Cited by 118Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare and EducationEthics and Social Impacts of AI

Believing in black boxes: machine learning for healthcare does not need explainability to be evidence-based

Open access
McCoy, Liam G., Brenna, Connor T.A., Chen, Stacy S., Vold, Karina, Das, Sunit·2022·Journal of Clinical Epidemiology

Abstract

Objective To examine the role of explainability in machine learning for healthcare (MLHC), and its necessity and significance with respect to effective and ethical MLHC application. Study design and setting This commentary engages with the growing and dynamic corpus of literature on the use of MLHC and artificial intelligence (AI) in medicine, which provide the context for a focused narrative review of arguments presented in favour of and opposition to explainability in MLHC. Results We find that concerns regarding explainability are not limited to MLHC, but rather extend to numerous well-validated treatment interventions as well as to human clinical judgment itself. We examine the role of evidence-based medicine in evaluating inexplicable treatments and technologies, and highlight the analogy between the concept of explainability in MLHC and the related concept of mechanistic reasoning in evidence-based medicine. Conclusion Ultimately, we conclude that the value of explainability in MLHC is not intrinsic, but is instead instrumental to achieving greater imperatives such as performance and trust. We caution against the uncompromising pursuit of explainability, and advocate instead for the development of robust empirical methods to successfully evaluate increasingly inexplicable algorithmic systems.

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2021.11.001

Cites

65 of 65 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Generative AI models in health care, particularly those based on deep learning, are often seen as "black boxes".

    “Technically speaking, similar to all other AI models, generative AI models in health care, particularly those based on deep learning, are often seen as “black boxes” [78].”

    From Generative AI in medical practice: in-depth exploration of privacy and security challenges (2024) · cites this paper as [78]

    Section 4, “Empirically validating the inexplicable” (page unavailable), describes deep-learning architectures in health care as presently inscrutable and discusses “opening the black box.” That supports the characterization of some deep-learning health-care models, but the passage does not address generative AI models specifically. (LLM, conf=0.86)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 2

  1. Holzinger A, Biemann C, Pattichis CS, Kell DB. What do we need to build explainable AI systems for the medical do- main? arXiv:171209923 [cs, stat] . Published online December 28, 2017. Accessed November 24, 2020. http:// arxiv.org/ abs/ 1712.09923
  2. Lenox RH , Frazer A . Mechanism of action of antidepressants and mood stablizers. Neuropsychopharmacology: The Fifth Generation of Progress. Philadelphia: Lippincott Williams & Wilkins Citeseer; 2002 .

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
McCoy, L. G., Brenna, C. T. A., Chen, S. S., Vold, K., & Das, S.
Affiliations
University of Toronto (CA)
Corresponding author
McCoy, Liam G.
Venue
Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2022-02
Volume
142
Pages
252-257
ISSN
0895-4356 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W3213880547
Cited by
118
References
64
Citations by year
2026: 17 · 2025: 28 · 2024: 31 · 2023: 23 · 2022: 19
FWCI
1.32
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Journal of Clinical Epidemiology (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • PhilPapers (PhilPapers Foundation) (submittedVersion)
Funders
Canadian Institutes of Health Research
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Health Informatics › Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare and Education
  • Social Sciences › Safety Research › Ethics and Social Impacts of AI
Keywords
explainability, machine learning in healthcare, artificial intelligence in healthcare, evidence-based medicine, mechanistic reasoning, algorithm evaluation, trust in algorithms, clinical judgment, ethical use of AI, black-box models
MeSH terms
Machine Learning, Artificial Intelligence, Delivery of Health Care, Humans, Technology, Trust

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review