Cited by 3,317Electoral Systems and Political ParticipationSocial Media and PoliticsSocial and Cultural Dynamics

The Origins and Consequences of Affective Polarization in the United States

Open access
Iyengar, Shanto, Lelkes, Yphtach, Levendusky, Matthew, Malhotra, Neil, Westwood, Sean J.·2019·Annual Review of Political Science

Abstract

While previously polarization was primarily seen only in issue-based terms, a new type of division has emerged in the mass public in recent years: Ordinary Americans increasingly dislike and distrust those from the other party. Democrats and Republicans both say that the other party's members are hypocritical, selfish, and closed-minded, and they are unwilling to socialize across party lines. This phenomenon of animosity between the parties is known as affective polarization. We trace its origins to the power of partisanship as a social identity, and explain the factors that intensify partisan animus. We also explore the consequences of affective polarization, highlighting how partisan affect influences attitudes and behaviors well outside the political sphere. Finally, we discuss strategies that might mitigate partisan discord and conclude with suggestions for future work.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1146/annurev-polisci-051117-073034

Cites

93 of 93 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

5 of 112 cited sources checked · 3 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured

  • Premisecitation
    § THE NONPOLITICAL CONSEQUENCES OF AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION · p. 8

    Americans are averse to cross-partisan dialogue within their families, especially after the 2016 election.

    “Behavioral data from smartphone activity confirms that Americans are averse to cross-partisan dialogue within their families, especially in the wake of the 2016 election (Chen & Rohla 2018).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Chen & Rohla 2018 source
  • Premisecitation
    § THE NONPOLITICAL CONSEQUENCES OF AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION · p. 8

    Preferences against cross-party marriage are substantively larger than apolitical benchmarks, such as the 17-20% of people who would not want their child marrying a fan of an opposing baseball team.

    “And these preferences appear substantively larger than apolitical benchmarks, such as the 17-20% of people who would not want their child marrying a fan of an opposing baseball team (Hersh 2016).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Hersh 2016 source

      The introduction says political ideology affects evaluations of potential romantic partners, but it gives no cross-party marriage rate or comparison with an apolitical benchmark. Searches for the baseball-team marriage question and the 17–20% figure found no passage addressing them in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.76)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Findingown data
    § Figure 1 · p. 4

    Out-party feeling has decreased dramatically, especially after 1990.

    “Out-party feeling ( purple line ) has decreased dramatically, especially after 1990.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingown data
    § Figure 1 · p. 4

    Affective polarization decreased between 2012 and 2016 due to decreases in feeling toward the in-party.

    “However, it is worth noting that affective polarization actually decreased between 2012 and 2016 due to decreases in feeling toward the in-party.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Interpretationcitation
    § AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION: AN OUTGROWTH OF PARTISAN SOCIAL IDENTITY · p. 3

    Extremity in issue opinions is not a necessary condition for affective polarization.

    “and that extremity in issue opinions is not a necessary condition for affective polarization”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Iyengar et al. 2012 source
    • cites Mason 2015 source
  • May combine two claims. 31
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 22
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § THE NONPOLITICAL CONSEQUENCES OF AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION · p. 11

    Republican and Democratic physicians give different advice to patients on politicized health issues such as abortion, but not on apolitical health topics.

    “In medicine, Hersh & Goldenberg (2016) find that Republican and Democratic physicians give different advice to patients on politicized health issues such as abortion, but not on apolitical health topics.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Hersh & Goldenberg (2016) source

      The paper reports that Democratic and Republican primary care physicians recommended different treatment plans in survey vignettes about politicized issues, including abortion, but not in the other vignettes (opening summary). The claim overstates the finding as advice actually given to patients; the study measured physicians’ responses to hypothetical cases, not observed patient encounters. (LLM, conf=0.84)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § DECREASING AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION · p. 13

    Diverse social networks expose individuals to different political points of view and foster tolerance for opposing viewpoints, which should ameliorate affective polarization.

