Emotion dynamics concurrently and prospectively predict mood psychopathology

Sperry, Sarah H.; Walsh, Molly A.; Kwapil, Thomas R.

doi:10.1016/j.jad.2019.09.076

Cited by 93Bipolar Disorder and TreatmentMental Health Research TopicsPersonality Disorders and Psychopathology

Emotion dynamics concurrently and prospectively predict mood psychopathology

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Sperry, Sarah H., Walsh, Molly A., Kwapil, Thomas R.·2020·Journal of Affective Disorders

DOI 10.1016/j.jad.2019.09.076

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Abstract

Introduction Altered emotion dynamics may represent a transdiagnostic risk factor for mood psychopathology. The present study examined whether altered emotion dynamics were associated with bipolar and depressive psychopathology concurrently and at a three-year follow-up.Methods At baseline (n = 138), participants completed diagnostic interviews, questionnaires, and seven days of experience sampling assessments. Four emotion dynamics were computed for negative affect (NA) and positive affect (PA) - within-person variance (variability), mean square of successive differences and probability of acute change (instability), and autocorrelation (inertia). At the three-year follow-up, participants (n = 108) were re-assessed via interviews and questionnaires.Results NA variability was associated with bipolar spectrum disorders at baseline and follow-up. NA instability predicted depressive symptoms and hypomanic personality at baseline, and bipolar spectrum disorders at the follow-up. NA inertia did not predict diagnoses or symptoms at either assessment. PA inertia predicted hyperthymic temperament at baseline but not follow-up. Notably, NA variability and instability predicted the development of new bipolar spectrum disorders at the follow-up.Limitations Consistent with the recruitment strategy and young age of the participants, only 50% had developed diagnosable psychopathology by the time of the follow-up assessment.Conclusions The present study provided a unique demonstration that altered emotion dynamics differentially predicted bipolar and depressive psychopathology concurrently and prospectively. Emotion dynamics are important to both digital phenotyping and mobile-based interventions as emotional instability offers a measurable risk factor that is identifiable prior to illness onset.

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Bringmann, L. F., Helmich, M. A., Eronen, M. I., & Voelkle, M. C. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/med-psych/9780197542521.003.0005 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
Ecological momentary assessment and other digital technologies for capturing daily life in mental health
Verhagen, S. J. W., van Os, J., & Delespaul, P. (2021) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-822201-0.00017-4 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
Anticipating Transitions in Mental Health in At-Risk Youths: A 6-Month Daily Diary Study Into Early-Warning Signals
Schreuder, M. J., Hartman, C. A., Groen, R. N., Smit, A. C., Wichers, M., & Wigman, J. T. W. (2022) · Clinical Psychological Science · doi:10.1177/21677026221103138 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
“…ambiguous, which might be due to methodological heterogeneity across studies (e.g., the time interval between assessments of emotions and assessments of symptom severity; characteristics of sample and design; Brose et al., 2015; Curtiss et al., 2019; Kuppens et al., 2012; Sperry et al., 2020).”
Background
Changing feelings: Individual differences in emotional inertia
Koval, P., & Kuppens, P. (2024) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-323-95604-8.00007-1 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Childhood abuse and neglect and profiles of adult emotion dynamics
Myroniuk, S., Reitsema, A. M., de Jonge, P., & Jeronimus, B. F. (2024) · Development and Psychopathology · doi:10.1017/s0954579423001530 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
Respiratory sinus arrhythmia (RSA) dynamics matter for children's emotion regulation: RSA inertia and instability within a stress task
Xu, J., Wang, H., Morrow, K. E., Xu, Y., Gao, M. M., Hu, Y., Suveg, C. M., & Han, Z. R. (2023) · Child Development · doi:10.1111/cdev.13976 · Cited by 17 · see citing works
On the transience or stability of subthreshold psychopathology
Schreuder, M. J., Wigman, J. T. W., Groen, R. N., Wichers, M., & Hartman, C. A. (2021) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-021-02711-3 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
A cognitive-computational account of mood swings in adolescence
Gregorová, K., Eldar, E., Deserno, L., & Reiter, A. M. F. (2024) · Trends in Cognitive Sciences · doi:10.1016/j.tics.2024.02.006 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Emotion networks across self-reported depression levels during the COVID-19 pandemic
Whiston, A., Igou, E. R., & Fortune, D. G. (2021) · Cognition & Emotion · doi:10.1080/02699931.2021.1993147 · Cited by 15 · see citing works
“These findings suggest negative emotions in depressed populations are less resistant and less likely to change over time (Bringmann et al., 2016), thus supporting theories on emotional inertia in depression (Sperry et al., 2020).”
