The Flynn effect for fluid IQ may not generalize to all ages or ability levels: A population-based study of 10,000 US adolescents
Open accessAbstract
Generational changes in IQ (the Flynn Effect) have been extensively researched and debated. Within the US, gains of 3 points per decade have been accepted as consistent across age and ability level, suggesting that tests with outdated norms yield spuriously high IQs. However, findings are generally based on small samples, have not been validated across ability levels, and conflict with reverse effects recently identified in Scandinavia and other countries. Using a well-validated measure of fluid intelligence, we investigated the Flynn Effect by comparing scores normed in 1989 and 2003, among a representative sample of American adolescents ages 13-18 (n=10,073). Additionally, we examined Flynn Effect variation by age, sex, ability level, parental age, and SES. Adjusted mean IQ differences per decade were calculated using generalized linear models. Overall the Flynn Effect was not significant; however, effects varied substantially by age and ability level. IQs increased 2.3 points at age 13 (95% CI=2.0, 2.7), but decreased 1.6 points at age 18 (95% CI=-2.1, -1.2). IQs decreased 4.9 points for those with IQ<70 (95% CI=-4.9, -4.8), but increased 3.5 points among those with IQ>130 (95% CI=3.4, 3.6). The Flynn Effect was not meaningfully related to other background variables. Using the largest sample of US adolescent IQs to date, we demonstrate significant heterogeneity in fluid IQ changes over time. Reverse Flynn Effects at age 18 are consistent with previous data, and those with lower ability levels are exhibiting worsening IQ over time. Findings by age and ability level challenge generalizing IQ trends throughout the general population.
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Platt et al. (2019) observed Flynn effects by age: age 13 (+2.33), age 14 (+0.88), age 15 (−0.89), age 16 (−0.19), age 17 (−0.76), and age 18 (−1.66).
“Platt et al. (2019) observed the following Flynn effects for each separate age group in their large-scale investigation: age 13 (+2.33), age 14 (+0.88), age 15 (−0.89), age 16 (−0.19), age 17 (−0.76), and age 18 (−1.66).”
From Wait, Where’s the Flynn Effect on the WAIS-5? (2024) · cites this paper as Platt et al. 2019
The Results (page unavailable) report an increase of about 2.3 IQ points per decade at age 13 and a decrease of about 1.6 at age 18, broadly supporting the quoted endpoints. The passages available from our copy do not give the exact estimates for ages 14–17; moreover, the quoted change from −0.89 at 15 to −0.19 at 16 does not follow the Results’ description of a monotonic decrease with age. (LLM, conf=0.85)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredPlatt et al. (2019) observed a significant interaction between age and the Flynn effect for more than 10,000 adolescents ages 13-18 on a test of fluid reasoning.
“The significant and striking interaction between age and the Flynn effect reported for 10,000+ adolescents ages 13–18 on a test of fluid reasoning (Platt et al. 2019) underscores the need to avoid generalizing the findings to any child or adolescent below age 16.”
From Wait, Where’s the Flynn Effect on the WAIS-5? (2024) · cites this paper as Platt et al. 2019
The Abstract reports 10,073 adolescents ages 13–18 tested with a measure of fluid intelligence, and the Results report substantial variation in the Flynn effect by age. However, Materials and Methods (Analysis) explicitly says the authors did not test for additive statistical interaction, so describing the age interaction as statistically significant goes beyond what the paper establishes. Page numbers were not available in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.88)
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Cites
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Flynn effect and its reversal are both environmentally caused
Bratsberg, B., & Rogeberg, O. (2018) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1718793115 · Cited by 199 · see citing works
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Dworak, E. M., Revelle, W., & Condon, D. M. (2023) · Intelligence · doi:10.1016/j.intell.2023.101734 · Cited by 35 · see citing works
Wait, Where’s the Flynn Effect on the WAIS-5?
Winter, E. L., Trudel, S. M., & Kaufman, A. S. (2024) · Journal of Intelligence · doi:10.3390/jintelligence12110118 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Self-citationCognitive Aging Revisited: A Cross-Sectional Analysis of the WAIS-5
Winter, E. L., Dale, B. A., Maharjan, S., Lando, C. R., Larsen, C. M., Courville, T., & Kaufman, A. S. (2025) · Journal of Intelligence · doi:10.3390/jintelligence13070085 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Self-citation
- Authors
- Platt, J. M., Keyes, K. M., McLaughlin, K. A., & Kaufman, A. S.
- Affiliations
- Columbia University (US)
- Universidad Mayor (CL)
- Harvard University (US)
- Yale University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Platt, Jonathan M.
- Venue
- Intelligence
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2019-11
- Volume
- 77
- Pages
- 101385
- ISSN
- 0160-2896 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC7176308
- OpenAlex
- W2972529659
- Cited by
- 32
- References
- 4
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2025: 2 · 2024: 7 · 2023: 4 · 2022: 5 · 2021: 11 · 2020: 1 · 2013: 1
- FWCI
- 4.73
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Intelligence (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health
- Jacobs Foundation
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Experimental and Cognitive Psychology › Cognitive Abilities and Testing
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Intergenerational and Educational Inequality Studies
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Down syndrome and intellectual disability research
- Keywords
- Flynn effect, fluid intelligence, IQ trends, adolescents, ability level differences, socioeconomic status, parental age, sex differences
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