Cited by 32Cognitive Abilities and TestingIntergenerational and Educational Inequality StudiesDown syndrome and intellectual disability research

The Flynn effect for fluid IQ may not generalize to all ages or ability levels: A population-based study of 10,000 US adolescents

Open access
Platt, Jonathan M., Keyes, Katherine M., McLaughlin, Katie A., Kaufman, Alan S.·2019·Intelligence

Abstract

Generational changes in IQ (the Flynn Effect) have been extensively researched and debated. Within the US, gains of 3 points per decade have been accepted as consistent across age and ability level, suggesting that tests with outdated norms yield spuriously high IQs. However, findings are generally based on small samples, have not been validated across ability levels, and conflict with reverse effects recently identified in Scandinavia and other countries. Using a well-validated measure of fluid intelligence, we investigated the Flynn Effect by comparing scores normed in 1989 and 2003, among a representative sample of American adolescents ages 13-18 (n=10,073). Additionally, we examined Flynn Effect variation by age, sex, ability level, parental age, and SES. Adjusted mean IQ differences per decade were calculated using generalized linear models. Overall the Flynn Effect was not significant; however, effects varied substantially by age and ability level. IQs increased 2.3 points at age 13 (95% CI=2.0, 2.7), but decreased 1.6 points at age 18 (95% CI=-2.1, -1.2). IQs decreased 4.9 points for those with IQ<70 (95% CI=-4.9, -4.8), but increased 3.5 points among those with IQ>130 (95% CI=3.4, 3.6). The Flynn Effect was not meaningfully related to other background variables. Using the largest sample of US adolescent IQs to date, we demonstrate significant heterogeneity in fluid IQ changes over time. Reverse Flynn Effects at age 18 are consistent with previous data, and those with lower ability levels are exhibiting worsening IQ over time. Findings by age and ability level challenge generalizing IQ trends throughout the general population.

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1016/j.intell.2019.101385

Cites

4 of 4 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Platt et al. (2019) observed Flynn effects by age: age 13 (+2.33), age 14 (+0.88), age 15 (−0.89), age 16 (−0.19), age 17 (−0.76), and age 18 (−1.66).

    “Platt et al. (2019) observed the following Flynn effects for each separate age group in their large-scale investigation: age 13 (+2.33), age 14 (+0.88), age 15 (−0.89), age 16 (−0.19), age 17 (−0.76), and age 18 (−1.66).”

    From Wait, Where’s the Flynn Effect on the WAIS-5? (2024) · cites this paper as Platt et al. 2019

    The Results (page unavailable) report an increase of about 2.3 IQ points per decade at age 13 and a decrease of about 1.6 at age 18, broadly supporting the quoted endpoints. The passages available from our copy do not give the exact estimates for ages 14–17; moreover, the quoted change from −0.89 at 15 to −0.19 at 16 does not follow the Results’ description of a monotonic decrease with age. (LLM, conf=0.85)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Platt et al. (2019) observed a significant interaction between age and the Flynn effect for more than 10,000 adolescents ages 13-18 on a test of fluid reasoning.

    “The significant and striking interaction between age and the Flynn effect reported for 10,000+ adolescents ages 13–18 on a test of fluid reasoning (Platt et al. 2019) underscores the need to avoid generalizing the findings to any child or adolescent below age 16.”

    From Wait, Where’s the Flynn Effect on the WAIS-5? (2024) · cites this paper as Platt et al. 2019

    The Abstract reports 10,073 adolescents ages 13–18 tested with a measure of fluid intelligence, and the Results report substantial variation in the Flynn effect by age. However, Materials and Methods (Analysis) explicitly says the authors did not test for additive statistical interaction, so describing the age interaction as statistically significant goes beyond what the paper establishes. Page numbers were not available in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.88)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 59

