Risk stratification of patients with syncope
Abstract
Study objective To develop and validate a risk classification system for patients presenting to emergency departments with syncope.Methods Two prospective studies were carried out at a large urban teaching hospital ED. One cohort of 252 patients with syncope who reported to the ED was used to develop the risk classification system; a second cohort of 374 patients with syncope was used to validate the system. Data from the patient's history, physical examination and ED ECG were used to identify predictors of arrhythmias or mortality within the first year. Arrhythmias were detected by cardiac monitoring or electrophysiologic studies. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify the important risk factors for the classification system. Performance of the system was measured by comparing the proportion of patients with arrhythmias or death at various levels of the risk and receiver operating characteristic curves.Results Multivariate predictors of arrhythmia or 1-year mortality were an abnormal ED ECG (odds ratio [OR], 3.2; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.6 to 6.4); history of ventricular arrhythmia (OR, 4.8; 95% CI, 1.7 to 13.9); history of congestive heart failure (OR, 3.2; 95% Cl, 1.3 to 8.1). Arrhythmias or death within 1 year occurred in 7.3% (derivation cohort) to 4.4% (validation cohort) of patients without any risk factors and in 80.4% (derivation) to 57.6% (validation) of patients with three or four risk factors.Conclusion Historical and ECG factors available at the time of presentation can be used to stratify risk of arrhythmias or mortality within 1 year in ED patients presenting with syncope.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Cardiac ischaemia-related syncope is confirmed when syncope presents with evidence of acute myocardial ischaemia with or without myocardial infarction.
“Cardiac ischaemia-related syncope is confirmed when syncope presents with evidence of acute myocardial ischaemia with or without myocardial infarction. 25-39”
From 2018 ESC Guidelines for the diagnosis and management of syncope (2018) · cites this paper as [34]
Arrhythmic syncope is highly probable when the ECG shows persistent sinus bradycardia <40 b.p.m. or sinus pauses >3 s in awake state and in absence of physical training; Mobitz II second- and third-degree AV block; alternating left and right BBB; VT or rapid paroxysmal SVT.
“Arrhythmic syncope is highly probable when the ECG shows 25-39 : • Persistent sinus bradycardia <40 b.p.m. or sinus pauses >3 s in awake state and in absence of physical training; • Mobitz II second- and third-degree AV block; • Alternating left and right BBB; • VT or rapid paroxysmal SVT;”
From 2018 ESC Guidelines for the diagnosis and management of syncope (2018) · cites this paper as [34]
Presence of ≥1 serious medical condition is the key determinant for further in-hospital management of patients after syncope.
“Presence of ≥1 serious medical condition, summarized in Table 7, is the key determinant for further in-hospital management of patients after syncope (90,98).”
From 2017 ACC/AHA/HRS Guideline for the Evaluation and Management of Patients With Syncope (2017) · cites this paper as [90]
Cites
BMPD statistical software manual
Dixon, W. (1988) · University of California Press eBooks · Cited by 2,536 · see citing works
Survival after the onset of congestive heart failure in Framingham Heart Study subjects.
Ho, K. K. L., Anderson, K. M., Kannel, W. B., Grossman, W., & Levy, D. A. (1993) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/01.cir.88.1.107 · Cited by 1,865 · see citing works
A Prospective Evaluation and Follow-up of Patients with Syncope
Kapoor, W. N., Karpf, M., Wieand, S., Peterson, J. R., & Levey, G. S. (1983) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejm198307283090401 · Cited by 779 · see citing works
Self-citationAlmquist, A. K., Goldenberg, I. F., Milstein, S., Chen, M. Y., Chen, X., Hansen, R., Gornick, C. C., & Benditt, D. G. (1989) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejm198902093200603 · Cited by 643 · see citing works
Evaluation and outcome of emergency room patients with transient loss of consciousness
Day, S. C., Cook, E. F., Funkenstein, H., & Goldman, L. (1982) · The American Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1016/0002-9343(82)90913-5 · Cited by 587 · see citing works
Evaluation and Outcome of Patients with Syncope
KAPOOR, W. N. (1990) · Medicine · doi:10.1097/00005792-199005000-00004 · Cited by 539 · see citing works
Self-citationSyncope in advanced heart failure: high risk of sudden death regardless of origin of syncope
Middlekauff, H. R., Stevenson, W. G., Stevenson, L. W., & Saxon, L. A. (1993) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/0735-1097(93)90724-f · Cited by 311 · see citing works
Upright tilt testing in evaluating syncope: A comprehensive literature review
Kapoor, W. N., Smith, M. A., & Miller, N. L. (1994) · The American Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1016/0002-9343(94)90051-5 · Cited by 275 · see citing works
Self-citationPatients With Syncope Admitted to Medical Intensive Care Units
Silverstein, M. D. (1982) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.1982.03330100023024 · Cited by 251 · see citing works
Prospective evaluation of syncope
Martin, G. J., Adams, S. L., Martin, H. G., Mathews, J., Zull, D., & Scanlon, P. J. (1984) · Annals of Emergency Medicine · doi:10.1016/s0196-0644(84)80511-9 · Cited by 239 · see citing works
Utility of upright tilt-table testing in the evaluation and management of syncope of unknown origin
Grubb, B. P., Temesy‐Armos, P. N., Hahn, H., & Elliott, L. (1991) · The American Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1016/0002-9343(91)90499-n · Cited by 231 · see citing works
Unexplained Syncope Evaluated by Electrophysiologic Studies and Head-up Tilt Testing
SRA, J. S., Anderson, A. J., Sheikh, S. H., Avitall, B., TCHOU, P. J., Troup, P. J., Gilbert, C. J., Akhtar, M., & Jazayeri, M. R. (1991) · Annals of Internal Medicine · doi:10.7326/0003-4819-114-12-1013 · Cited by 219 · see citing works
Long- and short-term risk of sudden coronary death.
