The Shared Socio-economic Pathways: Trajectories for human development and global environmental change

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. J., & Meehl, G. A. (2012) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-11-00094.1 · Cited by 14,052

Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization

Eyring, V., Bony, S., Meehl, G. A., Senior, C. A., Stevens, B., Stouffer, R. J., & Taylor, K. E. (2016) · Geoscientific Model Development · doi:10.5194/gmd-9-1937-2016 · Cited by 11,981

The representative concentration pathways: an overview

van Vuuren, D. P., Edmonds, J., Kainuma, M., Riahi, K., Thomson, A., Hibbard, K., Hurtt, G. C., Kram, T., Krey, V., Lamarque, J.-F., et al. (2011) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0148-z · Cited by 7,741

The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview

Riahi, K., van Vuuren, D. P., Kriegler, E., Edmonds, J., O’Neill, B. C., Fujimori, S., Bauer, N., Calvin, K., Dellink, R., Fricko, O., et al. (2017) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009 · Cited by 6,607

The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment

Moss, R. H., Edmonds, J. A., Hibbard, K. A., Manning, M. R., Rose, S. K., van Vuuren, D. P., Carter, T. R., Emori, S., Kainuma, M., Kram, T., et al. (2010) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature08823 · Cited by 6,467

The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6

O'Neill, B. C., Tebaldi, C., van Vuuren, D. P., Eyring, V., Friedlingstein, P., Hurtt, G., Knutti, R., Kriegler, E., Lamarque, J.-F., Lowe, J., et al. (2016) · Geoscientific Model Development · doi:10.5194/gmd-9-3461-2016 · Cited by 5,241

The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century

O’Neill, B. C., Kriegler, E., Ebi, K. L., Kemp-Benedict, E., Riahi, K., Rothman, D. S., van Ruijven, B. J., van Vuuren, D. P., Birkmann, J., Kok, K., et al. (2017) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.01.004 · Cited by 3,359

A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways

O’Neill, B. C., Kriegler, E., Riahi, K., Ebi, K. L., Hallegatte, S., Carter, T. R., Mathur, R., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2014) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0905-2 · Cited by 2,716

The human core of the shared socioeconomic pathways: Population scenarios by age, sex and level of education for all countries to 2100

KC, S., & Lutz, W. (2017) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.06.004 · Cited by 1,337

The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century

Fricko, O., Havlik, P., Rogelj, J., Klimont, Z., Gusti, M., Johnson, N., Kolp, P., Strubegger, M., Valin, H., Amann, M., et al. (2017) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.004 · Cited by 1,075

A meta-analysis of projected global food demand and population at risk of hunger for the period 2010–2050

van Dijk, M., Morley, T., Rau, M. L., & Saghai, Y. (2021) · Nature Food · doi:10.1038/s43016-021-00322-9 · Cited by 2,339

Negative emissions—Part 2: Costs, potentials and side effects

Fuss, S., Lamb, W. F., Callaghan, M. W., Hilaire, J., Creutzig, F., Amann, T., Beringer, T., de Oliveira Garcia, W., Hartmann, J., Khanna, T., et al. (2018) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aabf9f · Cited by 1,525

Climate change increases cross-species viral transmission risk

Carlson, C. J., Albery, G. F., Merow, C., Trisos, C. H., Zipfel, C. M., Eskew, E. A., Olival, K. J., Ross, N., & Bansal, S. (2022) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-022-04788-w · Cited by 1,099

Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm

van Vuuren, D. P., Stehfest, E., Gernaat, D., Doelman, J., van den Berg, M., Harmsen, M. J. H. M., de Boer, H. S., Bouwman, L., Daioglou, V., Edelenbosch, O. Y., et al. (2016) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.008 · Cited by 909

Negative emissions—Part 1: Research landscape and synthesis

Minx, J. C., Lamb, W. F., Callaghan, M. W., Fuss, S., Hilaire, J., Creutzig, F., Amann, T., Beringer, T., de Oliveira Garcia, W., Hartmann, J., et al. (2018) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aabf9b · Cited by 865

Fossil-fueled development (SSP5): An energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century

Kriegler, E., Bauer, N., Popp, A., Humpenöder, F., Leimbach, M., Strefler, J., Baumstark, L., Bodirsky, B. L., Hilaire, J., Klein, D., et al. (2017) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.015 · Cited by 735