    “This is also related to a long tradition of work showing that diverse social networks-which expose individuals to different political points of view-foster tolerance for opposing viewpoints, which should also ameliorate affective polarization (Mutz 2002).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Mutz 2002 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § OPEN QUESTIONS AND CONCLUDING THOUGHTS · p. 13

    In some situations, partisan bias is prompted more by in-group love.

    “However, there is also evidence that in some situations, partisan bias is prompted more by in-group love (Lelkes & Westwood 2017).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Lelkes & Westwood 2017 source
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    Findingcitation
    § Figure 1 · p. 4

    Affective polarization (the difference between mean in-party feeling and mean out-party feeling) shows a significant increase over time, mainly due to an increase in animus against the out-party.

    “We also plot affective polarization ( gray line )-the difference between mean in-party feeling and mean out-party feeling-which shows a significant increase over time (Iyengar et al. 2012), mainly due to an increase in animus against the out-party.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Iyengar et al. 2012 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data
    § Figure 1 · p. 4

    In-party feeling has remained high over the period plotted, though it has decreased slightly in recent years.

    “In-party feeling ( green line ) has remained high over the period plotted, though it has decreased slightly in recent years.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation
    § AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION: AN OUTGROWTH OF PARTISAN SOCIAL IDENTITY · p. 3

    Our conceptualization of polarization as rooted in affect and identity stands in contrast to a long tradition in political science of studying polarization as the difference between the policy positions of Democrats and Republicans.

    “Our conceptualization of polarization as rooted in affect and identity stands in contrast to a long tradition in political science of studying polarization as the difference between the policy positions of Democrats and Republicans”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Fiorina et al. 2005

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

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    Premisecitation
    § Survey Self-Reports · p. 3

    The change in affective polarization is not that people like their own party more over time; rather, there is an increase in out-party animus, especially in recent years.

    “It is particularly noteworthy that ( a ) the change is not that people like their own party more over time; rather, there is an increase in out-party animus, especially in recent years”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Iyengar et al. 2012 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Premisereasoning
    § Figure 1 · p. 4

    If partisanship is an important social identity in its own right, partisans should be averse to entering into close interpersonal relations with their opponents.

    “If partisanship is an important social identity in its own right, partisans should be averse to entering into close interpersonal relations with their opponents.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation
    § AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION: AN OUTGROWTH OF PARTISAN SOCIAL IDENTITY · p. 3

    Affective and ideological polarization are theoretically and empirically distinct concepts.

    “they are theoretically and empirically distinct concepts.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Abramowitz & Webster 2016 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § Survey Self-Reports · p. 3

    The feeling thermometer was originally created as a 'neutrally worded means of eliciting responses to a wide variety of candidates'.

    “The feeling thermometer was originally created as a 'neutrally worded means of eliciting responses to a wide variety of candidates'”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Weisberg & Rusk 1970 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisenone given
    § Survey Self-Reports · p. 3

    The most central survey item is the 'feeling thermometer' question from the American National Election Study (ANES) time series.

    “While scholars have relied on several different survey items, the most central is the 'feeling thermometer' question from the American National Election Study (ANES) time series.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Premisenone given
    § Survey Self-Reports · p. 3

    Survey self-reports are the most basic and widely used measure of affective polarization in the literature.

    “Survey self-reports are the most basic and widely used measure of affective polarization in the literature.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation
    § AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION: AN OUTGROWTH OF PARTISAN SOCIAL IDENTITY · p. 2

    In the United States, partisanship means identifying with the Democrat group or the Republican group.

    “In the United States, partisanship means identifying with the Democrat group or the Republican group”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Green et al. 2002 source
    • cites Huddy et al. 2015 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning
    § Figure 1 · p. 4

    The finding may reflect the well-known association between politics and disagreement.

