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Migration, immobility and displacement outcomes following extreme events
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“For instance, capability may be positively associated with socio-economic status (Afifi et al. 2016; Black et al. 2013; Mallick and Mallick 2021), education (Rofi et al. 2006; Schewel and Fransen 2022), or—in contexts where strong social gender norms prevail—male gender (Akter et al. 2019; Mata-Codesal 2015; Pedraza 1991; Tripathy Furlong et al. 2022).”
From Trapped by climate change? (In)voluntary immobility in Bangladesh (2025) · cites this paper as Black et al. 2013
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“However, similarly to how disasters sometimes curb migration (42), conflict-related destruction also may erode people's ability to use mobility as a coping mechanism.”
From Vicious Circles: Violence, Vulnerability, and Climate Change (2021) · cites this paper as [42]
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Kim, S. K., & Park, S. (2023) · Cities · doi:10.1016/j.cities.2023.104321 · Cited by 16
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“…change engenders predominantly South–South movements (Weber 2015), internal displacement within the Global South (Foresight 2011), or immobility (Black et al. 2013; Zickgraf and Perrin 2017, Zickgraf, this Special Issue (SI)), securitisation discourses and anti-migration policies are currently…”
BackgroundWeather variability, agricultural revenues and internal migration: evidence from Pakistan
Lohano, H. D. (2017) · Climate and Development · doi:10.1080/17565529.2017.1372263 · Cited by 15
“Climate and weather related migration is multifaceted and migration depends on both vulnerability and the ability to migrate, as populations vulnerable to the climate change impacts may have the least ability to migrate (Black et al., 2013).”
BackgroundIntegrated modelling of social-ecological systems for climate change adaptation
Giupponi, C., Ausseil, A.-G., Balbi, S., Cian, F., Fekete, A., Gain, A. K., Essenfelder, A. H., Martínez‐López, J., Mojtahed, V., Norf, C., et al. (2022) · Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling · doi:10.18174/sesmo.18161 · Cited by 17
“Population growth and urbanisation (Satterthwaite, 2009), migration (Black et al., 2013) and conflict (Hsiang et al.”
BackgroundRivera‐Hernandez, M., Kim, D., Nguyen, K. H., Thorsness, R., Lee, Y., Swaminathan, S., Mehrotra, R., & Trivedi, A. N. (2022) · JAMA Health Forum · doi:10.1001/jamahealthforum.2022.2534 · Cited by 15
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“droughts and floods), caused by climate change, could induce human migration (Krishnamurthy, 2012; Fang et al., 2007; Black et al., 2013).”
BackgroundExposure Outliers: Children, Mothers, and Cumulative Disaster Exposure in Louisiana
Mohammad, L., & Peek, L. (2019) · Journal of Family Strengths · doi:10.58464/2168-670x.1401 · Cited by 14
Walking with farmers: Floods, agriculture and the social practice of everyday mobility
Arnall, A. (2021) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102289 · Cited by 13
Compound impacts of extreme weather events and COVID ‐19 on climate mobilities
Thalheimer, L. (2022) · Area · doi:10.1111/area.12821 · Cited by 16
“Remittance receiving households become increasingly vulnerable as they are no longer insulated from the impacts of extreme weather events (Ayeb-Karlsson, 2020b; Black et al., 2013).”
BackgroundHuman Mobility in a Socio-Environmental Context: Complex Effects on Environmental Risk
Guadagno, L. (2016) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-33880-4_2 · Cited by 15
“While it is always determined by the interplay of local and distant social and ecological pressures and factors, moving is only a viable option for those local and distant who can face the material and immaterial costs linked with movement (Black et al. 2012).”
BackgroundClimate change, migration and voice
Beine, M. A. R., Noy, I., & Parsons, C. R. (2021) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-021-03157-2 · Cited by 15
Indigenous knowledge and climate change: insights from Muzarabani, zimbabwe
Chanza, N. (2014) · Nelson Mandela University Research Repository · Cited by 15
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“…environmental pressures may also be an impediment to relocation for some people (Black et al. 2013) who may not be able to migrate due to related financial and societal constraints because migration requires various resources (Gray and Mueller 2012; Black et al. 2013; Biswas and Mallick 2021).”
Kam, P. M., Ciccone, F., Kropf, C. M., Riedel, L., Fairless, C., & Bresch, D. N. (2024) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-024-53200-w · Cited by 14
“Wefurtherremarkthatfortheplanningofanticipatoryaction,not only the displaced people, but also the people that may decide to remain in the impacted area 38 , or even become trapped there if escape routes are blocked 39,40 may be of relevance.”