Health co-benefits from air pollution and mitigation costs of the Paris Agreement: a modelling study

Markandya, A., Sampedro, J., Smith, S. J., Dingenen, R. V., Pizarro-Irizar, C., Arto, I., & González‐Eguino, M. (2018) · The Lancet Planetary Health · doi:10.1016/s2542-5196(18)30029-9 · Cited by 617

The EAT–Lancet Commission on healthy, sustainable, and just food systems

Rockström, J., Thilsted, S. H., Willett, W. C., Gordon, L. J., Herrero, M., Hicks, C. C., Mason-D’Croz, D., Rao, N., Springmann, M., Wright, E. C., et al. (2025) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(25)01201-2 · Cited by 621

Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways

Rao, S., Klimont, Z., Smith, S. J., Dingenen, R. V., Dentener, F. J., Bouwman, L., Riahi, K., Amann, M. C., Bodirsky, B. L., van Vuuren, D. P., et al. (2016) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.012 · Cited by 521

Taking stock of national climate policies to evaluate implementation of the Paris Agreement

Roelfsema, M., van Soest, H. L., Harmsen, M., van Vuuren, D. P., Bertram, C., den Elzen, M., Höhne, N., Iacobuta, G., Krey, V., Kriegler, E., et al. (2020) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-020-15414-6 · Cited by 467

The SSP4: A world of deepening inequality

Calvin, K., Bond‐Lamberty, B., Clarke, L., Edmonds, J., Eom, J., Hartin, C. A., Kim, S. H., Kyle, P. G., Link, R. P., Moss, R. H., et al. (2016) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.010 · Cited by 454

Are we on the right path to achieve the sustainable development goals?

Moyer, J. D., & Hedden, S. (2020) · World Development · doi:10.1016/j.worlddev.2019.104749 · Cited by 351

Air quality benefits of achieving carbon neutrality in China

Shi, X., Zheng, Y., Lei, Y., Xue, W., Yan, G., Liu, X., Cai, B., Tong, D., & Jinnan, W. (2021) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.148784 · Cited by 331

When the background matters: using scenarios from integrated assessment models in prospective life cycle assessment

Mendoza Beltran, A., Cox, B., Mutel, C., van Vuuren, D. P., Font Vivanco, D., Deetman, S., Edelenbosch, O. Y., Guinée, J., & Tukker, A. (2020) · Journal of Industrial Ecology · doi:10.1111/jiec.12825 · Cited by 301

Global exposure and vulnerability to multi-sector development and climate change hotspots

Byers, E., Gidden, M., Leclère, D., Balkovic, J., Burek, P., Ebi, K., Greve, P., Grey, D., Havlik, P., Hillers, A., et al. (2018) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aabf45 · Cited by 295

Bio‐ORACLE v3.0. Pushing marine data layers to the CMIP6 Earth System Models of climate change research

Assis, J. F., Bejarano, S. J. F., Salazar, V. W., Schepers, L., Gouvêa, L. P., Fragkopoulou, E., Leclercq, F., Vanhoorne, B., Tyberghein, L., Serrão, E. Á., et al. (2024) · Global Ecology and Biogeography · doi:10.1111/geb.13813 · Cited by 259

The Environmental Impact of Green Consumption and Sufficiency Lifestyles Scenarios in Europe: Connecting Local Sustainability Visions to Global Consequences

Vita, G., Lundström, J., Hertwich, E. G., Quist, J., Ivanova, D., Stadler, K., & Wood, R. A. (2019) · Ecological Economics · doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.05.002 · Cited by 294

Modelling global material stocks and flows for residential and service sector buildings towards 2050

Deetman, S., Marinova, S., van der Voet, E., van Vuuren, D. P., Edelenbosch, O. Y., & Heijungs, R. (2019) · Journal of Cleaner Production · doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.118658 · Cited by 251

Scenarios for Demand Growth of Metals in Electricity Generation Technologies, Cars, and Electronic Appliances

Deetman, S., Pauliuk, S., van Vuuren, D. P., van der Voet, E., & Tukker, A. (2018) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/acs.est.7b05549 · Cited by 236

Life cycle environmental and cost comparison of current and future passenger cars under different energy scenarios

Cox, B., Bauer, C., Beltrán, A. M., van Vuuren, D. P., & Mutel, C. (2020) · Applied Energy · doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.115021 · Cited by 245