BackgroundInfluential
Stimulus-Driven Affective Change: Evaluating Computational Models of Affect Dynamics in Conjunction with Input
Vanhasbroeck, N., Loossens, T., Anarat, N., Ariens, S., Vanpaemel, W., Moors, A., & Tuerlinckx, F. (2022) · Affective Science · doi:10.1007/s42761-022-00118-5 · Cited by 15 · see citing works
“…investigated group differences in person-specific affective means and standard deviations (e.g., Congard et al., 2011; Kalokerinos et al., 2019) while others have focused on more complicated affect dynamical characteristics, such as affective instability (Houben et al., 2021; Sperry et al., 2020).”
Background
Affective Instability: Impact of Fluctuating Emotions on Regulation and Psychological Well-Being
Dork, J., Mangan, E., Burns, L. R., & Dimenstein, E. (2024) · Behavioral Sciences · doi:10.3390/bs14090783 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
“Such patterns can lead to distress and numerous psychological issues [4].”
Background
Comparing static and dynamic measures of affect intensity and affective lability: do they measure the same thing?
Sperry, S. H., & Kwapil, T. R. (2020) · Motivation and Emotion · doi:10.1007/s11031-020-09840-8 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
“However, we want to be clear that future research is warranted as the overlap or distinctness of complex affective dynamics may be unique to specific populations (e.g., borderline personality disorder, bipolar spectrum disorders; Trull et al. 2008; Sperry et al. 2020; Sperry and Kwapil 2020).”
Background
Moment-to-moment affective dynamics in schizophrenia and bipolar disorder
So, S. H., Chau, A. K. C., Chung, L. K.-H., Leung, C.-M., Chong, G. H.-C., Chang, W. C., Mak, A. D. P., Chan, S. S. M., Lee, S., & Sommer, I. E. (2023) · European Psychiatry · doi:10.1192/j.eurpsy.2023.2438 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
“This allowed a systematic approach to examining the construct across disorders in context [44, 62].”
Background
Limited evidence of autocorrelation signaling upcoming affective episodes: a 12-month e-diary study in patients with bipolar disorder
Ludwig, V. M., Reinhard, I., Mühlbauer, E., Hill, H., Severus, W. E., Bauer, M., Ritter, P. S., & Ebner‐Priemer, U. (2024) · Psychological Medicine · doi:10.1017/s0033291723003811 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
“To the best of our knowledge, so far only one research group has investigated AR as a proxy for emotional inertia within bipolar spectrum symptomatology and did not find consistent or promising results (Sperry & Kwapil, 2019, 2022; Sperry, Walsh, & Kwapil, 2020).”
Result
A digital self‐report survey of mood for bipolar disorder
Gruichich, T. S., Gomez, J. C. D., Zayas‐Cabán, G., McInnis, M. G., & Cochran, A. L. (2021) · Bipolar Disorders · doi:10.1111/bdi.13058 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
An initial test of the contrast avoidance model in bipolar spectrum disorders
Kim, H., McInnis, M. G., & Sperry, S. H. (2024) · Journal of Psychiatric Research · doi:10.1016/j.jpsychires.2024.03.024 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Network analyses of ecological momentary emotion and avoidance assessments before and after cognitive behavioral therapy for anxiety disorders
Meine, L. E., Müller-Bardorff, M., Recher, D., Paersch, C., Schulz, A., Spiller, T. R., Galatzer‐Levy, I. R., Kowatsch, T., Fisher, A. J., & Kleim, B. (2024) · Journal of Anxiety Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.janxdis.2024.102914 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
Daily dynamics of negative affect: indicators of rate of response to treatment and remission from depression?