    “Alternatively, the finding may reflect the well-known association between politics and disagreement; most people prefer to be in agreeable relationships.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: Most people prefer to be in agreeable relationships.
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Behavioral Measures · p. 5

    These results held even when the out-party candidate had a significantly higher grade point average (4.0 versus 3.5); the probability of a partisan selecting the more qualified out-party candidate was never above 30%.

    “These results held even when the out-party candidate had a significantly higher grade point average (4.0 versus 3.5); the probability of a partisan selecting the more qualified out-party candidate was never above 30%.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Iyengar & Westwood 2015 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Implicit Measures · p. 5

    Implicit measures are known to be much harder to manipulate than explicit self-reports; they are therefore more valid and less susceptible to impression management.

    “Implicit measures are known to be much harder to manipulate than explicit self-reports; they are therefore more valid and less susceptible to impression management (Boysen et al. 2006).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Boysen et al. 2006 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § THE NONPOLITICAL CONSEQUENCES OF AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION · p. 9

    Residential sorting has not increased significantly over the past few decades when one analyzes party registration data instead of presidential vote returns.

    “Klinkner (2004) challenged much of this data analysis by showing that residential sorting has not increased significantly over the past few decades when one analyzes party registration data instead of presidential vote returns.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Klinkner (2004) source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § THE NONPOLITICAL CONSEQUENCES OF AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION · p. 9

    Selection rather than convergence over time explains spousal agreement.

    “and that selection rather than convergence over time explains spousal agreement”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Iyengar et al. 2018

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisenone given
    § Behavioral Measures · p. 6

    Feeling thermometers and social distance measures have been asked for long periods of time, allowing researchers to document changes over time.

    “Despite the limitations of feeling thermometers and social distance measures, an advantage is that they have been asked for long periods of time, allowing researchers to document changes over time.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Behavioral Measures · p. 5

    In the scholarship study, there was little racial bias; whites preferred the African American applicant (55.8%).

    “The results indicated little racial bias; whites, in fact, preferred the African American applicant (55.8%).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Iyengar & Westwood 2015 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Implicit Measures · p. 5

    Implicit bias is less pronounced than explicit bias as measured through survey questions; 91% of Republicans and 75% of Democrats in the same study explicitly evaluated their party more favorably.

    “Interestingly, implicit bias is less pronounced than explicit bias as measured through survey questions; 91% of Republicans and 75% of Democrats in the same study explicitly evaluated their party more favorably.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Iyengar & Westwood 2015 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Behavioral Measures · p. 5

    79.2% of Democrats picked the Democratic applicant and 80% of Republicans picked the Republican applicant.

    “But 79.2% of Democrats picked the Democratic applicant and 80% of Republicans picked the Republican applicant.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Iyengar & Westwood 2015 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § THE NONPOLITICAL CONSEQUENCES OF AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION · p. 9

    Analogous figures for dating pairs matched by level of education and religion are 10.6% and 50.0%, respectively.

    “T o put that finding into context, analogous figures for dating pairs matched by level of education and religion are 10.6% and 50.0%, respectively.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Huber & Malhotra (2017) source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning
    § Figure 1 · p. 4

    If the desire for political agreement has increased, it would also indicate a rise in affective polarization.

    “If this is the case, it would also indicate a rise in affective polarization.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Implicit Measures · p. 5

    The difference in the D-score across the party divide was 0.50, while the corresponding difference in implicit racial bias across the racial divide was only 0.18.

    “The difference in the D-score-the operational indicator of implicit bias-across the party divide was 0.50, while the corresponding difference in implicit racial bias across the racial divide was only 0.18 (see also Theodoridis 2017 for an application of implicit measures to the study of partisanship).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Iyengar & Westwood 2015 source
    • cites Theodoridis 2017 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § THE NONPOLITICAL CONSEQUENCES OF AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION · p. 8

    People may perceive copartisans to be more physically attractive.