Global construction materials database and stock analysis of residential buildings between 1970-2050

Marinova, S., Deetman, S., van der Voet, E., & Daioglou, V. (2019) · Journal of Cleaner Production · doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.119146 · Cited by 201

Vicious Circles: Violence, Vulnerability, and Climate Change

Buhaug, H., & von Uexkull, N. (2021) · Annual Review of Environment and Resources · doi:10.1146/annurev-environ-012220-014708 · Cited by 187

Sustainable Development, Poverty Eradication and Reducing Inequalities

IPCC (2022) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781009157940.007 · Cited by 194

Uncertain Environmental Footprint of Current and Future Battery Electric Vehicles

Cox, B., Mutel, C. L., Bauer, C., Mendoza Beltran, A., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2018) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/acs.est.8b00261 · Cited by 173

Scenario-based prediction of climate change impacts on building cooling energy consumption with explainable artificial intelligence

Chakraborty, D., Alam, A., Chaudhuri, S., Başağaoğlu, H., Sulbaran, T., & Langar, S. (2021) · Applied Energy · doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.116807 · Cited by 169

Urban Systems and Other Settlements

Change, I. P. O. C. (2023) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781009157926.010 · Cited by 212

The role of the discount rate for emission pathways and negative emissions

Emmerling, J., Drouet, L., van der Wijst, K.-I., van Vuuren, D. P., Bosetti, V., & Tavoni, M. (2019) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab3cc9 · Cited by 173

Adapting global shared socio-economic pathways for national and local scenarios

Frame, B., Lawrence, J., Ausseil, A.-G., Reisinger, A. R., & Daigneault, A. (2018) · Climate Risk Management · doi:10.1016/j.crm.2018.05.001 · Cited by 153

Greenhouse gas emissions from global cities under SSP/RCP scenarios, 1990 to 2100

Gurney, K. R., Kılkış, Ş., Seto, K. C., Lwasa, S., Moran, D. D., Riahi, K., Keller, M., Rayner, P. J., & Luqman, M. (2022) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102478 · Cited by 137

Climate-driven zooplankton shifts cause large-scale declines in food quality for fish

Heneghan, R., Everett, J. D., Blanchard, J. L., Sykes, P., & Richardson, A. J. (2023) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-023-01630-7 · Cited by 148

Projecting Global Urban Area Growth Through 2100 Based on Historical Time Series Data and Future Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

Li, X., Zhou, Y., Eom, J., Yu, S., & Asrar, G. (2019) · Earth s Future · doi:10.1029/2019ef001152 · Cited by 133

Co-benefits of climate mitigation on air quality and human health in Asian countries

Xie, Y., Dai, H., Xu, X., Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., Yi, K., Masui, T., & Kurata, G. (2018) · Environment International · doi:10.1016/j.envint.2018.07.008 · Cited by 135

Knowing like a global expert organization: Comparative insights from the IPCC and IPBES

Borie, M., Mahony, M., Obermeister, N., & Hulme, M. (2021) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102261 · Cited by 141

Prospective life cycle assessment of European cement production

Georgiades, M., Shah, I. H., Steubing, B. R. P., Cheeseman, C. R., & Myers, R. J. (2023) · Resources Conservation and Recycling · doi:10.1016/j.resconrec.2023.106998 · Cited by 133

The role of decentralized systems in providing universal electricity access in Sub-Saharan Africa – A model-based approach

Dagnachew, A. G., Lucas, P., Hof, A. F., Gernaat, D., de Boer, H. S., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2017) · Energy · doi:10.1016/j.energy.2017.07.144 · Cited by 119

How will the progressive global increase of arid areas affect population and land-use in the 21st century?

Spinoni, J., Barbosa, P., Cherlet, M., Forzieri, G., McCormick, N. L., Naumann, G., Vogt, J., & Dosio, A. (2021) · Global and Planetary Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2021.103597 · Cited by 124

Evaluating the use of biomass energy with carbon capture and storage in low emission scenarios

Vaughan, N. E., Gough, C., Mander, S., Littleton, E. W., Welfle, A., Gernaat, D. E. H. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2018) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aaaa02 · Cited by 114

The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI): What Will it Look Like in the Future?