Helmich, M. A., Wichers, M., Peeters, F. P. M. L., & Snippe, E. (2022) · Cognition & Emotion · doi:10.1080/02699931.2022.2129593 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
“It seems plausible that experiencing higher levels of NA in daily life is an indicator that concurrent symptoms are more severe (Bosley et al., 2019; Panaite et al., 2020; Sperry et al., 2020), and there is, consequently, more room for improvement during treatment.”
Background
Insomnia symptom severity and dynamics of arousal‐related symptoms across the day
Balter, L. J. T., Someren, E. J. W. V., & Axelsson, J. (2024) · Journal of Sleep Research · doi:10.1111/jsr.14276 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Affective Dynamics and Mean Levels of Preschool Irritability and Sadness: Predictors of Children’s Psychological Functioning Two Years Later
Chad‐Friedman, E., Leppert, K. A., Olino, T. M., Bufferd, S. J., & Dougherty, L. R. (2021) · Child Psychiatry & Human Development · doi:10.1007/s10578-021-01121-w · Cited by 9 · see citing works
What the heart brings to therapy: A systematic review on heart rate variability contributions to psychotherapy research
Dufey, M., González, T., Bravo, T., Fernández, A. M., Riquelme, P., & Ramos, V. (2023) · Revista de Psicopatología y Psicología Clínica · doi:10.5944/rppc.37271 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Emotion Recognition in the Real World: Passively Collecting and Estimating Emotions From Natural Speech Data of Individuals With Bipolar Disorder
Provost, E. M., Sperry, S. H., Tavernor, J., Anderau, S., Yocum, A. K., & McInnis, M. G. (2024) · IEEE Transactions on Affective Computing · doi:10.1109/taffc.2024.3407683 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Association of Positive, Negative, and Disorganized Schizotypy With the Temporal Dynamics of Schizotypic Experiences in Daily Life
Kemp, K. C., Sperry, S. H., Hernández, L., Barrantes‐Vidal, N., & Kwapil, T. R. (2024) · Schizophrenia Bulletin · doi:10.1093/schbul/sbae112 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Social jetlag and trajectories of mood symptoms and reward responsiveness in individuals at low-risk, high-risk, and with bipolar spectrum disorders: An ecological momentary assessment study
Smith, L. T., Walsh, R. F. L., Goel, N., & Alloy, L. B. (2023) · Psychiatry Research · doi:10.1016/j.psychres.2023.115499 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Mood instability metrics to stratify individuals and measure outcomes in bipolar disorder
Sperry, S. H., Yocum, A. K., & McInnis, M. G. (2024) · Nature Mental Health · doi:10.1038/s44220-024-00291-5 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
“In fact, several studies over different timescales (for example, hours, days and weeks) have shown that intraindividual s.d. is a meaningful metric for measuring outcomes and risk in BD 7,11–13, 15, 28 .”
A randomized trial on differential changes in thought and affect after mindfulness versus dyadic practice indicates phenomenological fingerprints of app-based interventions
Petzold, P., Silveira, S., Godara, M., Matthaeus, H., & Singer, T. (2023) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-023-40636-1 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Emotion dynamics prospectively predict depressive symptoms in adolescents: findings from intensive longitudinal data
Yang, Y., Wang, J., Lin, H., Chen, X., Chen, Y., Kuang, J., Yao, Y., Wang, T., & Fu, C. (2025) · BMC Psychology · doi:10.1186/s40359-025-02699-9 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
“Our results are contrary to Sperry et al.‘s research [10], which found that altered emotional variability and instability were not associated with new diagnoses of major depressive disorder or major depressive episodes three years later.”
Influential
Emotional awareness, affective dysregulation, and bipolar spectrum psychopathology: A path analysis
Sperry, S. H., Eckland, N. S., & Kwapil, T. R. (2021) · Psychiatry Research · doi:10.1016/j.psychres.2021.113739 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Digital solutions for shaping mood and behavior among individuals with mood disorders
Victory, A. M., Letkiewicz, A. M., & Cochran, A. L. (2020) · Current Opinion in Systems Biology · doi:10.1016/j.coisb.2020.07.008 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
“Indeed, current and future diagnoses of mood disorders were associated with mobile statistics of intra-day mood dynamics [18,19].”
