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Assessing AF2’s ability to predict structural ensembles of proteins
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Abstract
Recent breakthroughs in protein structure prediction have enhanced the precision and speed at which protein configurations can be determined. Additionally, molecular dynamics (MD) simulations serve as a crucial tool for capturing the conformational space of proteins, providing valuable insights into their structural fluctuations. However, the scope of MD simulations is often limited by the accessible timescales and the computational resources available, posing challenges to comprehensively exploring protein behaviors. Recently emerging approaches have focused on expanding the capability of AlphaFold2 (AF2) to predict conformational substates of protein. Here, we benchmark the performance of various workflows that have adapted AF2 for ensemble prediction and compare the obtained structures with ensembles obtained from MD simulations and NMR. We provide an overview of the levels of performance and accessible timescales that can currently be achieved with machine learning (ML) based ensemble generation. Significant minima of the free energy surfaces remain undetected.
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Cites
Highly accurate protein structure prediction with AlphaFold
Jumper, J., Evans, R., Pritzel, A., Green, T., Figurnov, M., Ronneberger, O., Tunyasuvunakool, K., Bates, R., Žídek, A., Potapenko, A., et al. (2021) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-021-03819-2 · Cited by 43,764
Highly accurate protein structure prediction for the human proteome
Tunyasuvunakool, K., Adler, J., Wu, Z., Green, T., Zielinski, M., Žídek, A., Bridgland, A., Cowie, A., Meyer, C., Laydon, A., et al. (2021) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-021-03828-1 · Cited by 3,025
Markov state models of biomolecular conformational dynamics
Chodera, J. D., & Noé, F. (2014) · Current Opinion in Structural Biology · doi:10.1016/j.sbi.2014.04.002 · Cited by 776
Predicting multiple conformations via sequence clustering and AlphaFold2
Wayment-Steele, H. K., Ojoawo, A., Otten, R., Apitz, J. M., Pitsawong, W., Hömberger, M., Ovchinnikov, S., Colwell, L., & Kern, D. (2024) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-023-06832-9 · Cited by 545
Sampling alternative conformational states of transporters and receptors with AlphaFold2
del Alamo, D., Sala, D., Mchaourab, H. S., & Meiler, J. (2022) · eLife · doi:10.7554/elife.75751 · Cited by 511
SPEACH_AF: Sampling protein ensembles and conformational heterogeneity with Alphafold2
Stein, R. A., & Mchaourab, H. S. (2022) · PLOS Computational Biology · doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010483 · Cited by 258
Brown, B. P., Stein, R. A., Meiler, J., & Mchaourab, H. S. (2024) · Journal of Chemical Theory and Computation · doi:10.1021/acs.jctc.3c01081 · Cited by 41
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Predicting the conformational flexibility of antibody and T-cell receptor CDRs
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Self-citationLidbrink, S. E., Howard, R. J., Haloi, N., & Lindahl, E. (2025) · PLOS Computational Biology · doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013187 · Cited by 9
Metadata
- Authors
- Riccabona, J. R., Spoendlin, F. C., Fischer, A.-L. M., Loeffler, J. R., Quoika, P. K., Jenkins, T. P., Ferguson, J. A., Smorodina, E., Laustsen, A. H., Greiff, V., Forli, S., Ward, A. B., Deane, C. M., & Fernández-Quintero, M. L.
- Affiliations
- Universität Innsbruck (AT)
- University of Oxford (GB)
- Scripps Research Institute (US)
- Technical University of Munich (DE)
- Technical University of Denmark (DK)
- University of Oslo (NO)
- Corresponding author
- Ward, Andrew B.
- Deane, Charlotte M.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Structure
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2024-11
- Volume
- 32
- Issue
- 11
- Pages
- 2147-2159.e2
- ISSN
- 0969-2126 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W4402860010
- Cited by
- 17
- References
- 7
- Citations by year
- 2026: 9 · 2025: 7 · 2024: 1
- FWCI
- 2.32
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Licence
- www.elsevier.com/tdm/userlicense/1.0/ (tdm)
- www.elsevier.com/legal/tdmrep-license (tdm)
- www.elsevier.com/open-access/userlicense/1.0/ (vor, 371 d)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-017 (stm-asf)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-037 (stm-asf)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-012 (stm-asf)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-029 (stm-asf)
- doi.org/10.15223/policy-004 (stm-asf)
- Locations
- Structure (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Kreftforeningen (215817)
- Norges Forskningsråd (311341, 300740, 331890)
- Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (850974)
- European Research Council
- Royal Commission for the Exhibition of 1851
- European Commission
- Roche
- Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EP/S024093/1)
- Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (INV-004923)
- Villum Fonden (00025302)
- Leona M. and Harry B. Helmsley Charitable Trust (2019PG-T1D011)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Protein Structure and Dynamics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Structural Biology › Enzyme Structure and Function
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Machine Learning in Bioinformatics
- Keywords
- AlphaFold2, protein structural ensembles, ensemble forecasting, conformational substates, molecular dynamics simulation, NMR ensembles, benchmarking, protein conformational dynamics
- MeSH terms
- Machine Learning, Protein Conformation, Proteins, Software, Nuclear Magnetic Resonance, Biomolecular, Molecular Dynamics Simulation
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