Schulhof, V., van Vuuren, D. P., & Kirchherr, J. (2021) · Technological Forecasting and Social Change · doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2021.121306 · Cited by 119

Biodiversity can benefit from climate stabilization despite adverse side effects of land-based mitigation

Ohashi, H., Hasegawa, T., Hirata, A., Fujimori, S., Takahashi, K., Tsuyama, I., Nakao, K., Kominami, Y., Tanaka, N., Hijioka, Y., et al. (2019) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-019-13241-y · Cited by 107

Wind resource evolution in Europe under different scenarios of climate change characterised by the novel Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

Martinez, A., & Iglesias, G. (2021) · Energy Conversion and Management · doi:10.1016/j.enconman.2021.113961 · Cited by 92

Global peak water limit of future groundwater withdrawals

Niazi, H., Wild, T., Turner, S. W. D., Graham, N. T., Hejazi, M. I., Msangi, S., Kim, S. H., Lamontagne, J., & Zhao, M. (2024) · Nature Sustainability · doi:10.1038/s41893-024-01306-w · Cited by 92

Modelling alternative futures of global food security: Insights from FOODSECURE

van Meijl, H., Shutes, L., Valin, H., Stehfest, E., van Dijk, M., Kuiper, M., Tabeau, A., van Zeist, W., Hasegawa, T., & Havlík, P. (2020) · Global Food Security · doi:10.1016/j.gfs.2020.100358 · Cited by 90

Distorting the view of our climate future: The misuse and abuse of climate pathways and scenarios

Pielke, R. A., & Ritchie, J. (2020) · Energy Research & Social Science · doi:10.1016/j.erss.2020.101890 · Cited by 112

A Global Analysis of Future Water Deficit Based On Different Allocation Mechanisms

Bijl, D. L., Biemans, H., Bogaart, P. W., Dekker, S. C., Doelman, J., Stehfest, E., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2018) · Water Resources Research · doi:10.1029/2017wr021688 · Cited by 84

The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP7 (ScenarioMIP-CMIP7)

van Vuuren, D. P., O’Neill, B. C., Tebaldi, C., Sanderson, B. M., Chini, L. P., Friedlingstein, P., Hasegawa, T., Riahi, K., Bala, G., Bauer, N., et al. (2026) · Geoscientific model development · doi:10.5194/gmd-19-2627-2026 · Cited by 84

Trade-offs and synergies between universal electricity access and climate change mitigation in Sub-Saharan Africa

Dagnachew, A. G., Lucas, P., Hof, A. F., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2017) · Energy Policy · doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2017.12.023 · Cited by 84

Narrating climate futures: shared socioeconomic pathways and literary fiction

Nikoleris, A., Stripple, J., & Tenngart, P. (2017) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-017-2020-2 · Cited by 77

Gridded emissions and land-use data for 2005–2100 under diverse socioeconomic and climate mitigation scenarios

Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., Ito, A., Takahashi, K., & Masui, T. (2018) · Scientific Data · doi:10.1038/sdata.2018.210 · Cited by 57

Annex III: Scenarios and Modelling Methods

Change, I. P. O. C. (2023) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781009157926.022 · Cited by 106

Culture and climate change scenarios: the role and potential of the arts and humanities in responding to the ‘1.5 degrees target’

Tyszczuk, R., & Smith, J. (2018) · Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability · doi:10.1016/j.cosust.2017.12.007 · Cited by 65

Rational structure designs of 2D materials and their applications toward advanced lithium-sulfur battery and lithium-selenium battery

Deng, N., Yang, F. Y., Wang, G., Wang, X., Wang, L., Li, Q., Zhang, L., Kang, W., Cheng, B., & Liu, Y. (2020) · Chemical Engineering Journal · doi:10.1016/j.cej.2020.125976 · Cited by 64

The appropriate use of reference scenarios in mitigation analysis

Grant, N., Hawkes, A. D., Napp, T., & Gambhir, A. (2020) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-020-0826-9 · Cited by 63

Technological constraints to energy-related carbon emissions and economic growth decoupling: A retrospective and prospective analysis

Apeaning, R. W. (2021) · Journal of Cleaner Production · doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.125706 · Cited by 64

A multi-perspective approach for selecting CMIP6 scenarios to project climate change impacts on glacio-hydrology with a case study in Upper Indus river basin

Shafeeque, M., & Luo, Y. (2021) · Journal of Hydrology · doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126466 · Cited by 57

The impacts of U.S. withdrawal from the Paris Agreement on the carbon emission space and mitigation cost of China, EU, and Japan under the constraints of the global carbon emission space