Cupples, L. A., GAGNON, D. R., & Wb, K. (1992) · PubMed · Cited by 191 · see citing works
Doherty, J. U., Pembrook-Rogers, D., Grogan, E., Falcone, R. A., Buxton, A. E., Marchlinski, F. E., Cassidy, D. M., Kienzle, M. G., Almendral, J. M., & Josephson, M. E. (1985) · The American Journal of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/0002-9149(85)90140-7 · Cited by 138 · see citing works
Król, R. B., Morady, F., Flaker, G. C., DiCarlo, L. A., Baerman, J. M., Hewett, J. E., & de Buitleir, M. (1987) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/s0735-1097(87)80019-0 · Cited by 137 · see citing works
The value of electrophysiologic studies in syncope of undetermined origin: Report of 150 cases
Teichman, S. L., Felder, S. D., Matos, J. A., Kim, S. G., Waspe, L. E., & Fisher, J. D. (1985) · American Heart Journal · doi:10.1016/0002-8703(85)90171-1 · Cited by 113 · see citing works
Long-term prognosis of patients undergoing electrophysiologic studies for syncope of unknown origin
Bass, E. B., Elson, J. J., Fogoros, R. N., Peterson, J., Arena, V. C., & Kapoor, W. N. (1988) · The American Journal of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/0002-9149(88)90257-3 · Cited by 103 · see citing works
Self-citationClinical Predictors of Electrophysiologic Findings in Patients With Syncope of Unknown Origin
Denes, P. (1988) · Archives of Internal Medicine · doi:10.1001/archinte.1988.00380090024008 · Cited by 67 · see citing works
Bachinsky, W., Linzer, M., Weld, L. H., & Estes, N. A. M. (1992) · The American Journal of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/0002-9149(92)90861-r · Cited by 65 · see citing works
Prospective evaluation of syncope in patients presenting to the emergency department
Martin, G., Adams, S., Martin, H., Mathews, J., Zull, D. N., & Pj, S. (1984) · Annals of Emergency Medicine · doi:10.1016/s0196-0644(84)80185-7 · Cited by 59 · see citing works
Prolonged electrocardiographic monitoring in patients with syncope
Kapoor, W. N., Cha, R., Peterson, J. R., Wieand, H. S., & Karpf, M. (1987) · The American Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1016/0002-9343(87)90372-x · Cited by 51 · see citing works
Self-citationMoazez, F., Peter, T. C., Simonson, J. S., et al. (1991) · American Heart Journal · doi:10.1016/0002-8703(91)90959-l · Cited by 50 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Developed in collaboration with, European Heart Rhythm Association (EHRA), Heart Failure Association (HFA), and Heart Rhythm Society (HRS), societies, E. B. T. F., European Society of Emergency Medicine (EuSEM), European Federation of Internal Medicine (EFIM), European Union Geriatric Medicine Society (EUGMS), American Geriatrics Society (AGS), European Neurological Society (ENS), et al. (2009) · European Heart Journal · doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehp298 · Cited by 2,040 · see citing works
2018 ESC Guidelines for the diagnosis and management of syncope
Brignole, M., Moya, A., de Lange, F. J., Deharo, J.-C., Elliott, P. M., Fanciulli, A., Fedorowski, A., Furlan, R., Kenny, R. A., Martín, A., et al. (2018) · European Heart Journal · doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehy037 · Cited by 1,951 · see citing works
Incidence and Prognosis of Syncope
Soteriades, E. S., Evans, J. C., Larson, M. G., Chen, M. H., Chen, L., Benjamin, E. J., & Levy, D. (2002) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmoa012407 · Cited by 1,364 · see citing works
2017 ACC/AHA/HRS Guideline for the Evaluation and Management of Patients With Syncope
Shen, W.-K., Sheldon, R. S., Benditt, D. G., Cohen, M. I., Forman, D. E., Goldberger, Z. D., Grubb, B. P., Hamdan, M. H., Krahn, A. D., Link, M. S., et al. (2017) · Heart Rhythm · doi:10.1016/j.hrthm.2017.03.004 · Cited by 484 · see citing works
Diagnostic value of history in patients with syncope with or without heart disease
Alboni, P., Brignole, M., Menozzi, C., Raviele, A., Del Rosso, A., Dinelli, M., Solano, A., & Bottoni, N. (2001) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/s0735-1097(01)01241-4 · Cited by 444 · see citing works
Derivation of the San Francisco Syncope Rule to predict patients with short-term serious outcomes