Background
Neurophysiological responses to emotional faces predict dynamic fluctuations in affect in adolescents
Letkiewicz, A. M., Funkhouser, C. J., Umemoto, A., Trivedi, E., Sritharan, A., Zhang, E., Buchanan, S. N., Helgren, F., Allison, G. O., Jürgen Kayser, A., et al. (2023) · Psychophysiology · doi:10.1111/psyp.14476 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Language and Mental Health: Measures of Emotion Dynamics from Text as Linguistic Biosocial Markers
Teodorescu, D., Cheng, T., Fyshe, A., & Mohammad, S. M. (2023) · Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing (EMNLP) · doi:10.18653/v1/2023.emnlp-main.188 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Integrating dynamic psychophysiological indices across time and contexts: Elucidating mechanisms, risk markers, and intervention targets
Stange, J. P. (2024) · Psychophysiology · doi:10.1111/psyp.14630 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
A Review of Measurements and Techniques to Study Emotion Dynamics in Learning
Zheng, J., Li, S., & Lajoie, S. P. (2023) · Advances in analytics for learning and teaching · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-30992-2_2 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Characterizing the dynamics, reactivity and controllability of moods in depression with a Kalman filter
Malamud, J., Gülöksüz, S., van Winkel, R., Delespaul, P., Binder, M. D., Derom, C. A., Thiery, E. W., Jacobs, N., Rutten, B. P. F., & Huys, Q. J. M. (2024) · PLoS Computational Biology · doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012457 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
“Various studies investigating affect dynamics have demonstrated their importance by showing that altered affect dynamics relate to psychopathology, particularly negative valence [39–42].”
The dynamic features of emotion dysregulation in major depressive disorder: An emotion dynamics perspective
Chaoyi, W. U., & Zhen, W. (2023) · Advances in Psychological Science · doi:10.3724/sp.j.1042.2024.00364 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Limited evidence of autocorrelation signaling upcoming affective episodes: a 12-month e-diary study in patients with bipolar disorderPreprint
Ludwig, V. M., Reinhard, I., Mühlbauer, E., Hill, H., Severus, E., Bauer, M., Ritter, P. S., & Ebner‐Priemer, U. (2023) · doi:10.31234/osf.io/8ebmc · Cited by 5 · see citing works
RSA instability in mothers of preschoolers and adolescents is related to observations of supportive parenting behaviors
Hale, M. E., Morrow, K. E., Xu, J., Han, Z. R., Oshri, A., Shaffer, A. E., Caughy, M. O., & Suveg, C. M. (2024) · Developmental Psychobiology · doi:10.1002/dev.22513 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Emotional variability and late adolescent suicidal ideation: Buffering role of parent–youth connectedness
Chiang, S., Ting, S., & Sung, Y.-H. (2024) · Suicide and Life-Threatening Behavior · doi:10.1111/sltb.13146 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Choose or Fuse: Enriching Data Views with Multi-label Emotion Dynamics
Cang, X. L., Guerra, R. R., Bucci, P., Guta, B., MacLean, K. E., Rodgers, L., Mah, H., Hsu, S., Feng, Q., Zhang, C., et al. (2022) · International Conference on Affective Computing and Intelligent Interaction and workshops · doi:10.1109/acii55700.2022.9953882 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
“Using these summary metrics over a report time series, researchers have evaluated emotional character arcs in movies [24], examined the role of exercise in emotion regulation [25], and even predicted mood disorders [23].”
Background
The added value of daily diary data in 1- and 3-year prediction of psychopathology and psychotic experiences in individuals at risk for psychosis
van der Tuin, S., Booij, S. H., Muller, M. K., van den Berg, D. P. G., Oldehinkel, A. J., & Wigman, J. T. W. (2023) · Psychiatry Research · doi:10.1016/j.psychres.2023.115546 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
“This is in line with other studies that found an association between higher emotion/symptom variability and psychopathology (Dejonckheere et al., 2019; Houben et al., 2015; Koval et al., 2013; Sperry et al., 2020).”