BackgroundRevisiting the climate driver and inhibitor mechanisms of international migration
Wesselbaum, D. (2020) · Climate and Development · doi:10.1080/17565529.2020.1711700 · Cited by 14
Etzold, B., Ahmed, A. U., Hassan, S. R., Neelormi, S., & Afifi, T. (2015) · Advances in global change research · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-25796-9_2 · Cited by 14
“Rainfall variability or other hazards are not the proximate cause of migration; rather, it is their immediate and mid-term effects, most importantly crop loss, local unemployment or food price hikes (Gray and Mueller 2012; Black et al. 2013; Martin et al. 2013).”
BackgroundClimate-induced migration: using mental models to explore aggregate and individual decision-making
Whitley, C. T., Rivers, L., Mattes, S., Marquart‐Pyatt, S. T., Ligmann‐Zielinska, A., Olabisi, L. S., & Du, J. (2017) · Journal of Risk Research · doi:10.1080/13669877.2017.1281331 · Cited by 14
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BackgroundInfluentialLocal Resilience to Natural Hazards in Serbia. Case Study: The West Morava River Valley
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Environmental shocks and migration among a climate-vulnerable population in Bangladesh
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“…the factors determining whether affected individuals move or not, the recent environmental migration literature has increasingly focused on differentiating the impact of environmental change on migration by event type (Black et al., 2013; Cattaneo et al., 2019; Koubi et al., 2022b; McLeman, 2014).”
Mohammadi, S., & Khanian, M. (2021) · Space and Culture · doi:10.1177/12063312211018396 · Cited by 15
“However, studying the different aspects and reasons of this insistence and the decision for not migrating will shed more light on the relationship between migration and the environment (Bardsley & Hugo, 2010; Black et al., 2013).”
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Population geography I: Epistemological opportunities of mixed methods
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“Bailey’s (2010) argument that climate change is an arena in which population geographers might further contribute can be extended to making mixed methods contributions, building on prominent work on forced migration and climate change (e.g. Black et al, 2013).”
BackgroundConclusion: Migration as Adaptation: Conceptual Origins, Recent Developments, and Future Directions
McLeman, R. A. (2016) · Global migration issues · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-42922-9_11 · Cited by 13
Climate change and national security: an agenda for geography
Farbotko, C. (2017) · Australian Geographer · doi:10.1080/00049182.2017.1385119 · Cited by 17
“The very vulnerable, moreover, are likely to be trapped in place rather than mobile (Black et al. 2013).”
BackgroundLocal labour market impacts of climate-related disasters: a demand-and-supply analysis
Fouzia, S. Z., Mu, J. E., & Chen, Y. (2019) · Spatial Economic Analysis · doi:10.1080/17421772.2019.1701699 · Cited by 13
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Self-citationIdentifying leverage points in climate change migration systems through expert mental models
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Exclusion of Climate Migrants from the Global Compact on Refugees
Woodworth, F. (2023) · Geopolitics · doi:10.1080/14650045.2023.2225242 · Cited by 14
“It may conceal the fact that environmental stressors can contribute to im mobility as well as mobility (Black et al. 2013, 33; Kaczan and Orgill-Meyer 2020, 285).”
BackgroundHamza, A., Shi, G., & Hossain, B. (2024) · Water · doi:10.3390/w16182692 · Cited by 19
Residential mobility responses to home damage caused by floods, cyclones and bushfires in Australia
Bernard, A., Perales, F., Charles‐Edwards, E., & Bacquet-Carlier, S. (2024) · Population and Environment · doi:10.1007/s11111-024-00470-7 · Cited by 12
“Indeed, recent weather-related disasters have highlighted substantial vulnerabilities and ensuing population displacement in wealthier and more technologically advanced nations (Black et al., 2013; Muttarak, 2021).”
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Climate induced migration and internal displacement in rural India
Moharaj, P., Muduli, D. K., & Sahoo, D. (2025) · Discover Environment · doi:10.1007/s44274-025-00312-9 · Cited by 15
“The variability in rainfall, increasing frequency of extreme weather events, and rising temperatures are significant drivers of internal displacement [48, 49].”