Quinn, J. V., Stiell, I. G., McDermott, D. A., Sellers, K. L., Kohn, M. A., & Wells, G. A. (2004) · Annals of Emergency Medicine · doi:10.1016/s0196-0644(03)00823-0 · Cited by 432 · see citing works
Colivicchi, F. (2003) · European Heart Journal · doi:10.1016/s0195-668x(02)00827-8 · Cited by 359 · see citing works
2017 ACC/AHA/HRS Guideline for the Evaluation and Management of Patients With Syncope
Shen, W.-K., Sheldon, R. S., Benditt, D. G., Cohen, M. I., Forman, D. E., Goldberger, Z. D., Grubb, B. P., Hamdan, M. H., Krahn, A. D., Link, M. S., et al. (2017) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2017.03.003 · Cited by 327 · see citing works
Shen, W. K., Decker, W. W., Smars, P. A., Goyal, D. G., Walker, A. E., Hodge, D. O., Trusty, J. M., Brekke, K. M., Jahangir, A., Brady, P. A., et al. (2004) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/01.cir.0000149236.92822.07 · Cited by 318 · see citing works
Nigrovic, L. E. (2007) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.297.1.52 · Cited by 306 · see citing works
Prospective validation of the San Francisco Syncope Rule to predict patients with serious outcomes
Quinn, J., McDermott, D., Stiell, I., Kohn, M., & Wells, G. (2006) · Annals of Emergency Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.annemergmed.2005.11.019 · Cited by 309 · see citing works
Direct medical costs of syncope-related hospitalizations in the United States
Sun, B. C., Emond, J. A., & Camargo, C. A. (2005) · The American Journal of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.amjcard.2004.11.013 · Cited by 305 · see citing works
Short- and Long-Term Prognosis of Syncope, Risk Factors, and Role of Hospital Admission
Costantino, G., Perego, F., Dipaola, F., Borella, M., Galli, A., Cantoni, G., Dell’Orto, S., Dassi, S., Filardo, N., Duca, P. G., et al. (2008) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2007.08.059 · Cited by 246 · see citing works
Mechanism of syncope in patients with heart disease and negative electrophysiologic test
Menozzi, C., Brignole, M., Garcia-Civera, R., Moya, A., Botto, G., Tercedor, L., Migliorini, R., & Navarro, X. (2002) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/01.cir.0000018125.31973.87 · Cited by 204 · see citing works
Huff, J. S., Decker, W. W., Quinn, J. V., Perron, A. D., Napoli, A. M., Peeters, S., & Jagoda, A. S. (2007) · Annals of Emergency Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.annemergmed.2007.02.001 · Cited by 157 · see citing works
Shen, W.-K., Sheldon, R. S., Benditt, D. G., Cohen, M. I., Forman, D. E., Goldberger, Z. D., Grubb, B. P., Hamdan, M. H., Krahn, A. D., Link, M. S., et al. (2017) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2017.03.002 · Cited by 155 · see citing works
Predicting Adverse Outcomes in Syncope
Grossman, S. A., Fischer, C., Lipsitz, L. A., Mottley, L., Sands, K., Thompson, S., Zimetbaum, P., & Shapiro, N. I. (2007) · The Journal of Emergency Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.jemermed.2007.04.001 · Cited by 155 · see citing works
Serrano, L. A., Hess, E. P., Bellolio, M. F., Murad, M. H., Montori, V. M., Erwin, P. J., & Decker, W. W. (2010) · Annals of Emergency Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.annemergmed.2010.05.013 · Cited by 129 · see citing works
External validation of the San Francisco Syncope Rule
Sun, B. C., Mangione, C. M., Merchant, G., Weiss, T., Shlamovitz, G. Z., Zargaraff, G., Shiraga, S., Hoffman, J. R., & Mower, W. R. (2007) · Annals of Emergency Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.annemergmed.2006.11.012 · Cited by 128 · see citing works
Sheldon, R. S., Morillo, C. A., Krahn, A. D., O'Neill, B., Thiruganasambandamoorthy, V., Parkash, R., Talajic, M., Tu, J. V., Seifer, C., Johnstone, D., et al. (2011) · Canadian Journal of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.cjca.2010.11.002 · Cited by 126 · see citing works
Diagnosis, management, and outcomes of patients with syncope and bundle branch block
Moya, A., Garcia-Civera, R., Croci, F., Menozzi, C., Brugada, J., Ammirati, F., Del Rosso, A., Bellver-Navarro, A., Garcia-Sacristan, J., Bortnik, M., et al. (2011) · European Heart Journal · doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehr071 · Cited by 124 · see citing works