Daily emotional inertia and long-term subjective well-being among people living with HIV
Rzeszutek, M., Gruszczyńska, E., & Firląg‐Burkacka, E. (2021) · Health and Quality of Life Outcomes · doi:10.1186/s12955-021-01752-6 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
“For instance, in some studies based on the models of emotions as emergent processes [21], it has been observed that short-term affect dynamics can concurrently and prospectively be related to psychopathological symptoms [22, 23].”
Background
A dual-system, machine-learning approach reveals how daily pubertal hormones relate to psychological well-being in everyday life
Chafkin, J. E., O’Brien, J., Medrano, F. N., Lee, H. Y., Josephs, R. A., & Yeager, D. S. (2022) · Developmental Cognitive Neuroscience · doi:10.1016/j.dcn.2022.101158 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Identifying latent profiles of emotion dysregulation in a sample of primarily Black women with trauma exposure
Kuzyk, E., Mekawi, Y., Michopoulos, V., & Powers, A. D. (2022) · Journal of Psychiatric Research · doi:10.1016/j.jpsychires.2022.10.004 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Getting the blues: negative affect dynamics mediate the within-person association of maladaptive emotion regulation and depressionPreprint
Rónai, L., & Polner, B. (2021) · doi:10.31234/osf.io/he53c · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Acceptance Mindfulness-Trait as a Protective Factor for Post-Natal Depression: A Preliminary Research
Tharwat, D., Trousselard, M., Fromage, D., Belrose, C., Balès, M., Sutter-Dallay, A.-L., Ezto, M.-L., Hurstel, F., Harvey, T., Martin, S., et al. (2022) · International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health · doi:10.3390/ijerph19031545 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
“Furthermore, a body of literature suggests the interest of the dynamics of affective states to predict mood or sleep disorders, especially during pregnancy [19].”
Background
A Person-Centered Approach to Emotional Security: Latent Profile Analysis of the Dark Triad and Psychological Symptoms
Kaya, A., Mukba, G., & ÖZOK, H. İ. (2023) · Psychological Reports · doi:10.1177/00332941231203561 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
“Depression is related to emotion regulation strategies (Siener & Kerns, 2012), as well as the cognitive aspect of depression and the emotional mode of the individual related to their emotional state and life at that time (Sperry et al., 2020).”
Two peas in a pod: Discounting models as a special case of the VARMAX
Vanhasbroeck, N., Loossens, T., & Tuerlinckx, F. (2024) · Journal of Mathematical Psychology · doi:10.1016/j.jmp.2024.102856 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Unique Associations Between Affect Dynamics and Internalizing and Externalizing Subfactors: Disentangling Affective Home Base and Variability
Hawes, M. T., & Klein, D. N. (2023) · Journal of Psychopathology and Behavioral Assessment · doi:10.1007/s10862-023-10088-y · Cited by 3 · see citing works
“First, the vast majority of studies have focused on a narrow scope of disorders, namely, depression (e.g., Kuppens et al., 2012; Sperry et al., 2020; van de Leemput et al., 2014), anxiety (e.g., Bowen et al., 2004; Congard et al., 2011; Heller et al., 2019) and borderline personality disorder (BPD;…”
Background
Daily stigma and daily emotional well‐being among people living with HIV: Testing a buffering hypothesis of social support during the COVID‐19 pandemic
Gruszczyńska, E., & Rzeszutek, M. (2023) · Applied Psychology Health and Well-Being · doi:10.1111/aphw.12500 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Evidence for mood instability in patients with bipolar disorder: Applying multilevel hidden Markov modelling to intensive longitudinal ecological momentary assessment dataPreprint
Moraga, S. M., Bos, F. M., Doornbos, B., Bruggeman, R., van der Krieke, L., Snippe, E., & Aarts, E. (2023) · doi:10.31234/osf.io/egp82 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
The impact of personality traits on the return of major depression: a case–control study
Altaweel, N., Upthegrove, R., & Marwaha, S. (2025) · Frontiers in Psychology · doi:10.3389/fpsyg.2025.1454673 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Behavioral approach and inhibition sensitivity predicts depressive and hypomanic mood and behavior in daily life
Sperry, S. H., Stromberg, A. R., Roberts, J. E., & Prisciandaro, J. J. (2025) · Psychiatry Research · doi:10.1016/j.psychres.2025.116734 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
The Dynamics of Mood in Bipolar Disorder: How Mathematical Models Help Phenotype Individuals, Forecast Mood, and Clarify Underlying Mechanisms
Cochran, A. L., & Vineyard, J. (2025) · Current Psychiatry Reports · doi:10.1007/s11920-025-01647-z · Cited by 1 · see citing works
“These findings build on Sperry’s earlier work: variability along with more abrupt shifts in daily ratings of mood could predict onset of new bipolar-spectrum disorders three years later [7], and were linked to higher bipolar-spec-trum traits, even after accounting for overall mood levels [8 ].”
