Growing up with dinosaurs: molecular dates and the mammalian radiation
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Dates of divergence derived from molecular data have been used to place the beginning of the radiation of modern mammalian orders in the Cretaceous, long before the final extinction of the dinosaurs. These molecular dates have been used to challenge the idea that the ordinal diversification of mammals was triggered by the availability of 'empty niches' left vacant by the disappearance of the dinosaurs. However, the broad discrepancies between molecular date estimates from different studies warn that molecular dates should not be accepted uncritically. Consideration of the wide confidence intervals around molecular date estimates, and the potential for geographic bias in the fossil record, could lessen the discrepancy between molecular and palaeontological data but might still prompt a re-evaluation of the timing and causes of the mammalian radiation.
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Deeper molecular dates are expected because the fossil record documents only the first appearance of a morphologically recognizable (crown) group and not the actual time of genetic divergence.
“Deeper molecular dates are actually expected, because the fossil record documents only the first appearance of a morphologically recognizable (crown) group and not the actual time of genetic divergence (51).”
From The timing of eukaryotic evolution: Does a relaxed molecular clock reconcile proteins and fossils? (2004) · cites this paper as [51]
The choice of calibration date is crucial to the accuracy of molecular dates.
“The choice of calibration date is crucial to the accuracy of molecular dates, as shown by the difference in date estimates from studies using the same data and methods but different calibration dates 48 .”
From The modern molecular clock (2003) · cites this paper as [48]
The variation in rate of molecular evolution between lineages warns against using a calibration rate calculated for one lineage to date another, often distantly related, lineage.
“The variation in rate of molecular evolution between lineages warns against using a calibration rate calculated for one lineage to date another, often distantly related, lineage 1,28,48 .”
From The modern molecular clock (2003) · cites this paper as [48]
Published molecular dates for the split between rodents and primates vary by as much as 100%.
“For example, published molecular dates for the split between rodents and primates vary by as much as 100% (REF. 48).”
From The modern molecular clock (2003) · cites this paper as [48]
In some cases, molecular dates produced by different methods contradict each other.
“In some cases, molecular dates produced by different methods contradict each other 1,48,49 .”
From The modern molecular clock (2003) · cites this paper as [48]
Problems with the accuracy and precision of molecular clocks can be demonstrated by comparing studies that use different genes, calibrations or methods, and produce different date estimates for the same divergence.
“Problems with the accuracy and precision of molecular clocks can be demonstrated by comparing studies that use different genes, calibrations or methods, and produce different date estimates for the same divergence 48 .”
From The modern molecular clock (2003) · cites this paper as [48]
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- Authors
- Bromham, L., Phillips, M. J., & Penny, D.
- Affiliations
- The University of Queensland (AU)
- Massey University (NZ)
- Corresponding author
- Bromham, Lindell
- Phillips, Matthew J.
- Penny, David
- Venue
- Trends in Ecology & Evolution
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 1999-03
- Volume
- 14
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 113-118
- ISSN
- 0169-5347 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2152400281
- Cited by
- 127
- References
- 48
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2024: 1 · 2023: 2 · 2021: 1 · 2019: 1 · 2018: 1 · 2017: 2 · 2015: 4 · 2014: 2 · 2013: 5 · 2012: 4
- FWCI
- 2.06
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Trends in Ecology & Evolution (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- reroDoc Digital Library (submittedVersion)
- Figshare (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- Marsden Fund
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Paleontology › Evolution and Paleontology Studies
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Paleontology › Paleontology and Evolutionary Biology
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics › Plant Diversity and Evolution
- Keywords
- mammalian radiation, divergence time estimation, divergence time, Cretaceous, dinosaur extinction, fossil record bias, mammalian evolution
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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