Dai, H., Zhang, H.-B., & Wang, W. (2017) · Advances in Climate Change Research · doi:10.1016/j.accre.2017.09.003 · Cited by 57

Unintended consequences of climate change mitigation for African river basins

Giuliani, M., Lamontagne, J., Hejazi, M. I., Reed, P. M., & Castelletti, A. F. (2022) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-021-01262-9 · Cited by 62

Identifying Sustainability and Knowledge Gaps in Socio-Economic Pathways Vis-à-Vis the Sustainable Development Goals

Zimm, C., Sperling, F., & Busch, S. (2018) · Economies · doi:10.3390/economies6020020 · Cited by 54

Future impacts of environmental factors on achieving the SDG target on child mortality—A synergistic assessment

Lucas, P., Hilderink, H. B. M., Janssen, P. H., Samir, K. C., van Vuuren, D. P., & Niessen, L. W. (2019) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.05.009 · Cited by 52

Challenges in the harmonisation of global integrated assessment models: A comprehensive methodology to reduce model response heterogeneity

Giarola, S., Mittal, S., Marc Vielle, B., Perdana, S., Campagnolo, L., Delpiazzo, E., Bui, H., Anger-Kraavi, A., Kolpakov, A. Y., Sognnæs, I., et al. (2021) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.146861 · Cited by 55

Hydropower expansion in eco-sensitive river basins under global energy-economic change

Chowdhury, K., Wild, T., Zhang, Y., Binsted, M. T., Iyer, G. C., Kim, S. H., & Lamontagne, J. (2024) · Nature Sustainability · doi:10.1038/s41893-023-01260-z · Cited by 54

The effect of green intellectual capital and innovative work behavior on green process innovation performance in the hospitality industry

Shahbaz, M. H., Naseem, M. A., Battisti, E., & Alfiero, S. (2024) · Journal of Intellectual Capital · doi:10.1108/jic-02-2023-0034 · Cited by 50

The 2021 SSP scenarios of the IMAGE 3.2 modelPreprint

van Vuuren, D. P., Stehfest, E., Gernaat, D., de Boer, H. S., Daioglou, V., Doelman, J., Edelenbosch, O. Y., Harmsen, M. J. H. M., van Zeist, W., van den Berg, M., et al. (2021) · doi:10.31223/x5cg92 · Cited by 49

The importance of socioeconomic conditions in mitigating climate change impacts and achieving Sustainable Development Goals

Liu, J., Fujimori, S., Takahashi, K., Hasegawa, T., Wu, W., Geng, Y., Takakura, J., & Masui, T. (2020) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abcac4 · Cited by 45

Projected Changes in Extreme Temperature and Precipitation Indices Over CORDEX-MENA Domain

Öztürk, T., Saygili-Araci, F. S., & Kurnaz, M. L. (2021) · Atmosphere · doi:10.3390/atmos12050622 · Cited by 45

Assessing future vulnerability and risk of humanitarian crises using climate change and population projections within the INFORM framework

Marzi, S., Myšiak, J., Essenfelder, A. H., Pal, J. S., Luca, V., Mistry, M., Alfieri, L., Karmen, P., Marin-Ferrer, M., & Vousdoukas, M. I. (2021) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102393 · Cited by 43

Reflections on cross-impact balances, a systematic method constructing global socio-technical scenarios for climate change research

Schweizer, V. J. (2020) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-019-02615-2 · Cited by 50

Mitigating energy demand sector emissions: The integrated modelling perspective

Edelenbosch, O. Y., van Vuuren, D. P., Blok, K., Calvin, K., & Fujimori, S. (2020) · Applied Energy · doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.114347 · Cited by 42

Supply-demand analysis of ecosystem services based on socioeconomic and climate scenarios in North China

Ding, H., & Sun, R. (2023) · Ecological Indicators · doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.109906 · Cited by 39

Evaluating the Environmental Sustainability of Alternative Ways to Produce Benzene, Toluene, and Xylene

Zuiderveen, E. A. R., Caldeira, C., Vries, T. J. D., Schenk, N. J., Huijbregts, M. A. J., Sala, S., Hanssen, S. V., & van Zelm, R. (2024) · ACS Sustainable Chemistry & Engineering · doi:10.1021/acssuschemeng.3c06996 · Cited by 41

The link between climate and thermal energy demand on national level: A case study on Switzerland