What happens at night? Differentiating within-day and overnight affective inertia
Lücke, A. J., Scott, S. B., Sliwinski, M. J., Smyth, J. M., Viechtbauer, W., & Neubauer, A. B. (2025) · Cognition & Emotion · doi:10.1080/02699931.2025.2603460 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
“To account for this, another frequently used approach in the literature on affective inertia is to exclude overnight intervals altogether by replacing the first or last assessment of the day with missing values (e.g. Rowland et al., 2020; Sperry et al., 2020).”
Influential
How Stable, Really? Traditional and Nonlinear Dynamics Approaches to Studying Temporal Fluctuations in Personality and Affect
Gori, A., Dewey, D., Topino, E., Giannini, M., & Schuldberg, D. (2022) · International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health · doi:10.3390/ijerph19138008 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Revue critique sur le potentiel du numérique dans la recherche en psychopathologie : un point de vue psychanalytique
Potier, R. (2022) · L Évolution Psychiatrique · doi:10.1016/j.evopsy.2022.09.001 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Utterance Emotion Dynamics in Children’s Poems: Emotional Changes Across Age
Teodorescu, D., Fyshe, A., & Mohammad, S. M. (2023) · Workshop on Computational Approaches to Subjectivity, Sentiment and Social Media Analysis (WASSA) · doi:10.18653/v1/2023.wassa-1.35 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Using Single-Subject Designs to Probe Dynamics Associated With Stress and Transitions to College Life
Coombs, G. (2020) · Digital Access to Scholarship at Harvard (DASH) (Harvard University) · Cited by 1 · see citing works
What’s in a mood?
Helmich, M. A. (2022) · doi:10.33612/diss.200101721 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Editorial: Emotion dynamics: mapping the structure and function of emotional variability
McGinley, J. J., & Spangler, D. P. (2025) · Frontiers in Human Neuroscience · doi:10.3389/fnhum.2025.1603774 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Emotional awareness, affective dysregulation, and bipolar spectrum psychopathology: A multilevel path analysisPreprint
Sperry, S. H., Eckland, N. S., & Kwapil, T. R. (2021) · doi:10.31234/osf.io/praq2
Invarianza factorial de la escala Perfil de Estados de Ánimo (POMS) en adultos mexicanos
Martínez-Soto, J., Torres, C. E. C., & la Roca-Chiapas, J. M. D. (2022) · Revista de Psicología y Ciencias del Comportamiento de la Unidad Académica de Ciencias Jurídicas y Sociales · doi:10.29059/rpcc.20220501-141
La dynamique affective auprès de patients atteints d’un cancer : revue narrative en psycho-oncologie et recommandations pour un recueil longitudinal intensif
Sirven, B., Baussard, L., Charbonnier, É., & Vigouroux, S. L. (2024) · Pratiques Psychologiques · doi:10.1016/j.prps.2024.03.002
Emotion Dynamics among Late Adolescents and Emerging Adults: The Role of Maternal Privacy Invasion Perceptions
Wang, Y.-Q., & Hawk, S. (2024) · Journal of Youth and Adolescence · doi:10.1007/s10964-024-02010-w
“Third, the probability of acute change (PAC) indexed how frequently an individual experiences changes in emotion above a given cut-off (Mun et al., 2019; Sperry et al., 2020).”
