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Variance as a Signature of Neural Computations during Decision Making
Open accessAbstract
Traditionally, insights into neural computation have been furnished by averaged firing rates from many stimulus repetitions or trials. We pursue an analysis of neural response variance to unveil neural computations that cannot be discerned from measures of average firing rate. We analyzed single-neuron recordings from the lateral intraparietal area (LIP), during a perceptual decision-making task. Spike count variance was divided into two components using the law of total variance for doubly stochastic processes: (1) variance of counts that would be produced by a stochastic point process with a given rate, and loosely (2) the variance of the rates that would produce those counts (i.e., "conditional expectation"). The variance and correlation of the conditional expectation exposed several neural mechanisms: mixtures of firing rate states preceding the decision, accumulation of stochastic "evidence" during decision formation, and a stereotyped response at decision end. These analyses help to differentiate among several alternative decision-making models.
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“When VarCE is calculated from residuals (5, 51) (Materials and Methods), it is similar (Fig. 4G, black) showing linear increase between decision onset (Fig. 4G, up arrow) and decision termination (Fig. 4G, down arrow) times.”
From Neural correlates of perceptual decision-making in the primary somatosensory cortex (2026) · cites this paper as [51]
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“Analysis of spike count noise during this period showed characteristic linear increase in internally driven spike rate variability (VarCE) and decrease of its correlations (CorCE) consistent with the gradual accumulation models of decision-making (51).”
From Neural correlates of perceptual decision-making in the primary somatosensory cortex (2026) · cites this paper as [51]
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“indicating accumulation of stochastic trial-by-trial diffusion noise (5, 51).”
From Neural correlates of perceptual decision-making in the primary somatosensory cortex (2026) · cites this paper as [51]
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“An important diagnostic signature of perceptual decision-making is the gradual accumulation of noise (5, 51) expected for most accumulation-to-bound decision models.”
From Neural correlates of perceptual decision-making in the primary somatosensory cortex (2026) · cites this paper as [51]
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“Total variance of this doubly stochastics process becomes a sum of two separate components (51) (Materials and Methods): PPV, proportional to mean spike rates, and variance of conditional expectation (VarCE), reflecting variance of rates.”
From Neural correlates of perceptual decision-making in the primary somatosensory cortex (2026) · cites this paper as [51]
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“It has been argued (51) that if the variance of spike rates during evidence accumulation is defined by a diffusion process, then expectation of spike counts in consecutive time bins (CorCE) should covary.”
From Neural correlates of perceptual decision-making in the primary somatosensory cortex (2026) · cites this paper as [51]
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“The calculated (Materials and Methods) CorCE matrix (Fig. 4J) indeed exhibits characteristic increase of correlation as a function of time and, for given time (e.g., along the top row), shows sequential decay as often observed (5, 51) during decision-making.”
From Neural correlates of perceptual decision-making in the primary somatosensory cortex (2026) · cites this paper as [51]
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“Overall, VarCE exhibits a linear increase during epoch 4, a characteristic signature of diffusion process consistent with an accumulation-to-bound model (5, 51).”
From Neural correlates of perceptual decision-making in the primary somatosensory cortex (2026) · cites this paper as [51]
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Citations
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“On the contrary, this step would introduce temporal correlations (Churchland et al., 2011), in which case, even with ilPPC, a simple sum of the momentary evidence would no longer be optimal (Bogacz et al.”
BackgroundSelf-citationThe Computational and Neural Basis of Rhythmic Timing in Medial Premotor Cortex
Merchant, H., & Averbeck, B. B. (2017) · Journal of Neuroscience · doi:10.1523/jneurosci.0367-17.2017 · Cited by 86
“…2002; Simen et al., 2011, 2016) as we have used here; (2) diffusion models where the response bound changes to produce different intervals (Churchland et al., 2011); (3) biophysical state-dependent networks, where time is encoded in the current state of recurrent networks (Buonomano,…”
MethodPropagating Waves Can Explain Irregular Neural Dynamics
Keane, A., & Gong, P. (2015) · Journal of Neuroscience · doi:10.1523/jneurosci.1669-14.2015 · Cited by 73
“These transitions appear to coexist with variable spike timing of individual neurons, which is a characteristic feature of a doubly stochastic process (Churchland et al., 2011; Churchland and Abbott, 2012; Litwin-Kumar and Doiron, 2012).”
