The Shared Socio-economic Pathways: Trajectories for human development and global environmental change

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. J., & Meehl, G. A. (2012) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-11-00094.1 · Cited by 14,052

Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization

Eyring, V., Bony, S., Meehl, G. A., Senior, C. A., Stevens, B., Stouffer, R. J., & Taylor, K. E. (2016) · Geoscientific Model Development · doi:10.5194/gmd-9-1937-2016 · Cited by 11,981

The representative concentration pathways: an overview

van Vuuren, D. P., Edmonds, J., Kainuma, M., Riahi, K., Thomson, A., Hibbard, K., Hurtt, G. C., Kram, T., Krey, V., Lamarque, J.-F., et al. (2011) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0148-z · Cited by 7,741

The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview

Riahi, K., van Vuuren, D. P., Kriegler, E., Edmonds, J., O’Neill, B. C., Fujimori, S., Bauer, N., Calvin, K., Dellink, R., Fricko, O., et al. (2017) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009 · Cited by 6,607

The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment

Moss, R. H., Edmonds, J. A., Hibbard, K. A., Manning, M. R., Rose, S. K., van Vuuren, D. P., Carter, T. R., Emori, S., Kainuma, M., Kram, T., et al. (2010) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature08823 · Cited by 6,467

The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6

O'Neill, B. C., Tebaldi, C., van Vuuren, D. P., Eyring, V., Friedlingstein, P., Hurtt, G., Knutti, R., Kriegler, E., Lamarque, J.-F., Lowe, J., et al. (2016) · Geoscientific Model Development · doi:10.5194/gmd-9-3461-2016 · Cited by 5,241

The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century

O’Neill, B. C., Kriegler, E., Ebi, K. L., Kemp-Benedict, E., Riahi, K., Rothman, D. S., van Ruijven, B. J., van Vuuren, D. P., Birkmann, J., Kok, K., et al. (2017) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.01.004 · Cited by 3,359

A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways

O’Neill, B. C., Kriegler, E., Riahi, K., Ebi, K. L., Hallegatte, S., Carter, T. R., Mathur, R., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2014) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0905-2 · Cited by 2,716

The human core of the shared socioeconomic pathways: Population scenarios by age, sex and level of education for all countries to 2100

KC, S., & Lutz, W. (2017) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.06.004 · Cited by 1,337

The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century

Fricko, O., Havlik, P., Rogelj, J., Klimont, Z., Gusti, M., Johnson, N., Kolp, P., Strubegger, M., Valin, H., Amann, M., et al. (2017) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.004 · Cited by 1,075

The potential of heavy-duty hydrogen fuel cell vehicles: Decarbonization and policy implications

Peng, B., Chen, S., Lu, L., Teng, F., Wang, G., & Xin, Q. (2026) · Transportation Research Part D Transport and Environment · doi:10.1016/j.trd.2026.105443

Assessing Climate Adaptation Among Canada Lynx ( Lynx canadensis ) Populations at the Trailing Edge

Lama, T. M., Bentley, B. P., JOHNSON, W. E., Komoroske, L. M., DeStefano, S., Vashon, J. H., Beauclerc, K. B., Kamilar, J. M., Formenti, G., Batista, A., et al. (2026) · Molecular Ecology · doi:10.1111/mec.70425

Projected spatial reorganization of Köppen–Geiger climate zones and multi-scale exposure of population and economic activityPreprint

Defrance, D., & Lescure, T. (2026) · Research Square · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-9859588/v1

Socioecological pathways shape the decoupling of population growth and land loss across Sub-Saharan Africa

Derebe, Y., Wei, W., Abate, M. C., Ketema, H., Bantihun, A., Afriyie, D., Yirsaw, E., & Wu, Y. (2026) · Land Use Policy · doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.108190

Introduction to Urban Adaptation

Mosca, F. (2026) · SpringerBriefs in applied sciences and technology · doi:10.1007/978-3-032-28039-8_1