    “People may also perceive copartisans to be more physically attractive (Nicholson et al. 2016).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Nicholson et al. 2016 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § THE NONPOLITICAL CONSEQUENCES OF AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION · p. 9

    About 64% of Democrats and 55% of Republicans say they have 'just a few' or 'no' close friends from the other political party.

    “about 64% of Democrats and 55% of Republicans say they have 'just a few' or 'no' close friends who are from the other political party”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Pew Research Center (2017)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Figure 1 · p. 4

    In 1960, only 4-5% were upset with their child marrying someone from the out party, but that figure had jumped to one-third of Democrats and one-half of Republicans by 2010.

    “In 1960, only 4-5% were upset with their child marrying someone from the out party, but that figure had jumped to one-third of Democrats and one-half of Republicans by 2010 (Iyengar et al. 2012, pp. 416-18).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Iyengar et al. 2012 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisenone given
    § Behavioral Measures · p. 6

    Implicit and behavioral measures lack historical survey data.

    “A major limitation of implicit and behavioral measures is the lack of historical survey data.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted), S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § THE NONPOLITICAL CONSEQUENCES OF AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION · p. 9

    Counties had become more politically homogeneous over time.

    “Bishop (2009), who reported descriptive statistics showing that counties had become more politically homogeneous over time.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Bishop (2009)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § Behavioral Measures · p. 5

    Copartisans consistently receive a bonus while opposing partisans are subject to a financial penalty in economic games.

    “Results show that copartisans consistently receive a bonus while opposing partisans are subject to a financial penalty.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Iyengar & Westwood 2015 source
    • cites Carlin & Love 2013 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § THE NONPOLITICAL CONSEQUENCES OF AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION · p. 11

    A county that moves from 50% Democratic to 65% Democratic undergoes an increase in consumption 0.9% higher following a Democratic presidential victory compared with a Republican presidential victory.

    “Gerber & Huber (2009) used data from county tax receipts to estimate that a county that moves from 50% Democratic to 65% Democratic undergoes an increase in consumption 0.9% higher following a Democratic presidential victory compared with a Republican presidential victory.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Gerber & Huber (2009) source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § DECREASING AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION · p. 12

    When Ahler & Sood (2018) correct respondents' misperceptions, respondents think the other party is less extreme, and affective polarization decreases.

    “When Ahler & Sood (2018) correct respondents' misperceptions, respondents think the other party is less extreme, and affective polarization decreases (i.e., they like the other party more).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Ahler & Sood (2018) source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § DECREASING AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION · p. 11

    Only about 11% of Democrats belong to a labor union, but the average American thought that 39% of Democrats were union members; 44% of Republicans had this perception along with 37% of Democrats.

    “Only about 11% of Democrats belong to a labor union, but in a large national survey, the average American thought that 39% of Democrats were union members; 44% of Republicans had this perception along with 37% of Democrats.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Ahler & Sood (2018) source
    • Rests on an assumption: The modal member of both parties is a middle-aged, white, nonevangelical Christian.
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § THE NONPOLITICAL CONSEQUENCES OF AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION · p. 11

    Affective polarization undermines trust on the part of the party that is out of power, and hence makes governing more complex.

    “Hetherington & Rudolph (2015) show that affective polarization undermines trust on the part of the party that is out of power, and hence makes governing more complex.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Hetherington & Rudolph (2015) source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § THE NONPOLITICAL CONSEQUENCES OF AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION · p. 10

    Ghanaian taxi drivers accept lower prices from copartisans and demand higher prices from counter-partisans.

    “Michelitch's (2015) pioneering work in this area found that Ghanaian taxi drivers accept lower prices from copartisans and demand higher prices from counter-partisans.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Michelitch's (2015) source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § DECREASING AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION · p. 13

    Priming partisan ambivalence and using self-affirmation techniques fail to reduce partisan animus.