BackgroundInfluentialBeaman, C. B., Eagleman, S. L., & Dragoi, V. (2017) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-017-01030-4 · Cited by 80
Probabilistic Computation in Human Perception under Variability in Encoding Precision
Keshvari, S., van den Berg, R., & Ma, W. J. (2012) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0040216 · Cited by 62
“Recent physiological studies have reported evidence for doubly stochastic processes in cortex [12,13,14,15].”
BackgroundOptimizing Working Memory with Heterogeneity of Recurrent Cortical Excitation
Kilpatrick, Z. P., Ermentrout, B., & Doiron, B. (2013) · Journal of Neuroscience · doi:10.1523/jneurosci.1641-13.2013 · Cited by 63
“However, how exactly neural variability drives behavioral variability is largely unknown (Britten et al., 1996; Churchland et al., 2011; Brunton et al., 2013; Haefner et al., 2013).”
BackgroundWinkel, J., Keuken, M. C., van Maanen, L., Wagenmakers, E., & Forstmann, B. U. (2014) · Psychonomic Bulletin & Review · doi:10.3758/s13423-013-0551-8 · Cited by 45
“Such incoming bounds are also consistent with findings of increased overall activation levels across groups of neurons with different response selectivities (Churchland, Kiani, & Shadlen, 2008; Drugowitsch et al., 2012). One reason why it is important to correctly formulate decision-making models is that they help to…”
MethodResultInfluentialThe Role of the Lateral Intraparietal Area in (the Study of) Decision Making
Huk, A. C., Katz, L. N., & Yates, J. L. (2017) · Annual Review of Neuroscience · doi:10.1146/annurev-neuro-072116-031508 · Cited by 76
“Otherwise, such finer-grained analyses of the statistics of LIP responses may reflect differential dynamics that are in part due to sensory responses, presaccadic activity, or both (see also Churchland et al. 2011).”
BackgroundReproducibility of in vivo electrophysiological measurements in micePreprint
Banga, K., Benson, J., Bhagat, J., Biderman, D., Birman, D., Bonacchi, N., Bruijns, S. A., Buchanan, K. L., Campbell, R. A. A., Carandini, M., et al. (2024) · eLife · doi:10.7554/elife.100840 · Cited by 21
Self-citationStochastic transitions into silence cause noise correlations in cortical circuits
Mochol, G., Hermoso-Mendizabal, A., Sakata, S., Harris, K. D., & de la Rocha, J. (2015) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1410509112 · Cited by 62
What is value—accumulated reward or evidence?
Friston, K. J., Adams, R. A., & Montague, P. R. (2012) · Frontiers in Neurorobotics · doi:10.3389/fnbot.2012.00011 · Cited by 69
Cortical feedback loops bind distributed representations of working memory
Voitov, I., & Mrsic‐Flogel, T. D. (2022) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-022-05014-3 · Cited by 88
Direct observation of the neural computations underlying a single decisionPreprint
Steinemann, N. A., Stine, G. M., Trautmann, E. M., Zylberberg, A., Wolpert, D., & Shadlen, M. (2024) · bioRxiv · doi:10.1101/2022.05.02.490321 · Cited by 60
“…the signal of interest is dominated by a small subpopulation of neurons with response fields that overlap one of the choice targets, consistent with earlier single neuron studies ( e.g., Shadlen and Newsome, 1996 ; Roitman and Shadlen, 2002 ; Churchland et al., 2011 ; Gold and Shadlen, 2007 )”
MethodResultSelf-citationThe impact of learning on perceptual decisions and its implication for speed-accuracy tradeoffs
Mendonça, A. G., Drugowitsch, J., Vicente, M. I., DeWitt, E. E. J., Pouget, A., & Mainen, Z. F. (2020) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-020-16196-7 · Cited by 56
Self-citationSpontaneous Neural Fluctuations Predict Decisions to Attend
Bengson, J. J., Kelley, T. A., Zhang, X., Wang, J.-L., & Mangun, G. R. (2014) · Journal of Cognitive Neuroscience · doi:10.1162/jocn_a_00650 · Cited by 70
Legenstein, R. A., & Maass, W. (2014) · PLoS Computational Biology · doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003859 · Cited by 55
“Furthermore, we show in Text S4 that the model is consistent with features of neuronal activity during random-dot motion tasks [1,26,27].”