Dynamic Changes, Spatial Clustering and Fragmentation Patterns of African Forests Under Different Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Scenarios

Zhou, W., Liu, B., Jiang, Y., Li, L., Zhang, C. L., & Liu, W. (2026) · Diversity · doi:10.3390/d18070406

The impact of climate change on offshore wind and solar resources in China seas

Xu, K., Si, J., Liu, Z., Bin, L., & Lian, J. (2026) · Applied Ocean Research · doi:10.1016/j.apor.2026.105166

Assessing nature-based solutions for heat stress resilience in an urban micro-climate under changing climate scenarios

Kacker, K., Srivastava, P., & Mukherjee, M. (2026) · Building and Environment · doi:10.1016/j.buildenv.2026.114956

China’s urban future: Predictive analysis of real estate development and environmental load under the shared socioeconomic pathways

Huang, A., An, D., Jia, J., Cheng, W., & Chu, M. (2026) · Sustainable Futures · doi:10.1016/j.sftr.2026.102021

Detecting alien species hotspots using stacked machine learning-based species distribution models: current trend and future projections under climate change

Halmy, M. W. A. (2026) · Ecological Modelling · doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2026.111722

When vulnerability becomes strategy: a stakeholder-driven approach to climate adaptation in Colombia’s dry Caribbean

Polo-Murcia, S. M., García-Mollá, M., & Terán-Chaves, C. A. (2026) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ae8c53

Forecasting future states of the environment with machine learning: a case study on water scarcity

Engberg, N., Blanco, C. F., Barbarossa, V., Bakker, C. A., Balkenende, R., Lian, J. Z., & Sprecher, B. (2026) · Journal of Industrial Ecology · doi:10.1007/s44498-026-00010-6

Combined effects of climate and anthropogenic change on habitat suitability and distribution of threatened marine species in China’s coastal waters

Dong, H., Li, G., Fang, X., Cheng, F., Zeng, J., & Huang, W. (2026) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2026.1820730

The Spatio-Temporal Dynamic Mechanism of Multidimensional Population on Both Sides of the Hu Line in China Under Climate Change

Xia, H., Liu, Q., Yin, J., Xie, X., & Sun, F. (2026) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su18157957

Projected depletion of high mountain Asia glaciers by 2100: linking mass loss to asynchronous peak runoff

Afzal, M. M., Xie, F., Zhu, Y., Nadeem, A. A., Hameed, F., Luo, Y., Yao, T., Sun, F., Wang, X., Liu, Q., et al. (2026) · Journal of Hydrology · doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2026.136205

Climatic niche stasis of Pinus rzedowskii (Pinaceae), a relictual and endangered species

Gama, A. M., Moreno‐Letelier, A., González, C., González‐Rodríguez, A., Piñero, D., Hernández‐Guzmán, R., & Valério, P. (2026) · Discover Life · doi:10.1007/s11084-026-09759-z

Future Climate Change May Reduce Suitable Habitat for the Timber Tree Gmelina arborea

Tripathi, R., Choudhary, S., Dobhal, S., Pratihar, S., Kumar, R., & Tiwari, S. (2026) · Polish Journal of Ecology · doi:10.3161/15052249pje2026.74.003

Integrating Machine Learning and Statistical Risk Assessment for Predicting Environmental Sustainability under Climate Change Scenarios

Torres‐Cruz, F., Leguia-Valverde, S.-R., Mamani-Terrazas, J., Torres-Cruz, E., Gonzales-Aliaga, R., & Olivera-Chura, A. (2026) · World Journal of Environmental Biosciences · doi:10.51847/i7shbref3o

Transforming Global Science Governance toward “Survival First” under Systemic Risks

Meng, J., Yu, P., Cao, Z., Zhang, J., & Fan, J. (2026) · 中国科学基金 · doi:10.3724/bnsfc-2025-0208

Estimating adult-stage abiotic suitability and climate-driven distributional shifts for the threatened queen conch (Aliger gigas) in the Caribbean