  1. Angoff WH, & Robertson GJ (1987). A procedure for standardizing individually administered tests, normed by age or grade level. Applied Psychological Measurement, 11(1), 33– 46.
  2. Bain SK, & Jaspers KE (2010). Test Review: Review of Kaufman Brief Intelligence Test: Kaufman, AS, & Kaufman, NL (2004). Kaufman Brief Intelligence Test, Bloomington, MN: Pearson, Inc. Journal of Psychoeducational Assessment, 28(2), 167– 174.
  3. Brouwers SA, Van de Vijver FJR, & Van Hemert DA (2009). Variation in Raven’s Progressive Matrices scores across time and place. Learning and Individual Differences, 19(3), 330– 338. 10.1016/j.lindif.2008.10.006 · DOI
  4. Bunge SA, Wendelken C, Badre D, & Wagner AD (2004). Analogical reasoning and prefrontal cortex: evidence for separable retrieval and integration mechanisms. Cerebral Cortex, 15(3), 239– 249. 15238433
  5. Canivez GL, Neitzel R, & Martin BE (2005). Construct Validity of the Kaufman brief intelligence test, Wechsler intelligence scale for children-and adjustment scales for children and adolescents. Journal of Psychoeducational Assessment, 23(1), 15– 34.
  6. Colom R, Lluis-Font JM, & Andrés-Pueyo A (2005). The generational intelligence gains are caused by decreasing variance in the lower half of the distribution: Supporting evidence for the nutrition hypothesis. Intelligence, 33(1), 83– 91. 10.1016/j.intell.2004.07.010 · DOI · Paper page
  7. Crone EA, Donohue SE, Honomichl R, Wendelken C, & Bunge SA (2006). Brain regions mediating flexible rule use during development. Journal of Neuroscience, 26(43), 11239– 11247. 17065463 PMC6674662
  8. Crone EA, Wendelken C, Van Leijenhorst L, Honomichl RD, Christoff K, & Bunge SA (2009). Neurocognitive development of relational reasoning. Developmental Science, 12(1), 55– 66. 19120413 PMC2614685
  9. Dickens WT, & Flynn JR (2001). Heritability estimates versus large environmental effects: the IQ paradox resolved. Psychological Review, 108(2), 346– 369. 11381833
  10. Doppelt JE, & Kaufman AS (1977). Estimation of the Differences Between WISC-R and WISC IQS. Educational and Psychological Measurement, 37(2), 417– 424. 10.1177/001316447703700216 · DOI
  11. Dutton E, & Lynn R (2013). A negative Flynn effect in Finland, 1997–2009. Intelligence, 41(6), 817– 820. 10.1016/j.intell.2013.05.008 · DOI · Paper page
  12. Dutton E, van der Linden D, & Lynn R (2016). The negative Flynn Effect: A systematic literature review. Intelligence, 59, 163– 169. 10.1016/j.intell.2016.10.002 · DOI · Paper page
  13. Eppig C, Fincher CL, & Thornhill R (2010). Parasite prevalence and the worldwide distribution of cognitive ability. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 277(1701), 3801– 3808. PMC2992705 20591860
  14. Ferrer E, O’Hare ED, & Bunge SA (2009). Fluid reasoning and the developing brain. Frontiers in Neuroscience, 3, 3. 19753096 PMC2858618
  15. Floyd RG, Reynolds MR, Farmer RL, & Kranzler JH (2013). Are the general factors from different child and adolescent intelligence tests the same? Results from a five-sample, six-test analysis. School Psychology Review, 42(4), 383.
  16. Flynn JR (1984). The mean IQ of Americans: Massive gains 1932 to 1978. Psychological Bulletin, 95(1), 29– 51. 10.1037/0033-2909.95.1.29 · DOI · Paper page
  17. Flynn JR (1987). Massive IQ gains in 14 nations: What IQ tests really measure. Psychological Bulletin, 101(2), 171– 191. 10.1037/0033-2909.101.2.171 · DOI · Paper page
  18. Flynn JR (1998). Israeli military IQ tests: Gender differences small; IQ gains large. Journal of Biosocial Science, 30(4), 541– 553. 10.1017/S0021932098005410 9818560 · DOI
  19. Flynn JR (2012). Are We Getting Smarter?: Rising IQ in the Twenty-First Century. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
  20. Grégoire J, & Weiss LG (2019). The Flynn Effect and its Clinical Implications In WISC-V assessment and interpretation: Scientist-practitioner perspectives (2nd ed., pp. 245– 270). San Diego, CA: Academic Press.
  21. Homack SR, & Reynolds CR (2007). Essentials of assessment with brief intelligence tests (Vol. 41). John Wiley & Sons.
  22. Kanaya T, Scullin MH, & Ceci SJ (2003). The Flynn effect and U.S. policies: the impact of rising IQ scores on American society via mental retardation diagnoses. The American Psychologist, 58(10), 778– 790. 10.1037/0003-066X.58.10.778 14584994 · DOI