Research priorities for seafood-dependent livelihoods under ocean climate change extreme events
Ojea, E., Ilosvay, X. E., Salgueiro-Otero, D., Rubio, I., Tidd, A. N., Caballero, S. V., Bueno‐Pardo, J., Aguión, A., barazzetta, F., & Ameneiro, J. (2023) · Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability · doi:10.1016/j.cosust.2023.101264 · Cited by 15
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“Under certain circumstances, relocating can be a highly productive adaptation strategy 31,46–48 .”
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Thalheimer, L., & Oh, W. S. (2023) · Climate Risk Management · doi:10.1016/j.crm.2023.100509 · Cited by 17
“Without an understanding of disaster displacement processes, it is impossible to disentangle extreme weather from other displacement drivers, e.g., economic and conflict drivers of forced mobility (Black et al., 2013).”
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Renn, O. (2014) · Journal of risk analysis and crisis response · doi:10.2991/jrarc.2014.4.3.1 · Cited by 11
“…of natural disasters with chemical, technological, lifestyle, and social risks4; - increase of mobility, migration and cultural derooting (Black et al. 2013) - loss of traditional management capabilities5; - increase of social pressure and conflicts (Iadociola and Shupe, 2013); - lack of…”
Environmental stress and agricultural landownership in Africa
Linke, A. M., & Tollefsen, A. F. (2021) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102237 · Cited by 11
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Climate Change and Human Mobility in the Global South
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Does drought exposure erode trust in the political system in Sub-Saharan Africa?
Rhein, S., & Jansesberger, V. (2024) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-024-03768-5 · Cited by 14
“Several studies have shown that the societal implications of gradual and sudden disastrous hazards oftentimes differ (Renaud et al. 2011; Black et al. 2013; Koubi et al. 2016; Amarasinghe et al. 2020).”
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“Prior works had shown that the decision to migrate (temporary, permanent, mobility or international migration) is associated with a mix of demographic, economic, political, socio ‐ cultural and environmental factors (Black et al., 2013).”
Urban temporary housing environments—from a systematic comparison towards an integrated typology
Stocker, M., Schneider, G., Zeilinger, J., Rose, G., Damyanovic, D., & Huber-Humer, M. (2021) · Journal of Housing and the Built Environment · doi:10.1007/s10901-020-09812-x · Cited by 10
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Wiig, A., Mahmud, M., Kolstad, I., Lujala, P., & Bezu, S. (2023) · Regional Environmental Change · doi:10.1007/s10113-023-02086-3 · Cited by 10
“These results go against the literature suggesting that credit constraints limit the migration of poor households (Arongo 2000; Adger et al 2015; Black et al 2013; Adams 2016), suggesting that this is not as limiting a factor in the case of the possibly short-distance migration included in our…”
ResultDiallo, A., & Renou, Y. (2015) · Mondes en développement · doi:10.3917/med.172.0087 · Cited by 11
“…d’isoler empiriquement les facteurs climatiques dans la décision de migrer des populations : les populations n’agissent pas de façon linéaire et les contextes socio-économique, politique et culturel peuvent, dans certains cas, freiner ou accroître la migration induite (Black et al., 2013).”
BackgroundNew Materialities and Precarious Mobilities: Reinventing Studies of Space and Place
McAlister, J. F., & Ewalt, J. P. (2018) · Women s Studies in Communication · doi:10.1080/07491409.2018.1551680 · Cited by 10
Islam, M. M. (2013) · White Rose eTheses Online (University of Leeds, The University of Sheffield, University of York) · doi:10.13140/rg.2.2.20652.90246 · Cited by 10
What is in a number? Some reflections on disaster displacement modelling
Buhaug, H. (2023) · International Migration · doi:10.1111/imig.13165 · Cited by 9
Kamboh, S. A., Ittefaq, M., & Pezzullo, P. C. (2024) · Environmental Communication · doi:10.1080/17524032.2024.2327058 · Cited by 9
“First, the increasing severity and frequency of extreme weather events, such as fl oods, droughts, wild fi res, heatwaves, and hurricanes, have led to signi fi - cant economic losses in many LICs (Black et al., 2013; Lakhani, 2022; Mirza, 2003).”
BackgroundClimate Change and Human Mobility: Considering Context, Mechanisms, and Selectivity
Garip, F., & Reed, C. A. (2025) · Population and Development Review · doi:10.1111/padr.12716 · Cited by 14
“The concept of involuntary immobility antici-pates what climate–mobilities scholars call trapped populations —those who live in environmentally risky areas with insufficient resources to move out (Benveniste, Oppenheimer, and Fleurbaey 2022; Black et al. 2013; Logan, Issar, and Xu 2016).”
