory and the analysis of interpersonal conflict.
Brehmer, B. (1976) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/0033-2909.83.6.985 · Cited by 290 · see citing works
Cognitive conflict and goal conflict effects on task performance
Cosier, R. A., & Rose, G. L. (1977) · Organizational Behavior and Human Performance · doi:10.1016/0030-5073(77)90071-x · Cited by 215 · see citing works
Self-citationDoherty, M. E., & Kurz, E. M. (1996) · Thinking & Reasoning · doi:10.1080/135467896394474 · Cited by 153 · see citing works
The effects of three potential aids for making strategic decisions on prediction accuracy
Cosier, R. A. (1978) · Organizational Behavior and Human Performance · doi:10.1016/0030-5073(78)90018-1 · Cited by 150 · see citing works
Self-citationMitroff, I. I., Barabba, V. P., & Kilmann, R. H. (1977) · Management Science · doi:10.1287/mnsc.24.1.44 · Cited by 129 · see citing works
A Dialectical Analysis of Organizational Conflict
Lourenco, S. V., & Glidewell, J. C. (1975) · Administrative Science Quarterly · doi:10.2307/2392018 · Cited by 66 · see citing works
A critical view of dialectical inquiry as a tool in strategic planning
Cosier, R. A., & Aplin, J. C. (1980) · Strategic Management Journal · doi:10.1002/smj.4250010405 · Cited by 58 · see citing works
Self-citationAn Evaluation of the Effectiveness of Dialectical Inquiry Systems
Cosier, R. A., Ruble, T. L., & Aplin, J. C. (1978) · Management Science · doi:10.1287/mnsc.24.14.1483 · Cited by 55 · see citing works
Self-citationPreliminaries to a psychology of inference
Brehmer, B. (1979) · Scandinavian Journal of Psychology · doi:10.1111/j.1467-9450.1979.tb00701.x · Cited by 51 · see citing works
INQUIRY METHOD, GOAL DIFFICULTY, AND CONTEXT EFFECTS ON PERFORMANCE
Cosier, R. A. (1980) · Decision Sciences · doi:10.1111/j.1540-5915.1980.tb01121.x · Cited by 47 · see citing works
Self-citationA Brunswik Lens Model of Dialectical Inquiring Systems
Mitroff, I. I. (1974) · Theory and Decision · doi:10.1007/bf00140300 · Cited by 26 · see citing works
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Amason, A. C. (1996) · Academy of Management Journal · doi:10.2307/256633 · Cited by 2,584 · see citing works
Schweiger, D. M., Sandberg, W. R., & Ragan, J. W. (1986) · Academy of Management Journal · doi:10.2307/255859 · Cited by 682 · see citing works
Effects of devil's advocacy and dialectical inquiry on decision making: A meta-analysis
Schwenk, C. R. (1990) · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · doi:10.1016/0749-5978(90)90051-a · Cited by 213 · see citing works
Self-citationPOSITIVE EFFECTS OF CONFLICT: A FIELD ASSESSMENT
Cosier, R. A., & Dalton, D. R. (1990) · International Journal of Conflict Management · doi:10.1108/eb022674 · Cited by 74 · see citing works
Self-citationKnown Unknowns: A Critical Determinant of Confidence and Calibration
Walters, D. J., Fernbach, P. M., Fox, C. R., & Sloman, S. A. (2017) · Management Science · doi:10.1287/mnsc.2016.2580 · Cited by 62 · see citing works
Akhmad, M., Chang, S., & Deguchi, H. (2021) · Journal of Computational Social Science · doi:10.1007/s42001-020-00083-8 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
- Authors
- Schwenk, C. R., & Cosier, R. A.
- Affiliations
- University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (US)
- Indiana University (US)
- Venue
- Organizational Behavior and Human Performance
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 1980-12
- Volume
- 26
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 409-424
- ISSN
- 0030-5073 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W1982040965
- Cited by
- 132
- References
- 15
- Citations by year
- 2023: 1 · 2021: 2 · 2020: 3 · 2019: 6 · 2017: 3 · 2016: 1 · 2015: 1 · 2014: 5 · 2013: 2 · 2012: 3
- FWCI
- 2.69
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Organizational Behavior and Human Performance (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › General Decision Sciences › Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Leadership, Behavior, and Decision-Making Studies
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Forecasting Techniques and Applications
- Keywords
- dialectical inquiry, devil's advocate, expert opinion, decision making under uncertainty, predictive performance, counterfactual reasoning, decision aids
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
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