  23. Kaufman AS (2009). IQ testing 101. Springer Publishing Company.
  24. Kaufman AS, Johnson CK, & Liu X (2008). A CHC theory-based analysis of age differences on cognitive abilities and academic skills at ages 22 to 90 years. Journal of Psychoeducational Assessment, 26(4), 350– 381.
  25. Kaufman AS, & Kaufman NL (2004). KBIT2: Kaufman Brief Intelligence Test (2nd ed.). Circle Pines, MN: American Guidance Service.
  26. Kaufman AS, & Wang J-J (1992). Gender, race, and education differences on the K-BIT at ages 4 to 90 years. Journal of Psychoeducational Assessment, 10(3), 219– 229.
  27. Kaufman SB, Reynolds MR, Liu X, Kaufman AS, & McGrew KS (2012). Are cognitive g and academic achievement g one and the same g? An exploration on the Woodcock–Johnson and Kaufman tests. Intelligence, 40(2), 123– 138.
  28. Kessler RC, Avenevoli S, Costello EJ, Green JG, Gruber MJ, Heeringa S, … Zaslavsky AM (2009). Design and field procedures in the US National Comorbidity Survey Replication Adolescent Supplement (NCS-A). International Journal of Methods in Psychiatric Research, 18(2), 69– 83. 19507169 PMC2774712
  29. Kessler RC, Avenevoli S, Green J, Gruber MJ, Guyer M, He Y, … Zaslavsky AM (2009). National comorbidity survey replication adolescent supplement (NCS-A): III. Concordance of DSM-IV/CIDI diagnoses with clinical reassessments. Journal of the American Academy of Child & Adolescent Psychiatry, 48(4), 386– 399. 19252450 PMC3040100
  30. Keyes KM, Platt J, Kaufman AS, & McLaughlin KA (2016). Association of fluid intelligence and psychiatric disorders in a population-representative sample of us adolescents. JAMA Psychiatry, 74(2), 179– 188. PMC5288266 28030746
  31. Lynn R (2009). What has caused the Flynn effect? Secular increases in the Development Quotients of infants. Intelligence, 37(1), 16– 24. 10.1016/j.intell.2008.07.008 · DOI · Paper page
  32. Mingroni MA (2007). Resolving the IQ paradox: Heterosis as a cause of the Flynn effect and other trends. Psychological Review, 114(3), 806. 17638507
  33. Phelan JC, Link BG, & Tehranifar P (2010). Social Conditions as Fundamental Causes of Health Inequalities: Theory, Evidence, and Policy Implications. Journal of Health and Social Behavior, 51(1_suppl), S28– S40. 10.1177/0022146510383498 20943581 · DOI · Paper page
  34. Platt JM, Keyes KM, McLaughlin KA, & Kaufman AS (2018). Intellectual disability and mental disorders in a US population representative sample of adolescents. Psychological Medicine, 1– 10. PMC6330165 29996960
  35. Platt JM, McLaughlin KA, Luedtke AR, Ahern J, Kaufman AS, & Keyes KM (2018). Targeted Estimation of the Relationship Between Childhood Adversity and Fluid Intelligence in a US Population Sample of Adolescents. American Journal of Epidemiology. PMC6031033 29982374
  36. Raven JC (1936). Mental tests used in genetic studies: The performance of related individuals on tests mainly educativeand mainly reproductive. Unpublished Master’s Thesis, University of London.
  37. Reynolds MR, Floyd RG, & Niileksela CR (2013). How well is psychometric g indexed by global composites? Evidence from three popular intelligence tests. Psychological Assessment, 25(4), 1314. 23937534
  38. Rodgers JL, & Wänström L (2007). Identification of a Flynn Effect in the NLSY: Moving from the center to the boundaries. Intelligence, 35(2), 187– 196. 10.1016/j.intell.2006.06.002 · DOI
  39. Rundquist EA (1936). Intelligence Test Scores and School Marks of High School Seniors in 1929 and 1933. School and Society, 43(1105), 301.
  40. Salthouse T (2010). Major issues in cognitive aging (Vol. 49). Oxford University Press.
  41. Sanborn KJ, Truscott SD, Phelps L, & McDougal JL (2003). Does the Flynn effects differ by IQ level in samples of students classified as learning disabled? Journal of Psychoeducational Assessment, 21(2), 145– 159. 10.1177/073428290302100203 · DOI
  42. Schalock RL (2012). User’s Guide: To Accompany the 11th Edition of Intellectual Disability: Definition, Classification, and Systems of Supports: Applications for Clinicians, Educators, Organizations Providing Supports, Policymakers, Family Members and Advocates, and Health Care Professionals. American Association on Intellectual and Developmental Disabilities.
  43. Schooler C (1998). Environmental complexity and the Flynn effect. In The rising curve: Long-term gains in IQ and related measures (pp. 67– 79). 10.1037/10270-002 · DOI
