The DOI matches its Crossref record; 8 of the 8 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Soil Moisture Stress as a Major Driver of Carbon Cycle Uncertainty
Open accessAbstract
Future projections suggest an increase in drought globally with climate change. Current vegetation models typically regulate the plant photosynthetic response to soil moisture stress through an empirical function, rather than a mechanistic response where plant water potentials respond to changes in soil water. This representation of soil moisture stress may introduce significant uncertainty into projections for the terrestrial carbon cycle. We examined the use of the soil moisture limitation function in historical and future emissions scenarios in nine Earth system models. We found that soil moisture‐limited productivity across models represented a large and uncertain component of the simulated carbon cycle, comparable to 3–286% of current global productivity. Approximately 40–80% of the intermodel variability was due to the functional form of the limitation equation alone. Our results highlight the importance of implementing mechanistic water limitation schemes in models and illuminate several avenues for improving projections of the land carbon sink.
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Citations
Cites
A large and persistent carbon sink in the world’s forests
Pan, Y., Birdsey, R. A., Fang, J., Houghton, R., Kauppi, P. E., Kurz, W. A., Phillips, O. L., Shvidenko, A., Lewis, S. L., Canadell, J. G., et al. (2011) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1201609 · Cited by 8,458
Allen, C. D., Macalady, A. K., Chenchouni, H., Bachelet, D., McDowell, N., Vennetier, M., Kitzberger, T., Rigling, A., Breshears, D. D., Hogg, E. H. (., et al. (2010) · Forest Ecology and Management · doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2009.09.001 · Cited by 7,763
Global warming and changes in drought
Trenberth, K. E., Dai, A., van der Schrier, G., Jones, P. D., Barichivich, J., Briffa, K. R., & Sheffield, J. (2014) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2067 · Cited by 3,382 · cited 1×
“Much of the drought impacts literature is concerned with the appropriateness of present-day drought measures to assess future drought risks (Mankin et al., 2017; Milly & Dunne, 2016; Roderick et al., 2015; Swann et al., 2016; Trenberth et al., 2013).”
BackgroundA global analysis of root distributions for terrestrial biomes
Jackson, R. B., Canadell, J., Ehleringer, J. R., Mooney, H. A., Sala, O. E., & Schulze, E. D. (1996) · Oecologia · doi:10.1007/bf00333714 · Cited by 3,071
Greening of the Earth and its drivers
Zhu, Z., Piao, S., Myneni, R. B., Huang, M., Zeng, Z., Canadell, J. G., Ciais, P., Sitch, S., Friedlingstein, P., Arneth, A., et al. (2016) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate3004 · Cited by 2,779
Widespread increase of tree mortality rates in the western United States
van Mantgem, P. J., Stephenson, N. L., Byrne, J. C., Daniels, L. D., Franklin, J. F., Fulé, P. Z., Harmon, M. E., Larson, A. J., Smith, J. M., Taylor, A. H., et al. (2009) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1165000 · Cited by 1,799 · cited 1×
“A number of regional observational studies have attributed recent declines in forest growth and increases in mortality over a wide range of latitudes to climate change-induced drought stress (Allen et al., 2010; Brienen et al., 2015; Trugman et al., 2018; van Mantgem et al., 2009).”
BackgroundLong-term decline of the Amazon carbon sink
Brienen, R. J. W., Phillips, O. L., Feldpausch, T. R., Gloor, E., Baker, T. R., Lloyd, J., Lopez-Gonzalez, G., Monteagudo-Mendoza, A., Malhi, Y., Lewis, S. L., et al. (2015) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature14283 · Cited by 1,211
Increase in observed net carbon dioxide uptake by land and oceans during the past 50 years
Ballantyne, A. P., Alden, C. B., Miller, J. B., Tans, P. P., & White, J. W. C. (2012) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature11299 · Cited by 784
Cited by
Lawrence, D. M., Fisher, R. A., Koven, C. D., Oleson, K. W., Swenson, S. C., Bonan, G., Collier, N., Ghimire, B., van Kampenhout, L., Kennedy, D., et al. (2019) · Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems · doi:10.1029/2018ms001583 · Cited by 2,060
Twenty‐First Century Drought Projections in the CMIP6 Forcing Scenarios
Cook, B. I., Mankin, J. S., Marvel, K., Williams, A. P., Smerdon, J. E., & Anchukaitis, K. J. (2020) · Earth's Future · doi:10.1029/2019ef001461 · Cited by 1,036
Self-citationHydraulic diversity of forests regulates ecosystem resilience during drought
Anderegg, W. R. L., Konings, A. G., Trugman, A. T., Yu, K., Bowling, D. R., Gabbitas, R., Karp, D. S., Pacala, S., Sperry, J. S., Sulman, B. N., et al. (2018) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-018-0539-7 · Cited by 674
Self-citationImplementing Plant Hydraulics in the Community Land Model, Version 5
Kennedy, D., Swenson, S., Oleson, K. W., Lawrence, D. M., Fisher, R., Lola da Costa, A. C., & Gentine, P. (2019) · Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems · doi:10.1029/2018ms001500 · Cited by 432
A planetary boundary for green water
Wang-Erlandsson, L., Tobian, A., van der Ent, R. J., Fetzer, I., te Wierik, S., Porkka, M., Staal, A., Jaramillo, F., Dahlmann, H., Singh, C., et al. (2022) · Nature Reviews Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43017-022-00287-8 · Cited by 366
Metadata
- Authors
- Trugman, A. T., Medvigy, D., Mankin, J. S., & Anderegg, W. R. L.
- Venue
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2018-07-06
- Volume
- 45
- Issue
- 13
- Pages
- 6495-6503
- ISSN
- 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-8007
- OpenAlex
- W2809675964
- Cited by
- 222
- References
- 8
- FWCI
- 12.09
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