    “For example, Levendusky (2018b) uses a population-based survey experiment to show that priming partisan ambivalence and using self-affirmation techniques-both of which have been shown to reduce similar biases in other contexts-fail to reduce partisan animus.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Levendusky (2018b)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § THE NONPOLITICAL CONSEQUENCES OF AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION · p. 10

    McConnell et al. (2018) found no evidence of out-group animus; the purchasing rate remained stable across same-party and opposite-party sellers.

    “The authors found no evidence of out-group animus; the purchasing rate remained stable across same-party and opposite-party sellers.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites McConnell et al. (2018) source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § THE NONPOLITICAL CONSEQUENCES OF AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION · p. 10

    In the Democratic county, Democratic resumes were 2.4 percentage points more likely to receive a callback than Republican resumes; in the Republican county, the partisan preference for Republican resumes was 5.6 percentage points.

    “They find that in the Democratic county, Democratic resumes were 2.4 percentage points more likely to receive a callback than Republican resumes; the partisan preference for Republican resumes in the Republican county was 5.6 percentage points.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Gift & Gift (2015) source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § DECREASING AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION · p. 11

    Only 2.2% of Republicans earn more than $250,000 per year, but the average citizen thought that 38% of Republicans earned that much.

    “Likewise, while only 2.2% of Republicans earn more than $250,000 per year, the average citizen thought that 38% of Republicans earned that much.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Ahler & Sood (2018) source
    • Rests on an assumption: The modal member of both parties is a middle-aged, white, nonevangelical Christian.
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § THE NONPOLITICAL CONSEQUENCES OF AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION · p. 10

    People performed lower-quality work and exhibited less effort for a partisan-congruent employer.

    “At the same time, they performed lower-quality work and exhibited less effort.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites McConnell et al. (2018) source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § DECREASING AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION · p. 12

    Subjects who had their American identity primed were 25% less likely to rate the other party at 0 degrees on a feeling thermometer scale, and 35% more likely to rate the other party at 50 degrees or higher.

    “For example, in his experimental results, subjects who had had their American identity primed were 25% less likely to rate the other party at 0 degrees on a feeling thermometer scale, and 35% more likely to rate the other party at 50 degrees or higher; there are similar effects for ratings of various traits”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Levendusky (2018a)

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § DECREASING AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION · p. 12

    The website had no effect on the behavior of Democrats or Independents, but had an enormous effect on Republicans.

    “While the website had no effect on the behavior of Democrats or Independents, it had an enormous effect on Republicans.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Lerman et al. (2017) source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation
    § THE NONPOLITICAL CONSEQUENCES OF AFFECTIVE POLARIZATION · p. 10

    Noncoethnic counter-partisans pay 16% more and noncoethnic copartisans 6% more in taxi fares than coethnic copartisans.

    “Specifically, noncoethnic counter-partisans pay 16% more and noncoethnic copartisans 6% more in taxi fares than coethnic copartisans, suggesting an interaction between ethnicity and partisanship.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Michelitch's (2015) source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted), S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationcitation
    § OPEN QUESTIONS AND CONCLUDING THOUGHTS · p. 13

    Party polarization is driven by out-group hostility.

    “implying that party polarization is driven by out-group hostility”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Premisenone given
    § OPEN QUESTIONS AND CONCLUDING THOUGHTS · p. 13

    Social psychologists studying group conflict have generally concluded that in-group affection is the dominant force.

    “Although social psychologists studying group conflict have generally concluded that in-group affection is the dominant force, the domain of politics might be distinctive.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).

    Interpretationreasoning
    § OPEN QUESTIONS AND CONCLUDING THOUGHTS · p. 15

    Increasing affective polarization can have grave ramifications, especially during times of political turmoil.

    “In conclusion, we note that increasing affective polarization can have grave ramifications, especially during times of political turmoil.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation
    § OPEN QUESTIONS AND CONCLUDING THOUGHTS · p. 13

    Contextual effects such as competition and threat alter the degree to which people punish opponents or reward team members.