Influential
Daily Negative Affect and Reaction Time Inconsistency in Emerging Adults: Ecological Momentary Assessment Study
Rutter, L. A., Chen, P., Lakhan, P., Germine, L. T., & Hawks, Z. (2026) · JMIR mhealth and uhealth · doi:10.2196/64397 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Distancing alters the controllability of emotional states by affecting both intrinsic stability and extrinsic sensitivityPreprint
Malamud, J., & Huys, Q. J. M. (2025) · eLife · doi:10.7554/elife.102780
Distancing alters the controllability of emotional states by affecting both intrinsic stability and extrinsic sensitivityPreprint
Malamud, J., & Huys, Q. J. M. (2025) · eLife · doi:10.7554/elife.102780.1
Development and validation of a short version of the Hypomanic Attitudes and Positive Predictive Inventory (HAPPI): Measuring extreme appraisals of internal states and bipolar risk
Sperry, S. H., Smith, J. L., Sandorffy, B. L., Murphy, V. A., Kim, H., Rheenen, T. E. V., & Dodd, A. (2025) · Journal of Affective Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.jad.2025.119822
Technologies mobiles et téléconsultation pour le trouble bipolaire
Astruc, B., & Swendsen, J. D. (2023) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-2-294-77180-4.00061-5
Modeling and predicting mood instability in a longitudinal cohort of bipolar disorder
Stromberg, A. R., Yocum, A. K., McInnis, M. G., Tso, I. F., & Sperry, S. H. (2025) · Nature Mental Health · doi:10.1038/s44220-025-00506-3
“Furthermore, mood instability is pre-sent in individuals at risk for the development of BD 8,9 and predicts the development of BD, but not unipolar depression, within this group 10 .”
Additional file 1 of Affective lability as a prospective predictor of subsequent bipolar disorder diagnosis: a systematic review
Taylor, R. H., Ulrichsen, A., Young, A. H., & Strawbridge, R. (2021) · Figshare · doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.16911209
Developing Context‐Appropriate Emotions: Longitudinal Changes in Emotion Reactivity and Emotion Regulation From 6 to 12 Months
Suata, Z. M., Daubney, K., Kostyrka‐Allchorne, K., Wass, S. V., & Sonuga-Barke, E. J. S. (2026) · Developmental Science · doi:10.1111/desc.70212
“While this issue has been acknowledged in related work (Dejonckheere et al. 2019 ; Sperry et al. 2020 ), there exists no straightforward solution.”
The dynamic influence of exercise on emotional state among people with a history of mood disorder
Stapp, E. K., Husky, M. M., Cui, L., & Merikangas, K. R. (2026) · Psychiatry Research · doi:10.1016/j.psychres.2026.117319
Bimonthly mood-suicidal ideation dynamics in bipolar spectrum disorders: A dynamic structural equation modeling study
Kim, H., Smith, J. L., McInnis, M. G., & Sperry, S. H. (2026) · Journal of Affective Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.jad.2026.122334
Psychotherapy in motion: opportunities and challenges of using experience sampling methods to assess the effectiveness of psychotherapy
Kornacka, M., Barnes, S., Skorupski, J., Skorupski, M. S., Jaskulska, A., Para, M., & Szastok, M. (2026) · Psychiatria i Psychologia Kliniczna · doi:10.15557/pipk.2026.0018
The role of distress tolerance in the relationship between frontal alpha asymmetry and mood instability in adolescents
Ellis, A. J., Salgari, G. C., Giacco, A. C. D., Loo, S. K., & Miklowitz, D. J. (2026) · Journal of Affective Disorders Reports · doi:10.1016/j.jadr.2026.101151
Distancing alters the controllability of emotional states by affecting both intrinsic stability and extrinsic sensitivityPreprint
Malamud, J., & Huys, Q. J. M. (2026) · eLife · doi:10.7554/elife.102780.2
Temporal dynamics of affect, screen time, and step count in individuals at risk for mood disorders
Helmink, F. G. L., van Roekel, E., Hillegers, M. H. J., Mesman, E., & Sperry, S. H. (2026) · Psychological Medicine · doi:10.1017/s0033291726105297
“…(i.e. how emotions change over time) are linked to psychological well-being and psychopathology development (Bailen & Thompson, 2023; Houben, Van Den Noortgate, & Kuppens, 2015; Kuranova et al., 2021; Maciejewski et al., 2019; Sperry, Walsh, & Kwapil, 2020; Wichers, Wigman, & Myin-Germeys, 2015).”