Role of echocardiography in the evaluation of syncope: a prospective study
Sarasin, F. P., Junod, A.-F., Carballo, D., Slama, S., Unger, P.-F., & Louis-Simonet, M. (2002) · Heart · doi:10.1136/heart.88.4.363 · Cited by 120 · see citing works
Syncope Predicts the Outcome of Cardiomyopathy Patients
Olshansky, B., Poole, J. E., Johnson, G., Anderson, J., Hellkamp, A. S., Packer, D., Mark, D. B., Lee, K. L., & Bardy, G. H. (2008) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2007.11.065 · Cited by 119 · see citing works
A risk score to predict arrhythmias in patients with unexplained syncope
Sarasin, F. P., Hanusa, B. H., Perneger, T., Louis‐Simonet, M., Rajeswaran, A., & Kapoor, W. N. (2003) · Academic Emergency Medicine · doi:10.1197/s1069-6563(03)00535-9 · Cited by 118 · see citing works
Self-citationD'Ascenzo, F., Biondi-Zoccai, G., Reed, M. J., Gabayan, G. Z., Suzuki, M., Costantino, G., Furlan, R., Del Rosso, A., Sarasin, F. P., Sun, B. C., et al. (2013) · International Journal of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.ijcard.2011.11.083 · Cited by 107 · see citing works
External validation of the San Francisco Syncope Rule in the Canadian setting
Thiruganasambandamoorthy, V., Hess, E. P., Alreesi, A., Perry, J. J., Wells, G. A., & Stiell, I. G. (2010) · Annals of Emergency Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.annemergmed.2009.10.001 · Cited by 88 · see citing works
Priorities for Emergency Department Syncope Research
Sun, B. C., Costantino, G., Barbic, F., Bossi, I., Casazza, G., Dipaola, F., McDermott, D., Quinn, J., Reed, M., Sheldon, R. S., et al. (2014) · Annals of Emergency Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.annemergmed.2014.04.014 · Cited by 86 · see citing works
Dipaola, F., Costantino, G., Perego, F., Borella, M., Galli, A., Cantoni, G., Barbic, F., Casella, F., Duca, P. G., & Furlan, R. (2010) · The American Journal of Emergency Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.ajem.2008.12.039 · Cited by 69 · see citing works
SHELDON, R., HERSI, A., RITCHIE, D., KOSHMAN, M., & ROSE, S. (2010) · Journal of Cardiovascular Electrophysiology · doi:10.1111/j.1540-8167.2010.01835.x · Cited by 61 · see citing works
Key challenges in the current management of syncope
Sutton, R., Brignole, M., & Benditt, D. G. (2012) · Nature Reviews Cardiology · doi:10.1038/nrcardio.2012.102 · Cited by 33 · see citing works
- Authors
- Martin, T. P., Hanusa, B. H., & Kapoor, W. N.
- Affiliations
- University of Pittsburgh (US)
- ORCID
- Hanusa, Barbara H
- Venue
- Annals of Emergency Medicine
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 1997-04
- Volume
- 29
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 459-466
- ISSN
- 0196-0644 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2156112512
- Cited by
- 285
- References
- 22
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 3 · 2024: 5 · 2023: 6 · 2022: 3 · 2021: 4 · 2020: 8 · 2019: 6 · 2018: 12 · 2017: 14 · 2016: 9 · 2015: 12 · 2014: 21 · 2013: 15 · 2012: 21
- FWCI
- 4.85
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Annals of Emergency Medicine (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (K04L 01899, RO1 HL36735)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Cardiovascular Syncope and Autonomic Disorders
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiac electrophysiology and arrhythmias
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine › Cardiovascular and Diving-Related Complications
- Keywords
- syncope, risk stratification, risk classification system, ventricular arrhythmias, mortality, emergency department, electrocardiographic abnormalities, congestive heart failure, risk factors, cardiac monitoring
- MeSH terms
- Adolescent, Adult, Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Arrhythmias, Cardiac, Electrocardiography, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Physical Examination, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, ROC Curve, Syncope, Cohort Studies, Multivariate Analysis, Logistic Models, Odds Ratio, Death, Sudden, Cardiac, Tachycardia, Ventricular, Risk Assessment
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review