  44. Spitz HH (1989). Variations in Wechsler interscale IQ disparities at different levels of IQ. Intelligence, 13(2), 157– 167. 10.1016/0160-2896(89)90014-7 · DOI
  45. Sundet JM, Barlaug DG, & Torjussen TM (2004). The end of the Flynn effect?: A study of secular trends in mean intelligence test scores of Norwegian conscripts during half a century. Intelligence, 32(4), 349– 362. 10.1016/j.intell.2004.06.004 · DOI
  46. Sundet JM, Borren I, & Tambs K (2008). The Flynn effect is partly caused by changing fertility patterns. Intelligence, 36(3), 183– 191.
  47. Teasdale, & Owen DR (2005). A long-term rise and recent decline in intelligence test performance: The Flynn Effect in reverse. Personality and Individual Differences, 39(4), 837– 843. 10.1016/j.paid.2005.01.029 · DOI · Paper page
  48. Teasdale, & Owen DR (2008). Secular declines in cognitive test scores: A reversal of the Flynn Effect. Intelligence, 36(2), 121– 126. 10.1016/j.intell.2007.01.007 · DOI · Paper page
  49. Teasdale TW, & Owen DR (1989). Continuing secular increases in intelligence and a stable prevalence of high intelligence levels. Intelligence, 13(3), 255– 262.
  50. von Stumm S, & Plomin R (2015). Socioeconomic status and the growth of intelligence from infancy through adolescence. Intelligence, 48, 30– 36. 10.1016/j.intell.2014.10.002 26640306 PMC4641149 · DOI
  51. Wang J-J, & Kaufman AS (1993). Changes in fluid and crystallized intelligence across the 20-to 90-year age range on the K-BIT. Journal of Psychoeducational Assessment, 11(1), 29– 37.
  52. Wechsler D (2008). Wechsler adult intelligence scale–Fourth Edition (WAIS-IV). San Antonio, TX: NCS Pearson, 22, 498.
  53. Wechsler D (2014). WISC-V: Technical and Interpretive Manual. NCS Pearson, Incorporated.
  54. Weiss LG (2010). Considerations on the Flynn effect. Journal of Psychoeducational Assessment, 28(5), 482– 493. 10.1177/0734282910373572 · DOI
  55. Weiss LG, Gregoire J, & Zhu J (2016). Flaws in Flynn Effect Research With the Wechsler Scales. Journal of Psychoeducational Assessment, 34(5), 411– 420. 10.1177/0734282915621222 · DOI
  56. Wendelken C, Ferrer E, Whitaker KJ, & Bunge SA (2015). Fronto-parietal network reconfiguration supports the development of reasoning ability. Cerebral Cortex, 26(5), 2178– 2190. 25824536 PMC4830293
  57. Wright SB, Matlen BJ, Baym CL, Ferrer E, & Bunge SA (2008). Neural correlates of fluid reasoning in children and adults. Frontiers in Human Neuroscience, 2, 8. 18958222 PMC2525981
  58. Žebec MS, Demetriou A, & Kotrla-Topić M (2015). Changing expressions of general intelligence in development: A 2-wave longitudinal study from 7 to 18years of age. Intelligence, 49, 94– 109. 10.1016/j.intell.2015.01.004 · DOI
  59. Zhou X, Gregoire J, & Zhu J (2010). The Flynn effect and the Wechsler scales In Weiss LG, Saklofske DH, Coalson D, & Raiford SE (Eds.), WAIS-IV Clinical Use and Interpretation: Scientist-Practitioner Perspectives (1 edition, pp. 141– 166). London: Academic Press.

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Platt, J. M., Keyes, K. M., McLaughlin, K. A., & Kaufman, A. S.
Affiliations
  • Columbia University (US)
  • Universidad Mayor (CL)
  • Harvard University (US)
  • Yale University (US)
Corresponding author
Platt, Jonathan M.
Venue
Intelligence
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2019-11
Volume
77
Pages
101385
ISSN
0160-2896 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2972529659
Cited by
32
References
4
Citations by year
2026: 1 · 2025: 2 · 2024: 7 · 2023: 4 · 2022: 5 · 2021: 11 · 2020: 1 · 2013: 1
FWCI
4.73
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Intelligence (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
Funders
  • National Institutes of Health
  • Jacobs Foundation
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Psychology › Experimental and Cognitive Psychology › Cognitive Abilities and Testing
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Intergenerational and Educational Inequality Studies
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Down syndrome and intellectual disability research
Keywords
Flynn effect, fluid intelligence, IQ trends, adolescents, ability level differences, socioeconomic status, parental age, sex differences

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review