MethodPredicting the Accuracy of a Decision: A Neural Mechanism of ConfidencePreprint
Fetsch, C. R., Kiani, R., & Shadlen, M. N. (2014) · Cold Spring Harbor Symposia on Quantitative Biology · doi:10.1101/sqb.2014.79.024893 · Cited by 55
“In the lateral intraparietal area (LIP), this activity reflects not only the mean (Roitman and Shadlen 2002; Huk and Shadlen 2005; Kiani et al. 2008) but also the variance and autocorrelation (Churchland et al. 2011) of an evolving DV that explains choice and RT.”
Self-citationvan Vugt, M. K., Simen, P., Nystrom, L. E., Holmes, P. J., & Cohen, J. D. (2014) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0090943 · Cited by 53
“, [5–7]), human magnetoencephalography (e.”
Categorization=decision making+generalization
Seger, C. A., & Peterson, E. J. (2013) · Neuroscience & Biobehavioral Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.neubiorev.2013.03.015 · Cited by 65
“Activity in LIP in the coherent dot motion perception task is well characterized by accumulator models (Churchland et al., 2011; Gold et al., 2010; Gold and Shadlen, 2007).”
BackgroundVariability of Prefrontal Neuronal Discharges before and after Training in a Working Memory Task
Qi, X.-L., & Constantinidis, C. (2012) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0041053 · Cited by 55
“Conversely, the variance of firing rate was shown to increase in the course of decision making, and as a function of the number of alternative choices [14].”
BackgroundArazi, A., Gonen-Yaacovi, G., & Dinstein, I. (2017) · eNeuro · doi:10.1523/eneuro.0292-17.2017 · Cited by 67
“Note that certain tasks, such as perceptual decision-making, may generate an increase in neural variability before the decision is made (Churchland et al., 2011).”
BackgroundSpike-field activity in parietal area LIP during coordinated reach and saccade movements
Hagan, M. A., Dean, H. L., & Pesaran, B. (2011) · Journal of Neurophysiology · doi:10.1152/jn.00867.2011 · Cited by 52
“Area LIP also carries spatial cognitive signals related to perceptual and economic decision-making (Churchland et al. 2011; Dorris and Glimcher 2004; Gold and Shadlen 2007; Kiani and Shadlen 2009; Louie and Glimcher 2010; Louie et al. 2011; Platt and Glimcher 1999; Roitman and Shadlen 2002; Seo et…”
BackgroundEvidence against perfect integration of sensory information during perceptual decision making
Carland, M. A., Marcos, E., Thura, D., & Cisek, P. (2015) · Journal of Neurophysiology · doi:10.1152/jn.00264.2015 · Cited by 45
“…filter with a short time constant is capable of simulating the effects of early motion signals, even on RT distributions whose means are 1,000 ms. Churchland et al. (2011) suggested that the UGM cannot explain correlations in neural activity, but those authors also did not include the low-pass…”
BackgroundThe impact of MRI scanner environment on perceptual decision-making
van Maanen, L., Forstmann, B. U., Keuken, M. C., Wagenmakers, E., & Heathcote, A. (2015) · Behavior Research Methods · doi:10.3758/s13428-015-0563-6 · Cited by 63
“The increase in drift rate difference with coherence is consistent with the literature (Churchland et al., 2011; Donkin et al., 2009; Ho et al., 2009; Mulder et al., 2013; Palmer et al., 2005).”
MethodResultAccumulators, Neurons, and Response Time
Schall, J. D. (2019) · Trends in Neurosciences · doi:10.1016/j.tins.2019.10.001 · Cited by 75
“Certainly, discharge rates of single neurons wax and wane with variable rates; a measure of the variance of spike rates across trials increases over time as expected if the process were similar to Brownian motion [54].”
BackgroundScale (in)variance in a unified diffusion model of decision making and timing.
Simen, P., Vlasov, K. Y., & Papadakis, S. (2015) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/rev0000014 · Cited by 54
A Bayesian Attractor Model for Perceptual Decision Making
Bitzer, S., Bruineberg, J. P., & Kiebel, S. J. (2015) · PLoS Computational Biology · doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004442 · Cited by 42
Goldberg, J. A., & Bergman, H. (2011) · Neuroscience · doi:10.1016/j.neuroscience.2011.08.068 · Cited by 51
Evidence accumulation relates to perceptual consciousness and monitoring
Pereira, M., Mégevand, P., Tan, M. X., Chang, W., Wang, S., Rezai, A. R., Seeck, M., Corniola, M. V., Momjian, S., Bernasconi, F., et al. (2021) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-021-23540-y · Cited by 109
Ongoing, rational calibration of reward-driven perceptual biases
Fan, Y., Gold, J. I., & Ding, L. (2018) · bioRxiv · doi:10.1101/242651 · Cited by 53
Piercing of Consciousness as a Threshold-Crossing Operation
Kang, Y. H., Petzschner, F. H., Wolpert, D. M., & Shadlen, M. N. (2017) · Current Biology · doi:10.1016/j.cub.2017.06.047 · Cited by 90
“Here, there is substantial evidence that decision termination is mediated by application of a threshold to the neural representation of accumulating evidence [8, 46, 47], and this also holds in experiments that do not allow for free responses, as in our controlled-duration experiment [13, 16, 48].”