Burrows, K., Son, J.-Y., & Bell, M. L. (2021) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su13116228 · Cited by 9
Assessment of Water-Migration-Gender Interconnections in Ethiopia
Färber, L., Nagabhatla, N., & Ruyssen, I. (2022) · Frontiers in Human Dynamics · doi:10.3389/fhumd.2022.858229 · Cited by 12
Spatial and temporal impacts on socio-economic conditions in the Yangon slums
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Disaster mobilities, temporalities, and recovery: experiences of the tsunami in the Maldives
Kothari, U., Arnall, A., & Azfa, A. (2023) · Disasters · doi:10.1111/disa.12578 · Cited by 9
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“In the literature, population mobility under climate change disasters is further addressed into temporary movement and permanent migration interacting with different drivers (Banerjee 2007; Black et al. 2013; Joarder and Miller 2013; Bohra-Mishra et al. 2014).”
BackgroundClimate Change, Migration and Voice: An Explanation for the Immobility ParadoxPreprint
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Climate Change, Migration and Voice: An Explanation for the Immobility ParadoxPreprint
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“…of ‘ trapped populations ’ draws attention to the fact that those who desire to move but are unable to do so and therefore remain stuck in a risky environment can be just as or more vulnerable than those who move (Foresight 2011; Black et al. 2013; Adger et al. 2018; Ayeb-Karlsson et al. 2018).”
BackgroundBernasconi, C. (2024) · Climate · doi:10.3390/cli13010006 · Cited by 9
Climate Captivity: When in-situ Adaptation and Moving Out Are No Longer Options
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“Therefore, the number of people affected by disasters and remaining in exposed areas far exceeds those who temporarily or permanently migrate (Black et al. 2013).”
Ahsan, M. N., Naim, J., Kumar, P., Okano, N., Alam, A., Chowdhury, S., Islam, M. T., Khatun, A., Nasrin, N., & Vink, K. (2024) · Habitat International · doi:10.1016/j.habitatint.2024.103215 · Cited by 18
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“Indeed, displacement is not necessarily instantaneous with regards to the perturbation, but it may take a relatively long time for people to “realize” their displacement (Black et al., 2013).”
BackgroundInternational Migration Projections across Skill Levels in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
Shayegh, S., Emmerling, J., & Tavoni, M. (2022) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su14084757 · Cited by 8
“The increase in international migration is expected to continue due to rise in socioeconomic inequality and climate change among other factors [4,5].”
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“Black et al. (2013) also highlight the importance of such data for policy-making.”
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Climatised Moves - Climate-induced Migration and the Politics of Environmental Discourse
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Do climatic factors induce rural migration? Empirical evidence from cotton farmers in Benin
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Escalating threat of human-perceived heatwaves in Brazil
Ballarin, A. S., de Oliveira, P. T. S., Uchôa, J. G. S. M., Lima, C., Zaerpour, M., Godoy, M. R. V., Neto, A. A. M., Papalexiou, S. M., & Wendland, E. C. (2024) · Environmental Research Communications · doi:10.1088/2515-7620/ad9140 · Cited by 11
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“Movement in response to climate change can also take diverse forms, including displacement, voluntary movement, planned relocation, and immobility (Renaud et al., 2007; Black et al., 2013).”
To relocate or not: Climate-induced migration dynamics in the context of adaptation and intervention
Chen, X. (2025) · Energy Economics · doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108635 · Cited by 7
From Human Resources to Human Rights
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Disaster Risk Reduction in Agriculture
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Framing Migration as Adaptation: IOM’s Aspirations to Manage Climate Migration
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“Often, climatic hazards coincide with political, economic, social or other incentives to migrate, and a continuum between voluntary and forced migration exists (Black et al. 2013; Cattaneo et al. 2019).”
Migration in response to environmental change
Mistri, A., & Das, B. (2017) · Routledge eBooks · doi:10.4324/9781315147741-8 · Cited by 7
Identification of heatwave hotspots in Seoul using high-resolution population mobility data
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The Arbitrary Project of Protecting Environmental Migrants
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“It is the poorer who lack the resources necessary to move (Black et al. 2013, Foresight 2011 [p. 9]) who are the most vulnerable.”