    “Social psychologists have suggested that contextual effects such as competition and threat alter the degree to which people punish opponents or reward team members (Brewer 1999).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Brewer 1999 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).

    Interpretationreasoning
    § OPEN QUESTIONS AND CONCLUDING THOUGHTS · p. 15

    These phenomena threaten the very foundations of representative democracy.

    “Partisanship appears to now compromise the norms and standards we apply to our elected representatives, and even leads partisans to call into question the legitimacy of election results, both of which threaten the very foundations of representative democracy.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisenone given
    § OPEN QUESTIONS AND CONCLUDING THOUGHTS · p. 15

    The current pervasive drip of scandal touching on the Trump administration has done little to weaken President Trump's popularity among Republicans, who accuse the press and investigative bodies of partisan bias.

    “In contrast, the current pervasive drip of scandal touching on the Trump administration has done little to weaken President Trump's popularity among Republicans, who accuse the press and investigative bodies of partisan bias (although see Montagnes et al. 2018).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Montagnes et al. 2018

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

50 of 50
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Democrats and Republicans both say that the other party's members are hypocritical, selfish, and closed-minded.

    “Democrats and Republicans both say that the other party's members are hypocritical, selfish, and closed-minded”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Democrats and Republicans are unwilling to socialize across party lines.

    “they are unwilling to socialize across party lines”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Political campaigns recur frequently and last for many months (or even years) in the contemporary United States.

    “Second, political campaigns-the formal occasions for expressing one's partisan identity-recur frequently and last for many months (or even years) in the contemporary United States.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Most people prefer to be in agreeable relationships.

    “most people prefer to be in agreeable relationships.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The rhetoric and actions of political leaders demonstrate that hostility directed at the opposition is acceptable and often appropriate.

    “If anything, the rhetoric and actions of political leaders demonstrate that hostility directed at the opposition is acceptable and often appropriate.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Implicit attitudes are weak predictors of relevant behaviors.

    “Of course, one can also critique measures of implicit attitudes, especially on the grounds that they are weak predictors of relevant behaviors.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Partisanship is an important social identity in its own right.

    “If partisanship is an important social identity in its own right, partisans should be averse to entering into close interpersonal relations with their opponents.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Partisanship increasingly signals core values and worldview.

    “Since partisanship increasingly signals core values and worldview, it is unsurprising that partisanship is used to screen social partners.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The modal member of both parties is a middle-aged, white, nonevangelical Christian.

    “The modal member of both parties is a middle-aged, white, nonevangelical Christian, but this is not the image most people carry around in their heads when they think about Democrats and Republicans.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Most people think in terms of partisan stereotypes: Democrats are urban minorities and young people, Republicans are older, wealthy, or evangelical Christians.

    “Instead, most people think in terms of partisan stereotypes: Democrats are urban minorities and young people, Republicans are older, wealthy, or evangelical Christians.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    No research has identified ways in which affective polarization drives both elite and mass ideological polarization.

    “Fourth, no research that we are aware of has identified ways in which affective polarization drives both elite and mass ideological polarization.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Comparativists have long recognized the importance of group identity to political behavior and attitudes, even if they have not used the language of social identity theory or affective polarization.

    “Comparativists have long recognized the importance of group identity to political behavior and attitudes, even if they have not used the language of social identity theory or affective polarization.”
12 of 12

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • In comparative research, scholars have customarily resorted to survey-based feeling thermometers.

    “When it comes to comparative research, however, scholars have customarily resorted to survey-based feeling thermometers.”

    From Affective Polarization in Comparative and Longitudinal Perspective (2023) · cites this paper as Iyengar et al. 2019

    The Survey Self-Reports section (p. 3) calls feeling thermometers the central, widely used survey measure of affective polarization. But its discussion centers on the American National Election Study; the paper does not establish that comparative researchers customarily use them. Its discussion of comparative politics (p. 14) does not address measurement practices. (LLM, conf=0.84)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Another potential consequence of the spread of moral and emotional content online is increased polarization.

