Patterns of affective polarization toward parties and leaders across the democratic world
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Research indicates that affective polarization pervades contemporary democracies worldwide. Although some studies identify party leaders as polarizing agents, affective polarization has been predominantly conceptualized as a product of in-/out-party feelings. This study compares levels of party affective polarization (PAP) and leader affective polarization (LAP) cross-nationally, using data from the Comparative Study of Electoral Systems. Applying like–dislike scales and an identical index to both concepts, we reveal that while the two strongly correlate, LAP is systematically lower than PAP. The United States emerges as an exceptional case, being the only country where LAP significantly exceeds PAP. Drawing on regime input/output and institutions as theoretical building blocks, we explore cross-national variations and show that the relative strength of LAP vis-à-vis PAP is increased by presidential regime type, poor government performance, and low party system fragmentation. The findings of this study contribute to the thriving research on affective polarization and personalization of politics.
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Weighting each party's measure of affect based on its relative size within the electoral system (e.g., by vote share) is beneficial for measuring affective polarization in a comparative perspective.
“Scholars consequently have suggested weighting each party's measure of affect based on its relative size within the electoral systemfor example, by vote share (Garzia et al., 2023;Reiljan, 2020;Reiljan et al., 2024;Wagner, 2021).This approach is also beneficial in cases where researchers want to measure affective polarization in a comparative perspective (e.g.Reiljan et al., 2024).”
From Measuring affective polarization: Matching concepts to measures (2026) · cites this paper as Reiljan et al., 2024
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Cites
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Sorted by citations
Establishing the construct and predictive validity of brief measures of affective polarization
Kasper, J., Schumacher, G., & Bakker, B. N. (2025) · European Journal of Political Research · doi:10.1111/1475-6765.70022 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
“…and frequently used source to study affective polarization – that collects feelings towards a maximum of nine political parties based on vote shares in the most recent elections (for other recent examples, see Comellas & Torcal, 2023; Riera & Garmendia Madariaga, 2023; Reiljan et al., 2024).”
Measuring affective polarization: Matching concepts to measures
Druckman, J. N., Klar, S., Krupnikov, Y., Levendusky, M., & Ryan, J. B. (2026) · Political Psychology · doi:10.1111/pops.70152 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
- Authors
- REILJAN, A., GARZIA, D., FERREIRA DA SILVA, F., & TRECHSEL, A. H.
- Affiliations
- University of Tartu (EE)
- University of Lausanne (CH)
- University of Lucerne (CH)
- Corresponding author
- REILJAN, ANDRES
- GARZIA, DIEGO
- TRECHSEL, ALEXANDER H.
- Venue
- American Political Science Review
- Publisher
- Cambridge University Press (CUP)
- Published
- 2023-06-29
- Volume
- 118
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 654-670
- ISSN
- 0003-0554 (ISSN-L)
- 1537-5943
- OpenAlex
- W4382560490
- Cited by
- 98
- References
- 10
- Citations by year
- 2026: 42 · 2025: 28 · 2024: 24 · 2023: 4
- FWCI
- 96.21
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Locations
- American Political Science Review (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Archivio istituzionale della ricerca (Alma Mater Studiorum Università di Bologna) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- IRIS (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- SERVAL (Université de Lausanne) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Cadmus - EUI Research Repository (European University Institute) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Social Science Open Access Repository (GESIS – Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation
- Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (186898)
- Eesti Teadusagentuur (MOBJD607)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Electoral Systems and Political Participation
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Political Theory and Democracy
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
- Keywords
- affective polarization, party leaders, personalization of politics, presidentialism, government performance, party fragmentation, cross-national comparison
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