Berger, M., & Worlitschek, J. (2019) · Energy and Buildings · doi:10.1016/j.enbuild.2019.109372 · Cited by 40

Energy planning in Sub-Saharan African countries needs to explicitly consider productive uses of electricity

Dagnachew, A. G., Choi, S., & Falchetta, G. (2023) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-023-40021-y · Cited by 39

Integrating energy access, efficiency and renewable energy policies in sub-Saharan Africa: a model-based analysis

Dagnachew, A. G., Poblete-Cazenave, M., Pachauri, S., Hof, A. F., van Ruijven, B. J., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2020) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abcbb9 · Cited by 37

A network-based framework for characterizing urban carbon metabolism associated with land use changes: A case of Beijing city, China

Wei, J., Xia, L., Chen, L., Zhang, Y., & Yang, Z. (2022) · Journal of Cleaner Production · doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.133695 · Cited by 37

Tracing the climate signal: mitigation of anthropogenic methane emissions can outweigh a large Arctic natural emission increase

Christensen, T. R., Arora, V. K., Gauss, M., Höglund-Isaksson, L., & Parmentier, F. W. (2019) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-018-37719-9 · Cited by 36

The Evolution of Coral Reef under Changing Climate: A Scientometric Review

Segaran, T. C., Azra, M. N., Lananan, F., Sarà, G., Grīnfelde, I., Rudovica, V., Vincēviča–Gaile, Z., & Burlakovs, J. (2023) · Animals · doi:10.3390/ani13050949 · Cited by 45

Future changes in precipitation over the upper Yangtze River basin based on bias correction spatial downscaling of models from CMIP6

Wu, H., Lei, H., Lü, W., & Liu, Z. (2022) · Environmental Research Communications · doi:10.1088/2515-7620/ac620e · Cited by 34

Projected land-use changes in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways: Insights and implications

Estoque, R. C., Ooba, M., Togawa, T., & Hijioka, Y. (2020) · AMBIO · doi:10.1007/s13280-020-01338-4 · Cited by 37

Trade-offs between water needs for food, utilities, and the environment—a nexus quantification at different scales

de Vos, L., Biemans, H., Doelman, J., Stehfest, E., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2021) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac2b5e · Cited by 32

Unsustainable prosperity? Decoupling wellbeing, economic growth, and greenhouse gas emissions over the past 150 years

Infante‐Amate, J., Travieso, E., & Aguilera, E. (2024) · World Development · doi:10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106754 · Cited by 30

Will citrus geographical indications face different climate change challenges in China?

Xian, Y., Liu, G., & Zhong, L. (2022) · Journal of Cleaner Production · doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.131885 · Cited by 30

Integration of future water scarcity and electricity supply into prospective LCA: Application to the assessment of water desalination for the steel industry

Baustert, P., Igos, E., Schaubroeck, T., Chion, L., Beltrán, A. M., Stehfest, E., van Vuuren, D. P., Biemans, H., & Benetto, E. (2022) · Journal of Industrial Ecology · doi:10.1111/jiec.13272 · Cited by 29

Quantifying Uncertainty in Food Security Modeling

Shoaib, S. A., Khan, Z., Sultana, N., & Mahmood, T. H. (2021) · Agriculture · doi:10.3390/agriculture11010033 · Cited by 29

Future Socio-political Scenarios for Aquatic Resources in Europe: An Operationalized Framework for Marine Fisheries Projections

Hamon, K. G., Kreiss, C. M., Pinnegar, J. K., Bartelings, H., Batsleer, J., Catalán, I. A., Damalas, D., Poos, J. J., Rybicki, S., Sailley, S. F., et al. (2021) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2021.578516 · Cited by 29

Climate and Culture: Multidisciplinary Perspectives on a Warming World

Feola, G., Geoghegan, H., & Arnall, A. (2019) · CentAUR (University of Reading) · Cited by 28

Introduction and Framing

(IPCC), I. P. O. C. C. (2023) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781009157926.003 · Cited by 48

Biogeophysical and biogeochemical impacts of land-use change simulated by MIROC-ES2L

Ito, A., & Hajima, T. (2020) · Progress in Earth and Planetary Science · doi:10.1186/s40645-020-00372-w · Cited by 32

Temporal analysis of land degradation and urban expansion in central Yunnan Province using remote sensing for supporting sustainable development goals 11/15