Rojas-Ariza, D., Nuñez‐Penichet, C., & Ruiz-Utrilla, Z. (2026) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2026.1849739

Thematic Imbalance in Mediterranean Climate Adaptation Research: A Systematic Review of Planning-Oriented Literature, 2015–2024

Massimino, F. P., Castanho, R. A., Gómez, I., Velázquez, J., & Sánchez‐Mata, D. (2026) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su18189361

Adaptation pathways to address climate change-induced flood risk in the Zemgale region, Latvia

Veidemane, K., Brēmere, I., Indriksone, D., Carrer, S., Castellani, C., Nikolopoulos, D., Moustakas, S., Pelekanos, N., & Makropoulos, C. (2026) · Frontiers in Environmental Economics · doi:10.3389/frevc.2026.1931037

Cost-effectiveness assessment for China's emission reduction in steel, cement, and electrolytic aluminum industries

Wang, Z., Wang, Y., Zhang, H., Li, H., Jia, Z., & Shan, Y. (2026) · Energy Economics · doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109628

Heterogeneous urban decarbonization pathways revealed by typological and machine learning frameworks: A global analysis across Annex I cities

Jin, Y., & Sharifi, A. (2026) · Urban Climate · doi:10.1016/j.uclim.2026.103160

Computational Modeling and Forecasting of Environmental Policy Indicators in the Context of Sustainable Development

КРИВОКУЛЬСЬКА, Н., Zhukovska, A. Y., Brych, V., Bohach, Y., Vons, I. V., & СМОЛЯРОВ, А. (2026) · International Conference on Advanced Computer Information Technologies (ACIT) · doi:10.1109/acit69831.2026.11700166

Navigating global health futures under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways.

Green, C., Andrijevic, M., Hess, J. J., Pachauri, S., Sellers, S. P., van Ruijven, B. V., Ebi, K., Ahamad, F., Astrom, C., Aunan, K., et al. (2026) · Lancet Planetary Health · doi:10.1016/j.lanplh.2026.101514 · Cited by 1

Linking land use and cover change to Sustainable Development Goals and carbon storage: A case study in the Yellow River Basin, China

Man, L. I., Lin, Z. H. A. O., Hao, H. E., Huijie, Y. U., Siyuan, D. A. I., Mudiyanselage, D. M. K. R., Islam, A. R. M. T., Dongli, W. U., Qi, L. I., & Zhenghua, H. U. (2026) · Regional Sustainability · doi:10.1016/j.regsus.2026.100390

Multidimensional Evolution of Integrated Assessment Modeling Research: A Structural Literature Analysis Using LLM-Assisted Classification

ZHANG, J., & Hongbo, D. U. A. N. (2026) · Journal of Energy and Climate Change · doi:10.3724/j.issn.2097-4981.jecc-2026-0051

From Shivalik foothills to Middle Himalaya: Present Invasion, Upslope Shifting and Future Threats amid climate change of Megathyrsus maximus (Guinea grass) in Western Himalaya

Saha, K., Kaushik, S., Lepcha, P., Chandran, M., Negi, R. K., & Verma, P. K. (2026) · Proceedings of the Indian National Science Academy · doi:10.1007/s43538-026-00950-4

Wetland hydrological multifunctionality as a nature-based solution for improving agricultural water security

Yanfeng, W. U., Liu, X., Zhang, G., Rousseau, A. N., Otte, M. L., & Thompson, J. R. (2026) · Water Research · doi:10.1016/j.watres.2026.127178

The Shared Socio-economic Pathways: Trajectories for human development and global environmental change [Editorial]

van Vuuren, D. P., Riahi, K., Calvin, K., Dellink, R., Emmerling, J., Fujimori, S., Samir, K., Kriegler, E., & O'Neill, B. (2017) · Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK))

Planning for sustainable development in the context of global change

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Globalization, development and environmental change

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Changing the global environment: Perspectives on human involvement

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Global Environmental Change: Research Pathways for the Next Decade

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