Is bipolar spectrum psychopathology associated with psychotic-like and schizotypic experiences in daily life?
Harvey, N., Kemp, K. C., Sperry, S. H., Barrantes‐Vidal, N., & Kwapil, T. R. (2026) · Journal of Affective Disorders Reports · doi:10.1016/j.jadr.2026.101204

Bipolar spectrum psychopathology is associated with altered emotion dynamics across multiple timescales.
Sperry, S. H., & Kwapil, T. R. (2020) · Emotion · doi:10.1037/emo0000759 · Cited by 38 · see citing works
Exploring Individual Differences in the Affective Dynamics of Bipolar Spectrum Psychopathology
Sperry, S. H., & Kwapil, T. R. (2018) · Illinois Digital Environment for Access to Learning and Scholarship (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) · doi:10.17605/osf.io/xjnfd
Affective dynamics in bipolar spectrum psychopathology: Modeling inertia, reactivity, variability, and instability in daily life
Sperry, S. H., & Kwapil, T. R. (2019) · Journal of Affective Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.jad.2019.01.053 · Cited by 35 · see citing works
Emotion Dynamics and the Association With Depressive Features and Borderline Personality Disorder Traits: Unique, Specific, and Prospective Relationships
Houben, M., & Kuppens, P. (2019) · Clinical Psychological Science · doi:10.1177/2167702619871962 · Cited by 61 · see citing works
Affective dynamics in psychopathology
Trull, T. J., Lane, S. P., Koval, P., & Ebner-Priemer, U. W. (2015) · Emotion Review · doi:10.1177/1754073915590617 · Cited by 274 · see citing works

Authors: Sperry, S. H., Walsh, M. A., & Kwapil, T. R.
Affiliations: University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (US)
University of North Carolina at Greensboro (US)
Corresponding author: Sperry, Sarah H.
ORCID: Sperry, Sarah H.
Walsh, Molly A.
Kwapil, Thomas R.
Venue: Journal of Affective Disorders
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Published: 2020-01
Volume: 261
Pages: 67-75
ISSN: 0165-0327 (ISSN-L)
DOI: 10.1016/j.jad.2019.09.076
OpenAlex: W2979167486
Cited by: 93
References: 68
Citations by year: 2026: 9 · 2025: 10 · 2024: 21 · 2023: 20 · 2022: 11 · 2021: 13 · 2020: 9
FWCI: 6.56
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: green
doi.org
Licence: www.elsevier.com/tdm/userlicense/1.0/ (tdm)
www.elsevier.com/legal/tdmrep-license (tdm)
Locations: Journal of Affective Disorders (publishedVersion)
PubMed (publishedVersion)
NC Digital Online Collection of Knowledge and Scholarship (The University of North Carolina at Greensboro) (submittedVersion)
OSF Preprints (OSF Preprints) (submittedVersion)
Open Science Framework
Topics: Health Sciences › Medicine › Psychiatry and Mental health › Bipolar Disorder and Treatment
Social Sciences › Psychology › Experimental and Cognitive Psychology › Mental Health Research Topics
Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Personality Disorders and Psychopathology
Keywords: emotional dynamics, negative affect, positive affect, bipolar spectrum disorders, depression, hypomanic personality, hyperthymic temperament, neuroticism, within-person variability, autocorrelation, transdiagnostic risk factors, digital phenotyping, mobile-based interventions, ecological momentary assessment
MeSH terms: Ecological Momentary Assessment, Adolescent, Adult, Affect, Affective Symptoms, Bipolar Disorder, Cyclothymic Disorder, Depression, Emotions, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Male, Prospective Studies, Psychopathology, Surveys and Questionnaires, Temperament, Time Factors, Young Adult, Interrupted Time Series Analysis

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Emotion dynamics concurrently and prospectively predict mood psychopathology

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