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A negative feedback mechanism for the long‐term stabilization of Earth's surface temperature

Walker, James C. G., Hays, P. B., Kasting, J. F.·1981·Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans

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Abstract

We suggest that the partial pressure of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is buffered, over geological time scales, by a negative feedback mechanism in which the rate of weathering of silicate minerals (followed by deposition of carbonate minerals) depends on surface temperature, and surface temperature, in turn, depends on carbon dioxide partial pressure through the greenhouse effect. Although the quantitative details of this mechanism are speculative, it appears able partially to stabilize earth's surface temperature against the steady increase of solar luminosity believed to have occurred since the origin of the solar system.

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Authors: Walker, J. C. G., Hays, P. B., & Kasting, J. F.
Affiliations: University of Michigan (US)
NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (US)
ORCID: Kasting, J. F.
Venue: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Published: 1981-10-20
Volume: 86
Issue: C10
Pages: 9776-9782
ISSN: 0148-0227 (ISSN-L)
DOI: 10.1029/jc086ic10p09776
OpenAlex: W2097828895
Cited by: 2,310
References: 34
Citations by year: 2026: 119 · 2025: 148 · 2024: 141 · 2023: 159 · 2022: 116 · 2021: 128 · 2020: 146 · 2019: 124 · 2018: 99 · 2017: 75 · 2016: 71 · 2015: 82 · 2014: 77 · 2013: 76 · 2012: 57
FWCI: 10.64
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: closed
Licence: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor (vor, 11293 d)
Locations: Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres (publishedVersion)
Topics: Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Earth Systems and Cosmic Evolution
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
Keywords: negative feedback loop, silicate weathering, carbonate sedimentation, greenhouse effect, carbon cycle

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A negative feedback mechanism for the long‐term stabilization of Earth's surface temperature

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