Benchmarking state-of-the-art classification algorithms for credit scoring: an update of research
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Many benchmarking studies have illustrated that complex analytical techniques only provide marginal performance gains on structured, tabular data sets such as fraud detection, credit scoring and marketing analytics.
“Many benchmarking studies have illustrated that complex analytical techniques only provide marginal performance gains on structured, tabular data sets as frequently encountered in common classification tasks such as fraud detection, credit scoring and marketing analytics (Baesens et al., 2003; Lessmann et al., 2015).”
From Data engineering for fraud detection (2021) · cites this paper as Lessmann et al., 2015
In §5.1 (page unavailable), the paper explicitly rejects the inference that complex classifiers offer little advantage over simpler methods, finding that some advanced methods significantly outperform logistic regression in credit scoring. It also finds that sophistication does not reliably improve accuracy; its conclusions are limited to credit scoring, not fraud detection or marketing analytics. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe result that random forests outperform logistic regression is consistent with benchmarking experiments performed across various business domains reported in the literature.
“This result is unsurprising and is fully consistent with the results of benchmarking experiments performed across various business domains and reported in the literature [2, 17].”
From Why you should stop predicting customer churn and start using uplift models (2021) · cites this paper as [2]
Section 5.2 reports that logistic regression predicted significantly less accurately than the other selected classifiers, including random forests. But the paper benchmarks retail credit scoring across eight datasets, not experiments across various business domains; that broader scope is unsupported by this source. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredSupport vector machines and artificial neural networks are better-suited to handle continuous covariates, which occur frequently in financial time series forecasting.
“One of the explanations for their popularity for time series forecasting (cf. other advanced techniques such as bagged or boosted decision trees), is that they are better-suited to handle continuous covariates (Lessmann, Baesens, Seow, & Thomas, 2015), which occur frequently in financial time series forecasting (e.g., prices, price differences or technical indicators).”
From Bridging the divide in financial market forecasting: machine learners vs. financial economists (2016) · cites this paper as Lessmann, Baesens, Seow, & Thomas, 2015
Section 4.3 (page not available) says ANNs and SVMs benefit when nominal variables are encoded as numbers, while classification trees can work with mixed nominal and numeric data. This supports a preference for numeric inputs, but does not establish that ANNs and SVMs handle continuous covariates better than bagged or boosted trees. (LLM, conf=0.82)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredComplex analytical models such as random forests, boosting methods, support vector machines, neural networks and deep learning do not always significantly outperform simple analytical models such as logistic regression.
“We would also like to note that these complex models not always significantly outperform simple analytical models such as logistic regression (Baesens et al., 2003; Lessmann et al., 2015)”
From Data engineering for fraud detection (2021) · cites this paper as Lessmann et al., 2015
Section 5.1 (page unavailable) says sophisticated methods do not necessarily improve accuracy and reports that dynamic ensembles performed less accurately than simpler alternatives, including logistic regression. That supports the qualified point for the credit-scoring classifiers studied, but the paper's listed algorithms do not include deep learning, so it does not establish the claim for every example named. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
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“[43, 38, 43, 55, 72]), we settled on the following contexts:”
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- Authors
- Lessmann, S., Baesens, B., Seow, H.-V., & Thomas, L. C.
- Affiliations
- Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin (DE)
- University of Southampton (GB)
- University of Nottingham Malaysia Campus (MY)
- Corresponding author
- Lessmann, Stefan
- Venue
- European Journal of Operational Research
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2015-11
- Volume
- 247
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 124-136
- ISSN
- 0377-2217 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2131816657
- Cited by
- 1,284
- References
- 170
- Citations by year
- 2026: 218 · 2025: 193 · 2024: 109 · 2023: 129 · 2022: 121 · 2021: 134 · 2020: 109 · 2019: 112 · 2018: 73 · 2017: 48 · 2016: 29 · 2015: 7 · 2014: 1 · 2012: 1
- FWCI
- 230.52
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- lirias.kuleuven.be
- Licence
- Locations
- European Journal of Operational Research (publishedVersion)
- ePrints Soton (University of Southampton) (acceptedVersion)
- Lirias (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Accounting › Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Imbalanced Data Classification Techniques
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Forecasting Techniques and Applications
- Keywords
- credit scoring, machine learning classifiers, benchmarking, classifier comparison, credit risk assessment
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