Torres, R. A. C., Wang, J., Zhang, J., Liu, L., & Lan, Y. (2024) · Ecological Indicators · doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.112058 · Cited by 30

Measuring long‐term sustainability with shared socioeconomic pathways using an inclusive wealth framework

Kurniawan, R., & Managi, S. (2018) · Sustainable Development · doi:10.1002/sd.1722 · Cited by 26

Are scenario projections overly optimistic about future yield progress?

van Zeist, W., Stehfest, E., Doelman, J., Valin, H., Calvin, K., Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., Havlík, P., Humpenöder, F., Kyle, P. G., et al. (2020) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102120 · Cited by 29

Can the combining of wetlands with reservoir operation reduce the risk of future floods and droughts?

Wu, Y., Sun, J., Hu, B., Xu, Y. J., Rousseau, A. N., & Zhang, G. (2023) · Hydrology and earth system sciences · doi:10.5194/hess-27-2725-2023 · Cited by 26

Monthly-scale hydro-climatic forecasting and climate change impact evaluation based on a novel DCNN-Transformer network.

Yang, H., Zhang, Z., Liu, X., & Jing, P. (2023) · Environmental Research · doi:10.1016/j.envres.2023.116821 · Cited by 26

Assessing Climate Change in the Trinational Upper Rhine Region: How Can We Operationalize Vulnerability Using an Indicator-Based, Meso-Scale Approach?

Scholze, N., Riach, N., & Glaser, R. (2020) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su12166323 · Cited by 25

South Africa After Paris—Fracking Its Way to the NDCs?

Orthofer, C. L., Huppmann, D., & Krey, V. (2019) · Frontiers in Energy Research · doi:10.3389/fenrg.2019.00020 · Cited by 24

Conservation planning for the endemic and endangered medicinal plants under the climate change and human disturbance: a case study of Gentiana manshurica in China

Zou, H., Chen, B., Zhang, B., Zhou, X., Zhang, X., Zhang, X., & Wang, J. (2023) · Frontiers in Plant Science · doi:10.3389/fpls.2023.1184556 · Cited by 24

Global meat demand projection: Quo Vadimus?

Jia, J., Dawson, T. P., Wu, F., Han, Q., & Cui, X. (2023) · Journal of Cleaner Production · doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.139460 · Cited by 25

Economic Analysis of Fossil CO2 Emissions: A European Perspective on Sustainable Development

Yakymchuk, A., & Rataj, M. (2025) · Energies · doi:10.3390/en18082106 · Cited by 23

Imagining Pathways for Global Cooperation

Freistein, K., Mahlert, B., Quack, S., & Unrau, C. (2022) · Edward Elgar Publishing eBooks · doi:10.4337/9781802205817 · Cited by 22

Hydrological and dynamical response of glaciers to climate change based on their dimensions in the Hunza Basin, Karakoram

Afzal, M. M., Wang, X., Sun, L. N., Jiang, T., Kong, Q., & Luo, Y. (2022) · Journal of Hydrology · doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128948 · Cited by 22

Application of hydrological models in climate change framework for a river basin in India

Vogeti, R. K., Raju, K. S., Kumar, D. N., Rajesh, A. M., Kumar, S., & Jha, Y. S. K. (2023) · Journal of Water and Climate Change · doi:10.2166/wcc.2023.188 · Cited by 21

Modeling and prediction of climate change impacts on water resources vulnerability: A multi-model approach

Mengistu, T. D., Chang, S. W., & Chung, I.-M. (2025) · Journal of Environmental Management · doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.126025 · Cited by 22

The Shared Socio-economic Pathways: Trajectories for human development and global environmental change [Editorial]

van Vuuren, D. P., Riahi, K., Calvin, K., Dellink, R., Emmerling, J., Fujimori, S., Samir, K., Kriegler, E., & O'Neill, B. (2017) · Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK))

Planning for sustainable development in the context of global change

Magalhães, A. R. (1998) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/s0959-3780(98)00002-8 · Cited by 29

Globalization, development and environmental change

(2005) · Routledge eBooks · doi:10.4324/9780203994900-11

Changing the global environment: Perspectives on human involvement

Sandbrook, J. R. (1990) · Trends in Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1016/0169-5347(90)90076-p · Cited by 12

Global Environmental Change: Research Pathways for the Next Decade

Division, P. (1999) · Cited by 75