Self-citationDePasquale, B., Sussillo, D., Abbott, L. F., & Churchland, M. M. (2023) · Neuron · doi:10.1016/j.neuron.2022.12.007 · Cited by 58
Two layers of neural variability
Churchland, M. M., & Abbott, L. F. (2012) · Nature Neuroscience · doi:10.1038/nn.3247 · Cited by 48
Chang, M. H., Armstrong, K. M., & Moore, T. (2012) · Journal of Neuroscience · doi:10.1523/jneurosci.2967-11.2012 · Cited by 44
“…changes in response variability have been observed as a correlate of active behavioral states (M. M. Churchland et al., 2006; Mitchell et al., 2007; Cohen and Maunsell, 2009; Steinmetz and Moore, 2010; A. K. Churchland et al., 2011), suggesting that variability may reflect behavioral engagement.”
BackgroundMiller, P. C., & Katz, D. B. (2013) · Journal of Computational Neuroscience · doi:10.1007/s10827-013-0452-x · Cited by 46
“2009) and electrophysiological (Leon and Shadlen 2003; Janssen and Shadlen 2005; Genovesio et al. 2006; Mita et al. 2009; Churchland et al. 2011) evidence—further improves the advantage of the nonlinear system over a perfect integrator.”
BackgroundResidual dynamics resolves recurrent contributions to neural computation
Galgali, A. R., Sahani, M., & Mante, V. (2023) · Nature Neuroscience · doi:10.1038/s41593-022-01230-2 · Cited by 46
“Our analysis of residual dynamics extends previous work that leveraged trial-by-trial variability to understand neural computations 19,20,22,23,41 , by providing a full, quantitative description of the time-varying dynamics of population-level trial-by-trial variability.”
Background
Metadata
- Authors
- Churchland, A. K., Kiani, R., Chaudhuri, R., Wang, X.-J., Pouget, A., & Shadlen, M. N.
- Affiliations
- University of Washington (US)
- Howard Hughes Medical Institute (US)
- Yale University (US)
- University of Rochester (US)
- Corresponding author
- Churchland, Anne. K.
- Venue
- Neuron
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2011-02
- Volume
- 69
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 818-831
- ISSN
- 0896-6273 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC3066020
- OpenAlex
- W2105007656
- Cited by
- 350
- References
- 56
- Citations by year
- 2026: 7 · 2025: 19 · 2024: 27 · 2023: 15 · 2022: 20 · 2021: 25 · 2020: 21 · 2019: 20 · 2018: 20 · 2017: 22 · 2016: 30 · 2015: 35 · 2014: 28 · 2013: 20 · 2012: 33
- FWCI
- 14.30
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Neuron (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Institutional Repository (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- Howard Hughes Medical Institute
- James S. McDonnell Foundation (P30 EY001319)
- National Institutes of Health (RR001 66, EY001319)
- U.S. Public Health Service (BCS0346785)
- Multidisciplinary University Research Initiative (N00014-07-1-0937)
- National Institute of Mental Health (MH 062349, R01MH062349)
- National Institute on Drug Abuse (DA022780, R01DA022780)
- National Eye Institute (EY011378, EY019072, R00EY019072, K99EY019072, R01EY011378, P30EY001319)
- National Center for Research Resources (RR00166, P51RR000166)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Neural dynamics and brain function
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Visual perception and processing mechanisms
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Neural and Behavioral Psychology Studies
- Keywords
- perceptual decision making, lateral intraparietal area, law of total variance, doubly stochastic processes, conditional expectation, single-unit recording, decision models
- MeSH terms
- Action Potentials, Animals, Haplorhini, Computer Simulation, Decision Making, Models, Neurological, Motion Perception, Neurons, Numerical Analysis, Computer-Assisted, Photic Stimulation, Reaction Time, Statistics as Topic, Stochastic Processes, Time Factors
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