    “Another potential consequence of the spread of moral and emotional content online is increased polarization (Iyengar et al. 2019).”

    From Social Media and Morality. (2024) · cites this paper as Iyengar et al. 2019

    The ‘Origins and Causes of Affective Polarization’ section (pp. 6–7) describes hostile partisan content and says social networks can amplify polarizing messages. It supports online content as a potential contributor to polarization, but does not specifically identify the spread of moral and emotional content online as the contributor. (LLM, conf=0.83)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • El consumo de medios proactitudinales no genera por sí solo y como causa primaria reacciones de hostilidad afectiva, sino que intensifica las actitudes e identidades que ya se encontraban latentes o atenuadas en el individuo.

    “no parece acertado afirmar que el extendido consumo de medios proactitudinales genere, por sí solo y como causa primaria, reacciones de hostilidad afectiva, sino más bien lo que hace es intensificar las actitudes e identidades que ya se encontraban de forma latente o atenuada en el individuo (Iyengar et al., 2019;Levendusky, 2013).”

    From Política, uso de medios y polarización afectiva en España (2024) · cites this paper as Iyengar et al., 2019

    En «Origins and Causes of Affective Polarization» (p. 7), el artículo cuestiona que los medios partidistas causen por sí mismos polarización afectiva y señala que su exposición vuelve aún más extremas las actitudes ya extremas. Sin embargo, dice que el mecanismo preciso no está claro; no establece que estos medios únicamente intensifiquen identidades latentes ni descarta que puedan generar hostilidad afectiva. (LLM, conf=0.84)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Feeling thermometers have been asked for long periods of time, allowing researchers to document changes over time.

    “Despite their limitations, feeling thermometers “have been asked for long periods of time, allowing researchers to document changes over time” (p. 134).”

    From Affective Polarization in Comparative and Longitudinal Perspective (2023) · cites this paper as Iyengar et al. 2019

  • Democrats and Republicans have developed increasingly hostile feelings toward each other (affective polarization).

    “both groups have also developed increasingly hostile feelings toward each other (Iyengar et al., 2019).”

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 7

  1. Klinkner P, 2004, Forum, 2
  2. Lelkes Y, 2018, Forum, 16
  3. Maccoby EE, 1954, Handb. Soc. Psychol., 1, 449
  4. Montagnes BP, 2018, J. Politics, 81, 327
  5. Nelson R. 2015. The war on partisanship: how fighting polarization became its own cause. National Journal, Oct. 30. https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/91684/war-partisanship?mref=home
  6. Panagopoulos C, 2016, Risky business: Does corporate political giving affect consumer behavior?
  7. Pew Research Center., 2017, The partisan divide on political values grows even wider

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Iyengar, S., Lelkes, Y., Levendusky, M., Malhotra, N., & Westwood, S. J.
Affiliations
  • Stanford University (US)
  • University of Pennsylvania (US)
  • Dartmouth College (US)
Venue
Annual Review of Political Science
Published
2019-05-11
Volume
22
Issue
1
Pages
129-146
ISSN
  • 1094-2939 (ISSN-L)
  • 1545-1577
OpenAlex
W2904152473
Cited by
3,317
References
88
Citations by year
2026: 463 · 2025: 660 · 2024: 518 · 2023: 555 · 2022: 445 · 2021: 393 · 2020: 216 · 2019: 33 · 2018: 3 · 2017: 1
FWCI
230.09
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
Annual Review of Political Science (publishedVersion)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Electoral Systems and Political Participation
  • Social Sciences › Communication › Social Media and Politics
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Social and Cultural Dynamics
Keywords
affective polarization, partisanship, partisan animosity, social identity, partisan affect, Democrats and Republicans

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-13.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-13.

Cited sources are checked by gpt-6-sol.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

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