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The Shared Socio-economic Pathways: Trajectories for human development and global environmental change
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“the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, which are widely used in climate change impact assessments to explore societal implications of alternative climate change and development trajectories (186-188), are tacitly founded on the assumption that the future will be devoid of economic growth distortions, political instability, and armed conflict.”
From Vicious Circles: Violence, Vulnerability, and Climate Change (2021) · cites this paper as [187]
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Metadata
- Authors
- van Vuuren, D. P., Riahi, K., Calvin, K., Dellink, R., Emmerling, J., Fujimori, S., KC, S., Kriegler, E., & O’Neill, B.
- Affiliations
- Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (NL)
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (AT)
- Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (US)
- Organisation de Coopération et de Développement Economiques (FR)
- CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (IT)
- National Institute for Environmental Studies (JP)
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (DE)
- NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (US)
- Corresponding author
- van Vuuren, Detlef P.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Global Environmental Change
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2017-01
- Volume
- 42
- Pages
- 148-152
- ISSN
- 0959-3780 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2585392573
- Cited by
- 330
- References
- 26
- Citations by year
- 2026: 53 · 2025: 54 · 2024: 39 · 2023: 43 · 2022: 28 · 2021: 28 · 2020: 19 · 2019: 36 · 2018: 21 · 2017: 5
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Global Environmental Change (publishedVersion)
- Utrecht University Repository (Utrecht University) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- IIASA PURE (International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Sustainable Development
- Keywords
- Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, human development, climate change scenarios, future scenarios
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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