BackgroundOf Harm, Culprits and Rectification: Obtaining Corrective Justice for Climate Change Displacement
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Trapped by climate change? (In)voluntary immobility in Bangladesh
Freihardt, J. (2025) · Regional Environmental Change · doi:10.1007/s10113-025-02452-3 · Cited by 6
“Most notably, the UK government’s Foresight Report introduced the concept of “trapped populations” to describe people who are exposed to environmental risks but lack the capability to move away from these risks (Black et al. 2013; Foresight 2011).”
InfluentialDaraz, U., Bojnec, Š., & Khan, Y. (2024) · Fire · doi:10.3390/fire7110377 · Cited by 8
Who speaks for climate migrants? A justice-oriented bibliometric analysis of Global South research
Aziz, M., Anjum, G., Nawaz, A. R., & Nadeem, I. (2025) · Frontiers in Climate · doi:10.3389/fclim.2025.1658517 · Cited by 7
Nguyen, H. T., Stevens, C., & Baldassar, L. V. (2026) · Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies · doi:10.1080/1369183x.2026.2628460 · Cited by 6
“Immobility regimes are shaped by complex power dynamics, including historical lega-cies of colonialism, economic disparities, and global inequalities (Black et al. 2013; Cress-well 2010; van-der-Velde and van-Naerssen 2011).”
John, R. (2022) · GEOGRAPHY ENVIRONMENT SUSTAINABILITY · doi:10.24057/2071-9388-2021-027 · Cited by 6
Ayeb‐Karlsson, S., Hayward, G., & Kniveton, D. R. (2025) · Earth · doi:10.3390/earth6010011 · Cited by 7
“For example, people may choose to move (seasonally or permanently), they may be forced to migrate, resettle, and return, or they may end up displaced, immobile, or ‘trapped’ [1,2,4–9].”
Hautte, L. V., Scheerens, C., Ruyssen, I., & Toma, S. (2025) · Globalization and Health · doi:10.1186/s12992-025-01116-5 · Cited by 6
Analysis of Temperature Variability over Desert and Urban Areas of Northern China
Mugume, I., & Shuanghe, S. (2016) · Journal of Climatology & Weather Forecasting · doi:10.4172/2332-2594.1000162 · Cited by 6
Mental Health and Psychosocial Support in Humanitarian Settings
Weissbecker, I., Ventevogel, P., Hanna, F., & Pathare, S. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108348607.026 · Cited by 10
Sidun, N. M., & Flores, Y. G. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108348607.019 · Cited by 6
Human Rights and Reconciliation
Vélez, G., Twose, G. H. J., & López‐López, W. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108348607.037 · Cited by 6
McIntyre-Mills, J. J. (2021) · Contemporary systems thinking · doi:10.1007/978-981-33-6884-2_9 · Cited by 6
Post-Disaster Mobilities: Exploring Household Relocation after the Canterbury Earthquakes
Dickinson, S. (2013) · UC Research Repository (University of Canterbury) · doi:10.26021/8124 · Cited by 6
Laila, G. A., Ford, J. D., Ivanova, D., & Paavola, J. (2025) · International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction · doi:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105646 · Cited by 8
Metadata
- Authors
- Black, R., Arnell, N. W., Adger, W. N., Thomas, D., & Geddes, A.
- Affiliations
- University of Sussex (GB)
- University of Reading (GB)
- University of Exeter (GB)
- University of Oxford (GB)
- University of Sheffield (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Black, Richard
- Venue
- Environmental Science & Policy
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2013-03
- Volume
- 27
- Pages
- S32-S43
- ISSN
- 1462-9011 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2049692286
- Cited by
- 519
- References
- 64
- Citations by year
- 2026: 38 · 2025: 47 · 2024: 57 · 2023: 43 · 2022: 52 · 2021: 56 · 2020: 85 · 2019: 30 · 2018: 23 · 2017: 27 · 2016: 22 · 2015: 21 · 2014: 11 · 2013: 5
- FWCI
- 41.14
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- Licence
- Locations
- Environmental Science & Policy (publishedVersion)
- SOAS Research Online (SOAS University of London) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- Government of the United Kingdom
- Office of Science
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Climate Change, Adaptation, Migration
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Climate Change Communication and Perception
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Hydropower, Displacement, Environmental Impact
- Keywords
- environmental migration, displacement, immobility, extreme weather events, climate change adaptation, population vulnerability, climate-induced displacement, global change
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